Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 8 February 2012 at 00:57:44 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 6 February 2012, Liverpool vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        24   57  +44      86.71     4.66    62.09    54.20    96.98    99.74    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         24   55  +35      86.16     4.47    55.52    45.20    96.05    99.70    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       24   50  +19      73.95     5.04    26.32     0.54     5.63    60.37    86.75    99.28     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         24   43  +15      70.46     4.78    28.73     0.05     1.21    29.83    70.35    97.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       24   42   +5      61.85     5.03     5.64     0.00     0.01     1.54     7.58    52.38     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         24   40  +12      65.28     5.11    22.00     0.00     0.10     6.97    25.14    82.16     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       24   39   +7      62.65     5.02    13.45     0.00     0.02     1.84    10.12    63.03     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      24   33   +9      51.27     5.00     7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.49     0.04R    0.00  
Norwich         24   32   -5      46.76     4.92   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.49R    0.01  
Swansea         24   30   -3      46.49     4.95    -7.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.61R    0.01  
Everton         24   30   -3      49.20     5.06    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.34     0.11R    0.00  
Stoke           24   30  -13      46.29     4.91   -17.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.83R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     24   28   -4      45.10     5.00    -7.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     1.22R    0.03  
Fulham          24   27   -6      45.90     4.91    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.82R    0.02  
West_Brom       24   26  -10      41.51     4.86   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     7.09R    0.47  
QPR             24   21  -16      33.23     4.56   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.89R   12.36  
Wolverhampton   24   21  -17      35.49     4.85   -24.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.26R    6.52  
Bolton          24   20  -21      36.36     4.89   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.70R    5.41  
Blackburn       24   18  -20      32.85     4.81   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.45R   16.87  
Wigan           24   16  -28      28.41     4.59   -40.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.50R   58.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2012, Birmingham vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Ham         29   56  +16      84.45     5.85    23.53    43.63    65.19    96.27    73.42P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      29   52  +20      80.12     5.82    27.25    17.63    38.15    88.17    51.25P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       29   50  +20      79.96     5.70    29.50    17.06    37.87    88.31    54.65P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          29   50  +13      78.37     5.78    20.68    10.29    25.31    80.87    39.62P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool        29   48  +12      76.60     5.99    20.00     6.99    17.91    71.64    31.88P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +3      70.79     5.67     3.95     0.67     2.59    29.45     7.84P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   46   +3      70.71     5.73     3.48     0.69     2.62    28.96     7.92P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          28   45   +8      72.93     5.92    12.72     1.99     6.20    46.70    16.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     29   45   +5      69.90     5.82     7.31     0.57     2.16    26.79     6.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         29   45   +2      66.69     5.69    -0.09     0.12     0.55    11.22     2.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          29   44   +8      68.38     5.72     9.40     0.31     1.19    18.98     4.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Derby            28   41   -3      63.13     5.84    -6.75     0.02     0.09     3.91     0.60P    0.24R    0.00  
Leicester        29   39   +5      63.33     5.77     6.43     0.02     0.12     4.85     1.21P    0.18R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   29   39   -1      60.19     5.48    -3.45     0.00     0.01     1.00     0.16P    0.58R    0.01  
Barnsley         29   39   -4      58.44     5.62   -10.02     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.10P    1.60R    0.03  
Watford          29   36   -8      57.21     5.75   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    3.13R    0.12  
Portsmouth       28   34   +2      59.79     5.86     3.79     0.00     0.02     1.40     0.30P    1.04R    0.02  
Peterborough     29   34   -2      56.07     5.95    -4.74     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.06P    5.09R    0.31  
Ipswich          29   34  -11      55.25     5.79   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    6.68R    0.36  
Bristol_City     29   30  -16      49.54     5.50   -21.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.58R    3.56  
Millwall         29   29  -11      49.96     5.64   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   25.15R    3.23  
Doncaster        28   24  -22      41.69     5.52   -32.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.28R   37.96  
Nott'm_Forest    28   24  -24      45.63     5.70   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.63R   14.94  
Coventry         29   22  -15      40.98     5.41   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.80R   39.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2012, Bournemouth vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        28   64  +33      97.69     5.88    46.60    75.97    92.12   100.00    94.57P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       29   57  +16      85.48     5.89    23.85     3.83    21.73    97.91    38.34P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    29   55  +28      86.82     5.72    41.12     7.74    33.31    99.03    56.60P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   53  +24      88.45     6.18    38.32    11.32    44.71    99.24    63.11P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         28   49  +21      80.83     6.03    31.89     1.07     7.35    91.63    28.84P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   45  +18      73.05     6.28    20.93     0.06     0.67    52.59     9.59P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        28   45   -1      69.45     6.09    -1.68     0.00     0.08    23.96     3.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth     29   43   +2      66.84     5.80     2.69     0.00     0.02    12.97     2.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       28   40   +3      65.10     6.02     3.64     0.00     0.00     8.83     1.41P    0.06R    0.00  
Bury            28   38   -9      59.61     6.01   -14.06     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.15P    1.07R    0.01  
Notts_County    28   37   +3      62.33     5.98     3.90     0.00     0.00     3.94     0.62P    0.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool      28   37   +0      59.76     5.91    -2.94     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.18P    0.87R    0.01  
