Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 January 2012 at 12:42:55 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 January 2012, Wigan vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        21   51  +41      86.76     5.32    61.96    60.75    93.11    98.67    99.82    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +32      84.61     5.12    54.40    36.50    87.72    97.31    99.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   46  +18      74.21     5.63    25.55     1.69    10.36    48.27    80.11    98.63     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   40  +15      73.34     5.42    31.41     1.00     7.90    44.18    78.45    98.46     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   36   +7      66.11     5.75    18.17     0.05     0.65     7.23    23.60    82.63     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       21   36   +5      60.55     5.77     6.66     0.00     0.04     0.96     4.92    41.87     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   35   +6      64.05     5.67    14.32     0.01     0.23     3.37    13.37    71.76     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           21   30   -9      50.14     5.48   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.21     0.24R    0.00  
Norwich         21   28   -4      45.79     5.58   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58     2.07R    0.07  
Swansea         21   26   -2      45.44     5.54    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39     2.21R    0.10  
Everton         21   25   -4      48.70     5.68    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.75     0.56R    0.03  
Sunderland      21   24   +3      46.21     5.64     1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70     1.64R    0.08  
Aston_Villa     21   24   -4      45.74     5.64    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60     2.14R    0.14  
Fulham          21   23   -6      45.41     5.52    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     2.20R    0.16  
West_Brom       21   22  -10      41.05     5.51   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    11.70R    1.32  
Wolverhampton   21   18  -14      36.23     5.57   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.87R    8.10  
Blackburn       21   17  -12      35.44     5.46   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.64R    9.80  
QPR             21   17  -17      32.87     5.22   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.60R   21.14  
Bolton          21   16  -21      34.82     5.51   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.86R   13.45  
Wigan           21   15  -24      30.03     5.18   -38.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.27R   45.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Brighton vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      26   50  +22      83.22     6.44    30.91    30.81    57.56    94.07    66.92P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   50  +18      85.26     6.38    29.54    43.66    68.16    96.86    76.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   46  +14      79.57     6.33    23.22    12.94    31.93    85.03    46.64P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   45   +5      73.49     6.21     6.84     1.94     6.84    50.73    15.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          26   42   +8      73.79     6.30    14.35     2.28     7.81    54.98    20.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             26   42   +2      69.65     6.10     2.75     0.45     1.82    27.03     6.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham       25   40  +13      75.85     6.54    23.11     5.46    15.81    68.86    32.78P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            26   40   -2      64.21     6.17    -6.77     0.05     0.28     7.48     1.29P    0.24R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   39   +8      72.03     6.56    16.33     1.56     5.88    45.22    16.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          26   39   +6      68.39     6.36     8.74     0.37     1.64    23.46     6.21P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   39   +3      68.35     6.41     5.98     0.37     1.60    23.02     5.85P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton         26   38   +0      63.04     6.28    -3.24     0.03     0.22     5.84     1.17P    0.47R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   37   +0      61.32     6.00    -3.86     0.01     0.08     2.97     0.52P    0.83R    0.01  
Barnsley         26   36   -2      59.98     6.18    -7.28     0.01     0.06     2.22     0.37P    1.61R    0.06  
Leicester        26   35   +4      62.83     6.37     4.44     0.04     0.20     6.49     1.57P    0.57R    0.02  
Peterborough     26   33   +2      59.97     6.66     0.38     0.02     0.08     3.06     0.65P    2.33R    0.14  
Portsmouth       25   31   +1      59.40     6.39     0.67     0.00     0.03     2.22     0.51P    2.26R    0.10  
Watford          26   30   -8      54.50     6.27   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P   10.82R    1.02  
Ipswich          26   28  -14      51.46     6.27   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   23.67R    3.59  
Bristol_City     26   27  -13      50.96     6.12   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   24.88R    3.66  
Millwall         26   26  -10      50.26     6.15   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   27.76R    4.47  
Nott'm_Forest    26   24  -21      48.27     6.04   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.85R    8.70  
Doncaster        26   23  -21      42.54     5.81   -32.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.44R   35.53  
Coventry         26   19  -15      41.18     5.94   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.13R   42.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2012, Tranmere vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        25   57  +31      96.15     6.48    46.73    60.77    82.94    99.95    88.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   53  +25      90.02     6.40    39.76    19.50    49.87    99.38    66.57P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    26   50  +27      87.37     6.30    42.28    10.87    33.73    98.53    56.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   49  +13      83.60     6.73    21.77     3.44    13.93    93.34    30.15P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.27     6.82    35.33     5.35    18.80    94.79    39.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       25   41  +16      70.88     6.66    17.65     0.03     0.34    36.11     6.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle        25   41   +2      71.32     6.70     4.04     0.04     0.33    35.49     5.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       26   37   +1      64.15     6.38     0.64     0.00     0.01     7.36     1.13P    0.20R    0.00  
Bournemouth     26   37   +0      65.65     6.42     1.67     0.00     0.02    10.98     1.89P    0.11R    0.00  
Preston         25   35   -4      65.18     6.92    -2.34     0.00     0.04    10.96     2.04P    0.28R    0.00  
Bury            25   34   -7      59.14     6.65   -13.05     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.21P    2.74R    0.03  
Colchester      25   33   -4      61.82     6.68    -4.17     0.00     0.00     4.34     0.68P    1.01R    0.01  
Hartlepool      26   33   -4      57.05     6.27    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.09P    3.74R    0.05  
