Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 13 February 2012 at 05:00:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2012, Aston_Villa vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        25   60  +45      87.84     4.44    62.27    55.81    97.50    99.89    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         25   58  +36      87.14     4.24    55.61    43.59    96.22    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   53  +24      75.63     4.82    31.53     0.60     6.04    77.09    93.77    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   43  +13      66.76     4.86    22.84     0.00     0.07     8.49    38.03    90.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   43  +13      68.45     4.58    25.70     0.00     0.15    13.40    55.24    95.49     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       25   42   +0      60.43     4.85     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.42     4.74    44.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   39   +6      61.76     4.87    13.22     0.00     0.00     0.80     8.16    62.04     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         25   35   -4      48.78     4.70   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland      25   33   +8      50.01     4.78     6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.19     0.03R    0.00  
Everton         25   33   -1      51.54     4.89    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     3.48     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         25   30   -4      44.86     4.70    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.90R    0.02  
Fulham          25   30   -5      47.33     4.70    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.19R    0.00  
Stoke           25   30  -14      45.27     4.70   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.04R    0.03  
West_Brom       25   29   -6      43.81     4.71   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.69R    0.08  
Aston_Villa     25   28   -5      44.26     4.80    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     1.21R    0.04  
QPR             25   21  -17      32.06     4.32   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.88R   20.85  
Blackburn       25   21  -19      34.22     4.61   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.82R   12.34  
Wolverhampton   25   21  -21      33.47     4.56   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.11R   15.91  
Bolton          25   20  -22      34.30     4.66   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.72R   11.63  
Wigan           25   19  -27      30.66     4.39   -38.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.34R   39.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Blackpool vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Ham         29   56  +16      84.36     5.83    23.52    42.60    64.81    96.03    73.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   55  +22      81.70     5.60    29.23    25.15    49.85    92.97    61.35P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   50  +20      79.87     5.67    29.34    16.32    36.91    88.02    53.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   50  +12      76.97     5.56    19.62     6.22    17.53    74.19    32.09P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        30   49  +12      75.70     5.79    19.24     4.86    13.59    65.95    27.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             29   49   +6      72.42     5.52     6.57     1.18     4.22    39.16    10.96P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          29   48  +10      74.10     5.71    14.12     2.45     7.88    54.01    19.48P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         30   48   +3      69.14     5.49     2.09     0.25     1.11    19.50     4.10P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +3      70.77     5.67     3.92     0.66     2.55    28.69     7.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     30   45   +4      67.79     5.59     5.18     0.17     0.76    15.09     3.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   44   +6      67.08     5.49     7.54     0.10     0.48    12.46     3.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        30   42   +6      65.15     5.60     7.71     0.03     0.20     7.47     1.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Derby            29   42   -3      63.05     5.63    -6.31     0.00     0.07     3.38     0.55P    0.13R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -1      60.24     5.49    -3.36     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.16P    0.44R    0.00  
Barnsley         29   39   -4      58.45     5.57   -10.01     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.08P    1.15R    0.01  
Watford          30   37   -8      57.01     5.52   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    2.08R    0.06  
Portsmouth       29   35   +2      59.83     5.66     4.43     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.23P    0.69R    0.03  
Peterborough     29   34   -2      55.90     5.96    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    4.51R    0.30  
Ipswich          29   34  -11      55.10     5.74   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    5.50R    0.24  
Millwall         30   30  -11      49.32     5.42   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   24.86R    2.92  
Bristol_City     30   30  -19      48.24     5.30   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.92R    4.41  
Nott'm_Forest    29   25  -24      45.18     5.49   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.85R   14.09  
Doncaster        28   24  -22      41.70     5.51   -32.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.69R   34.31  
Coventry         30   22  -17      40.02     5.25   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.12R   43.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Exeter vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        28   64  +33      97.75     5.88    46.66    75.88    92.60    99.99    94.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       30   57  +15      83.43     5.65    21.80     1.62    13.01    96.32    30.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   56  +27      89.36     6.01    40.15    13.95    52.47    99.53    68.92P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   55  +28      86.82     5.71    41.12     7.39    33.34    99.10    57.13P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         28   49  +21      80.85     6.04    31.90     1.12     7.78    92.13    29.55P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   45  +18      72.90     6.27    20.71     0.04     0.68    52.95     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        28   45   -1      69.59     6.04    -1.44     0.01     0.10    25.66     3.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth     30   44   +2      66.28     5.58     2.48     0.00     0.01    11.00     2.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       28   40   +3      64.99     6.02     3.41     0.00     0.00     9.12     1.43P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool      29   38   +0      59.66     5.70    -2.49     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.16P    0.75R    0.01  
Bury            28   38   -9      59.39     6.01   -14.42     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.17P    1.38R    0.02  
Notts_County    28   37   +3      62.38     6.01     4.00     0.00     0.00     4.18     0.63P    0.32R    0.00  
