Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 10 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2012, Everton vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 20 48 +40 86.48 5.44 63.62 60.86 92.05 98.24 99.67 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 45 +29 84.18 5.25 53.95 35.42 85.48 96.15 99.16 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 19 42 +16 74.30 6.04 25.69 2.47 12.61 48.09 75.10 97.92 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 37 +14 72.68 5.61 32.08 1.04 7.51 37.78 69.79 97.35 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 36 +8 68.41 5.93 20.62 0.19 1.93 13.71 35.33 88.75 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 34 +6 65.26 5.87 15.59 0.01 0.39 5.20 17.29 76.03 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 20 33 +4 59.60 5.95 6.63 0.00 0.03 0.81 3.50 32.14 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 20 29 -9 49.65 5.62 -15.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.73 0.33R 0.00 Norwich 20 25 -5 43.55 5.76 -16.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 5.25R 0.42 Sunderland 20 24 +4 46.83 5.79 0.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.84 1.31R 0.07 Everton 19 24 -2 50.32 6.09 -1.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 3.24 0.39R 0.01 Swansea 20 23 -3 42.82 5.70 -10.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 5.97R 0.52 Aston_Villa 20 23 -4 46.11 5.85 -6.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.63 2.07R 0.11 Fulham 20 23 -4 47.36 5.78 -4.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.92 1.12R 0.08 West_Brom 20 22 -9 42.96 5.72 -16.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 6.50R 0.59 Wolverhampton 20 17 -14 35.54 5.63 -24.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.00R 10.01 QPR 20 17 -16 33.65 5.43 -29.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.55R 17.19 Bolton 20 16 -18 35.26 5.60 -28.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.40R 11.33 Wigan 20 15 -23 30.36 5.27 -39.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.08R 41.48 Blackburn 20 14 -14 33.30 5.63 -24.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.02R 18.19Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2012, Bristol_City vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 25 47 +19 81.01 6.61 27.06 24.60 47.33 90.42 58.44P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 25 47 +17 83.52 6.58 28.46 39.03 62.51 95.06 72.63P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 25 45 +14 80.47 6.55 24.11 21.09 43.17 89.09 56.07P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 25 45 +7 75.83 6.44 10.25 6.03 16.44 68.44 27.26P 0.00 0.00 Reading 25 39 +7 71.99 6.48 13.11 2.03 6.72 47.23 17.30P 0.01R 0.00 Hull 25 39 +1 68.38 6.28 2.30 0.52 1.97 24.19 6.44P 0.07R 0.00 Blackpool 25 38 +8 72.69 6.76 16.86 3.10 9.34 53.21 21.35P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds_United 25 38 +3 68.55 6.56 5.75 0.71 2.48 27.16 7.67P 0.10R 0.00 Derby 25 37 -3 62.83 6.36 -7.45 0.05 0.26 6.51 1.21P 1.06R 0.03 Burnley 25 36 +4 65.90 6.49 5.47 0.20 1.02 16.31 4.39P 0.30R 0.02 Crystal_Palace 25 36 +0 62.08 6.27 -3.30 0.04 0.16 5.19 1.00P 1.15R 0.05 Leicester 25 35 +5 65.09 6.57 6.77 0.20 0.83 13.79 3.79P 0.49R 0.03 Brighton 25 35 -2 61.16 6.46 -5.63 0.03 0.14 4.26 0.89P 1.93R 0.09 Birmingham 23 34 +6 71.54 6.97 14.70 2.34 7.24 46.12 18.83P 0.03R 0.00 Peterborough 25 33 +3 61.21 6.82 1.12 0.04 0.21 5.75 1.16P 2.52R 0.13 Barnsley 25 33 -3 57.47 6.38 -9.69 0.00 0.03 1.31 0.22P 6.76R 0.49 Portsmouth 24 31 +2 60.92 6.54 1.88 0.02 0.13 4.64 1.12P 2.11R 0.10 Watford 25 30 -7 56.17 6.43 -11.25 0.00 0.02 0.74 0.13P 9.74R 0.81 Bristol_City 25 27 -11 52.56 6.30 -15.58 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.01P 22.94R 3.09 Ipswich 24 27 -13 52.19 6.66 -21.14 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 27.24R 4.31 Millwall 25 26 -4 52.92 6.39 -6.21 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06P 19.84R 2.59 Nott'm_Forest 25 24 -18 49.91 6.28 -22.08 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 39.20R 7.13 Doncaster 25 22 -21 42.48 6.06 -33.