Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 11 February 2012 at 23:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 February 2012, Liverpool vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        24   57  +44      86.67     4.69    62.02    54.17    96.94    99.70    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         24   55  +35      86.19     4.45    55.55    45.31    96.12    99.73    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   50  +19      73.88     5.04    26.20     0.48     5.44    59.60    86.19    99.21     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   43  +15      70.58     4.76    28.93     0.04     1.34    30.80    70.73    97.21     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       24   42   +5      61.88     5.05     5.72     0.00     0.02     1.49     7.73    52.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   40  +12      65.33     5.07    22.13     0.00     0.12     6.86    25.29    82.26     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   39   +7      62.62     5.01    13.42     0.00     0.01     1.80    10.02    62.93     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   33   +9      51.19     5.00     7.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     3.28     0.02R    0.00  
Norwich         24   32   -5      46.65     4.90   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.48R    0.01  
Swansea         24   30   -3      46.54     4.95    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.58R    0.00  
Everton         24   30   -3      49.22     5.05    -3.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.29     0.11R    0.00  
Stoke           24   30  -13      46.27     4.87   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.80R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     24   28   -4      45.22     5.01    -7.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.13R    0.04  
Fulham          24   27   -6      45.89     4.91    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.85R    0.02  
West_Brom       24   26  -10      41.46     4.87   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.40R    0.40  
QPR             24   21  -16      33.27     4.56   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.65R   12.09  
Wolverhampton   24   21  -17      35.51     4.87   -24.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.03R    6.43  
Bolton          24   20  -21      36.27     4.94   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.77R    5.64  
Blackburn       24   18  -20      32.96     4.81   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.33R   16.10  
Wigan           24   16  -28      28.34     4.54   -40.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.83R   59.27  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2012, Birmingham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Ham         29   56  +16      84.17     5.84    23.18    41.84    63.35    95.80    72.16P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   52  +20      80.14     5.81    27.30    18.33    38.62    88.28    51.62P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   50  +20      79.89     5.71    29.40    17.27    37.61    88.14    54.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   50  +13      78.50     5.77    20.83    11.02    26.43    81.41    40.84P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        29   48  +12      76.62     5.98    20.03     7.10    18.17    71.61    32.02P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +3      70.84     5.65     4.02     0.70     2.64    29.59     7.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   46   +3      70.84     5.76     3.63     0.79     2.92    29.67     8.07P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          28   45   +8      72.82     5.92    12.58     1.89     5.99    45.45    15.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     29   45   +5      69.88     5.81     7.30     0.58     2.17    26.57     6.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         29   45   +2      66.68     5.69    -0.09     0.13     0.52    11.26     2.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   44   +8      68.39     5.74     9.46     0.32     1.26    19.29     5.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            28   41   -3      63.07     5.82    -6.83     0.01     0.14     3.90     0.67P    0.25R    0.00  
Leicester        29   39   +5      63.50     5.76     6.66     0.02     0.12     5.11     1.25P    0.15R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -1      60.21     5.46    -3.42     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.17P    0.58R    0.01  
Barnsley         29   39   -4      58.48     5.61    -9.95     0.00     0.02     0.59     0.10P    1.59R    0.05  
Watford          29   36   -8      57.26     5.74   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    3.05R    0.13  
Portsmouth       28   34   +2      59.82     5.89     3.84     0.00     0.03     1.50     0.35P    1.16R    0.04  
Peterborough     29   34   -2      56.05     5.96    -4.78     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    5.23R    0.35  
Ipswich          29   34  -11      55.18     5.76   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    6.50R    0.44  
Bristol_City     29   30  -16      49.48     5.54   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.87R    3.74  
Millwall         29   29  -11      49.93     5.62   -14.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    25.28R    3.18  
Doncaster        28   24  -22      41.63     5.50   -32.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.13R   38.43  
Nott'm_Forest    28   24  -24      45.64     5.71   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   59.56R   14.96  
Coventry         29   22  -15      41.01     5.37   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.63R   38.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2012, Bournemouth vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        28   64  +33      97.56     5.89    46.40    75.69    92.05    99.99    94.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       29   57  +16      85.53     5.87    23.94     4.06    22.14    97.81    39.15P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   55  +28      86.84     5.74    41.16     7.77    34.04    99.00    56.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   53  +24      88.21     6.19    37.97    11.19    43.04    99.09    61.46P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         28   49  +21      80.94     6.01    32.05     1.24     7.93    91.86    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   45  +18      73.01     6.26    20.88     0.04     0.68    52.49     9.59P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        28   45   -1      69.53     6.03    -1.62     0.00     0.11    24.16     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     29   43   +2      66.86     5.82     2.75     0.00     0.01    13.28     2.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       28   40   +3      65.01     5.98     3.47     0.00     0.01     8.52     1.38P    0.07R    0.00  
Bury            28   38   -9      59.54     5.99   -14.19     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.13P    1.23R    0.02  
Notts_County    28   37   +3      62.46     6.00     4.10     0.00     0.00     4.02     0.62P    0.29R    0.00  
Hartlepool      28   37   +0      59.84     5.90    -2.80     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.20P    0.80R    0.01  
Colchester      27   36   -4      61.45     6.22    -5.05     0.00     0.00     3.04     0.50P    0.67R    0.02  
