Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 18 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 January 2012, Wigan vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 21 51 +41 86.81 5.31 62.05 60.70 93.43 98.68 99.84 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 48 +32 84.67 5.08 54.53 36.65 88.18 97.50 99.63 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 46 +18 74.16 5.62 25.47 1.59 9.85 47.79 79.88 98.59 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 21 40 +15 73.36 5.41 31.45 1.01 7.73 44.35 78.71 98.40 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 21 36 +7 66.07 5.75 18.10 0.04 0.57 7.32 23.77 82.56 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 21 36 +5 60.57 5.78 6.63 0.00 0.05 1.06 5.03 42.54 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 21 35 +6 63.86 5.69 14.04 0.01 0.20 3.30 13.02 70.83 0.00 0.00 Stoke 21 30 -9 50.16 5.49 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 2.26 0.21R 0.00 Norwich 21 28 -4 45.86 5.58 -14.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.66 2.02R 0.09 Swansea 21 26 -2 45.38 5.51 -7.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 2.24R 0.11 Everton 21 25 -4 48.74 5.67 -3.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.83 0.55R 0.02 Sunderland 21 24 +3 46.23 5.64 1.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.82 1.58R 0.08 Aston_Villa 21 24 -4 45.73 5.67 -6.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.61 2.27R 0.14 Fulham 21 23 -6 45.43 5.55 -7.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.40 2.24R 0.11 West_Brom 21 22 -10 41.12 5.50 -17.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 11.54R 1.27 Wolverhampton 21 18 -14 36.25 5.53 -22.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.61R 7.86 Blackburn 21 17 -12 35.40 5.46 -21.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.92R 10.13 QPR 21 17 -17 32.85 5.22 -29.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.26R 21.23 Bolton 21 16 -21 34.80 5.54 -29.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.16R 13.54 Wigan 21 15 -24 30.05 5.15 -38.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.40R 45.39Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Brighton vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 26 50 +22 83.30 6.41 31.01 30.97 57.69 94.50 67.31P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 26 50 +18 85.34 6.40 29.69 44.11 68.80 96.83 77.16P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 26 46 +14 79.37 6.35 22.94 12.22 30.89 84.37 45.46P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 26 45 +5 73.56 6.25 6.94 2.05 7.16 51.24 15.99P 0.00R 0.00 Reading 26 42 +8 73.77 6.27 14.30 2.20 7.95 55.20 20.39P 0.00 0.00 Hull 26 42 +2 69.63 6.08 2.70 0.40 1.84 26.59 6.64P 0.01R 0.00 Birmingham 25 40 +13 75.85 6.56 23.13 5.51 15.77 68.82 32.71P 0.00 0.00 Derby 26 40 -2 64.33 6.21 -6.61 0.03 0.27 7.88 1.38P 0.26R 0.00 Blackpool 26 39 +8 71.84 6.61 16.09 1.69 5.74 44.27 15.92P 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 26 39 +6 68.43 6.38 8.78 0.36 1.71 23.83 6.33P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds_United 26 39 +3 68.35 6.37 5.93 0.37 1.60 23.16 5.80P 0.04R 0.00 Brighton 26 38 +0 63.00 6.27 -3.27 0.02 0.15 5.97 1.12P 0.43R 0.02 Crystal_Palace 26 37 +0 61.42 5.99 -3.74 0.01 0.06 3.04 0.51P 0.67R 0.03 Barnsley 26 36 -2 60.03 6.22 -7.21 0.01 0.04 2.30 0.39P 1.68R 0.05 Leicester 26 35 +4 62.84 6.34 4.42 0.04 0.21 6.31 1.69P 0.56R 0.02 Peterborough 26 33 +2 60.11 6.67 0.63 0.01 0.10 3.15 0.61P 2.18R 0.14 Portsmouth 25 31 +1 59.30 6.38 0.54 0.00 0.04 2.16 0.52P 2.24R 0.14 Watford 26 30 -8 54.48 6.24 -12.78 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.04P 10.78R 0.96 Ipswich 26 28 -14 51.30 6.30 -20.73 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 24.30R 3.65 Bristol_City 26 27 -13 51.12 6.13 -17.71 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 24.02R 3.47 Millwall 26 26 -10 50.40 6.18 -13.97 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 26.99R 4.17 Nott'm_Forest 26 24 -21 48.03 6.06 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.69R 9.66 Doncaster 26 23 -21 42.58 5.84 -32.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.74R 35.18 Coventry 26 19 -15 41.16 5.91 -22.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.36R 42.50League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2012, Tranmere vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 25 57 +31 96.19 6.49 46.80 60.96 83.16 99.94 88.32P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 53 +25 90.05 6.43 39.80 19.45 50.08 99.37 66.78P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 26 50 +27 87.36 6.31 42.25 10.73 33.51 98.43 56.79P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 25 49 +13 83.65 6.71 21.79 3.39 14.10 93.31 30.56P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 24 46 +23 84.25 6.81 35.28 5.40 18.48 94.86 39.21P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 25 41 +16 70.83 6.66 17.59 0.03 0.30 36.33 6.34P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 25 41 +2 71.20 6.70 3.81 0.03 0.30 35.31 5.24P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 26 37 +1 64.17 6.33 0.66 0.00 0.00 7.48 1.10P 0.18R 0.00 Bournemouth 26 37 +0 65.64 6.42 1.67 0.00 0.03 10.98 1.92P 0.11R 0.00 Preston 25 35 -4 65.06 6.85 -2.52 0.00 0.03 10.65 1.94P 0.35R 0.00 Bury 25 34 -7 59.25 6.64 -12.80 0.00 0.00 1.95 0.17P 2.69R 0.04 Colchester 25 33 -4 61.88 6.67 -4.14 0.00 0.00 4.40 0.65P 0.91R 0.01 Hartlepool 26 33 -4 57.12 6.28 -9.01 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.11P 3.66R 0.07 Notts_County 25 32 +2 61.09 6.64 2.24 0.00 0.00 3.57 0.51P 1.19R 0.01 Leyton_Orient 26 32 -10 57.11 6.35 -13.73 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.08P 4.53R 0.08 Tranmere 26 31 -4 56.23 6.29 -7.06 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.08P 5.15R 0.10 Oldham 25 31 -5 57.92 6.57 -7.84 0.00 0.00 1.26 0.17P 3.53R 0.07 Exeter 26 26 -15 47.69 6.12 -23.96 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 41.76R 3.48 Scunthorpe 25 24 -7 51.88 6.79 -8.91 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 18.36R 1.22 Walsall 26 24 -7 48.00 6.20 -12.