Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 8 February 2012 at 23:30:57 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 February 2012, Liverpool vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        24   57  +44      86.72     4.67    62.13    54.46    97.09    99.71    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         24   55  +35      86.17     4.46    55.50    44.97    96.12    99.70    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   50  +19      73.83     5.06    26.15     0.53     5.43    59.41    86.16    99.11     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   43  +15      70.57     4.75    28.88     0.05     1.21    30.69    70.82    97.22     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       24   42   +5      61.85     5.07     5.67     0.00     0.03     1.56     7.62    52.29     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   40  +12      65.35     5.08    22.12     0.00     0.11     7.03    25.40    82.36     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   39   +7      62.61     5.03    13.41     0.00     0.02     1.89     9.90    62.68     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   33   +9      51.27     5.06     7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     3.67     0.03R    0.00  
Norwich         24   32   -5      46.66     4.88   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.41R    0.00  
Swansea         24   30   -3      46.65     4.93    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.52R    0.01  
Everton         24   30   -3      49.21     5.04    -3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.23     0.12R    0.00  
Stoke           24   30  -13      46.32     4.91   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.81R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     24   28   -4      45.18     5.02    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     1.13R    0.03  
Fulham          24   27   -6      45.93     4.95    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.85R    0.01  
West_Brom       24   26  -10      41.48     4.86   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.11R    0.45  
QPR             24   21  -16      33.22     4.56   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.04R   12.06  
Wolverhampton   24   21  -17      35.47     4.90   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.00R    6.46  
Bolton          24   20  -21      36.26     4.92   -26.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.23R    5.62  
Blackburn       24   18  -20      32.87     4.82   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.93R   16.37  
Wigan           24   16  -28      28.30     4.56   -40.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.82R   58.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2012, Birmingham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Ham         29   56  +16      84.34     5.86    23.39    42.84    64.20    96.12    72.96P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   52  +20      80.22     5.78    27.43    18.13    39.06    88.60    51.78P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   50  +20      79.90     5.68    29.34    16.89    37.11    88.25    54.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   50  +13      78.51     5.76    20.90    10.91    26.37    81.59    40.59P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        29   48  +12      76.67     5.99    20.11     7.13    18.59    72.06    32.70P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +3      70.71     5.66     3.86     0.59     2.37    29.07     7.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             28   46   +3      70.64     5.69     3.39     0.69     2.45    28.48     7.44P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          28   45   +8      72.78     5.93    12.53     1.88     5.87    45.62    16.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     29   45   +5      69.84     5.77     7.26     0.52     1.88    26.22     6.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         29   45   +2      66.78     5.71     0.06     0.12     0.57    11.83     2.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   44   +8      68.38     5.73     9.40     0.25     1.25    19.16     5.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            28   41   -3      63.20     5.80    -6.64     0.02     0.12     3.96     0.64P    0.23R    0.00  
Leicester        29   39   +5      63.39     5.81     6.52     0.02     0.12     5.21     1.28P    0.17R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -1      60.14     5.45    -3.52     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.19P    0.62R    0.01  
Barnsley         29   39   -4      58.55     5.61    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P    1.52R    0.03  
Watford          29   36   -8      57.26     5.74   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P    3.08R    0.11  
Portsmouth       28   34   +2      59.68     5.82     3.64     0.01     0.01     1.35     0.27P    1.03R    0.03  
Peterborough     29   34   -2      55.96     5.98    -4.96     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.04P    5.41R    0.38  
Ipswich          29   34  -11      55.23     5.75   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    6.48R    0.35  
Bristol_City     29   30  -16      49.58     5.50   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.37R    3.54  
Millwall         29   29  -11      49.97     5.61   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.30R    3.22  
Doncaster        28   24  -22      41.62     5.51   -32.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.57R   38.49  
Nott'm_Forest    28   24  -24      45.73     5.70   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.48R   14.34  
Coventry         29   22  -15      40.98     5.41   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.69R   39.50  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2012, Bournemouth vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        28   64  +33      97.66     5.88    46.53    76.38    92.25   100.00    94.64P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       29   57  +16      85.39     5.86    23.73     3.67    21.75    97.80    38.33P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   55  +28      86.83     5.69    41.20     7.73    33.97    99.00    57.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   53  +24      88.26     6.18    38.07    11.09    44.05    99.17    62.55P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         28   49  +21      80.76     5.97    31.83     1.07     7.25    91.58    28.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   45  +18      72.84     6.31    20.68     0.05     0.62    51.66     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        28   45   -1      69.60     6.08    -1.43     0.00     0.08    25.14     3.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth     29   43   +2      66.68     5.83     2.46     0.00     0.01    12.46     2.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       28   40   +3      64.98     6.06     3.41     0.00     0.01     9.06     1.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury            28   38   -9      59.56     5.97   -14.19     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.17P    1.21R    0.03  
Notts_County    28   37   +3      62.33     5.99     3.93     0.00     0.00     4.00     0.62P    0.32R    0.00  
Hartlepool      28   37   +0      59.87     5.92    -2.79     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.15P    0.82R    0.01  
