Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 16 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 January 2012, Wigan vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        21   51  +41      86.78     5.34    62.01    60.58    93.21    98.61    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +32      84.65     5.14    54.50    36.64    87.65    97.30    99.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   46  +18      74.26     5.64    25.63     1.74    10.34    48.58    80.12    98.60     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   40  +15      73.35     5.45    31.40     0.98     7.84    43.72    78.51    98.38     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   36   +7      66.16     5.76    18.27     0.04     0.70     7.51    24.01    83.13     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       21   36   +5      60.55     5.73     6.61     0.00     0.03     0.93     4.93    42.03     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   35   +6      63.91     5.72    14.11     0.01     0.23     3.34    12.95    71.18     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           21   30   -9      50.08     5.49   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.13     0.24R    0.01  
Norwich         21   28   -4      45.91     5.53   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59     1.92R    0.08  
Swansea         21   26   -2      45.46     5.56    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44     2.34R    0.11  
Everton         21   25   -4      48.67     5.67    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.77     0.55R    0.03  
Sunderland      21   24   +3      46.24     5.67     1.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.80     1.68R    0.07  
Aston_Villa     21   24   -4      45.72     5.61    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.55     2.18R    0.14  
Fulham          21   23   -6      45.43     5.51    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     2.27R    0.11  
West_Brom       21   22  -10      41.14     5.49   -17.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    11.34R    1.29  
Wolverhampton   21   18  -14      36.22     5.53   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.52R    7.78  
Blackburn       21   17  -12      35.35     5.46   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.03R   10.21  
QPR             21   17  -17      32.88     5.22   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.07R   20.81  
Bolton          21   16  -21      34.80     5.54   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.02R   13.36  
Wigan           21   15  -24      29.98     5.14   -38.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.84R   46.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Brighton vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      26   50  +22      83.23     6.46    30.93    30.61    57.34    94.07    66.84P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   50  +18      85.38     6.37    29.70    44.08    68.89    96.98    77.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   46  +14      79.47     6.34    23.08    12.71    31.21    84.86    45.92P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   45   +5      73.63     6.24     7.08     2.13     7.16    51.77    15.88P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          26   42   +8      73.81     6.27    14.33     2.32     8.06    55.20    20.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             26   42   +2      69.63     6.10     2.70     0.42     2.03    26.93     6.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham       25   40  +13      75.77     6.55    23.00     5.34    15.69    68.16    32.38P    0.00     0.00  
Derby            26   40   -2      64.29     6.20    -6.68     0.05     0.24     7.77     1.33P    0.29R    0.01  
Blackpool        26   39   +8      72.00     6.53    16.32     1.52     5.62    45.23    16.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Burnley          26   39   +6      68.43     6.32     8.79     0.38     1.56    23.41     6.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   39   +3      68.32     6.40     5.87     0.33     1.56    22.95     5.74P    0.08R    0.00  
Brighton         26   38   +0      62.94     6.26    -3.31     0.02     0.15     5.66     1.13P    0.52R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   26   37   +0      61.40     5.97    -3.74     0.01     0.05     2.94     0.48P    0.74R    0.03  
Barnsley         26   36   -2      60.10     6.23    -7.11     0.01     0.06     2.29     0.34P    1.64R    0.06  
Leicester        26   35   +4      62.75     6.39     4.36     0.04     0.25     6.36     1.64P    0.60R    0.01  
Peterborough     26   33   +2      60.08     6.61     0.61     0.02     0.09     2.95     0.61P    2.16R    0.12  
Portsmouth       25   31   +1      59.23     6.33     0.47     0.01     0.05     2.01     0.46P    2.21R    0.11  
Watford          26   30   -8      54.52     6.29   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.07P   10.61R    1.09  
Ipswich          26   28  -14      51.26     6.23   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   24.56R    3.69  
Bristol_City     26   27  -13      50.96     6.08   -17.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.69R    3.66  
Millwall         26   26  -10      50.47     6.16   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.38R    4.14  
Nott'm_Forest    26   24  -21      48.07     6.04   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.12R    9.09  
Doncaster        26   23  -21      42.62     5.83   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.98R   35.03  
Coventry         26   19  -15      41.11     5.88   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.38R   42.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        25   57  +31      96.22     6.51    46.91    61.28    83.00    99.94    88.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   53  +25      89.93     6.42    39.64    18.82    49.61    99.33    66.07P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    26   50  +27      87.37     6.36    42.29    10.97    33.63    98.30    56.96P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   49  +13      83.75     6.71    21.94     3.51    14.43    93.51    30.57P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.23     6.82    35.24     5.35    18.63    94.82    39.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       25   41  +16      70.92     6.68    17.71     0.04     0.38    36.45     6.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle        25   41   +2      71.23     6.69     3.90     0.03     0.27    35.12     5.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       26   37   +1      64.15     6.33     0.64     0.00     0.00     7.20     1.08P    0.19R    0.00  
Bournemouth     26   37   +0      65.72     6.47     1.77     0.00     0.02    11.29     1.92P    0.13R    0.00  
Preston         25   35   -4      65.05     6.84    -2.56     0.00     0.03    10.56     1.90P    0.30R    0.00  
Bury            25   34   -7      59.22     6.62   -12.93     0.00     0.00     1.95     0.22P    2.52R    0.05  
Colchester      25   33   -4      61.88     6.66    -4.09     0.00     0.01     4.18     0.61P    0.99R    0.01  
Hartlepool      26   33   -4      57.09     6.27    -9.07     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.10P    3.81R    0.07  
