Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 13 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 January 2012, Tottenham vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        20   48  +40      86.40     5.49    63.39    59.80    90.60    97.81    99.57    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +29      84.20     5.26    53.92    35.39    83.70    95.82    99.10    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   45  +18      75.75     5.82    27.53     3.63    16.58    56.32    81.63    98.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   37  +14      72.56     5.63    31.87     0.95     6.87    33.12    67.86    97.33     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36   +8      68.32     5.93    20.46     0.21     1.82    12.03    32.93    88.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34   +6      65.21     5.86    15.46     0.02     0.41     4.32    15.55    76.23     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       20   33   +4      59.60     5.98     6.63     0.00     0.03     0.58     3.24    32.00     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           20   29   -9      49.69     5.65   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.88     0.36R    0.00  
Norwich         20   25   -5      43.70     5.84   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     5.24R    0.43  
Sunderland      20   24   +4      46.77     5.81     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.90     1.32R    0.08  
Everton         20   24   -4      49.02     5.85    -3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.75     0.48R    0.04  
Swansea         20   23   -3      42.93     5.70    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     5.77R    0.50  
Aston_Villa     20   23   -4      46.07     5.87    -7.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65     2.07R    0.15  
Fulham          20   23   -4      47.36     5.76    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.95     1.14R    0.08  
West_Brom       20   22   -9      43.04     5.76   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     6.64R    0.61  
Wolverhampton   20   17  -14      35.56     5.65   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.90R    9.83  
QPR             20   17  -16      33.64     5.40   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.45R   17.20  
Bolton          20   16  -18      35.24     5.65   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.50R   11.77  
Wigan           20   15  -23      30.39     5.24   -39.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.09R   40.94  
Blackburn       20   14  -14      33.32     5.65   -24.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.05R   18.37  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 January 2012, Birmingham vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      25   47  +19      81.01     6.63    27.02    24.49    47.27    90.05    58.44P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   47  +17      83.38     6.60    28.24    38.17    61.39    94.63    71.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   45  +14      80.56     6.57    24.23    21.62    43.29    88.95    55.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   45   +7      75.90     6.42    10.32     6.21    16.30    68.34    27.22P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          25   39   +7      72.09     6.48    13.20     1.98     6.75    47.74    17.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             25   39   +1      68.34     6.28     2.19     0.49     1.90    23.58     6.17P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool        25   38   +8      72.55     6.73    16.58     2.90     8.95    51.67    20.57P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   38   +3      68.63     6.53     5.84     0.75     2.59    26.94     7.47P    0.10R    0.00  
Birmingham       24   37   +7      72.52     6.75    14.68     2.76     8.57    50.80    21.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby            25   37   -3      62.79     6.39    -7.51     0.05     0.28     6.27     1.15P    1.10R    0.03  
Burnley          25   36   +4      65.93     6.48     5.46     0.23     1.08    15.50     4.02P    0.27R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   36   +0      61.97     6.22    -3.46     0.02     0.15     4.73     0.88P    1.18R    0.05  
Leicester        25   35   +5      65.19     6.55     6.98     0.20     0.90    13.90     3.92P    0.43R    0.01  
Brighton         25   35   -2      61.15     6.46    -5.57     0.02     0.14     4.27     0.88P    2.06R    0.11  
Peterborough     25   33   +3      61.26     6.80     1.26     0.05     0.21     5.55     1.18P    2.32R    0.16  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      57.42     6.32    -9.71     0.00     0.03     1.21     0.21P    6.40R    0.43  
Portsmouth       24   31   +2      60.91     6.58     1.87     0.04     0.18     4.52     1.12P    2.18R    0.11  
Watford          25   30   -7      56.14     6.46   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.17P    9.70R    0.80  
Bristol_City     25   27  -11      52.48     6.30   -15.68     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   22.86R    3.11  
Ipswich          25   27  -14      51.58     6.48   -20.86     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   29.21R    4.81  
Millwall         25   26   -4      52.97     6.36    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.06P   19.04R    2.38  
Nott'm_Forest    25   24  -18      49.88     6.27   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   38.65R    7.10  
Doncaster        25   22  -21      42.48     6.04   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.13R   41.72  
Coventry         25   19  -14      42.32     6.09   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.23R   39.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        24   54  +30      94.61     6.70    45.95    56.34    78.30    99.87    84.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       25   50  +22      88.40     6.60    36.75    17.14    42.77    98.84    60.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   49  +14      85.19     6.95    23.07     7.85    23.49    95.49    38.52P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    25   47  +26      86.57     6.48    42.65    11.77    33.24    98.00    56.50P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.31     6.81    35.37     6.80    21.52    95.41    40.97P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        25   41   +2      71.31     6.72     3.98     0.05     0.39    37.95     5.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       24   38  +12      68.14     6.82    12.13     0.02     0.18    23.44     3.98P    0.06R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +1      64.79     6.56     0.96     0.00     0.02     9.96     1.53P    0.27R    0.00  
Bournemouth     25   34   -1      64.11     6.65     0.81     0.00     0.01     8.71     1.68P    0.36R    0.00  
Bury            24   34   -4      60.77     6.81    -9.69     0.00     0.01     3.60     0.48P    1.84R    0.02  
Notts_County    24   32   +3      62.58     6.92     3.40     0.00     0.01     6.79     1.12P    0.90R    0.01  
Colchester      24   32   -4      62.33     6.91    -4.02     0.00     0.01     5.98     0.93P    1.19R    0.01  
Hartlepool      25   32   -4      57.58     6.47    -9.01     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.14P    3.98R    0.09  
Preston         24   32   -5      64.01     7.10    -2.59     0.00     0.03     9.65     1.73P    0.71R    0.01  
