Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 15 February 2012 at 05:00:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2012, Aston_Villa vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        25   60  +45      87.88     4.42    62.42    56.12    97.63    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +36      87.10     4.25    55.51    43.28    96.16    99.87   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   53  +24      75.62     4.80    31.54     0.60     5.93    77.19    93.92    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   43  +13      66.74     4.87    22.82     0.00     0.10     8.30    37.89    90.82     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   43  +13      68.48     4.58    25.74     0.00     0.17    13.48    55.20    95.63     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       25   42   +0      60.40     4.86     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.40     4.56    43.64     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   39   +6      61.85     4.86    13.35     0.00     0.00     0.85     8.33    62.76     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         25   35   -4      48.78     4.70   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland      25   33   +8      50.00     4.78     6.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.04     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         25   33   -1      51.47     4.88    -0.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.36     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         25   30   -4      44.78     4.72    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.99R    0.02  
Fulham          25   30   -5      47.35     4.71    -5.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.19R    0.00  
Stoke           25   30  -14      45.27     4.70   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.89R    0.04  
West_Brom       25   29   -6      43.82     4.67   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.68R    0.08  
Aston_Villa     25   28   -5      44.25     4.79    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     1.25R    0.04  
QPR             25   21  -17      32.13     4.32   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.41R   20.41  
Blackburn       25   21  -19      34.23     4.57   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.27R   12.25  
Wolverhampton   25   21  -21      33.54     4.58   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.32R   15.81  
Bolton          25   20  -22      34.26     4.67   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.48R   12.02  
Wigan           25   19  -27      30.65     4.40   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.42R   39.31  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2012, Birmingham vs Hull; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Ham         30   57  +16      83.67     5.61    22.97    38.86    60.53    95.03    69.76P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   56  +22      81.49     5.39    29.47    24.50    48.24    92.26    59.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          31   53  +14      78.03     5.37    20.63     8.78    21.74    78.59    36.15P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        31   52  +14      76.96     5.56    20.71     7.05    18.01    72.09    31.83P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       30   51  +20      78.93     5.50    28.53    13.41    29.81    83.67    47.50P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          30   51  +11      75.83     5.53    15.25     4.58    12.23    63.37    25.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             30   50   +6      72.63     5.42     7.30     1.27     4.03    37.43    10.85P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    30   50   +4      72.13     5.48     4.55     1.13     3.57    33.93     9.09P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         31   49   +3      68.40     5.28     1.56     0.18     0.71    13.86     2.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          31   47   +8      68.46     5.29     9.21     0.16     0.71    15.30     3.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     31   45   +3      66.16     5.37     3.80     0.07     0.30     7.92     1.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        31   42   +5      63.68     5.37     6.56     0.01     0.07     3.42     0.83P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby            30   42   -4      61.72     5.40    -7.27     0.00     0.02     1.37     0.23P    0.17R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   40   -1      59.91     5.28    -3.34     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.12P    0.35R    0.00  
Watford          31   40   -7      58.71     5.34   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.74R    0.01  
Barnsley         30   39   -6      57.33     5.42   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    1.71R    0.04  
Ipswich          30   37  -10      57.50     5.58   -12.48     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    1.88R    0.05  
Portsmouth       30   35   +1      57.83     5.46     2.53     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P    1.25R    0.05  
Peterborough     30   34   -4      55.25     5.80    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.93R    0.35  
Millwall         31   31  -11      49.22     5.26   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.73R    2.96  
Bristol_City     31   31  -19      47.79     5.11   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.08R    4.94  
Coventry         31   25  -16      42.04     5.01   -20.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.10R   27.49  
Nott'm_Forest    30   25  -25      44.15     5.34   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.71R   18.46  
Doncaster        29   24  -24      40.54     5.27   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.29R   45.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2012, Bournemouth vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        29   67  +34      99.11     5.64    47.27    80.52    96.42   100.00    97.63P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   59  +28      91.25     5.75    41.49    16.04    70.17    99.87    80.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       31   57  +14      81.59     5.42    20.12     0.45     6.88    94.49    25.27P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    30   55  +27      85.04     5.52    39.44     2.67    20.76    98.52    49.34P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         29   49  +20      79.55     5.83    31.06     0.25     4.61    89.79    26.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       28   48  +19      74.97     6.03    22.44     0.06     1.10    67.45    12.79P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        29   46   -1      68.89     5.86    -1.92     0.00     0.05    20.94     3.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     31   44   +1      64.49     5.37     0.84     0.00     0.00     5.82     1.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    29   40   +4      63.88     5.83     4.82     0.00     0.00     5.94     0.95P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       29   40   +2      63.47     5.83     2.23     0.00     0.00     5.24     0.80P    0.11R    0.00  
Colchester      28   39   -3      63.13     6.01    -3.95     0.00     0.00     4.63     0.74P    0.25R    0.00  
Preston         29   39   -6      61.99     5.93    -6.84     0.00     0.00     3.19     0.59P    0.36R    0.00  
Bury            29   39   -9      58.90     5.73   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.10P    1.19R    0.00  