Notts_County    25   32   +2      61.09     6.70     2.26     0.00     0.00     3.77     0.60P    1.21R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   26   32  -10      57.17     6.35   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.09P    4.69R    0.09  
Oldham          25   31   -5      57.94     6.55    -7.87     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.20P    3.64R    0.08  
Tranmere        25   30   -4      56.90     6.44    -6.73     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.11P    4.61R    0.12  
Exeter          26   26  -15      47.72     6.12   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.47R    3.47  
Scunthorpe      25   24   -7      51.78     6.80    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   19.07R    1.38  
Walsall         26   24   -7      47.96     6.24   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.94R    3.32  
Yeovil          26   24  -14      46.95     6.24   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.41R    4.88  
Wycombe         26   20  -19      41.23     6.21   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.85R   23.46  
Rochdale        25   20  -22      44.03     6.42   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.83R   13.03  
Chesterfield    26   17  -18      37.24     6.20   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.34R   50.02  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             25   52  +23      88.23     6.64    34.33    41.24    79.03    98.68    84.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   52  +18      82.72     6.61    20.84    11.90    46.07    92.17    54.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         25   51  +18      83.55     6.74    23.71    15.46    52.09    93.60    61.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              25   46  +20      84.88     6.54    35.02    22.26    63.79    96.38    75.34P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   45  +14      80.05     6.54    23.12     6.17    32.05    85.87    47.60P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +11      70.19     6.36    13.81     0.19     2.55    33.33     9.24P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           25   41  +10      75.37     6.73    18.48     1.77    12.90    64.49    26.93P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              25   41   +7      72.99     6.64    11.76     0.72     6.54    48.70    17.02P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   40   -1      65.21     6.40    -4.84     0.02     0.40    10.20     1.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   26   39   +5      67.48     6.37     6.61     0.05     1.03    18.65     5.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            25   37   +4      69.44     6.78     9.49     0.18     2.65    29.34     9.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            26   36  +10      63.66     6.45    10.21     0.01     0.27     8.53     2.05P    0.06R    0.01  
Crewe                26   36   -4      64.83     6.48    -2.03     0.02     0.37     9.88     2.55P    0.03R    0.01  
Port_Vale            26   35   +4      64.17     6.47     6.55     0.01     0.25     9.40     2.47P    0.05R    0.01  
Macclesfield         25   30   -4      54.81     6.35    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    3.19R    1.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   29  -15      50.34     6.40   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   14.42R    6.03  
Aldershot            25   27  -10      53.19     6.46   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P    5.88R    2.06  
Bristol_Rovers       26   27  -16      51.05     6.41   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   11.14R    4.48  
Bradford             25   26   -5      50.92     6.42   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.21R    4.02  
Barnet               25   26  -14      48.60     6.38   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   20.28R    9.32  
Hereford             26   25  -16      45.80     6.04   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.94R   17.36  
Dag_&_Red            25   21  -17      46.55     6.66   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.98R   15.74  
Plymouth             26   21  -20      46.94     6.51   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   27.62R   14.33  
Northampton          26   21  -22      44.50     6.31   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.16R   25.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Tamworth vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   62  +32      97.49     5.88    46.70    56.77    99.86    69.40P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     27   60  +30      93.58     6.07    42.05    26.40    99.01    45.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   54  +31      91.39     5.45    52.27    16.13    98.62    51.21P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          28   50   +7      76.28     6.00     9.28     0.04    31.40     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   49  +28      81.22     5.85    39.80     0.49    70.22    16.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   49  +13      77.91     6.03    19.42     0.14    44.95     7.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          28   48   -5      70.14     5.99    -9.60     0.00     7.08     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   46  +13      74.08     5.92    18.15     0.02    21.09     3.33P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            28   44  +10      72.96     5.97    16.64     0.01    17.10     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   42   +9      70.53     6.20    12.71     0.01     9.16     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             28   41   +1      64.01     5.88    -1.82     0.00     0.95     0.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       28   38  +11      61.31     5.88     9.06     0.00     0.31     0.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     28   38   -3      59.83     6.03    -8.37     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           26   34   -5      55.56     6.09   -14.78     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.52R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.77     6.17    -7.12     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.97R    0.04  
Darlington         28   27   -5      53.29     5.87    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.08  
AFC_Telford        28   27  -13      47.35     5.98   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.96R    1.24  
Lincoln_City       28   26  -15      52.31     6.05   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.20  
Stockport          29   23  -19      46.06     5.90   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.85R    2.39  
Newport_County     27   22  -10      47.45     6.15   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.11R    1.37  
Alfreton_Town      28   22  -29      36.50     5.34   -48.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.40R   39.86  
Kettering          28   22  -35      40.55     5.69   -45.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.72R   14.48  
Hayes_&_Yeading    27   21  -21      40.18     5.82   -33.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.82R   14.45  
Bath_City          27   18  -22      38.04     5.85   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.24R   25.86  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10