Colchester      27   36   -4      61.42     6.24    -5.12     0.00     0.00     3.14     0.49P    0.70R    0.01  
Preston         28   36   -7      60.61     6.16    -7.58     0.00     0.00     2.42     0.46P    0.95R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient   28   35   -9      57.91     5.92   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.06P    2.65R    0.05  
Oldham          26   32   -5      57.25     6.34    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.11P    3.56R    0.12  
Tranmere        29   32   -6      53.40     5.68    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.71R    0.40  
Yeovil          29   27  -15      46.62     5.59   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.76R    7.51  
Exeter          29   27  -18      45.71     5.53   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.41R   10.01  
Wycombe         29   26  -18      44.03     5.61   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.82R   17.24  
Walsall         28   25   -8      46.44     5.83   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.97R    8.13  
Scunthorpe      27   25   -9      49.97     6.30   -11.09     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   24.97R    3.37  
Rochdale        28   24  -22      44.18     5.79   -29.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.84R   17.75  
Chesterfield    29   23  -17      40.86     5.63   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.22R   35.35  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2012, Crawley_Town vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         27   55  +20      84.94     6.35    25.90    20.17    59.93    96.87    68.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           28   55  +16      80.79     6.05    17.59     5.99    31.30    89.79    42.25P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             28   53  +20      84.30     6.02    30.12    16.81    58.80    96.91    70.04P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              27   52  +24      88.15     6.10    39.07    42.58    80.83    99.21    87.57P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   51  +16      82.94     6.18    24.63    12.15    47.63    94.54    61.63P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              28   50  +10      77.07     6.06    13.54     1.88    14.48    74.96    29.40P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   43  +11      68.83     6.00    12.88     0.05     1.19    26.29     6.95P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   43   +6      68.90     5.99     7.77     0.07     1.13    24.65     6.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   -1      64.39     5.94    -4.95     0.00     0.12     7.41     1.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   41   +8      71.18     6.33    14.20     0.25     3.26    41.06    13.42P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   41   +6      67.62     6.00     8.85     0.02     0.66    19.74     5.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                28   39   -3      64.62     6.10    -1.78     0.01     0.18     8.68     2.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            27   37   +2      65.81     6.31     6.04     0.02     0.40    13.82     3.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            27   36   +9      62.13     6.25     8.92     0.00     0.09     5.30     1.25P    0.09R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   35  -14      53.63     5.84   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    3.86R    1.00  
Bristol_Rovers       28   33  -13      55.24     6.04   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.07P    2.31R    0.62  
Barnet               27   32  -11      53.11     6.00   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    4.76R    1.27  
Aldershot            27   31   -9      54.57     6.06   -12.53     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    2.93R    0.85  
Macclesfield         28   30   -8      51.06     5.81   -13.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.83R    2.42  
Bradford             27   27   -6      49.09     6.01   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   14.00R    5.14  
Hereford             28   26  -18      44.78     5.63   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.89R   18.89  
Dag_&_Red            28   24  -20      45.86     6.00   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.21R   14.80  
Plymouth             29   23  -21      45.58     5.88   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.50R   15.40  
Northampton          28   21  -24      41.73     5.89   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.55R   39.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2012, Fleetwood_Town vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     31   70  +34      96.12     5.28    42.79    41.02    99.88    56.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   68  +36      97.10     5.34    47.14    52.11    99.94    66.27P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   59  +32      89.06     5.01    47.51     6.56    98.06    43.28P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   54  +29      81.30     5.22    39.58     0.23    75.29    16.54P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +14      76.99     5.39    19.12     0.05    39.79     5.81P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          31   52   -5      71.24     5.37    -7.63     0.00     8.61     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   51  +18      75.23     5.36    23.82     0.01    29.28     4.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   51   +5      72.13     5.34     5.70     0.00    11.02     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   49  +13      73.91     5.64    17.53     0.01    20.60     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   49  +13      73.25     5.49    16.60     0.00    16.60     2.58P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   45   +1      64.34     5.26    -1.06     0.00     0.60     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   42  +11      62.33     5.27    10.70     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     31   42   -4      59.95     5.36    -8.78     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   38   -8      55.40     5.34   -15.72     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   37   -3      55.89     5.30    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       31   30  -14      52.11     5.36   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69R    0.07  
Darlington         31   28   -7      49.67     5.28    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.61R    0.17  
AFC_Telford        31   28  -16      45.01     5.29   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.48R    1.39  
Stockport          32   28  -18      47.07     5.20   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.65R    0.66  
Kettering          31   28  -36      43.86     5.17   -43.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.65R    3.15  
Newport_County     29   26   -9      49.04     5.76    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.67R    0.34  
Alfreton_Town      31   25  -29      38.22     4.91   -42.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.96R   19.50  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   24  -24      38.48     4.98   -35.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.76R   16.56  
Bath_City          30   18  -33      33.63     5.18   -43.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.25R   58.15  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10