Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 17 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 January 2012, Wigan vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 21 51 +41 86.73 5.32 61.96 60.05 93.07 98.66 99.81 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 48 +32 84.67 5.13 54.51 37.07 87.75 97.23 99.59 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 46 +18 74.23 5.64 25.61 1.75 10.26 48.12 80.37 98.64 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 21 40 +15 73.44 5.44 31.58 1.08 8.02 44.68 78.97 98.53 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 21 36 +7 66.06 5.76 18.09 0.03 0.66 7.20 23.40 82.45 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 21 36 +5 60.47 5.74 6.46 0.00 0.03 0.95 4.66 41.80 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 21 35 +6 63.96 5.69 14.18 0.01 0.21 3.14 13.10 71.50 0.00 0.00 Stoke 21 30 -9 50.12 5.50 -14.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.27 0.27R 0.01 Norwich 21 28 -4 45.81 5.56 -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.58 2.11R 0.10 Swansea 21 26 -2 45.41 5.54 -7.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.46 2.26R 0.12 Everton 21 25 -4 48.74 5.71 -3.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.85 0.53R 0.02 Sunderland 21 24 +3 46.21 5.64 1.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.83 1.64R 0.08 Aston_Villa 21 24 -4 45.73 5.66 -6.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.59 2.20R 0.14 Fulham 21 23 -6 45.49 5.54 -7.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45 2.16R 0.08 West_Brom 21 22 -10 41.09 5.50 -17.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 11.61R 1.20 Wolverhampton 21 18 -14 36.18 5.53 -22.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 38.17R 8.26 Blackburn 21 17 -12 35.31 5.45 -22.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 43.26R 10.11 QPR 21 17 -17 32.94 5.25 -29.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.92R 20.84 Bolton 21 16 -21 34.88 5.53 -29.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.50R 13.21 Wigan 21 15 -24 30.04 5.15 -38.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.38R 45.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Brighton vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 26 50 +22 83.16 6.44 30.80 30.60 57.11 93.98 66.56P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 26 50 +18 85.27 6.33 29.56 43.88 68.65 96.91 77.18P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 26 46 +14 79.46 6.37 23.08 12.65 31.16 84.88 45.91P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 26 45 +5 73.53 6.23 6.90 2.02 6.92 51.04 15.42P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 42 +8 73.74 6.27 14.23 2.25 7.97 54.85 20.36P 0.00 0.00 Hull 26 42 +2 69.56 6.09 2.63 0.42 1.87 26.53 6.67P 0.02R 0.00 Birmingham 25 40 +13 75.88 6.60 23.16 5.60 16.17 68.81 33.08P 0.00 0.00 Derby 26 40 -2 64.18 6.23 -6.84 0.05 0.25 7.56 1.37P 0.26R 0.00 Blackpool 26 39 +8 72.04 6.59 16.38 1.72 6.02 45.69 16.54P 0.01R 0.00 Burnley 26 39 +6 68.41 6.33 8.76 0.41 1.69 23.43 6.31P 0.04R 0.00 Leeds_United 26 39 +3 68.41 6.36 6.00 0.34 1.61 23.51 6.02P 0.03R 0.00 Brighton 26 38 +0 62.97 6.27 -3.30 0.03 0.16 5.66 1.03P 0.41R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 26 37 +0 61.45 5.99 -3.66 0.01 0.06 3.08 0.54P 0.74R 0.02 Barnsley 26 36 -2 60.04 6.23 -7.19 0.00 0.04 2.19 0.36P 1.80R 0.05 Leicester 26 35 +4 62.85 6.33 4.47 0.02 0.21 6.34 1.57P 0.53R 0.01 Peterborough 26 33 +2 60.04 6.62 0.48 0.01 0.07 3.04 0.57P 2.33R 0.13 Portsmouth 25 31 +1 59.18 6.37 0.38 0.00 0.03 2.11 0.43P 2.39R 0.15 Watford 26 30 -8 54.55 6.26 -12.67 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.06P 10.59R 0.94 Ipswich 26 28 -14 51.40 6.29 -20.55 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02P 24.06R 3.71 Bristol_City 26 27 -13 51.07 6.10 -17.80 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 24.48R 3.61 Millwall 26 26 -10 50.50 6.15 -13.83 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 26.52R 4.06 Nott'm_Forest 26 24 -21 48.13 6.01 -25.67 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 43.89R 8.92 Doncaster 26 23 -21 42.62 5.84 -32.