Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 31 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2012, Everton vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        23   54  +41      85.67     4.91    59.86    46.57    94.56    99.32    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         23   54  +35      86.49     4.75    55.10    52.30    95.43    99.46    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       23   49  +19      73.93     5.30    25.74     0.93     7.32    58.06    85.90    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         23   42  +15      70.86     5.06    28.58     0.19     2.42    32.67    73.02    97.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       23   38   +7      63.21     5.25    13.78     0.00     0.06     3.06    13.56    74.44     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         22   36   +6      64.91     5.54    17.46     0.01     0.21     6.73    23.73    82.86     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       22   36   +2      58.92     5.55     3.12     0.00     0.01     0.69     3.77    36.11     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           23   30  -12      47.91     5.15   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.62R    0.01  
Everton         23   29   -3      50.10     5.28    -2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     3.17     0.18R    0.00  
Norwich         22   29   -4      46.37     5.42   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.88     1.75R    0.05  
Sunderland      22   27   +5      47.77     5.45     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.73     0.76R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     22   27   -3      47.40     5.46    -5.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.26     1.02R    0.04  
Swansea         23   27   -4      44.45     5.17    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     3.07R    0.09  
Fulham          22   26   -3      47.63     5.32    -3.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     1.04     0.77R    0.01  
West_Brom       22   25   -9      43.11     5.33   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     6.56R    0.41  
QPR             22   20  -15      34.69     5.07   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.46R    9.50  
Bolton          22   19  -19      37.45     5.39   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    33.42R    4.92  
Blackburn       22   18  -12      35.69     5.29   -20.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.36R    7.89  
Wolverhampton   23   18  -18      33.56     5.08   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.71R   14.52  
Wigan           23   15  -28      28.15     4.77   -41.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.32R   62.52  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2012, Barnsley vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
West_Ham         28   53  +15      83.37     6.09    23.37    35.98    57.89    94.28    67.95P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   51  +20      80.21     6.05    26.93    19.31    39.06    87.77    51.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          28   50  +15      80.56     5.97    23.88    19.29    39.89    88.75    52.96P    0.00     0.00  
Birmingham       27   46  +19      79.46     6.14    29.65    16.96    35.70    85.46    52.51P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   46   +3      70.75     5.70     3.48     0.75     2.57    29.83     7.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool        28   45  +10      74.15     6.23    16.69     3.57    10.32    56.59    22.35P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          28   45   +8      72.91     5.92    12.69     1.77     5.87    47.37    16.46P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    27   45   +3      71.76     6.07     4.26     1.34     4.52    37.58    10.88P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   43   +8      69.36     5.92    10.39     0.59     2.06    25.49     6.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     28   42   +2      67.70     5.97     3.44     0.25     1.03    16.92     4.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         28   42   +1      64.94     5.87    -1.24     0.06     0.30     7.93     1.56P    0.09R    0.00  
Derby            28   41   -3      63.17     5.81    -6.74     0.02     0.11     4.05     0.72P    0.27R    0.00  
Barnsley         28   39   -3      59.66     5.84    -9.25     0.00     0.04     1.36     0.20P    1.38R    0.04  
Leicester        27   38   +6      65.72     6.19     8.38     0.09     0.57    11.99     3.11P    0.12R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   38   -1      59.98     5.67    -4.24     0.00     0.01     1.23     0.22P    1.03R    0.04  
Portsmouth       27   34   +3      60.74     6.04     4.20     0.01     0.04     2.66     0.64P    0.95R    0.03  
Peterborough     28   33   -2      55.79     6.17    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    7.05R    0.64  
Watford          28   33   -9      55.84     5.97   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    6.51R    0.50  
Ipswich          28   31  -12      53.17     5.96   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   14.31R    1.56  
Bristol_City     28   30  -13      51.37     5.77   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   21.40R    2.61  
Millwall         28   29  -10      50.76     5.82   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.89R    3.37  
Doncaster        28   24  -22      41.82     5.50   -32.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.07R   42.39  
Nott'm_Forest    28   24  -24      45.66     5.70   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.23R   17.17  
Coventry         28   22  -14      42.61     5.64   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.63R   31.65  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2012, Charlton vs Bury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        28   64  +33      97.65     5.89    46.52    74.79    91.75   100.00    94.27P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    28   54  +28      87.59     5.91    41.81     9.89    39.01    99.28    60.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       28   54  +15      84.53     6.09    23.89     3.09    17.72    97.13    35.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   53  +24      88.29     6.15    38.08    10.80    42.35    99.35    61.52P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         27   48  +21      81.00     6.25    31.53     1.38     8.50    92.45    30.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       27   45  +18      72.96     6.25    20.82     0.05     0.60    55.42     9.79P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        27   42   -2      68.24     6.30    -2.05     0.00     0.06    20.92     2.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       28   40   +3      64.99     6.02     3.43     0.00     0.00     9.52     1.45P    0.06R    0.00  
Bournemouth     28   40   +0      65.14     6.03     0.63     0.00     0.01     9.83     1.70P    0.09R    0.00  
Bury            28   38   -9      59.54     5.99   -14.17     0.00     0.00     1.70     0.16P    1.29R    0.02  
Notts_County    28   37   +3      62.36     5.99     3.95     0.00     0.00     4.59     0.64P    0.33R    0.00  
Hartlepool      28   37   +0      59.87     5.93    -2.76     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.26P    0.91R    0.01  
Colchester      27   36   -4      61.41     6.18    -5.17     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.54P    0.76R    0.01  
