Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 13 February 2012 at 05:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 February 2012, Aston_Villa vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 25 60 +45 87.84 4.44 62.27 55.81 97.50 99.89 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 58 +36 87.14 4.24 55.61 43.59 96.22 99.91 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 53 +24 75.63 4.82 31.53 0.60 6.04 77.09 93.77 99.88 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 43 +13 66.76 4.86 22.84 0.00 0.07 8.49 38.03 90.91 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 43 +13 68.45 4.58 25.70 0.00 0.15 13.40 55.24 95.49 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 25 42 +0 60.43 4.85 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.42 4.74 44.19 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 39 +6 61.76 4.87 13.22 0.00 0.00 0.80 8.16 62.04 0.00 0.00 Norwich 25 35 -4 48.78 4.70 -11.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.05R 0.00 Sunderland 25 33 +8 50.01 4.78 6.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.19 0.03R 0.00 Everton 25 33 -1 51.54 4.89 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 3.48 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 25 30 -4 44.86 4.70 -8.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.90R 0.02 Fulham 25 30 -5 47.33 4.70 -5.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.19R 0.00 Stoke 25 30 -14 45.27 4.70 -18.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.04R 0.03 West_Brom 25 29 -6 43.81 4.71 -11.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.69R 0.08 Aston_Villa 25 28 -5 44.26 4.80 -7.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 1.21R 0.04 QPR 25 21 -17 32.06 4.32 -28.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.88R 20.85 Blackburn 25 21 -19 34.22 4.61 -28.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.82R 12.34 Wolverhampton 25 21 -21 33.47 4.56 -30.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.11R 15.91 Bolton 25 20 -22 34.30 4.66 -28.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.72R 11.63 Wigan 25 19 -27 30.66 4.39 -38.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.34R 39.11Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Blackpool vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Ham 29 56 +16 84.36 5.83 23.52 42.60 64.81 96.03 73.32P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 30 55 +22 81.70 5.60 29.23 25.15 49.85 92.97 61.35P 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 29 50 +20 79.87 5.67 29.34 16.32 36.91 88.02 53.96P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 30 50 +12 76.97 5.56 19.62 6.22 17.53 74.19 32.09P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 30 49 +12 75.70 5.79 19.24 4.86 13.59 65.95 27.73P 0.00 0.00 Hull 29 49 +6 72.42 5.52 6.57 1.18 4.22 39.16 10.96P 0.00 0.00 Reading 29 48 +10 74.10 5.71 14.12 2.45 7.88 54.01 19.48P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 30 48 +3 69.14 5.49 2.09 0.25 1.11 19.50 4.10P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 29 47 +3 70.77 5.67 3.92 0.66 2.55 28.69 7.48P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 30 45 +4 67.79 5.59 5.18 0.17 0.76 15.09 3.58P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 30 44 +6 67.08 5.49 7.54 0.10 0.48 12.46 3.03P 0.01R 0.00 Leicester 30 42 +6 65.15 5.60 7.71 0.03 0.20 7.47 1.82P 0.04R 0.00 Derby 29 42 -3 63.05 5.63 -6.31 0.00 0.07 3.38 0.55P 0.13R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 39 -1 60.24 5.49 -3.36 0.00 0.01 0.95 0.16P 0.44R 0.00 Barnsley 29 39 -4 58.45 5.57 -10.01 0.00 0.01 0.50 0.08P 1.15R 0.01 Watford 30 37 -8 57.01 5.52 -11.16 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 2.08R 0.06 Portsmouth 29 35 +2 59.83 5.66 4.43 0.00 0.01 1.06 0.23P 0.69R 0.03 Peterborough 29 34 -2 55.90 5.96 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.04P 4.51R 0.30 Ipswich 29 34 -11 55.10 5.74 -14.63 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 5.50R 0.24 Millwall 30 30 -11 49.32 5.42 -14.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 24.86R 2.92 Bristol_City 30 30 -19 48.24 5.30 -24.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.92R 4.41 Nott'm_Forest 29 25 -24 45.18 5.49 -28.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.85R 14.09 Doncaster 28 24 -22 41.70 5.51 -32.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.69R 34.31 Coventry 30 22 -17 40.02 5.25 -22.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.12R 43.62League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Exeter vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 28 64 +33 97.75 5.88 46.66 75.88 92.60 99.99 94.88P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 30 57 +15 83.43 5.65 21.80 1.62 13.01 96.32 30.64P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 56 +27 89.36 6.01 40.15 13.95 52.47 99.53 68.92P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 29 55 +28 86.82 5.71 41.12 7.39 33.34 99.10 57.13P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 28 49 +21 80.85 6.04 31.90 1.12 7.78 92.13 29.55P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 27 45 +18 72.90 6.27 20.71 0.04 0.68 52.95 9.77P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 28 45 -1 69.59 6.04 -1.44 0.01 0.10 25.66 3.47P 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 30 44 +2 66.28 5.58 2.48 0.00 0.01 11.00 2.06P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 28 40 +3 64.99 6.02 3.41 0.00 0.00 9.12 1.43P 0.06R 0.00 Hartlepool 29 38 +0 59.66 5.70 -2.49 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.16P 0.75R 0.01 Bury 28 38 -9 59.39 6.01 -14.42 0.00 0.00 1.47 0.17P 1.38R 0.02 Notts_County 28 37 +3 62.38 6.01 4.00 0.00 0.00 4.18 0.63P 0.32R 0.00 Colchester 27 36 -4 61.46 6.23 -5.04 0.00 0.00 3.32 0.48P 0.74R 0.02 Preston 28 36 -7 60.43 6.12 -7.82 0.00 0.00 2.29 0.42P 1.00R 0.02 Leyton_Orient 28 35 -9 57.80 5.93 -11.93 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.11P 2.72R 0.05 Oldham 26 32 -5 57.20 6.31 -8.30 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.14P 3.86R 0.14 Tranmere 29 32 -6 53.53 5.68 -8.48 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 9.09R 0.44 Exeter 30 30 -17 47.90 5.34 -23.