Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 10 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2012, Everton vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        20   48  +40      86.48     5.44    63.62    60.86    92.05    98.24    99.67   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +29      84.18     5.25    53.95    35.42    85.48    96.15    99.16    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   42  +16      74.30     6.04    25.69     2.47    12.61    48.09    75.10    97.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   37  +14      72.68     5.61    32.08     1.04     7.51    37.78    69.79    97.35     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36   +8      68.41     5.93    20.62     0.19     1.93    13.71    35.33    88.75     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34   +6      65.26     5.87    15.59     0.01     0.39     5.20    17.29    76.03     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       20   33   +4      59.60     5.95     6.63     0.00     0.03     0.81     3.50    32.14     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           20   29   -9      49.65     5.62   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.73     0.33R    0.00  
Norwich         20   25   -5      43.55     5.76   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     5.25R    0.42  
Sunderland      20   24   +4      46.83     5.79     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.84     1.31R    0.07  
Everton         19   24   -2      50.32     6.09    -1.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     3.24     0.39R    0.01  
Swansea         20   23   -3      42.82     5.70   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     5.97R    0.52  
Aston_Villa     20   23   -4      46.11     5.85    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.63     2.07R    0.11  
Fulham          20   23   -4      47.36     5.78    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.92     1.12R    0.08  
West_Brom       20   22   -9      42.96     5.72   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     6.50R    0.59  
Wolverhampton   20   17  -14      35.54     5.63   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.00R   10.01  
QPR             20   17  -16      33.65     5.43   -29.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.55R   17.19  
Bolton          20   16  -18      35.26     5.60   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.40R   11.33  
Wigan           20   15  -23      30.36     5.27   -39.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.08R   41.48  
Blackburn       20   14  -14      33.30     5.63   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.02R   18.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2012, Bristol_City vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      25   47  +19      81.01     6.61    27.06    24.60    47.33    90.42    58.44P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   47  +17      83.52     6.58    28.46    39.03    62.51    95.06    72.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   45  +14      80.47     6.55    24.11    21.09    43.17    89.09    56.07P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   45   +7      75.83     6.44    10.25     6.03    16.44    68.44    27.26P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          25   39   +7      71.99     6.48    13.11     2.03     6.72    47.23    17.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             25   39   +1      68.38     6.28     2.30     0.52     1.97    24.19     6.44P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool        25   38   +8      72.69     6.76    16.86     3.10     9.34    53.21    21.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   38   +3      68.55     6.56     5.75     0.71     2.48    27.16     7.67P    0.10R    0.00  
Derby            25   37   -3      62.83     6.36    -7.45     0.05     0.26     6.51     1.21P    1.06R    0.03  
Burnley          25   36   +4      65.90     6.49     5.47     0.20     1.02    16.31     4.39P    0.30R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   25   36   +0      62.08     6.27    -3.30     0.04     0.16     5.19     1.00P    1.15R    0.05  
Leicester        25   35   +5      65.09     6.57     6.77     0.20     0.83    13.79     3.79P    0.49R    0.03  
Brighton         25   35   -2      61.16     6.46    -5.63     0.03     0.14     4.26     0.89P    1.93R    0.09  
Birmingham       23   34   +6      71.54     6.97    14.70     2.34     7.24    46.12    18.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   33   +3      61.21     6.82     1.12     0.04     0.21     5.75     1.16P    2.52R    0.13  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      57.47     6.38    -9.69     0.00     0.03     1.31     0.22P    6.76R    0.49  
Portsmouth       24   31   +2      60.92     6.54     1.88     0.02     0.13     4.64     1.12P    2.11R    0.10  
Watford          25   30   -7      56.17     6.43   -11.25     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.13P    9.74R    0.81  
Bristol_City     25   27  -11      52.56     6.30   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   22.94R    3.09  
Ipswich          24   27  -13      52.19     6.66   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P   27.24R    4.31  
Millwall         25   26   -4      52.92     6.39    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P   19.84R    2.59  
Nott'm_Forest    25   24  -18      49.91     6.28   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   39.20R    7.13  
Doncaster        25   22  -21      42.48     6.06   -33.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.22R   42.08  
Coventry         25   19  -14      42.34     6.10   -21.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.25R   39.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        24   54  +30      94.54     6.72    45.82    55.87    78.04    99.86    84.58P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       25   50  +22      88.22     6.66    36.50    16.59    41.68    98.67    59.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   49  +14      85.27     6.97    23.24     8.33    24.18    95.61    39.56P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    25   47  +26      86.52     6.50    42.56    11.84    33.44    97.98    56.27P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.34     6.85    35.47     7.27    21.99    95.33    41.66P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        25   41   +2      71.32     6.70     4.01     0.06     0.40    38.25     6.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       24   38  +12      68.19     6.83    12.20     0.03     0.16    23.63     3.90P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +1      64.81     6.57     1.02     0.00     0.03     9.99     1.52P    0.31R    0.00  
Bournemouth     25   34   -1      64.03     6.66     0.67     0.00     0.02     8.62     1.52P    0.37R    0.00  
Bury            24   34   -4      60.79     6.89    -9.75     0.00     0.01     3.87     0.45P    1.91R    0.02  
Notts_County    24   32   +3      62.47     6.84     3.28     0.00     0.01     6.40     0.97P    0.89R    0.01  
Colchester      24   32   -4      62.33     6.90    -3.97     0.00     0.01     5.78     0.96P    1.12R    0.00  
Hartlepool      25   32   -4      57.77     6.50    -8.72     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.17P    3.82R    0.06  
Preston         24   32   -5      64.14     7.10    -2.38     0.00     0.03     9.80     1.93P    0.66R    0.00  
