Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 11 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 January 2012, Tottenham vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        20   48  +40      86.43     5.47    63.52    60.20    90.78    97.87    99.60   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +29      84.13     5.25    53.88    35.07    83.30    95.72    99.05    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       20   45  +18      75.83     5.77    27.63     3.46    16.60    56.68    82.21    98.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   37  +14      72.59     5.59    31.92     1.02     7.00    33.11    67.93    97.41     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36   +8      68.26     5.96    20.35     0.21     1.81    11.60    32.25    88.57     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34   +6      65.17     5.90    15.41     0.03     0.45     4.31    15.45    75.70     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       20   33   +4      59.68     5.96     6.77     0.01     0.06     0.69     3.37    32.62     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           20   29   -9      49.69     5.63   -15.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.82     0.35R    0.01  
Norwich         20   25   -5      43.64     5.78   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     5.27R    0.43  
Sunderland      20   24   +4      46.78     5.82     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.91     1.28R    0.05  
Everton         20   24   -4      49.01     5.92    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.93     0.62R    0.02  
Swansea         20   23   -3      42.97     5.71    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     5.69R    0.47  
Aston_Villa     20   23   -4      46.17     5.87    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.67     2.17R    0.17  
Fulham          20   23   -4      47.18     5.75    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.85     1.19R    0.06  
West_Brom       20   22   -9      43.02     5.77   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     6.66R    0.59  
Wolverhampton   20   17  -14      35.66     5.65   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.13R    9.69  
QPR             20   17  -16      33.69     5.43   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.39R   17.35  
Bolton          20   16  -18      35.15     5.67   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.65R   12.02  
Wigan           20   15  -23      30.39     5.29   -39.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.97R   41.32  
Blackburn       20   14  -14      33.37     5.64   -24.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.63R   17.80  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 January 2012, Birmingham vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      25   47  +19      80.92     6.68    26.96    24.34    46.72    89.76    57.81P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   47  +17      83.57     6.58    28.47    39.23    62.78    95.06    72.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   45  +14      80.52     6.55    24.19    20.98    42.93    88.94    55.77P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   45   +7      75.75     6.44    10.13     5.81    15.88    67.78    26.64P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          25   39   +7      71.96     6.49    13.07     1.96     6.53    46.88    17.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             25   39   +1      68.33     6.25     2.20     0.48     1.85    23.44     6.15P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool        25   38   +8      72.65     6.73    16.74     3.04     9.13    52.43    20.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   38   +3      68.69     6.50     5.87     0.67     2.57    27.22     7.76P    0.07R    0.00  
Birmingham       24   37   +7      72.52     6.77    14.70     2.88     8.73    50.81    21.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Derby            25   37   -3      62.92     6.38    -7.32     0.04     0.23     6.41     1.23P    1.06R    0.06  
Burnley          25   36   +4      65.89     6.52     5.41     0.25     1.04    15.89     4.13P    0.30R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   36   +0      61.94     6.24    -3.51     0.02     0.15     4.81     0.89P    1.22R    0.05  
Leicester        25   35   +5      65.18     6.54     6.90     0.17     0.86    13.90     4.00P    0.46R    0.01  
Brighton         25   35   -2      61.21     6.51    -5.53     0.03     0.15     4.46     0.90P    2.00R    0.08  
Peterborough     25   33   +3      61.08     6.83     0.95     0.04     0.25     5.22     1.09P    2.65R    0.20  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      57.57     6.37    -9.52     0.01     0.03     1.26     0.23P    6.15R    0.38  
Portsmouth       24   31   +2      60.87     6.55     1.83     0.04     0.17     4.47     1.03P    2.14R    0.10  
Watford          25   30   -7      55.93     6.43   -11.58     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.11P   10.15R    0.91  
Bristol_City     25   27  -11      52.56     6.35   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   22.89R    3.13  
Ipswich          25   27  -14      51.58     6.49   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   29.16R    4.73  
Millwall         25   26   -4      52.96     6.35    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   19.15R    2.45  
Nott'm_Forest    25   24  -18      49.97     6.27   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.31R    6.81  
Doncaster        25   22  -21      42.56     5.98   -33.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.09R   41.53  
Coventry         25   19  -14      42.30     6.12   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.08R   39.53  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        24   54  +30      94.52     6.75    45.84    55.75    78.19    99.85    84.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       25   50  +22      88.30     6.63    36.59    16.93    42.31    98.65    60.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   49  +14      85.17     6.92    23.05     8.04    23.84    95.64    38.89P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    25   47  +26      86.46     6.53    42.47    11.86    33.01    97.77    55.75P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.36     6.85    35.45     7.32    21.98    95.41    42.07P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        25   41   +2      71.38     6.74     4.09     0.07     0.43    38.28     6.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       24   38  +12      68.15     6.81    12.15     0.02     0.15    23.61     3.79P    0.06R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +1      64.94     6.60     1.15     0.00     0.02    10.38     1.64P    0.26R    0.00  
Bournemouth     25   34   -1      64.12     6.65     0.86     0.00     0.01     8.80     1.71P    0.37R    0.00  
Bury            24   34   -4      60.82     6.88    -9.62     0.00     0.01     3.94     0.52P    1.85R    0.03  
Notts_County    24   32   +3      62.47     6.86     3.25     0.00     0.01     6.39     0.99P    0.90R    0.00  
Colchester      24   32   -4      62.32     6.85    -4.02     0.00     0.01     5.68     0.83P    1.11R    0.02  
Hartlepool      25   32   -4      57.56     6.49    -9.03     0.00     0.00     1.11     0.14P    4.04R    0.09  
Preston         24   32   -5      64.10     7.13    -2.49     0.00     0.04     9.59     1.85P    0.70R    0.01  