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 39.18R 4.31 Yeovil 29 27 -15 46.64 5.59 -20.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.13R 7.72 Wycombe 30 26 -21 43.16 5.46 -28.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.78R 21.51 Walsall 28 25 -8 46.29 5.78 -13.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.29R 8.40 Scunthorpe 27 25 -9 49.99 6.29 -11.04 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 25.89R 3.38 Rochdale 28 24 -22 44.18 5.81 -29.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.95R 17.98 Chesterfield 29 23 -17 40.90 5.63 -26.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.84R 36.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Bristol_Rovers vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Cheltenham 29 56 +16 80.16 5.77 17.24 5.60 30.98 88.30 41.47P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 27 55 +20 84.81 6.34 25.70 22.64 63.32 96.46 70.64P 0.00 0.00 Southend 29 53 +18 82.05 5.86 26.74 10.30 47.44 93.71 60.75P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 29 53 +11 78.87 5.85 14.74 3.92 23.98 82.81 38.46P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 27 52 +24 88.13 6.13 39.09 48.08 83.21 99.17 89.10P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 28 51 +15 81.36 5.98 23.29 8.79 41.22 91.68 56.41P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 28 43 +11 68.92 5.99 12.99 0.07 1.57 25.41 7.14P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 28 43 +6 68.88 5.98 7.73 0.12 1.53 23.61 6.78P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 28 42 -1 64.47 5.98 -4.76 0.02 0.25 7.20 1.41P 0.02R 0.00 Gillingham 27 41 +8 71.17 6.38 14.20 0.36 4.26 39.44 13.74P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 28 41 +6 67.48 6.00 8.67 0.04 0.81 18.07 4.83P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 28 40 +4 68.34 6.12 9.54 0.04 1.19 22.43 6.51P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 28 39 -3 64.63 6.05 -1.82 0.00 0.21 8.08 2.00P 0.02R 0.00 Morecambe 28 36 +8 60.61 6.04 7.70 0.00 0.03 2.72 0.61P 0.14R 0.01 Bristol_Rovers 29 36 -12 57.14 5.85 -15.68 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08P 0.82R 0.15 AFC_Wimbledon 28 35 -14 53.62 5.88 -24.47 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 4.04R 1.05 Barnet 27 32 -11 53.11 6.01 -19.04 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 4.78R 1.32 Aldershot 27 31 -9 54.55 6.07 -12.53 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 2.91R 0.85 Macclesfield 28 30 -8 51.05 5.79 -13.27 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 7.65R 2.40 Bradford 27 27 -6 49.11 5.99 -11.77 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 13.81R 5.15 Hereford 29 27 -18 44.75 5.49 -26.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.95R 18.12 Dag_&_Red 28 24 -20 45.91 5.98 -24.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.64R 14.48 Plymouth 29 23 -21 45.42 5.90 -22.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 33.67R 15.98 Northampton 28 21 -24 41.63 5.87 -31.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.55R 40.48Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Stockport vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 31 70 +34 96.21 5.31 42.91 40.96 99.89 56.17P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 30 68 +36 97.20 5.40 47.26 52.55 99.96 66.53P 0.00 0.00 Luton 31 59 +32 88.97 4.99 47.32 6.20 98.05 43.54P 0.00 0.00 York 31 54 +29 81.21 5.29 39.49 0.25 74.69 16.00P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 31 53 +14 76.93 5.38 19.05 0.03 39.45 5.69P 0.00 0.00 Southport 31 52 -5 71.32 5.43 -7.56 0.00 8.98 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 51 +18 75.23 5.36 23.84 0.01 29.52 5.01P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 31 51 +5 72.14 5.33 5.70 0.00 10.79 0.93P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 30 49 +13 73.90 5.63 17.51 0.00 20.60 2.82P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 49 +13 73.26 5.55 16.54 0.00 17.15 2.68P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 31 45 +1 64.30 5.25 -1.08 0.00 0.60 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 31 42 +11 62.29 5.27 10.65 0.00 0.23 0.03P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 31 42 -4 60.00 5.39 -8.76 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Tamworth 30 38 -8 55.42 5.32 -15.66 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 31 37 -3 55.86 5.31 -6.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16R 0.00 Lincoln_City 31 30 -14 52.01 5.38 -11.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.88R 0.10 Stockport 33 29 -18 46.55 4.97 -18.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.48R 0.75 Darlington 31 28 -7 49.68 5.28 -5.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.45R 0.15 AFC_Telford 31 28 -16 45.07 5.34 -21.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.09R 1.47 Kettering 31 28 -36 43.76 5.11 -44.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.09R 3.06 Newport_County 30 27 -9 48.84 5.54 -9.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.25R 0.36 Alfreton_Town 31 25 -29 38.29 4.93 -42.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.51R 19.49 Hayes_&_Yeading 31 24 -24 38.42 4.99 -35.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.12R 17.09 Bath_City 30 18 -33 33.77 5.23 -43.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.79R 57.54 Adjustments: Darlington -10