Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 12 February 2012 at 14:13:31 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Blackburn vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         25   58  +36      87.09     4.25    55.46    48.91    96.23    99.90   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        24   57  +44      86.83     4.69    62.42    50.31    96.01    99.77    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       25   53  +24      75.66     4.79    31.62     0.77     7.31    77.52    93.71    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         25   43  +13      66.79     4.85    22.85     0.00     0.16     8.40    38.00    90.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         25   43  +13      68.47     4.54    25.74     0.01     0.27    13.18    55.22    95.53     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       25   42   +0      60.41     4.88     0.56     0.00     0.01     0.41     4.59    43.66     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       25   39   +6      61.86     4.87    13.37     0.00     0.00     0.82     8.40    62.81     0.00     0.00  
Norwich         25   35   -4      48.70     4.69   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.01     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland      25   33   +8      49.99     4.79     6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.99     0.04R    0.00  
Everton         25   33   -1      51.51     4.81    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.34     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea         25   30   -4      44.72     4.66    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     1.11R    0.03  
Fulham          25   30   -5      47.20     4.69    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.32R    0.00  
Stoke           25   30  -14      45.24     4.68   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     1.11R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     24   28   -4      45.12     4.96    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     1.16R    0.05  
West_Brom       24   26  -10      41.58     4.84   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     6.53R    0.70  
QPR             25   21  -17      32.22     4.36   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.70R   22.40  
Wolverhampton   24   21  -17      35.49     4.88   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.23R    9.14  
Blackburn       25   21  -19      34.23     4.58   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.56R   13.52  
Bolton          25   20  -22      34.24     4.67   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.56R   13.36  
Wigan           25   19  -27      30.78     4.43   -37.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.63R   40.77  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Blackpool vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Ham         29   56  +16      84.33     5.84    23.40    42.71    64.91    96.00    73.36P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   55  +22      81.60     5.57    29.06    24.41    48.67    92.92    60.48P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   50  +20      80.01     5.70    29.54    17.03    37.79    88.30    54.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          30   50  +12      77.03     5.54    19.70     6.20    17.84    74.43    32.52P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        30   49  +12      75.68     5.76    19.21     4.67    13.25    65.83    26.96P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             29   49   +6      72.46     5.56     6.63     1.24     4.39    39.44    11.39P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          29   48  +10      74.02     5.72    13.99     2.51     8.01    53.08    19.33P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         30   48   +3      69.03     5.48     1.93     0.25     1.07    19.11     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +3      70.83     5.68     3.99     0.68     2.48    29.03     7.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     30   45   +4      67.83     5.54     5.28     0.15     0.74    15.22     3.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          30   44   +6      67.14     5.52     7.64     0.10     0.52    12.64     3.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Leicester        30   42   +6      65.16     5.61     7.71     0.03     0.21     7.47     1.89P    0.03R    0.00  
Derby            29   42   -3      63.08     5.64    -6.25     0.01     0.08     3.42     0.62P    0.13R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -1      60.05     5.45    -3.62     0.01     0.01     0.85     0.15P    0.44R    0.01  
Barnsley         29   39   -4      58.47     5.62    -9.97     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.07P    1.22R    0.01  
Watford          30   37   -8      57.02     5.51   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    2.09R    0.05  
Portsmouth       29   35   +2      59.83     5.65     4.42     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.23P    0.70R    0.01  
Peterborough     29   34   -2      56.11     5.98    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    4.23R    0.24  
Ipswich          29   34  -11      55.14     5.76   -14.58     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    5.41R    0.29  
Millwall         30   30  -11      49.20     5.40   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.33R    3.00  
Bristol_City     30   30  -19      48.31     5.34   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.98R    4.53  
Nott'm_Forest    29   25  -24      45.09     5.48   -28.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.59R   14.27  
Doncaster        28   24  -22      41.70     5.49   -32.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.86R   34.01  
Coventry         30   22  -17      40.03     5.22   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.97R   43.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Exeter vs Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        28   64  +33      97.67     5.89    46.53    75.76    92.51   100.00    94.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       30   57  +15      83.51     5.65    21.92     1.81    12.85    96.41    30.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   56  +27      89.28     5.98    40.02    13.62    52.44    99.50    68.79P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   55  +28      86.83     5.71    41.14     7.68    34.02    99.11    57.77P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         28   49  +21      80.75     5.99    31.73     1.07     7.37    91.94    29.36P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   45  +18      72.84     6.29    20.67     0.06     0.68    52.59     9.58P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        28   45   -1      69.55     6.05    -1.52     0.01     0.10    25.51     3.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth     30   44   +2      66.44     5.58     2.71     0.00     0.01    11.46     2.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       28   40   +3      65.02     6.02     3.48     0.00     0.01     9.12     1.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool      29   38   +0      59.55     5.70    -2.64     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.17P    0.87R    0.01  
Bury            28   38   -9      59.54     6.00   -14.19     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.19P    1.34R    0.02  
Notts_County    28   37   +3      62.37     6.03     3.99     0.00     0.00     4.30     0.63P    0.31R    0.00  
Colchester      27   36   -4      61.35     6.22    -5.20     0.00     0.00     3.24     0.46P    0.74R    0.02  