Oldham          24   31   -4      58.75     6.68    -7.81     0.00     0.00     1.90     0.25P    3.23R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient   25   31  -10      57.92     6.56   -13.15     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.14P    4.40R    0.09  
Tranmere        24   30   -3      58.48     6.68    -5.35     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.26P    3.63R    0.08  
Exeter          25   25  -15      47.97     6.34   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   41.98R    3.82  
Scunthorpe      24   23   -7      51.96     6.97    -9.40     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   19.93R    1.42  
Walsall         25   23   -7      48.07     6.42   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.18R    3.64  
Yeovil          25   21  -15      44.92     6.39   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    59.54R    9.75  
Wycombe         25   20  -18      41.99     6.43   -29.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.94R   20.85  
Rochdale        24   20  -18      46.20     6.72   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   52.59R    8.11  
Chesterfield    25   16  -18      37.19     6.40   -30.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.27R   52.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Hereford vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         24   50  +18      84.18     7.05    24.08    22.19    59.09    92.70    66.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             24   49  +20      86.47     6.81    31.07    35.42    73.00    96.63    79.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   49  +16      80.90     6.73    18.59    10.12    38.87    84.99    47.23P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              24   43  +19      83.36     6.77    34.17    20.44    58.22    92.66    70.67P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   42  +12      78.19     6.78    20.87     5.49    26.01    75.29    40.34P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           24   41  +12      76.86     6.85    20.73     3.88    21.03    68.97    33.84P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   41  +12      72.11     6.57    15.59     0.62     6.15    41.58    13.89P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   40   +0      66.63     6.64    -3.75     0.11     1.14    13.60     3.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   39   +8      70.43     6.63    11.98     0.42     4.04    31.58    10.64P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              24   38   +6      71.40     6.80    10.80     0.63     5.57    36.48    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   37   +5      70.91     6.94    10.65     0.59     5.07    35.03    12.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            25   35  +10      64.13     6.63    10.37     0.02     0.51     8.92     2.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale            25   35   +5      66.59     6.62     9.20     0.06     1.11    15.24     4.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Crewe                25   33   -5      62.77     6.62    -3.78     0.00     0.18     5.14     1.30P    0.09R    0.01  
Macclesfield         24   30   -3      56.33     6.59    -8.52     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.12P    1.60R    0.47  
Aldershot            24   27   -8      54.70     6.69   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    2.96R    0.89  
Bristol_Rovers       25   26  -16      51.07     6.62   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    9.32R    3.47  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   26  -16      47.53     6.55   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   23.08R   10.68  
Bradford             24   25   -5      51.17     6.65   -10.75     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    8.42R    3.14  
Barnet               24   23  -17      45.65     6.45   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.89R   16.38  
Hereford             25   22  -17      43.53     6.19   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.32R   24.51  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -16      48.54     6.80   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.69R    8.17  
Northampton          25   21  -19      45.98     6.49   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.91R   14.69  
Plymouth             25   18  -21      45.24     6.68   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.64R   17.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Cambridge_Utd vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     27   60  +30      93.50     6.08    41.98    29.03    98.93    46.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.35     6.09    46.40    51.05    99.70    65.40P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   54  +31      91.45     5.41    52.35    18.92    98.64    53.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          28   50   +7      76.34     6.04     9.37     0.07    31.81     3.32P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   49  +28      81.20     5.79    39.72     0.68    69.97    16.48P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   49  +13      77.93     6.04    19.52     0.21    44.85     7.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          28   48   -5      70.23     5.95    -9.45     0.00     6.93     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   46  +13      74.16     5.90    18.26     0.03    21.43     3.33P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            28   44  +10      73.00     5.98    16.74     0.01    17.14     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   42   +9      70.48     6.20    12.58     0.00     9.01     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             28   41   +1      64.00     5.90    -1.83     0.00     0.96     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   38  +11      61.38     5.85     9.14     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     28   38   -3      59.87     6.07    -8.30     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.46     6.26   -14.43     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.37R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.67     6.16    -7.36     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.02R    0.04  
Darlington         28   27   -5      53.35     5.85    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.09  
AFC_Telford        28   27  -13      47.08     5.95   -19.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.02R    1.39  
Lincoln_City       28   26  -15      52.31     6.06   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.00P    2.90R    0.22  
Stockport          29   23  -19      46.23     5.88   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.00R    2.19  
Newport_County     27   22  -10      47.32     6.11   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.36R    1.42  
Alfreton_Town      28   22  -29      36.48     5.39   -48.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.48R   40.25  
Kettering          28   22  -35      40.56     5.65   -45.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.78R   14.08  
Hayes_&_Yeading    27   21  -21      40.19     5.81   -33.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.89R   14.39  
Bath_City          27   18  -22      38.07     5.84   -32.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.76R   25.93  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10