Hartlepool      30   38   -1      58.24     5.48    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.09P    1.12R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   29   38   -8      60.06     5.74   -10.04     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.17P    0.86R    0.01  
Oldham          27   35   -4      58.91     6.12    -7.16     0.00     0.00     1.31     0.22P    1.63R    0.03  
Tranmere        30   33   -6      53.22     5.47    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    8.51R    0.29  
Yeovil          30   30  -14      48.45     5.39   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.33R    2.76  
Exeter          31   30  -18      46.81     5.15   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.62R    4.92  
Scunthorpe      28   28   -8      51.49     6.11   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   17.10R    1.36  
Wycombe         31   26  -22      41.60     5.26   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.75R   27.28  
Walsall         29   25   -9      44.99     5.60   -14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.74R   10.04  
Chesterfield    30   24  -17      40.78     5.41   -25.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.26R   32.16  
Rochdale        29   24  -23      42.88     5.61   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.07R   21.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2012, Aldershot vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             30   56  +19      83.95     5.55    28.16    12.93    58.15    97.34    69.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           30   56  +15      78.58     5.56    15.92     2.49    19.40    83.12    31.14P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              30   56  +12      80.60     5.61    15.88     4.70    30.30    89.88    45.39P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              28   55  +27      89.89     5.87    42.25    58.12    88.92    99.69    92.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         28   55  +17      83.34     6.17    22.52    12.28    50.92    94.75    60.77P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   54  +16      82.50     5.73    23.55     9.17    45.77    94.58    60.86P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           29   46  +12      70.13     5.76    13.40     0.11     1.75    31.00     8.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   43   +5      69.97     5.88    10.50     0.06     1.59    29.94     8.76P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   29   43   +5      67.63     5.77     6.99     0.02     0.64    16.74     4.46P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            29   42   +6      66.94     5.82     8.43     0.02     0.43    14.96     4.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        29   42   -2      63.43     5.78    -5.29     0.00     0.10     4.56     0.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                29   42   -2      66.00     5.81    -1.22     0.01     0.33    10.52     2.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           28   41   +7      69.46     6.12    12.66     0.08     1.66    28.66     8.86P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            29   39   +9      61.85     5.83     8.21     0.00     0.03     3.66     0.87P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_Rovers       30   36  -13      56.10     5.66   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    1.07R    0.24  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   35  -15      52.43     5.63   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    4.56R    1.28  
Aldershot            28   34   -8      56.01     5.84   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    1.16R    0.28  
Barnet               28   33  -11      53.11     5.79   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    3.62R    1.02  
Macclesfield         29   30   -9      49.94     5.59   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.23R    3.23  
Bradford             28   28   -6      48.91     5.79   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.73R    4.76  
Hereford             30   27  -19      43.57     5.24   -27.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.44R   23.64  
Plymouth             30   24  -21      44.71     5.61   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.52R   17.74  
Dag_&_Red            29   24  -21      44.71     5.78   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.96R   18.74  
Northampton          29   24  -23      43.15     5.66   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.67R   29.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 February 2012, Lincoln_City vs Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     31   70  +34      96.20     5.29    42.87    41.16    99.85    56.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   68  +36      97.14     5.34    47.18    51.91    99.95    66.26P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   59  +32      89.06     5.00    47.46     6.67    97.86    44.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          32   55   -3      73.21     5.14    -5.05     0.00    13.60     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   54  +29      81.18     5.20    39.37     0.22    73.77    15.89P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +14      76.99     5.40    19.12     0.03    38.56     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   51  +18      75.22     5.35    23.84     0.01    28.58     4.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   51   +5      72.19     5.35     5.79     0.00    10.86     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   49  +13      73.91     5.63    17.48     0.00    19.73     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   49  +13      73.21     5.55    16.49     0.00    16.31     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   45   +1      64.39     5.25    -0.94     0.00     0.62     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     32   43   -4      59.97     5.15    -8.27     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       31   42  +11      62.27     5.26    10.60     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           30   38   -8      55.39     5.32   -15.70     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.17R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   37   -3      55.88     5.31    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       32   31  -14      51.28     5.18   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98R    0.06  
Newport_County     31   30   -8      49.93     5.31    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.94R    0.08  
Stockport          33   29  -18      46.56     4.97   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.03R    0.53  
Darlington         32   28   -9      48.10     5.06    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.52R    0.24  
AFC_Telford        31   28  -16      45.01     5.31   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.98R    1.19  
Kettering          31   28  -36      43.80     5.14   -44.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.31R    2.54  
Alfreton_Town      31   25  -29      38.27     4.92   -42.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.17R   17.19  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   24  -24      38.44     4.97   -35.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.18R   14.69  
Bath_City          31   18  -34      32.75     5.00   -43.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.57R   63.48  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10