Preston         28   36   -7      60.48     6.13    -7.74     0.00     0.00     2.17     0.39P    0.92R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient   28   35   -9      57.87     5.92   -11.84     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.07P    2.45R    0.06  
Oldham          26   32   -5      57.26     6.31    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.11P    3.59R    0.14  
Tranmere        29   32   -6      53.41     5.69    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.79R    0.42  
Yeovil          29   27  -15      46.69     5.62   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.70R    7.45  
Exeter          29   27  -18      45.68     5.55   -25.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.26R    9.60  
Wycombe         29   26  -18      44.01     5.65   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.98R   17.15  
Walsall         28   25   -8      46.25     5.79   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.08R    8.08  
Scunthorpe      27   25   -9      50.04     6.33   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   24.55R    3.12  
Rochdale        28   24  -22      44.01     5.78   -29.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.34R   18.02  
Chesterfield    29   23  -17      40.77     5.62   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.27R   35.87  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 February 2012, Southend vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         27   55  +20      84.89     6.39    25.80    21.93    62.14    96.65    70.14P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           28   55  +16      80.86     6.01    17.67     6.78    34.43    89.62    44.74P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             29   53  +18      82.18     5.83    26.93     9.84    46.60    94.34    60.35P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              27   52  +24      88.17     6.10    39.12    45.56    82.56    99.14    88.50P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   51  +16      82.89     6.21    24.54    13.15    49.96    94.14    63.05P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              28   50  +10      77.01     6.02    13.41     2.18    15.51    73.80    30.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   43  +11      68.85     5.97    12.87     0.07     1.41    25.29     6.88P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   43   +6      68.91     6.01     7.79     0.09     1.37    24.41     6.58P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   -1      64.45     6.00    -4.85     0.01     0.20     7.41     1.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   41   +8      71.20     6.32    14.23     0.30     3.77    40.05    13.27P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   41   +6      67.53     6.00     8.79     0.04     0.68    18.46     4.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            28   40   +4      68.29     6.14     9.41     0.03     1.06    22.90     6.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                28   39   -3      64.62     6.06    -1.79     0.01     0.20     8.22     2.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            27   36   +9      61.97     6.23     8.69     0.00     0.10     4.85     1.17P    0.08R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   35  -14      53.62     5.84   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    3.84R    1.06  
Bristol_Rovers       28   33  -13      55.24     6.08   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    2.25R    0.58  
Barnet               27   32  -11      53.15     6.03   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    4.66R    1.34  
Aldershot            27   31   -9      54.68     6.08   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    2.73R    0.76  
Macclesfield         28   30   -8      50.97     5.77   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    7.90R    2.55  
Bradford             27   27   -6      49.08     6.04   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.18R    5.30  
Hereford             28   26  -18      44.82     5.66   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.17R   18.55  
Dag_&_Red            28   24  -20      45.89     5.99   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.64R   14.50  
Plymouth             29   23  -21      45.51     5.85   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.82R   15.31  
Northampton          28   21  -24      41.70     5.91   -30.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.70R   40.05  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2012, Fleetwood_Town vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     31   70  +34      96.12     5.28    42.77    40.86    99.86    55.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   68  +36      97.15     5.33    47.20    52.32    99.95    66.27P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   59  +32      89.06     5.01    47.47     6.52    98.03    43.29P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   54  +29      81.26     5.23    39.51     0.26    75.32    16.50P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +14      76.99     5.40    19.19     0.03    39.43     5.98P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          31   52   -5      71.26     5.41    -7.63     0.00     8.76     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   51  +18      75.22     5.39    23.82     0.01    29.24     4.92P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   51   +5      72.26     5.32     5.87     0.00    11.29     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   49  +13      73.87     5.59    17.44     0.00    19.93     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   49  +13      73.29     5.58    16.65     0.01    17.26     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   45   +1      64.37     5.28    -0.99     0.00     0.57     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   42  +11      62.21     5.27    10.55     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     31   42   -4      59.87     5.35    -8.90     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   38   -8      55.43     5.35   -15.67     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.19R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   37   -3      55.88     5.31    -6.12     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.17R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       31   30  -14      52.06     5.39   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70R    0.06  
Darlington         31   28   -7      49.77     5.26    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.18  
AFC_Telford        31   28  -16      45.09     5.33   -21.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.03R    1.32  
Stockport          32   28  -18      47.19     5.19   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.34R    0.63  
Kettering          31   28  -36      43.82     5.12   -44.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.66R    3.00  
Newport_County     29   26   -9      48.99     5.71    -9.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.55R    0.32  
Alfreton_Town      31   25  -29      38.20     4.87   -42.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.22R   19.64  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   24  -24      38.37     4.96   -35.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.42R   16.77  
Bath_City          30   18  -33      33.64     5.21   -43.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.29R   58.08  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10