Oldham          24   31   -4      58.69     6.72    -7.92     0.00     0.00     1.93     0.28P    3.51R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient   25   31  -10      57.91     6.55   -13.15     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.13P    4.31R    0.14  
Tranmere        24   30   -3      58.54     6.67    -5.28     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.25P    3.55R    0.10  
Exeter          25   25  -15      48.00     6.35   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.69R    3.71  
Scunthorpe      24   23   -7      52.17     7.02    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   19.13R    1.44  
Walsall         25   23   -7      48.01     6.46   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    38.41R    3.71  
Yeovil          25   21  -15      45.05     6.37   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.79R    9.03  
Wycombe         25   20  -18      42.02     6.41   -29.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.03R   20.67  
Rochdale        24   20  -18      45.98     6.64   -24.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.65R    8.15  
Chesterfield    25   16  -18      37.00     6.40   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.78R   52.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Hereford vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         24   50  +18      84.33     7.03    24.34    22.68    60.16    93.03    67.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             24   49  +21      86.64     6.79    32.38    36.29    73.96    96.90    80.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   49  +16      80.85     6.78    18.49     9.80    38.43    84.89    46.94P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              24   43  +19      83.31     6.75    34.13    19.78    57.64    92.61    70.26P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   42  +11      78.06     6.81    19.70     5.13    25.40    74.44    39.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           24   41  +12      76.82     6.87    20.66     3.90    20.74    68.58    33.59P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   41  +12      72.14     6.55    15.60     0.68     6.23    41.58    14.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   40   +0      66.47     6.62    -3.95     0.07     1.01    13.08     2.96P    0.01R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   25   39   +8      70.59     6.57    12.21     0.39     4.08    32.51    10.92P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              24   38   +6      71.36     6.87    10.74     0.63     5.60    36.47    13.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            24   37   +5      70.92     6.87    10.61     0.55     4.88    34.67    12.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            25   35  +10      64.16     6.65    10.41     0.02     0.51     9.24     2.40P    0.03R    0.00  
Port_Vale            25   35   +5      66.66     6.61     9.34     0.06     1.08    15.46     4.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                25   33   -5      62.81     6.66    -3.69     0.01     0.25     5.35     1.33P    0.12R    0.01  
Macclesfield         24   30   -3      56.38     6.58    -8.43     0.00     0.02     0.65     0.15P    1.42R    0.37  
Aldershot            24   27   -8      54.68     6.63   -11.57     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    3.10R    0.93  
Bristol_Rovers       25   26  -16      51.13     6.69   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    9.37R    3.52  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   26  -16      47.37     6.48   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    23.58R   10.87  
Bradford             24   25   -5      51.32     6.66   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    7.99R    3.09  
Barnet               24   23  -17      45.58     6.48   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.92R   16.43  
Hereford             25   22  -17      43.47     6.16   -28.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.48R   24.83  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -16      48.51     6.84   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.50R    8.09  
Northampton          25   21  -19      45.97     6.46   -25.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.61R   14.22  
Plymouth             25   18  -21      45.21     6.73   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.85R   17.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Cambridge_Utd vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Fleetwood_Town     27   60  +30      93.50     6.08    41.98    28.94    98.91    46.85P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.35     6.09    46.43    51.30    99.71    65.65P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   54  +31      91.47     5.42    52.41    18.87    98.59    53.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          28   50   +7      76.30     6.03     9.33     0.07    31.65     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   49  +28      81.19     5.80    39.77     0.59    70.13    16.15P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   49  +13      77.91     6.02    19.46     0.20    44.69     6.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          28   48   -5      70.25     6.02    -9.44     0.00     7.21     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   46  +13      74.14     5.96    18.21     0.02    21.47     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            28   44  +10      72.92     5.95    16.57     0.01    16.69     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   42   +9      70.68     6.19    12.95     0.01     9.40     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             28   41   +1      64.00     5.92    -1.81     0.00     1.00     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   38  +11      61.34     5.86     9.10     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     28   38   -3      59.79     6.02    -8.46     0.00     0.16     0.01P    0.07R    0.00  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.50     6.27   -14.40     0.00     0.08     0.00P    0.41R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.68     6.18    -7.29     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.99R    0.04  
Darlington         28   27   -5      53.27     5.90    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59R    0.11  
AFC_Telford        28   27  -13      47.24     5.95   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.25R    1.23  
Lincoln_City       28   26  -15      52.27     6.05   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.25  
Stockport          29   23  -19      46.04     5.88   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.79R    2.42  
Newport_County     27   22  -10      47.42     6.15   -11.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.23R    1.48  
Alfreton_Town      28   22  -29      36.47     5.34   -48.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.60R   39.76  
Kettering          28   22  -35      40.53     5.65   -45.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.71R   14.41  
Hayes_&_Yeading    27   21  -21      40.15     5.84   -33.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.05R   14.85  
Bath_City          27   18  -22      38.13     5.86   -32.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.52R   25.44  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10