Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 30 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 January 2012, Arsenal vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 22 54 +42 87.89 5.10 62.28 60.80 96.76 99.60 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 51 +33 86.02 4.85 55.13 38.34 93.95 99.22 99.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 46 +17 73.48 5.45 25.72 0.58 5.66 51.27 84.27 99.21 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 41 +15 72.05 5.21 29.78 0.27 3.42 41.21 79.95 98.81 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 36 +6 64.98 5.49 17.61 0.01 0.17 6.37 23.29 85.37 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 22 36 +2 58.80 5.51 2.94 0.00 0.01 0.63 3.56 39.80 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 35 +4 61.61 5.47 10.77 0.00 0.03 1.68 8.90 66.11 0.00 0.00 Stoke 22 30 -10 48.26 5.25 -16.11 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 1.66 0.67R 0.02 Norwich 22 29 -4 46.45 5.41 -12.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.10 1.89R 0.05 Sunderland 22 27 +5 47.79 5.46 3.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.23 0.86R 0.03 Aston_Villa 22 27 -3 47.37 5.41 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.66 1.17R 0.03 Fulham 22 26 -3 47.61 5.32 -3.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.42 0.87R 0.03 Swansea 22 26 -4 44.00 5.35 -9.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 4.40R 0.23 Everton 22 26 -4 47.75 5.48 -4.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.00 0.85R 0.02 West_Brom 22 25 -9 43.19 5.30 -16.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 6.93R 0.49 QPR 22 20 -15 34.60 5.01 -27.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.86R 11.12 Bolton 22 19 -19 37.35 5.38 -26.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 35.55R 6.07 Blackburn 22 18 -12 35.61 5.28 -20.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.00R 8.95 Wolverhampton 22 18 -15 34.82 5.32 -23.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.64R 11.68 Wigan 22 15 -26 28.64 4.91 -40.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.29R 61.29Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2012, Peterborough vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Ham 27 53 +19 86.26 6.18 29.64 51.86 74.27 97.85 81.19P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 27 50 +20 80.79 6.22 27.28 17.66 41.05 88.90 53.52P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 49 +15 80.78 6.18 23.66 16.69 39.61 88.71 53.05P 0.00 0.00 Reading 28 45 +8 72.75 5.93 12.47 1.33 5.03 46.41 15.94P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 45 +3 71.67 6.03 4.14 0.94 3.61 37.18 10.04P 0.00R 0.00 Hull 27 45 +3 71.90 5.93 4.54 0.89 3.67 38.16 10.55P 0.00R 0.00 Birmingham 26 43 +16 77.11 6.36 25.55 7.59 20.98 74.59 38.33P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 27 42 +9 73.06 6.39 16.52 2.11 7.30 50.18 18.53P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 27 42 +5 69.49 6.20 7.17 0.54 2.19 26.95 7.13P 0.01R 0.00 Brighton 27 41 +1 65.20 6.06 -1.39 0.08 0.37 9.05 1.82P 0.13R 0.00 Derby 27 41 -2 64.50 6.02 -5.68 0.03 0.26 6.95 1.17P 0.22R 0.00 Burnley 27 40 +6 67.45 6.16 7.96 0.20 1.02 17.37 4.48P 0.03R 0.00 Leicester 27 38 +6 65.65 6.20 8.28 0.06 0.53 11.96 3.02P 0.12R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 27 37 -1 60.67 5.88 -3.80 0.01 0.04 1.90 0.37P 0.95R 0.04 Barnsley 27 36 -4 58.18 6.01 -9.93 0.00 0.01 0.78 0.14P 3.06R 0.14 Portsmouth 27 34 +3 60.76 6.01 4.24 0.01 0.05 2.47 0.62P 0.95R 0.05 Peterborough 28 33 -2 55.66 6.17 -6.18 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.06P 7.43R 0.73 Watford 27 30 -11 53.42 6.11 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.03P 14.44R 1.68 Bristol_City 28 30 -13 51.40 5.77 -17.62 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 21.93R 2.71 Millwall 27 29 -8 52.78 6.01 -10.97 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 15.52R 1.94 Ipswich 27 28 -16 50.18 6.06 -22.20 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 30.60R 5.47 Nott'm_Forest 27 24 -22 47.47 5.94 -25.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.32R 11.83 Doncaster 27 23 -22 41.52 5.65 -33.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.60R 47.42 Coventry 27 22 -13 43.48 5.76 -19.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.67R 27.99League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2012, Brentford vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 27 63 +33 99.02 6.05 48.13 79.85 93.59 99.99 95.60P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 28 54 +28 87.49 5.92 41.67 7.31 36.59 99.28 58.42P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 27 53 +24 88.27 6.19 38.07 8.48 40.91 99.28 60.79P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 53 +15 84.64 6.29 23.50 2.77 18.16 96.80 35.49P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 26 47 +21 81.63 6.43 31.95 1.56 10.18 93.24 31.42P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 27 45 +18 73.01 6.26 20.90 0.03 0.51 55.71 10.06P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 27 42 -2 68.30 6.28 -1.96 0.00 0.05 20.99 2.89P 0.03R 0.00 Brentford 28 40 +3 65.08 6.01 3.56 0.00 0.00 9.85 1.46P 0.07R 0.00 Bournemouth 28 40 +0 65.37 6.02 0.89 0.00 0.01 10.35 1.80P 0.07R 0.00 Hartlepool 28 37 +0 59.80 5.87 -2.87 0.00 0.00 1.72 0.23P 1.03R 0.01 Bury 27 37 -9 59.00 6.16 -15.82 0.00 0.00 1.55 0.15P 2.08R 0.03 Colchester 27 36 -4 61.54 6.20 -4.98 0.00 0.00 3.60 0.51P 0.70R 0.01 Preston 28 36 -7 60.51 6.16 -7.70 0.00 0.00 2.69 0.45P 1.11R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 28 35 -9 57.79 5.90 -11.96 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.11P 2.95R 0.07 Notts_County 27 34 +2 60.68 6.21 2.88 0.00 0.00 3.00 0.44P 0.96R 0.03 Oldham 26 32 -5 57.34 6.30 -8.10 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.13P 3.81R 0.13 Tranmere 28 32 -5 55.10 5.95 -7.15 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.05P 6.62R 0.27 Yeovil 28 27 -14 47.52 5.83 -20.