Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 24 January 2012 at 08:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 January 2012, Arsenal vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 22 54 +42 87.87 5.10 62.27 61.21 96.86 99.63 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 51 +33 85.96 4.89 55.07 37.96 93.85 99.13 99.94 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 46 +17 73.36 5.47 25.59 0.52 5.54 50.91 83.75 99.15 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 41 +15 72.02 5.23 29.74 0.30 3.57 41.31 79.89 98.81 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 36 +6 64.91 5.56 17.47 0.01 0.15 6.66 23.79 84.88 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 22 36 +2 58.75 5.53 2.89 0.00 0.01 0.65 3.69 39.80 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 35 +4 61.59 5.50 10.75 0.00 0.02 1.71 8.80 66.56 0.00 0.00 Stoke 22 30 -10 48.34 5.24 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.72 0.72R 0.02 Norwich 22 29 -4 46.44 5.36 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.16 1.94R 0.05 Sunderland 22 27 +5 47.86 5.45 3.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.32 0.91R 0.01 Aston_Villa 22 27 -3 47.47 5.44 -5.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.63 1.08R 0.03 Fulham 22 26 -3 47.60 5.31 -3.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.52 0.98R 0.03 Swansea 22 26 -4 43.98 5.34 -9.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33 4.57R 0.26 Everton 22 26 -4 47.70 5.48 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.90 0.98R 0.03 West_Brom 22 25 -9 43.17 5.31 -16.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21 7.26R 0.40 QPR 22 20 -15 34.67 5.04 -27.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.60R 11.08 Bolton 22 19 -19 37.38 5.40 -26.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 35.79R 6.11 Blackburn 22 18 -12 35.63 5.28 -20.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.78R 9.33 Wolverhampton 22 18 -15 34.87 5.33 -23.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.45R 11.86 Wigan 22 15 -26 28.71 4.92 -40.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.95R 60.79Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 23 January 2012, Southampton vs Leicester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 West_Ham 27 53 +19 86.20 6.21 29.58 51.33 74.03 97.69 81.09P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 27 50 +20 80.83 6.28 27.32 18.49 41.71 89.45 54.04P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 27 49 +15 80.62 6.18 23.43 16.42 38.93 88.32 52.23P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 45 +3 71.71 6.05 4.17 0.93 3.89 38.12 10.72P 0.00R 0.00 Hull 27 45 +3 71.92 5.89 4.58 0.87 3.78 39.02 10.64P 0.00R 0.00 Birmingham 26 43 +16 77.37 6.34 25.94 8.05 22.13 76.69 40.24P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 27 42 +9 72.97 6.36 16.37 2.02 7.09 50.20 18.08P 0.00 0.00 Reading 27 42 +7 71.72 6.12 12.31 0.99 4.16 40.62 13.65P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 27 42 +5 69.47 6.21 7.11 0.50 2.17 27.30 7.36P 0.02R 0.00 Brighton 27 41 +1 65.39 6.09 -1.12 0.06 0.35 10.12 2.07P 0.14R 0.00 Derby 27 41 -2 64.56 5.99 -5.65 0.05 0.25 7.33 1.21P 0.19R 0.00 Burnley 27 40 +6 67.45 6.15 7.93 0.21 1.03 17.83 4.57P 0.06R 0.00 Leicester 27 38 +6 65.46 6.18 8.01 0.07 0.43 11.81 3.10P 0.14R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 27 37 -1 60.60 5.85 -3.91 0.00 0.02 1.96 0.31P 0.97R 0.05 Barnsley 27 36 -4 57.96 5.98 -10.30 0.00 0.01 0.86 0.14P 3.45R 0.15 Peterborough 27 33 +1 57.88 6.41 -1.70 0.00 0.01 1.19 0.23P 4.41R 0.32 Portsmouth 26 31 +0 58.34 6.19 0.12 0.00 0.01 1.19 0.28P 3.02R 0.16 Watford 27 30 -11 53.43 6.10 -15.27 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 14.73R 1.55 Bristol_City 27 30 -12 52.41 5.97 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 18.58R 1.95 Millwall 27 29 -8 52.85 6.01 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 15.54R 1.87 Ipswich 27 28 -16 50.30 6.07 -21.99 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 30.20R 5.45 Nott'm_Forest 27 24 -22 47.36 5.92 -25.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 50.48R 11.95 Doncaster 27 23 -22 41.40 5.63 -33.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.73R 48.43 Coventry 27 22 -13 43.46 5.81 -19.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.34R 28.09League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2012, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 26 60 +32 97.94 6.24 47.99 73.00 90.25 99.99 93.41P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 27 53 +28 88.50 6.12 42.63 11.65 42.13 99.27 62.60P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 27 53 +24 88.36 6.19 38.15 9.94 39.24 99.15 59.64P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 26 50 +13 82.79 6.54 21.07 1.95 11.77 93.24 28.82P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 25 47 +23 83.45 6.67 34.58 3.41 16.06 94.65 37.11P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 26 42 +16 70.51 6.47 17.65 0.02 0.28 36.74 6.57P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 26 42 +2 70.60 6.45 3.48 0.02 0.23 33.86 5.16P 0.01R 0.00 Bournemouth 27 40 +1 67.30 6.26 2.71 0.00 0.03 17.56 3.03P 0.04R 0.00 Brentford 27 37 +0 63.28 6.24 0.36 0.00 0.00 6.32 0.90P 0.30R 0.00 Bury 26 37 -6 60.95 6.43 -11.81 0.00 0.00 3.20 0.35P 1.01R 0.02 Preston 26 35 -6 62.80 6.63 -5.94 0.00 0.01 6.27 1.05P 0.61R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 27 35 -8 59.55 6.14 -10.42 0.00 0.00 1.53 0.23P 1.64R 0.02 Hartlepool 27 34 -4 57.24 6.07 -8.29 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.10P 3.02R 0.07 Notts_County 26 33 +2 61.17 6.48 2.98 0.00 0.00 3.79 0.56P 0.92R 0.02 Colchester 26 33 -5 59.68 6.43 -6.41 0.00 0.00 2.28 0.30P 1.71R 0.03 Oldham 26 32 -5 57.31 6.29 -8.12 0.00 0.00 0.93 0.13P 3.56R 0.07 Tranmere 27 31 -5 54.87 6.06 -8.07 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.04P 6.88R 0.23 Exeter 27 27 -15 47.66 5.93 -23.35 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 41.05R 4.53 Scunthorpe 26 25 -7 51.56 6.55 -8.75 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 18.57R 1.56 Walsall 27 25 -7 47.86 6.02 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 36.00R 4.03 Yeovil 27 24 -15 45.44 6.01 -22.