Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 15 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 January 2012, Newcastle vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        20   48  +40      86.45     5.45    63.47    58.99    92.32    98.44    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         21   48  +32      84.69     5.11    54.58    38.07    88.11    97.46    99.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       21   46  +18      74.21     5.60    25.59     1.77    10.61    48.38    80.33    98.62     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         21   40  +15      73.29     5.43    31.33     1.10     7.97    44.01    78.55    98.39     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         21   36   +7      66.05     5.74    18.07     0.06     0.69     7.37    23.39    82.62     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       21   36   +5      60.43     5.75     6.45     0.00     0.08     1.00     4.87    41.47     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       21   35   +6      64.01     5.69    14.29     0.01     0.22     3.33    13.29    71.88     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           21   30   -9      50.12     5.51   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     2.22     0.29R    0.00  
Norwich         21   28   -4      45.80     5.57   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.57     2.05R    0.08  
Swansea         21   26   -2      45.40     5.58    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     2.29R    0.15  
Everton         21   25   -4      48.73     5.68    -3.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.81     0.58R    0.03  
Sunderland      21   24   +3      46.26     5.69     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.88     1.62R    0.08  
Aston_Villa     21   24   -4      45.75     5.67    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.61     2.32R    0.13  
Fulham          21   23   -6      45.45     5.52    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     2.26R    0.14  
West_Brom       21   22  -10      41.10     5.47   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    11.74R    1.34  
Wolverhampton   21   18  -14      36.20     5.53   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.21R    8.24  
Blackburn       21   17  -12      35.45     5.47   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.66R   10.47  
QPR             21   17  -17      32.92     5.26   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.49R   21.54  
Bolton          21   16  -21      34.82     5.56   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.46R   13.89  
Wigan           20   15  -23      30.35     5.25   -39.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.04R   43.91  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Brighton vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      26   50  +22      83.28     6.45    30.99    31.30    57.63    94.27    67.37P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   50  +18      85.24     6.42    29.51    43.50    68.36    96.72    76.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          26   46  +14      79.40     6.34    22.98    12.29    30.67    84.34    45.51P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   45   +5      73.50     6.22     6.87     2.04     6.99    50.66    15.46P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          26   42   +8      73.77     6.28    14.31     2.33     8.02    55.38    20.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   42   +2      69.64     6.09     2.72     0.46     2.02    26.95     6.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Birmingham       25   40  +13      75.90     6.56    23.23     5.60    16.28    68.98    33.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Derby            26   40   -2      64.30     6.22    -6.64     0.04     0.25     7.84     1.39P    0.26R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   39   +8      72.05     6.56    16.37     1.62     5.95    45.74    16.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          26   39   +6      68.37     6.34     8.72     0.40     1.71    23.35     6.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   39   +3      68.26     6.38     5.79     0.33     1.49    22.63     5.52P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         26   38   +0      63.02     6.27    -3.22     0.04     0.19     5.90     1.17P    0.42R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   37   +0      61.41     6.01    -3.72     0.01     0.07     3.16     0.55P    0.77R    0.02  
Barnsley         26   36   -2      60.09     6.22    -7.11     0.01     0.05     2.24     0.39P    1.66R    0.07  
Leicester        26   35   +4      62.77     6.34     4.35     0.03     0.18     6.25     1.48P    0.60R    0.03  
Peterborough     26   33   +2      59.96     6.61     0.38     0.01     0.08     3.01     0.55P    2.37R    0.15  
Portsmouth       25   31   +1      59.28     6.36     0.48     0.01     0.05     2.17     0.46P    2.32R    0.13  
Watford          26   30   -8      54.48     6.25   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   10.81R    1.04  
Ipswich          26   28  -14      51.52     6.31   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   23.37R    3.49  
Bristol_City     26   27  -13      50.94     6.12   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   25.17R    3.82  
Millwall         26   26  -10      50.43     6.12   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.65R    4.16  
Nott'm_Forest    26   24  -21      48.03     6.05   -25.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.80R    9.39  
Doncaster        26   23  -21      42.68     5.83   -32.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.51R   34.74  
Coventry         26   19  -15      41.16     5.92   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.20R   42.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Bournemouth vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        25   57  +31      96.15     6.53    46.78    60.80    82.76    99.96    87.90P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   53  +25      90.03     6.38    39.79    19.39    50.02    99.41    66.75P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    26   50  +27      87.47     6.30    42.46    11.03    34.24    98.50    57.58P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   49  +13      83.77     6.68    21.94     3.55    14.25    93.66    30.59P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.18     6.78    35.14     5.13    18.02    94.75    38.53P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       25   41  +16      70.82     6.69    17.59     0.05     0.34    35.74     6.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Carlisle        25   41   +2      71.43     6.69     4.21     0.04     0.32    36.05     5.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       26   37   +1      64.14     6.37     0.61     0.00     0.01     7.23     1.04P    0.24R    0.00  
Bournemouth     26   37   +0      65.74     6.48     1.83     0.00     0.02    11.32     2.06P    0.12R    0.00  
Preston         25   35   -4      65.06     6.88    -2.54     0.00     0.02    10.27     1.80P    0.31R    0.00  
Bury            25   34   -7      59.25     6.65   -12.91     0.00     0.00     1.92     0.22P    2.63R    0.05  
Colchester      25   33   -4      61.80     6.63    -4.21     0.00     0.00     4.05     0.72P    1.01R    0.02  
Hartlepool      26   33   -4      57.02     6.24    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.10P    3.87R    0.04  