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.13R 35.22 Coventry 26 19 -15 41.07 5.94 -22.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.78R 43.18League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2012, Tranmere vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 25 57 +31 96.19 6.48 46.83 60.77 83.04 99.96 88.30P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 53 +25 89.99 6.42 39.69 19.14 49.26 99.36 65.93P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 26 50 +27 87.39 6.35 42.30 10.81 33.37 98.44 56.40P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 25 49 +13 83.77 6.73 22.00 3.54 14.50 93.48 30.93P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 24 46 +23 84.40 6.78 35.50 5.63 19.12 95.01 39.80P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 25 41 +16 70.90 6.66 17.62 0.06 0.34 36.15 6.32P 0.01R 0.00 Carlisle 25 41 +2 71.32 6.72 4.02 0.05 0.30 35.49 5.45P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 26 37 +1 64.23 6.40 0.73 0.00 0.02 7.57 1.17P 0.21R 0.00 Bournemouth 26 37 +0 65.61 6.43 1.64 0.00 0.02 10.71 1.90P 0.11R 0.00 Preston 25 35 -4 65.08 6.91 -2.51 0.00 0.03 10.78 1.90P 0.32R 0.00 Bury 25 34 -7 59.24 6.64 -12.90 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.22P 2.59R 0.03 Colchester 25 33 -4 61.83 6.62 -4.18 0.00 0.00 4.14 0.67P 0.95R 0.01 Hartlepool 26 33 -4 57.06 6.22 -9.11 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.09P 3.60R 0.07 Notts_County 25 32 +2 61.06 6.70 2.21 0.00 0.00 3.76 0.55P 1.20R 0.02 Leyton_Orient 26 32 -10 57.18 6.33 -13.64 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.10P 4.36R 0.07 Tranmere 26 31 -4 56.14 6.23 -7.18 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.07P 4.95R 0.12 Oldham 25 31 -5 57.92 6.53 -7.85 0.00 0.00 1.23 0.15P 3.43R 0.06 Exeter 26 26 -15 47.61 6.10 -24.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.93R 3.61 Scunthorpe 25 24 -7 51.77 6.72 -9.09 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 18.59R 1.18 Walsall 26 24 -7 48.01 6.25 -12.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 36.07R 3.23 Yeovil 26 24 -14 46.91 6.24 -21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.13R 5.11 Rochdale 26 21 -22 43.85 6.24 -29.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.34R 13.01 Wycombe 26 20 -19 41.16 6.21 -29.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.03R 23.78 Chesterfield 26 17 -18 37.25 6.20 -30.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.16R 49.71League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Southend 25 52 +23 88.19 6.61 34.26 40.69 78.79 98.68 84.50P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 25 52 +18 82.56 6.60 20.67 11.56 45.14 91.73 53.99P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 25 51 +18 83.63 6.78 23.72 15.93 52.88 93.54 61.58P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 25 46 +20 84.97 6.52 35.15 22.65 64.37 96.53 75.97P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 45 +14 80.04 6.55 23.15 6.24 32.12 85.84 47.83P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 41 +11 70.19 6.40 13.81 0.16 2.71 33.27 9.45P 0.00R 0.00 Gillingham 25 41 +10 75.33 6.69 18.39 1.73 12.46 64.15 26.40P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 41 +7 72.95 6.62 11.71 0.73 6.53 48.57 16.75P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 26 40 -1 65.18 6.39 -4.83 0.02 0.42 