Colchester      27   36   -4      61.46     6.23    -5.04     0.00     0.00     3.32     0.48P    0.74R    0.02  
Preston         28   36   -7      60.43     6.12    -7.82     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.42P    1.00R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient   28   35   -9      57.80     5.93   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.11P    2.72R    0.05  
Oldham          26   32   -5      57.20     6.31    -8.30     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.14P    3.86R    0.14  
Tranmere        29   32   -6      53.53     5.68    -8.48     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    9.09R    0.44  
Exeter          30   30  -17      47.90     5.34   -23.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   39.18R    4.31  
Yeovil          29   27  -15      46.64     5.59   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.13R    7.72  
Wycombe         30   26  -21      43.16     5.46   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.78R   21.51  
Walsall         28   25   -8      46.29     5.78   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.29R    8.40  
Scunthorpe      27   25   -9      49.99     6.29   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   25.89R    3.38  
Rochdale        28   24  -22      44.18     5.81   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.95R   17.98  
Chesterfield    29   23  -17      40.90     5.63   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.84R   36.00  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Bristol_Rovers vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Cheltenham           29   56  +16      80.16     5.77    17.24     5.60    30.98    88.30    41.47P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         27   55  +20      84.81     6.34    25.70    22.64    63.32    96.46    70.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             29   53  +18      82.05     5.86    26.74    10.30    47.44    93.71    60.75P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              29   53  +11      78.87     5.85    14.74     3.92    23.98    82.81    38.46P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              27   52  +24      88.13     6.13    39.09    48.08    83.21    99.17    89.10P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   51  +15      81.36     5.98    23.29     8.79    41.22    91.68    56.41P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   43  +11      68.92     5.99    12.99     0.07     1.57    25.41     7.14P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   43   +6      68.88     5.98     7.73     0.12     1.53    23.61     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   -1      64.47     5.98    -4.76     0.02     0.25     7.20     1.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   41   +8      71.17     6.38    14.20     0.36     4.26    39.44    13.74P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   41   +6      67.48     6.00     8.67     0.04     0.81    18.07     4.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            28   40   +4      68.34     6.12     9.54     0.04     1.19    22.43     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                28   39   -3      64.63     6.05    -1.82     0.00     0.21     8.08     2.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            28   36   +8      60.61     6.04     7.70     0.00     0.03     2.72     0.61P    0.14R    0.01  
Bristol_Rovers       29   36  -12      57.14     5.85   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P    0.82R    0.15  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   35  -14      53.62     5.88   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    4.04R    1.05  
Barnet               27   32  -11      53.11     6.01   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    4.78R    1.32  
Aldershot            27   31   -9      54.55     6.07   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    2.91R    0.85  
Macclesfield         28   30   -8      51.05     5.79   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    7.65R    2.40  
Bradford             27   27   -6      49.11     5.99   -11.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.81R    5.15  
Hereford             29   27  -18      44.75     5.49   -26.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.95R   18.12  
Dag_&_Red            28   24  -20      45.91     5.98   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.64R   14.48  
Plymouth             29   23  -21      45.42     5.90   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   33.67R   15.98  
Northampton          28   21  -24      41.63     5.87   -31.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.55R   40.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Stockport vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     31   70  +34      96.21     5.31    42.91    40.96    99.89    56.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   68  +36      97.20     5.40    47.26    52.55    99.96    66.53P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   59  +32      88.97     4.99    47.32     6.20    98.05    43.54P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   54  +29      81.21     5.29    39.49     0.25    74.69    16.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +14      76.93     5.38    19.05     0.03    39.45     5.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          31   52   -5      71.32     5.43    -7.56     0.00     8.98     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   51  +18      75.23     5.36    23.84     0.01    29.52     5.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   51   +5      72.14     5.33     5.70     0.00    10.79     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   49  +13      73.90     5.63    17.51     0.00    20.60     2.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   49  +13      73.26     5.55    16.54     0.00    17.15     2.68P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   45   +1      64.30     5.25    -1.08     0.00     0.60     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   42  +11      62.29     5.27    10.65     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     31   42   -4      60.00     5.39    -8.76     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   38   -8      55.42     5.32   -15.66     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   37   -3      55.86     5.31    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       31   30  -14      52.01     5.38   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.10  
Stockport          33   29  -18      46.55     4.97   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.48R    0.75  
Darlington         31   28   -7      49.68     5.28    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.15  
AFC_Telford        31   28  -16      45.07     5.34   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.09R    1.47  
Kettering          31   28  -36      43.76     5.11   -44.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.09R    3.06  
Newport_County     30   27   -9      48.84     5.54    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.25R    0.36  
Alfreton_Town      31   25  -29      38.29     4.93   -42.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.51R   19.49  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   24  -24      38.42     4.99   -35.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.12R   17.09  
Bath_City          30   18  -33      33.77     5.23   -43.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.79R   57.54  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10