Notts_County    25   32   +2      61.19     6.67     2.41     0.00     0.00     3.75     0.55P    1.19R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient   26   32  -10      57.19     6.38   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.07P    4.60R    0.08  
Tranmere        26   31   -4      56.20     6.25    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P    4.86R    0.13  
Oldham          25   31   -5      57.93     6.52    -7.86     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.18P    3.46R    0.05  
Exeter          26   26  -15      47.67     6.12   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.59R    3.64  
Scunthorpe      25   24   -7      51.79     6.79    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   18.87R    1.28  
Walsall         26   24   -7      48.04     6.25   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   36.14R    3.14  
Yeovil          26   24  -14      47.03     6.22   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.53R    4.82  
Rochdale        26   21  -22      43.81     6.25   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.66R   13.00  
Wycombe         26   20  -19      41.26     6.23   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.59R   23.17  
Chesterfield    26   17  -18      37.18     6.19   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.42R   50.57  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             25   52  +24      88.52     6.59    35.80    43.10    80.93    98.82    86.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   52  +18      82.46     6.58    20.51    11.04    44.61    91.51    53.45P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         25   51  +18      83.56     6.82    23.69    15.35    52.49    93.28    61.39P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              25   46  +20      84.97     6.50    35.17    22.00    64.67    96.52    76.31P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   45  +13      79.82     6.56    21.83     5.74    30.49    85.00    46.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +11      70.22     6.33    13.79     0.17     2.61    33.08     9.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           25   41  +10      75.35     6.69    18.41     1.68    12.83    64.33    26.66P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              25   41   +7      72.96     6.64    11.74     0.64     6.51    48.98    17.10P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   40   -1      65.23     6.44    -4.78     0.02     0.40    10.57     2.16P    0.03R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   26   39   +5      67.61     6.39     6.76     0.06     1.00    19.45     5.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            25   37   +4      69.57     6.70     9.63     0.17     2.61    30.18     9.37P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            26   36  +10      63.67     6.45    10.20     0.02     0.29     8.52     2.12P    0.05R    0.01  
Crewe                26   36   -4      64.90     6.43    -1.99     0.01     0.30     9.66     2.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale            26   35   +4      64.20     6.42     6.60     0.01     0.27     9.27     2.30P    0.06R    0.01  
Macclesfield         25   30   -4      54.94     6.37    -9.57     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P    2.92R    0.97  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   29  -15      50.39     6.37   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   13.96R    5.81  
Aldershot            25   27  -10      53.19     6.49   -13.76     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    5.91R    2.18  
Bristol_Rovers       26   27  -16      51.03     6.40   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   11.05R    4.47  
Bradford             25   26   -5      50.91     6.47   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   10.22R    4.21  
Barnet               25   26  -14      48.64     6.35   -24.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   19.71R    8.95  
Hereford             26   25  -16      45.70     6.00   -25.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.24R   17.32  
Dag_&_Red            25   21  -17      46.38     6.57   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.42R   15.93  
Plymouth             26   21  -20      46.79     6.51   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.51R   14.89  
Northampton          26   21  -22      44.50     6.29   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.88R   25.25  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2012, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   62  +32      97.55     5.88    46.85    57.32    99.87    70.17P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     27   60  +30      93.49     6.07    41.90    26.18    98.90    44.56P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   54  +31      91.39     5.43    52.25    15.81    98.60    50.74P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          28   50   +7      76.30     6.00     9.32     0.04    31.24     3.06P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   49  +28      81.22     5.81    39.76     0.45    69.97    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   49  +13      78.02     6.01    19.62     0.14    45.53     7.15P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          28   48   -5      70.24     5.99    -9.45     0.01     6.97     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   46  +13      74.18     5.94    18.28     0.03    21.48     3.54P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            28   44  +10      72.98     6.01    16.71     0.01    16.87     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   42   +9      70.56     6.22    12.73     0.00     8.96     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             28   41   +1      63.90     5.97    -2.03     0.00     1.00     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       28   38  +11      61.25     5.89     8.96     0.00     0.31     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     28   38   -3      59.76     6.04    -8.47     0.00     0.20     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   28   34   -2      56.51     5.99    -5.92     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.29R    0.01  
Tamworth           26   34   -5      55.49     6.09   -14.90     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.48R    0.01  
Darlington         28   27   -5      53.30     5.90    -2.35     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.41R    0.08  
AFC_Telford        28   27  -13      47.25     5.90   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.37R    1.13  
Lincoln_City       28   26  -15      52.24     6.06   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00P    2.77R    0.21  
Stockport          29   23  -19      46.17     5.86   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.92R    2.03  
Newport_County     27   22  -10      47.48     6.16   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.41R    1.24  
Alfreton_Town      28   22  -29      36.36     5.33   -48.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.97R   38.54  
Kettering          28   22  -35      40.60     5.68   -45.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.50R   13.45  
Hayes_&_Yeading    28   21  -22      38.71     5.63   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.48R   19.23  
Bath_City          27   18  -22      38.16     5.83   -31.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.32R   24.06  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10