Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 12 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 January 2012, Tottenham vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        20   48  +40      86.35     5.47    63.31    59.69    90.48    97.78    99.60    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +29      84.13     5.26    53.83    35.43    83.29    95.88    99.15    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   45  +18      75.76     5.79    27.54     3.64    16.91    56.23    81.70    99.01     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   37  +14      72.56     5.62    31.89     1.00     6.96    33.27    67.49    97.28     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36   +8      68.29     5.93    20.41     0.20     1.83    11.77    32.72    88.58     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34   +6      65.23     5.89    15.52     0.04     0.50     4.45    15.93    76.30     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       20   33   +4      59.65     5.96     6.72     0.00     0.03     0.61     3.31    32.19     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           20   29   -9      49.60     5.62   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.74     0.36R    0.00  
Norwich         20   25   -5      43.59     5.80   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     5.23R    0.43  
Sunderland      20   24   +4      46.93     5.81     0.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.98     1.26R    0.06  
Everton         20   24   -4      49.04     5.89    -3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.74     0.57R    0.04  
Swansea         20   23   -3      42.94     5.70    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     5.64R    0.50  
Aston_Villa     20   23   -4      46.24     5.88    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69     1.93R    0.10  
Fulham          20   23   -4      47.33     5.77    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.89     1.06R    0.06  
West_Brom       20   22   -9      43.05     5.79   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     6.45R    0.70  
Wolverhampton   20   17  -14      35.59     5.65   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.75R    9.86  
QPR             20   17  -16      33.71     5.41   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.26R   16.57  
Bolton          20   16  -18      35.12     5.66   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.55R   12.21  
Wigan           20   15  -23      30.39     5.27   -39.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.69R   41.17  
Blackburn       20   14  -14      33.31     5.66   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.25R   18.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 January 2012, Birmingham vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      25   47  +19      80.91     6.64    26.89    23.92    46.39    89.85    57.64P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   47  +17      83.55     6.58    28.48    39.23    62.41    95.00    72.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   45  +14      80.54     6.54    24.25    21.19    43.44    88.85    56.23P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   45   +7      75.78     6.42    10.19     5.98    15.84    67.97    26.60P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          25   39   +7      71.93     6.52    13.04     2.04     6.71    46.72    17.34P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             25   39   +1      68.32     6.31     2.16     0.42     1.83    23.56     6.30P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool        25   38   +8      72.66     6.80    16.75     3.17     9.44    52.27    21.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   38   +3      68.60     6.57     5.77     0.73     2.55    27.13     7.58P    0.14R    0.01  
Birmingham       24   37   +7      72.50     6.77    14.71     2.70     8.45    50.69    21.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby            25   37   -3      62.88     6.42    -7.41     0.06     0.28     6.57     1.20P    1.06R    0.03  
Burnley          25   36   +4      65.91     6.49     5.47     0.22     1.00    15.83     4.19P    0.26R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   36   +0      61.92     6.21    -3.55     0.02     0.13     4.74     0.86P    1.18R    0.04  
Leicester        25   35   +5      65.15     6.58     6.88     0.19     0.91    13.97     3.87P    0.37R    0.00  
Brighton         25   35   -2      61.22     6.43    -5.51     0.02     0.12     4.34     0.83P    1.89R    0.08  
Peterborough     25   33   +3      61.20     6.85     1.11     0.05     0.29     5.60     1.22P    2.56R    0.17  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      57.47     6.31    -9.67     0.00     0.02     1.14     0.16P    6.42R    0.46  
Portsmouth       24   31   +2      60.84     6.58     1.79     0.03     0.16     4.52     1.14P    2.23R    0.13  
Watford          25   30   -7      56.10     6.46   -11.32     0.01     0.02     0.78     0.16P    9.93R    0.88  
Bristol_City     25   27  -11      52.59     6.31   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   22.57R    3.06  
Ipswich          25   27  -14      51.56     6.46   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   29.30R    4.79  
Millwall         25   26   -4      53.01     6.34    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   18.86R    2.34  
Nott'm_Forest    25   24  -18      49.88     6.29   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.86R    7.24  
Doncaster        25   22  -21      42.45     5.97   -33.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.48R   42.46  
Coventry         25   19  -14      42.42     6.13   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.78R   38.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        24   54  +30      94.56     6.74    45.84    56.19    77.89    99.90    84.54P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       25   50  +22      88.27     6.65    36.54    17.06    42.44    98.76    60.60P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   49  +14      85.09     6.92    22.96     7.71    23.44    95.46    38.72P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    25   47  +26      86.57     6.53    42.63    11.92    33.99    97.79    56.99P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.25     6.83    35.30     7.01    21.55    95.19    41.25P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        25   41   +2      71.37     6.68     4.06     0.07     0.43    38.07     5.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage       24   38  +12      68.09     6.82    12.08     0.03     0.16    23.47     3.82P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +1      64.83     6.59     0.99     0.00     0.02    10.19     1.48P    0.30R    0.00  
Bournemouth     25   34   -1      64.06     6.64     0.73     0.00     0.02     8.68     1.58P    0.43R    0.01  
Bury            24   34   -4      60.71     6.86    -9.77     0.00     0.00     3.66     0.50P    1.92R    0.03  
Notts_County    24   32   +3      62.79     6.90     3.70     0.00     0.02     7.18     1.05P    0.80R    0.01  
Colchester      24   32   -4      62.28     6.91    -4.07     0.00     0.02     5.79     0.83P    1.19R    0.02  
Hartlepool      25   32   -4      57.59     6.48    -8.98     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.12P    4.08R    0.08  
Preston         24   32   -5      64.01     7.13    -2.58     0.00     0.04     9.58     1.85P    0.79R    0.01  