10.11 1.99P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 26 39 +5 67.61 6.42 6.76 0.07 1.16 19.33 5.39P 0.02R 0.00 Rotherham 25 37 +4 69.65 6.70 9.79 0.20 2.56 30.37 9.43P 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 26 36 +10 63.63 6.42 10.16 0.01 0.24 8.33 1.86P 0.04R 0.00 Crewe 26 36 -4 64.86 6.46 -2.04 0.01 0.36 9.59 2.40P 0.04R 0.01 Port_Vale 26 35 +4 64.16 6.40 6.53 0.01 0.24 9.15 2.32P 0.04R 0.01 Macclesfield 25 30 -4 54.87 6.42 -9.65 0.00 0.01 0.41 0.08P 3.07R 1.01 AFC_Wimbledon 25 29 -15 50.31 6.38 -27.60 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 14.40R 6.08 Aldershot 25 27 -10 53.18 6.44 -13.74 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 5.75R 2.03 Bristol_Rovers 26 27 -16 51.02 6.44 -21.79 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 11.14R 4.68 Bradford 25 26 -5 50.82 6.42 -10.80 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 10.61R 4.15 Barnet 25 26 -14 48.67 6.37 -24.09 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 19.93R 9.16 Hereford 26 25 -16 45.86 6.04 -25.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 33.23R 16.78 Dag_&_Red 25 21 -17 46.46 6.58 -22.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.39R 15.69 Plymouth 26 21 -20 46.81 6.50 -22.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 28.26R 14.66 Northampton 26 21 -22 44.47 6.30 -29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.06R 25.73Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 January 2012, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 27 62 +32 97.56 5.88 46.89 57.39 99.84 70.00P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 27 60 +30 93.54 6.05 42.00 26.32 98.94 45.03P 0.00 0.00 Luton 28 54 +31 91.28 5.47 52.09 15.60 98.36 50.81P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 28 50 +7 76.34 6.04 9.40 0.05 31.88 3.17P 0.00 0.00 York 28 49 +28 81.13 5.83 39.64 0.46 69.35 16.21P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 49 +13 77.90 6.06 19.44 0.16 44.66 6.68P 0.00 0.00 Southport 28 48 -5 70.26 6.02 -9.44 0.00 7.44 0.48P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 46 +13 74.14 5.94 18.23 0.02 21.73 3.49P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 28 44 +10 72.93 5.95 16.65 0.00 16.83 2.64P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 27 42 +9 70.60 6.24 12.80 0.00 9.39 1.36P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 28 41 +1 64.01 5.92 -1.84 0.00 0.95 0.07P 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 28 38 +11 61.28 5.83 8.98 0.00 0.33 0.04P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 38 -3 59.75 6.06 -8.56 0.00 0.22 0.02P 0.07R 0.00 Ebbsfleet_United 28 34 -2 56.57 5.94 -5.81 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.28R 0.00 Tamworth 26 34 -5 55.64 6.12 -14.66 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.45R 0.01 Darlington 28 27 -5 53.33 5.85 -2.31 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.28R 0.07 AFC_Telford 28 27 -13 47.12 6.01 -19.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.01R 1.31 Lincoln_City 28 26 -15 52.22 6.06 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.82R 0.16 Stockport 29 23 -19 46.13 5.86 -19.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.11R 2.11 Newport_County 27 22 -10 47.32 6.18 -11.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.84R 1.34 Alfreton_Town 28 22 -29 36.59 5.34 -48.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.74R 37.05 Kettering 28 22 -35 40.60 5.68 -45.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.67R 13.53 Hayes_&_Yeading 28 21 -22 38.65 5.63 -35.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.08R 19.88 Bath_City 27 18 -22 38.14 5.88 -32.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.63R 24.52 Adjustments: Darlington -10