Preston         28   36   -7      60.47     6.17    -7.77     0.00     0.00     2.61     0.45P    1.05R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient   28   35   -9      57.90     5.85   -11.81     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.09P    2.65R    0.06  
Oldham          26   32   -5      57.22     6.32    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.19P    3.93R    0.15  
Tranmere        28   32   -5      55.12     5.89    -7.14     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    6.20R    0.29  
Yeovil          28   27  -14      47.46     5.82   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.29R    6.39  
Exeter          28   27  -16      46.94     5.74   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.73R    7.04  
Walsall         28   25   -8      46.30     5.79   -13.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.46R    8.04  
Scunthorpe      27   25   -9      50.10     6.28   -10.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   25.21R    3.19  
Rochdale        28   24  -22      44.01     5.80   -29.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.34R   17.84  
Chesterfield    28   23  -16      41.92     5.84   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.88R   28.38  
Wycombe         28   23  -19      42.03     5.84   -28.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.81R   28.56  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 January 2012, Southend vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Cheltenham           27   55  +18      82.35     6.21    19.88    10.11    41.34    93.13    51.27P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              27   52  +24      88.22     6.13    39.18    42.49    80.81    99.19    87.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             27   52  +19      84.92     6.27    29.42    19.44    61.57    97.06    71.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         26   52  +18      83.06     6.57    23.44    13.58    47.38    93.88    57.83P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   51  +17      83.07     6.17    25.80    12.21    48.18    94.88    62.45P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              28   50  +10      76.99     6.05    13.41     1.76    13.95    74.25    28.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           28   43  +11      68.79     5.94    12.85     0.05     1.10    25.88     6.73P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   28   43   +6      68.88     6.00     7.76     0.05     1.13    25.03     6.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   -1      64.48     6.00    -4.76     0.01     0.18     7.91     1.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           27   41   +8      71.12     6.33    14.13     0.24     3.03    40.71    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   41   +6      67.55     6.01     8.80     0.03     0.62    19.46     5.01P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                28   39   -3      64.50     6.08    -1.98     0.01     0.20     8.30     2.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            27   37   +2      65.91     6.33     6.24     0.02     0.45    14.10     3.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            27   36   +9      61.92     6.29     8.60     0.00     0.07     5.36     1.26P    0.11R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   35  -14      53.68     5.90   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    3.88R    1.08  
Bristol_Rovers       28   33  -13      55.35     6.05   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    2.20R    0.62  
Barnet               27   32  -11      53.10     6.01   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    4.80R    1.26  
Aldershot            27   31   -9      54.66     6.06   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    2.80R    0.73  
Macclesfield         28   30   -8      51.12     5.81   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     7.41R    2.33  
Bradford             27   27   -6      49.21     6.05   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.50R    5.01  
Hereford             28   26  -18      44.94     5.71   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.84R   17.87  
Dag_&_Red            28   24  -20      45.78     5.95   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.83R   14.69  
Plymouth             28   22  -21      45.40     6.08   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.36R   16.63  
Northampton          28   21  -24      41.63     5.86   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.25R   39.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2012, Braintree_Town vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     30   69  +34      97.63     5.44    44.64    49.16    99.92    62.34P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   68  +36      97.11     5.31    47.13    45.37    99.95    61.57P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   59  +32      89.03     4.99    47.43     5.26    98.05    42.26P    0.00     0.00  
York               31   54  +29      81.28     5.19    39.57     0.17    75.23    16.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +14      77.01     5.40    19.20     0.02    39.59     5.75P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          31   52   -5      71.29     5.39    -7.56     0.00     8.66     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   51  +18      75.25     5.35    23.88     0.01    29.37     4.89P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          31   51   +5      72.19     5.37     5.80     0.00    11.35     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   49  +13      73.92     5.58    17.49     0.00    20.31     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   49  +13      73.23     5.52    16.50     0.00    16.62     2.53P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             31   45   +1      64.25     5.25    -1.22     0.00     0.60     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   42  +11      62.33     5.25    10.69     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town     31   42   -4      59.98     5.34    -8.75     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   31   37   -3      55.78     5.31    -6.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.16R    0.00  
Tamworth           29   37   -8      54.66     5.45   -17.62     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Lincoln_City       31   30  -14      51.99     5.41   -11.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.93R    0.08  
Darlington         31   28   -7      49.72     5.27    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.12  
AFC_Telford        31   28  -16      45.10     5.33   -21.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.17R    1.48  
Stockport          32   28  -18      47.04     5.18   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.87R    0.74  
Kettering          31   28  -36      43.80     5.13   -44.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.17R    3.09  
Newport_County     29   26   -9      49.18     5.75    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.41R    0.37  
Alfreton_Town      31   25  -29      38.27     4.93   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.42R   19.69  
Hayes_&_Yeading    31   24  -24      38.42     4.95   -35.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.08R   16.69  
Bath_City          30   18  -33      33.70     5.21   -43.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.90R   57.75  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10