Preston         28   36   -7      60.49     6.13    -7.74     0.00     0.00     2.35     0.40P    0.96R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   28   35   -9      57.98     5.89   -11.70     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.10P    2.51R    0.07  
Oldham          26   32   -5      57.37     6.31    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.14P    3.58R    0.11  
Tranmere        29   32   -6      53.44     5.66    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    9.06R    0.45  
Exeter          30   30  -17      47.98     5.35   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.76R    4.31  
Yeovil          29   27  -15      46.68     5.63   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.90R    7.70  
Wycombe         30   26  -21      43.19     5.46   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.14R   21.28  
Walsall         28   25   -8      46.27     5.80   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.51R    8.39  
Scunthorpe      27   25   -9      49.84     6.30   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.71R    3.50  
Rochdale        28   24  -22      44.07     5.77   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.67R   17.95  
Chesterfield    29   23  -17      40.88     5.64   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.86R   36.18  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Bristol_Rovers vs Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Cheltenham           29   56  +16      80.19     5.77    17.26     5.47    31.37    88.20    41.85P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         27   55  +20      84.98     6.35    25.95    23.46    64.43    96.64    71.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             29   53  +18      81.97     5.84    26.60    10.00    46.80    93.85    59.97P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              29   53  +11      78.87     5.82    14.73     3.93    23.89    82.79    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              27   52  +24      88.09     6.11    38.96    47.84    83.21    99.10    89.09P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           28   51  +15      81.34     5.95    23.26     8.73    40.83    91.67    56.06P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   43  +11      68.81     5.98    12.84     0.08     1.52    24.98     6.87P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   43   +6      68.86     6.01     7.76     0.09     1.44    23.63     6.65P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   -1      64.50     5.98    -4.75     0.00     0.20     7.27     1.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   41   +8      71.16     6.36    14.19     0.32     4.08    39.70    13.75P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   41   +6      67.53     6.02     8.75     0.04     0.81    18.42     4.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   40   +4      68.24     6.09     9.36     0.04     1.12    21.95     6.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                28   39   -3      64.69     6.09    -1.69     0.01     0.27     8.37     2.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            28   36   +8      60.48     6.02     7.49     0.00     0.04     2.54     0.56P    0.16R    0.02  
Bristol_Rovers       29   36  -12      57.16     5.83   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.85R    0.21  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   35  -14      53.70     5.86   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    3.90R    1.07  
Barnet               27   32  -11      53.07     6.01   -19.12     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    4.92R    1.40  
Aldershot            27   31   -9      54.64     6.04   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    2.67R    0.70  
Macclesfield         28   30   -8      50.97     5.81   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    8.00R    2.49  
Bradford             27   27   -6      49.16     6.05   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   13.96R    5.25  
Hereford             29   27  -18      44.76     5.49   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.03R   18.04  
Dag_&_Red            28   24  -20      45.86     5.92   -24.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.87R   14.61  
Plymouth             29   23  -21      45.55     5.89   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.76R   15.36  
Northampton          28   21  -24      41.58     5.86   -31.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.85R   40.85  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 February 2012, Stockport vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     31   70  +34      96.16     5.26    42.83    41.17    99.87    56.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   68  +36      97.13     5.37    47.19    52.13    99.96    66.13P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   59  +32      89.04     4.96    47.40     6.43    98.11    43.36P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   54  +29      81.25     5.20    39.54     0.21    75.17    16.51P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +14      76.89     5.39    18.99     0.04    39.20     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          31   52   -5      71.15     5.41    -7.77     0.00     8.48     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   51  +18      75.25     5.36    23.84     0.01    29.68     4.87P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   51   +5      72.25     5.32     5.87     0.00    11.26     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   49  +13      73.92     5.59    17.51     0.01    20.39     2.78P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   49  +13      73.27     5.54    16.58     0.00    16.98     2.60P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   45   +1      64.38     5.27    -1.02     0.00     0.57     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   42  +11      62.26     5.26    10.64     0.00     0.24     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     31   42   -4      60.00     5.35    -8.75     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   38   -8      55.35     5.32   -15.77     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.17R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   37   -3      55.91     5.31    -6.05     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.15R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       31   30  -14      52.05     5.34   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74R    0.05  
Stockport          33   29  -18      46.50     4.94   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.78R    0.70  
Darlington         31   28   -7      49.70     5.24    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.53R    0.15  
AFC_Telford        31   28  -16      45.06     5.31   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.46R    1.27  
Kettering          31   28  -36      43.82     5.13   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.84R    3.03  
Newport_County     30   27   -9      48.85     5.52    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.36R    0.29  
Alfreton_Town      31   25  -29      38.28     4.91   -42.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.27R   19.27  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   24  -24      38.49     4.96   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.42R   16.40  
Bath_City          30   18  -33      33.58     5.23   -43.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.28R   58.84  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10