Oldham          24   31   -4      58.71     6.71    -7.91     0.00     0.01     1.94     0.26P    3.33R    0.08  
Leyton_Orient   25   31  -10      57.93     6.59   -13.14     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.13P    4.47R    0.11  
Tranmere        24   30   -3      58.45     6.64    -5.41     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.22P    3.78R    0.07  
Exeter          25   25  -15      48.02     6.35   -24.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.61R    3.64  
Scunthorpe      24   23   -7      51.92     7.02    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   20.09R    1.45  
Walsall         25   23   -7      48.04     6.48   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   38.31R    3.82  
Yeovil          25   21  -15      44.93     6.42   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.48R    9.78  
Wycombe         25   20  -18      42.10     6.43   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.56R   20.52  
Rochdale        24   20  -18      46.21     6.67   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.30R    7.90  
Chesterfield    25   16  -18      37.11     6.36   -31.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.73R   52.50  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Hereford vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         24   50  +18      84.13     7.02    23.99    22.00    58.43    92.73    65.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             24   49  +20      86.49     6.78    31.13    35.20    72.96    96.82    79.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   49  +16      80.96     6.78    18.73    10.18    39.31    84.99    48.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              24   43  +19      83.46     6.73    34.33    20.66    58.65    92.88    71.34P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   42  +12      78.21     6.76    20.88     5.42    26.00    75.30    40.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           24   41  +12      76.98     6.81    20.89     4.00    21.00    69.76    34.20P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   41  +12      72.21     6.59    15.70     0.79     6.39    42.01    14.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   40   +0      66.52     6.64    -3.92     0.07     1.12    13.25     2.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   39   +8      70.47     6.59    12.09     0.41     4.00    31.55    10.49P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              24   38   +6      71.21     6.84    10.54     0.64     5.35    35.65    12.86P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   37   +5      70.97     6.84    10.76     0.51     4.83    34.39    12.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            25   35  +10      64.17     6.68    10.42     0.04     0.58     9.26     2.48P    0.04R    0.01  
Port_Vale            25   35   +5      66.60     6.60     9.27     0.07     1.07    14.97     4.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                25   33   -5      62.82     6.68    -3.69     0.02     0.26     5.32     1.36P    0.12R    0.02  
Macclesfield         24   30   -3      56.30     6.53    -8.53     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.12P    1.43R    0.41  
Aldershot            24   27   -8      54.72     6.66   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.08P    2.99R    0.96  
Bristol_Rovers       25   26  -16      51.04     6.66   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P    9.53R    3.66  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   26  -16      47.52     6.47   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   22.59R   10.46  
Bradford             24   25   -5      51.28     6.63   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    8.06R    3.12  
Barnet               24   23  -17      45.58     6.46   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.16R   16.47  
Hereford             25   22  -17      43.48     6.15   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.41R   24.47  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -16      48.50     6.85   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   17.73R    8.11  
Northampton          25   21  -19      45.99     6.49   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.82R   14.49  
Plymouth             25   18  -21      45.13     6.68   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.09R   17.81  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Cambridge_Utd vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     27   60  +30      93.56     6.10    42.04    29.36    98.97    46.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.39     6.08    46.48    51.30    99.71    65.88P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   54  +31      91.39     5.45    52.25    18.40    98.53    52.32P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          28   50   +7      76.31     5.98     9.32     0.07    31.32     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   49  +28      81.23     5.83    39.82     0.63    70.27    16.66P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   49  +13      77.98     6.05    19.57     0.20    45.04     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          28   48   -5      70.23     6.01    -9.48     0.00     7.19     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   46  +13      74.14     5.96    18.23     0.02    21.42     3.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            28   44  +10      72.91     5.95    16.64     0.02    16.78     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   42   +9      70.58     6.20    12.78     0.01     9.15     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             28   41   +1      63.97     5.96    -1.87     0.00     1.03     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       28   38  +11      61.37     5.83     9.13     0.00     0.31     0.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     28   38   -3      59.81     6.05    -8.43     0.00     0.19     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.51     6.28   -14.37     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.42R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.56     6.20    -7.46     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.06R    0.03  
Darlington         28   27   -5      53.24     5.87    -2.42     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.52R    0.07  
AFC_Telford        28   27  -13      47.28     5.93   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.27R    1.29  
Lincoln_City       28   26  -15      52.32     6.04   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.84R    0.20  
Stockport          29   23  -19      46.19     5.88   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.23R    2.24  
Newport_County     27   22  -10      47.30     6.12   -11.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.55R    1.43  
Alfreton_Town      28   22  -29      36.48     5.36   -48.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.50R   39.86  
Kettering          28   22  -35      40.60     5.67   -45.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.75R   14.04  
Hayes_&_Yeading    27   21  -21      40.22     5.84   -33.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.66R   14.62  
Bath_City          27   18  -22      38.03     5.86   -32.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.11R   26.20  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10