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.66R 9.37 Wycombe 27 23 -16 43.52 6.06 -25.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.09R 15.71 Rochdale 27 21 -25 41.81 5.96 -33.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.04R 25.88 Chesterfield 27 20 -17 39.63 6.05 -27.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.90R 38.47League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2012, Aldershot vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Southend 26 52 +23 87.06 6.40 34.61 36.63 77.44 98.62 83.88P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 26 52 +18 82.91 6.54 23.25 14.45 50.66 93.60 59.93P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 26 52 +16 80.42 6.37 17.47 7.15 33.63 87.77 43.61P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 26 49 +21 85.87 6.38 35.01 29.68 71.56 97.66 81.25P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 26 48 +14 81.60 6.37 23.07 9.67 42.84 91.68 57.14P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 26 44 +8 74.86 6.48 13.16 1.42 11.22 62.43 24.20P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 27 42 +11 69.28 6.19 13.00 0.14 1.98 29.89 8.34P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 26 41 +9 72.61 6.54 15.30 0.66 6.64 50.61 18.40P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 27 41 -1 64.81 6.23 -4.81 0.02 0.35 9.89 2.03P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 27 40 +5 67.10 6.22 6.61 0.05 0.89 18.48 5.21P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 27 39 -1 66.58 6.25 1.14 0.03 0.70 15.65 3.98P 0.02R 0.00 Port_Vale 27 38 +5 66.18 6.21 8.16 0.02 0.60 15.28 4.06P 0.01R 0.00 Rotherham 26 37 +3 67.75 6.51 7.92 0.07 1.36 22.22 6.57P 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 27 36 +9 62.00 6.22 8.79 0.00 0.12 5.31 1.23P 0.09R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 26 32 -14 53.36 6.26 -24.42 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 5.87R 1.82 Macclesfield 26 30 -5 54.33 6.23 -9.40 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.04P 3.36R 0.99 Bristol_Rovers 27 30 -14 53.69 6.25 -18.06 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.05P 4.89R 1.64 Barnet 26 29 -13 50.75 6.20 -22.32 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 11.43R 3.95 Aldershot 26 28 -10 52.80 6.22 -13.71 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 5.83R 1.96 Bradford 26 27 -5 50.39 6.21 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 10.98R 4.05 Hereford 27 26 -16 46.04 5.86 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.69R 14.40 Plymouth 27 22 -20 46.53 6.28 -22.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.10R 13.86 Dag_&_Red 26 21 -20 44.79 6.38 -25.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 40.55R 21.80 Northampton 27 21 -23 42.52 6.06 -30.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.15R 35.51Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 January 2012, AFC_Telford vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 28 65 +35 98.48 5.65 48.79 59.38 99.89 71.31P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 28 63 +31 95.40 5.85 43.35 31.67 99.49 49.06P 0.00 0.00 Luton 29 55 +31 90.08 5.26 50.92 8.32 97.39 45.24P 0.00 0.00 York 29 52 +29 82.10 5.63 39.69 0.45 71.49 16.08P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 29 52 +15 79.04 5.82 20.65 0.14 47.05 7.13P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 51 +7 75.75 5.83 9.05 0.02 23.54 2.36P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 29 49 +14 75.63 5.76 19.05 0.01 24.24 3.73P 0.00 0.00 Southport 29 49 -5 70.67 5.85 -8.19 0.00 6.09 0.36P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 29 47 +16 74.65 5.77 22.86 0.01 20.82 3.46P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 28 45 +10 71.45 5.99 12.50 0.00 8.53 1.11P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 29 44 +2 65.88 5.72 -0.47 0.00 1.23 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 29 39 +11 61.12 5.66 9.32 0.00 0.16 0.03P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 29 39 -3 59.05 5.79 -9.15 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.01R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 29 34 -3 56.00 5.81 -5.56 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.19R 0.00 Tamworth 27 34 -6 53.81 5.86 -16.64 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.52R 0.01 Darlington 29 27 -6 51.92 5.65 -3.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.44R 0.07 AFC_Telford 29 27 -14 45.90 5.78 -20.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.37R 1.18 Lincoln_City 29 27 -15 52.37 5.85 -11.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.62R 0.10 Stockport 30 24 -19 46.06 5.63 -18.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.58R 1.27 Newport_County 28 23 -10 46.83 5.91 -11.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.89R 0.92 Alfreton_Town 29 22 -31 35.68 5.15 -49.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.14R 37.24 Kettering 29 22 -38 39.83 5.52 -47.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.09R 12.78 Hayes_&_Yeading 29 21 -23 37.96 5.40 -35.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.16R 17.92 Bath_City 28 18 -28 36.60 5.61 -38.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.97R 28.52 Adjustments: Darlington -10