Oldham          24   31   -4      58.67     6.65    -7.94     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.24P    3.15R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient   25   31  -10      58.10     6.54   -12.89     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.18P    4.16R    0.06  
Tranmere        24   30   -3      58.40     6.70    -5.49     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.26P    3.70R    0.06  
Exeter          25   25  -15      48.02     6.35   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.26R    3.86  
Scunthorpe      24   23   -7      52.10     7.01    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   19.49R    1.49  
Walsall         25   23   -7      48.11     6.42   -12.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   37.83R    3.68  
Yeovil          25   21  -15      44.91     6.38   -22.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.99R    9.61  
Wycombe         25   20  -18      42.02     6.38   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.33R   20.75  
Rochdale        24   20  -18      46.18     6.66   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   52.79R    7.84  
Chesterfield    25   16  -18      37.11     6.37   -31.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.71R   52.45  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Hereford vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         24   50  +18      84.11     7.01    24.00    22.34    59.04    92.63    66.16P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             24   49  +20      86.30     6.80    30.85    34.54    72.10    96.61    78.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   49  +16      80.88     6.78    18.55    10.24    38.76    84.60    47.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              24   43  +19      83.39     6.73    34.24    20.57    58.25    93.02    70.84P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   42  +12      78.12     6.75    20.73     5.23    25.92    75.22    39.87P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           24   41  +12      77.04     6.87    21.00     4.34    21.79    69.83    34.79P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   41  +12      72.23     6.62    15.75     0.78     6.59    42.16    14.55P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   40   +0      66.53     6.62    -3.84     0.08     1.08    12.89     2.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   39   +8      70.54     6.61    12.14     0.44     4.01    32.07    10.76P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              24   38   +6      71.22     6.86    10.52     0.67     5.43    35.55    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   37   +5      70.93     6.92    10.65     0.64     5.12    34.69    12.36P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            25   35  +10      64.09     6.67    10.28     0.03     0.50     9.05     2.44P    0.04R    0.01  
Port_Vale            25   35   +5      66.62     6.62     9.25     0.08     1.12    15.25     4.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                25   33   -5      62.82     6.63    -3.67     0.02     0.29     5.35     1.46P    0.12R    0.03  
Macclesfield         24   30   -3      56.35     6.54    -8.43     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.09P    1.54R    0.43  
Aldershot            24   27   -8      54.70     6.60   -11.47     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.08P    2.92R    0.90  
Bristol_Rovers       25   26  -16      51.09     6.68   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    9.38R    3.68  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   26  -16      47.57     6.58   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.11R   10.80  
Bradford             24   25   -5      51.28     6.59   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    8.07R    2.95  
Barnet               24   23  -17      45.57     6.44   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.33R   16.61  
Hereford             25   22  -17      43.54     6.19   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.05R   24.42  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -16      48.54     6.82   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   17.80R    8.15  
Northampton          25   21  -19      45.93     6.50   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.26R   14.83  
Plymouth             25   18  -21      45.30     6.67   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.35R   17.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Cambridge_Utd vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     27   60  +30      93.59     6.07    42.11    29.75    98.94    47.49P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.30     6.06    46.37    50.83    99.73    65.46P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   54  +31      91.37     5.45    52.20    18.57    98.58    52.20P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          28   50   +7      76.23     5.99     9.25     0.04    31.52     3.00P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   49  +28      81.14     5.80    39.65     0.57    69.83    16.60P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   49  +13      77.88     6.02    19.44     0.20    44.34     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          28   48   -5      70.15     6.02    -9.61     0.00     6.92     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   46  +13      74.19     5.95    18.29     0.03    22.02     3.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            28   44  +10      73.04     5.94    16.87     0.01    17.29     2.83P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   42   +9      70.59     6.19    12.78     0.00     9.20     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             28   41   +1      63.99     5.94    -1.87     0.00     1.03     0.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       28   38  +11      61.40     5.86     9.18     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     28   38   -3      59.76     6.03    -8.53     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.48     6.30   -14.43     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.39R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.64     6.19    -7.36     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.05R    0.04  
Darlington         28   27   -5      53.26     5.88    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.55R    0.09  
AFC_Telford        28   27  -13      47.25     5.93   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.28R    1.34  
Lincoln_City       28   26  -15      52.29     6.12   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.96R    0.26  
Stockport          29   23  -19      46.20     5.86   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.97R    2.17  
Newport_County     27   22  -10      47.41     6.21   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.58R    1.49  
Alfreton_Town      28   22  -29      36.45     5.34   -48.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.78R   40.12  
Kettering          28   22  -35      40.55     5.66   -45.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.99R   14.33  
Hayes_&_Yeading    27   21  -21      40.23     5.86   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.84R   14.44  
Bath_City          27   18  -22      38.12     5.88   -32.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.52R   25.71  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10