Colchester      27   36   -4      61.49     6.21    -5.03     0.00     0.00     3.13     0.47P    0.66R    0.02  
Preston         28   36   -7      60.58     6.11    -7.56     0.00     0.00     2.25     0.36P    0.78R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   28   35   -9      57.80     5.91   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.09P    2.47R    0.06  
Oldham          26   32   -5      57.24     6.28    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.10P    3.37R    0.13  
Tranmere        29   32   -6      53.40     5.67    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.67R    0.42  
Yeovil          29   27  -15      46.58     5.61   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.16R    7.65  
Exeter          29   27  -18      45.67     5.56   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.79R    9.79  
Wycombe         29   26  -18      44.07     5.62   -26.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.79R   16.54  
Walsall         28   25   -8      46.36     5.81   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.11R    8.05  
Scunthorpe      27   25   -9      49.89     6.30   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   25.15R    3.43  
Rochdale        28   24  -22      44.05     5.80   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.22R   17.96  
Chesterfield    29   23  -17      40.76     5.60   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.53R   35.92  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 February 2012, Crawley_Town vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         27   55  +20      84.81     6.32    25.68    19.82    59.30    96.68    68.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           28   55  +16      80.86     5.97    17.68     6.07    31.77    90.36    42.52P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             28   53  +20      84.31     6.04    30.15    16.78    58.92    96.81    69.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              27   52  +24      88.15     6.14    39.06    43.02    80.40    99.25    87.26P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   51  +16      82.97     6.18    24.67    11.99    48.01    94.50    61.83P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              28   50  +10      77.08     6.06    13.50     1.86    14.35    74.86    29.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   43  +11      68.87     5.99    12.92     0.06     1.21    26.34     6.96P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   43   +6      68.89     6.02     7.80     0.06     1.22    25.11     6.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   -1      64.62     6.02    -4.58     0.00     0.21     8.09     1.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   41   +8      71.21     6.29    14.25     0.27     3.26    40.98    13.29P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   41   +6      67.54     6.01     8.75     0.03     0.64    19.26     5.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                28   39   -3      64.55     6.06    -1.88     0.01     0.18     8.48     2.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            27   37   +2      65.74     6.28     5.93     0.02     0.42    13.31     3.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            27   36   +9      61.99     6.28     8.74     0.00     0.10     5.15     1.20P    0.09R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   35  -14      53.58     5.91   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    4.04R    1.17  
Bristol_Rovers       28   33  -13      55.29     6.08   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    2.28R    0.60  
Barnet               27   32  -11      53.21     5.99   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    4.60R    1.30  
Aldershot            27   31   -9      54.67     6.07   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    2.77R    0.71  
Macclesfield         28   30   -8      51.05     5.78   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     7.79R    2.35  
Bradford             27   27   -6      49.12     5.99   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   13.93R    5.13  
Hereford             28   26  -18      44.82     5.67   -26.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.87R   18.47  
Dag_&_Red            28   24  -20      45.84     5.99   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.85R   14.57  
Plymouth             29   23  -21      45.48     5.88   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.64R   15.43  
Northampton          28   21  -24      41.64     5.89   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.13R   40.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 February 2012, Fleetwood_Town vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     31   70  +34      96.13     5.29    42.80    40.88    99.86    55.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   68  +36      97.14     5.36    47.17    52.59    99.96    66.89P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   59  +32      89.02     4.98    47.41     6.23    97.98    43.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   54  +29      81.30     5.22    39.59     0.25    75.35    16.23P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +14      76.96     5.40    19.12     0.03    39.36     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          31   52   -5      71.34     5.40    -7.48     0.00     8.81     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   51  +18      75.19     5.33    23.75     0.01    28.77     4.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   51   +5      72.21     5.35     5.81     0.00    11.14     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   49  +13      73.91     5.58    17.49     0.01    20.43     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   49  +13      73.34     5.53    16.68     0.00    17.43     2.59P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   45   +1      64.30     5.28    -1.10     0.00     0.57     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   42  +11      62.32     5.27    10.66     0.00     0.23     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     31   42   -4      60.00     5.37    -8.74     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           30   38   -8      55.41     5.32   -15.65     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   37   -3      55.86     5.34    -6.11     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       31   30  -14      51.97     5.37   -11.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.07  
Darlington         31   28   -7      49.65     5.28    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.14  
AFC_Telford        31   28  -16      45.11     5.32   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.96R    1.40  
Stockport          32   28  -18      47.02     5.20   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.84R    0.70  
Kettering          31   28  -36      43.86     5.12   -43.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.06R    3.11  
Newport_County     29   26   -9      49.03     5.75    -9.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.79R    0.31  
Alfreton_Town      31   25  -29      38.19     4.89   -42.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.42R   19.48  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   24  -24      38.39     4.95   -35.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.13R   16.99  
Bath_City          30   18  -33      33.68     5.24   -43.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.93R   57.80  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10