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 36.30R 3.24 Yeovil 26 24 -14 47.02 6.21 -20.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.81R 4.83 Rochdale 26 21 -22 43.90 6.17 -29.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.31R 12.58 Wycombe 26 20 -19 41.24 6.20 -29.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.65R 23.35 Chesterfield 26 17 -18 37.14 6.20 -30.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.51R 50.91League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Southend 25 52 +24 88.51 6.62 35.79 42.73 80.74 98.76 85.93P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 25 52 +18 82.62 6.63 20.74 11.56 45.59 91.82 54.32P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 25 51 +18 83.50 6.81 23.55 15.16 51.88 93.33 60.85P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 25 46 +20 84.98 6.57 35.18 22.01 64.88 96.41 76.12P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 45 +13 79.74 6.57 21.71 5.69 30.22 84.86 46.02P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 41 +11 70.20 6.36 13.79 0.16 2.57 33.11 9.49P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 25 41 +10 75.26 6.66 18.30 1.65 12.33 63.95 26.28P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 41 +7 73.00 6.67 11.75 0.73 6.68 48.88 17.07P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 26 40 -1 65.16 6.46 -4.85 0.02 0.45 10.48 2.07P 0.01R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 26 39 +5 67.53 6.41 6.64 0.05 1.07 19.13 5.25P 0.01R 0.00 Rotherham 25 37 +4 69.59 6.69 9.64 0.18 2.61 30.26 9.43P 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 26 36 +10 63.66 6.47 10.23 0.02 0.30 8.70 2.13P 0.06R 0.00 Crewe 26 36 -4 64.99 6.49 -1.89 0.02 0.42 10.25 2.53P 0.04R 0.01 Port_Vale 26 35 +4 64.18 6.45 6.59 0.01 0.24 9.28 2.33P 0.04R 0.01 Macclesfield 25 30 -4 54.85 6.35 -9.71 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.07P 3.08R 0.94 AFC_Wimbledon 25 29 -15 50.48 6.44 -27.34 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 14.11R 5.75 Aldershot 25 27 -10 53.16 6.45 -13.77 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 5.79R 2.05 Bristol_Rovers 26 27 -16 50.99 6.41 -21.81 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 11.28R 4.59 Bradford 25 26 -5 50.92 6.49 -10.67 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 10.58R 4.30 Barnet 25 26 -14 48.68 6.38 -24.13 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 19.55R 9.06 Hereford 26 25 -16 45.73 6.02 -25.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.08R 17.53 Dag_&_Red 25 21 -17 46.38 6.64 -22.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 30.71R 16.12 Plymouth 26 21 -20 46.86 6.49 -22.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 27.97R 14.37 Northampton 26 21 -22 44.50 6.29 -28.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.69R 25.28Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2012, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 27 62 +32 97.47 5.87 46.76 56.80 99.83 69.64P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 27 60 +30 93.47 6.10 41.86 26.05 98.89 44.43P 0.00 0.00 Luton 28 54 +31 91.40 5.46 52.26 16.35 98.51 51.36P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 28 50 +7 76.24 6.02 9.21 0.05 30.88 3.12P 0.00 0.00 York 28 49 +28 81.29 5.83 39.87 0.57 70.12 16.38P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 49 +13 77.91 6.05 19.42 0.16 44.36 6.88P 0.00 0.00 Southport 28 48 -5 70.23 5.97 -9.48 0.00 7.27 0.48P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 46 +13 74.19 5.98 18.29 0.01 21.66 3.42P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 28 44 +10 73.03 6.02 16.81 0.01 17.50 2.76P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 27 42 +9 70.66 6.20 12.92 0.01 9.38 1.37P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 28 41 +1 63.93 5.99 -1.94 0.00 1.04 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 28 38 +11 61.33 5.84 9.07 0.00 0.30 0.04P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 38 -3 59.87 6.05 -8.30 0.00 0.19 0.01P 0.04R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 28 34 -2 56.51 6.01 -5.91 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.28R 0.00 Tamworth 26 34 -5 55.60 6.13 -14.69 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.48R 0.01 Darlington 28 27 -5 53.30 5.86 -2.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.32R 0.06 AFC_Telford 28 27 -13 47.19 5.95 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.56R 1.24 Lincoln_City 28 26 -15 52.39 6.07 -12.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.56R 0.17 Stockport 29 23 -19 45.93 5.90 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.07R 2.29 Newport_County 27 22 -10 47.27 6.16 -11.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.78R 1.29 Alfreton_Town 28 22 -29 36.49 5.35 -48.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.99R 37.42 Kettering 28 22 -35 40.68 5.68 -45.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.80R 13.05 Hayes_&_Yeading 28 21 -22 38.58 5.62 -35.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.38R 20.10 Bath_City 27 18 -22 38.11 5.88 -32.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.73R 24.36 Adjustments: Darlington -10