Notts_County    25   32   +2      60.99     6.68     2.07     0.00     0.00     3.55     0.48P    1.30R    0.02  
Leyton_Orient   26   32  -10      57.13     6.30   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.08P    4.44R    0.09  
Oldham          25   31   -5      58.05     6.59    -7.67     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.21P    3.44R    0.06  
Tranmere        25   30   -4      56.69     6.51    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.08P    5.07R    0.15  
Exeter          26   26  -15      47.66     6.12   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.26R    3.52  
Scunthorpe      25   24   -7      51.92     6.71    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   18.09R    1.29  
Walsall         26   24   -7      48.03     6.21   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.48R    3.24  
Yeovil          26   24  -14      46.94     6.18   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.47R    4.98  
Wycombe         26   20  -19      41.17     6.22   -29.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.21R   23.73  
Rochdale        25   20  -22      44.13     6.40   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.74R   12.76  
Chesterfield    26   17  -18      37.24     6.24   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.30R   50.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             25   52  +24      88.48     6.61    35.74    42.51    80.48    98.81    85.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   52  +18      82.75     6.61    20.93    11.80    46.39    92.27    55.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         25   51  +18      83.66     6.74    23.79    15.47    52.69    93.92    61.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              25   46  +20      85.04     6.53    35.27    22.28    64.50    96.56    76.31P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   45  +13      79.67     6.56    21.64     5.42    29.84    84.40    45.47P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   41  +11      70.29     6.37    13.92     0.17     2.74    33.71     9.49P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           25   41  +10      75.12     6.67    18.08     1.41    11.91    63.40    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              25   41   +7      72.93     6.67    11.68     0.67     6.53    48.69    16.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   40   -1      65.13     6.44    -4.93     0.01     0.43    10.32     2.05P    0.03R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   26   39   +5      67.50     6.37     6.61     0.06     1.06    19.06     5.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            25   37   +4      69.52     6.75     9.58     0.16     2.49    29.89     9.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            26   36  +10      63.75     6.45    10.33     0.01     0.32     8.78     2.14P    0.05R    0.01  
Crewe                26   36   -4      64.97     6.50    -1.84     0.01     0.36    10.14     2.56P    0.05R    0.01  
Port_Vale            26   35   +4      64.27     6.38     6.70     0.01     0.26     9.24     2.39P    0.06R    0.01  
Macclesfield         25   30   -4      54.93     6.40    -9.56     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.06P    2.90R    0.95  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   29  -15      50.24     6.36   -27.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.57R    6.21  
Aldershot            25   27  -10      53.16     6.48   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    5.95R    2.14  
Bristol_Rovers       26   27  -16      51.10     6.45   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   10.98R    4.50  
Bradford             25   26   -5      50.82     6.45   -10.79     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   10.58R    4.29  
Barnet               25   26  -14      48.63     6.34   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   19.91R    9.00  
Hereford             26   25  -16      45.82     6.04   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.51R   17.06  
Dag_&_Red            25   21  -17      46.43     6.61   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.43R   16.01  
Plymouth             26   21  -20      46.76     6.43   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.32R   14.82  
Northampton          26   21  -22      44.52     6.29   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.65R   25.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 January 2012, Tamworth vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   62  +32      97.54     5.88    46.81    56.72    99.85    69.52P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     27   60  +30      93.52     6.09    41.94    26.18    98.91    44.55P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   54  +31      91.43     5.46    52.31    16.40    98.57    51.61P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          28   50   +7      76.25     6.01     9.26     0.04    31.24     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   49  +28      81.20     5.84    39.74     0.50    70.11    16.18P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   49  +13      77.87     6.04    19.42     0.13    44.56     6.86P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          28   48   -5      70.27     5.97    -9.39     0.00     7.16     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   46  +13      74.06     5.96    18.08     0.02    21.15     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            28   44  +10      73.03     5.97    16.78     0.01    17.50     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   42   +9      70.63     6.22    12.84     0.00     9.36     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             28   41   +1      63.90     5.93    -1.99     0.00     0.95     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       28   38  +11      61.39     5.85     9.15     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     28   38   -3      59.76     6.07    -8.53     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           26   34   -5      55.69     6.10   -14.55     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.54R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.67     6.21    -7.31     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.10R    0.07  
Darlington         28   27   -5      53.12     5.85    -2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.09  
AFC_Telford        28   27  -13      47.22     5.99   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.57R    1.41  
Lincoln_City       28   26  -15      52.31     6.02   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.70R    0.20  
Stockport          29   23  -19      46.10     5.87   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.40R    2.22  
Newport_County     27   22  -10      47.43     6.14   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.09R    1.38  
Alfreton_Town      28   22  -29      36.49     5.35   -48.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.50R   39.86  
Kettering          28   22  -35      40.70     5.71   -45.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.27R   13.72  
Hayes_&_Yeading    27   21  -21      40.15     5.84   -33.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.13R   14.63  
Bath_City          27   18  -22      38.06     5.84   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.08R   26.41  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10