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.71R 6.27 Exeter 28 27 -16 46.95 5.77 -23.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.81R 7.24 Walsall 27 25 -7 47.84 6.01 -11.81 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 38.42R 5.53 Scunthorpe 27 25 -9 49.97 6.30 -11.14 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 26.88R 3.37 Rochdale 28 24 -22 44.05 5.75 -29.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.94R 17.75 Chesterfield 28 23 -16 41.75 5.82 -26.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.49R 29.53 Wycombe 28 23 -19 41.90 5.83 -28.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.32R 29.75League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 29 January 2012, Burton_Albion vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Cheltenham 27 55 +18 82.40 6.18 19.98 10.32 41.64 93.45 51.36P 0.00 0.00 Southend 26 52 +23 87.04 6.41 34.61 34.27 73.80 98.48 81.10P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 26 52 +18 83.06 6.59 23.51 14.05 47.31 93.61 57.69P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 27 51 +16 83.08 6.16 24.81 11.89 48.17 94.76 62.10P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 28 50 +10 77.08 6.09 13.53 1.93 14.34 74.71 29.41P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 26 49 +21 85.81 6.35 34.89 27.08 67.81 97.81 78.60P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 28 43 +11 68.80 5.97 12.84 0.07 1.14 26.09 6.56P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 28 43 +6 68.92 6.03 7.85 0.05 1.14 25.35 6.93P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 28 42 -1 64.49 5.98 -4.72 0.01 0.17 7.76 1.48P 0.02R 0.00 Gillingham 27 41 +8 71.14 6.31 14.17 0.27 3.18 40.64 12.98P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 28 41 +6 67.49 5.96 8.74 0.04 0.60 19.22 4.81P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 28 39 -3 64.47 6.05 -2.01 0.00 0.16 8.20 1.94P 0.02R 0.01 Rotherham 27 37 +2 65.88 6.33 6.16 0.02 0.46 13.94 3.71P 0.02R 0.00 Morecambe 27 36 +9 62.08 6.28 8.85 0.01 0.07 5.25 1.19P 0.09R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 28 35 -14 53.55 5.84 -24.53 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00P 4.26R 1.13 Bristol_Rovers 28 33 -13 55.24 6.08 -17.13 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.06P 2.21R 0.59 Barnet 27 32 -11 53.08 5.97 -19.10 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 4.81R 1.39 Aldershot 27 31 -9 54.61 6.04 -12.49 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 2.72R 0.75 Macclesfield 28 30 -8 51.09 5.80 -13.21 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 7.47R 2.32 Bradford 27 27 -6 49.16 6.02 -11.66 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 13.66R 5.04 Hereford 28 26 -18 44.85 5.71 -26.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.69R 18.52 Dag_&_Red 28 24 -20 45.85 5.98 -24.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.78R 14.59 Plymouth 28 22 -21 45.42 6.05 -23.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.96R 16.63 Northampton 28 21 -24 41.75 5.85 -30.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.29R 39.02Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 January 2012, Braintree_Town vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 30 69 +34 97.55 5.47 44.52 48.54 99.90 61.82P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 30 68 +36 97.15 5.35 47.18 46.19 99.94 62.29P 0.00 0.00 Luton 31 59 +32 88.95 4.96 47.30 5.03 97.95 41.87P 0.00 0.00 York 31 54 +29 81.35 5.20 39.67 0.19 75.58 15.96P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 31 53 +14 77.01 5.41 19.22 0.03 39.57 6.06P 0.00 0.00 Southport 31 52 -5 71.26 5.42 -7.56 0.00 8.57 0.49P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 51 +18 75.24 5.38 23.80 0.01 29.10 4.80P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 31 51 +5 72.24 5.33 5.88 0.00 10.98 1.05P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 30 49 +13 74.01 5.65 17.63 0.00 20.91 3.07P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 30 49 +13 73.19 5.55 16.47 0.00 16.52 2.50P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 31 45 +1 64.40 5.29 -0.98 0.00 0.62 0.05P 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 31 42 +11 62.23 5.23 10.57 0.00 0.27 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 31 42 -4 60.02 5.37 -8.70 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 31 37 -3 55.89 5.32 -6.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19R 0.00 Tamworth 29 37 -8 54.77 5.46 -17.50 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.24R 0.00 Lincoln_City 31 30 -14 51.93 5.42 -11.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.01R 0.08 Darlington 31 28 -7 49.74 5.26 -5.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.28R 0.16 AFC_Telford 31 28 -16 45.02 5.33 -21.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.33R 1.36 Stockport 32 28 -18 47.10 5.20 -18.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.52R 0.63 Kettering 31 28 -36 43.76 5.15 -44.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.17R 3.16 Newport_County 29 26 -9 49.05 5.73 -9.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.50R 0.41 Alfreton_Town 31 25 -29 38.20 4.88 -42.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.23R 19.45 Hayes_&_Yeading 31 24 -24 38.50 4.95 -35.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.38R 15.99 Bath_City 30 18 -33 33.60 5.23 -43.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.13R 58.75 Adjustments: Darlington -10