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.22R 42.08 Coventry 25 19 -14 42.34 6.10 -21.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.25R 39.05League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Sheff_Utd vs Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 24 54 +30 94.54 6.72 45.82 55.87 78.04 99.86 84.58P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 25 50 +22 88.22 6.66 36.50 16.59 41.68 98.67 59.82P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 24 49 +14 85.27 6.97 23.24 8.33 24.18 95.61 39.56P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 25 47 +26 86.52 6.50 42.56 11.84 33.44 97.98 56.27P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 24 46 +23 84.34 6.85 35.47 7.27 21.99 95.33 41.66P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 25 41 +2 71.32 6.70 4.01 0.06 0.40 38.25 6.00P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 24 38 +12 68.19 6.83 12.20 0.03 0.16 23.63 3.90P 0.05R 0.00 Brentford 25 36 +1 64.81 6.57 1.02 0.00 0.03 9.99 1.52P 0.31R 0.00 Bournemouth 25 34 -1 64.03 6.66 0.67 0.00 0.02 8.62 1.52P 0.37R 0.00 Bury 24 34 -4 60.79 6.89 -9.75 0.00 0.01 3.87 0.45P 1.91R 0.02 Notts_County 24 32 +3 62.47 6.84 3.28 0.00 0.01 6.40 0.97P 0.89R 0.01 Colchester 24 32 -4 62.33 6.90 -3.97 0.00 0.01 5.78 0.96P 1.12R 0.00 Hartlepool 25 32 -4 57.77 6.50 -8.72 0.00 0.00 1.25 0.17P 3.82R 0.06 Preston 24 32 -5 64.14 7.10 -2.38 0.00 0.03 9.80 1.93P 0.66R 0.00 Oldham 24 31 -4 58.69 6.72 -7.92 0.00 0.00 1.93 0.28P 3.51R 0.06 Leyton_Orient 25 31 -10 57.91 6.55 -13.15 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.13P 4.31R 0.14 Tranmere 24 30 -3 58.54 6.67 -5.28 0.00 0.00 1.68 0.25P 3.55R 0.10 Exeter 25 25 -15 48.00 6.35 -24.21 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 41.69R 3.71 Scunthorpe 24 23 -7 52.17 7.02 -9.08 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 19.13R 1.44 Walsall 25 23 -7 48.01 6.46 -12.86 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 38.41R 3.71 Yeovil 25 21 -15 45.05 6.37 -22.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.79R 9.03 Wycombe 25 20 -18 42.02 6.41 -29.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.03R 20.67 Rochdale 24 20 -18 45.98 6.64 -24.56 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 53.65R 8.15 Chesterfield 25 16 -18 37.00 6.40 -31.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.78R 52.89League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Hereford vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Crawley_Town 24 50 +18 84.33 7.03 24.34 22.68 60.16 93.03 67.21P 0.00 0.00 Southend 24 49 +21 86.64 6.79 32.38 36.29 73.96 96.90 80.48P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 24 49 +16 80.85 6.78 18.49 9.80 38.43 84.89 46.94P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 24 43 +19 83.31 6.75 34.13 19.78 57.64 92.61 70.26P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 24 42 +11 78.06 6.81 19.70 5.13 25.40 74.44 39.26P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 24 41 +12 76.82 6.87 20.66 3.90 20.74 68.58 33.59P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 41 +12 72.14 6.55 15.60 0.68 6.23 41.58 14.18P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 25 40 +0 66.47 6.62 -3.95 0.07 1.01 13.08 2.96P 0.01R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 25 39 +8 70.59 6.57 12.21 0.39 4.08 32.51 10.92P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 24 38 +6 71.36 6.87 10.74 0.63 5.60 36.47 13.45P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 24 37 +5 70.92 6.87 10.61 0.55 4.88 34.67 12.25P 0.00R 0.00 Morecambe 25 35 +10 64.16 6.65 10.41 0.02 0.51 9.24 2.40P 0.03R 0.00 Port_Vale 25 35 +5 66.66 6.61 9.34 0.06 1.08 15.46 4.52P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 25 33 -5 62.81 6.66 -3.69 0.01 0.25 5.35 1.33P 0.12R 0.01 Macclesfield 24 30 -3 56.38 6.58 -8.43 0.00 0.02 0.65 0.15P 1.42R 0.37 Aldershot 24 27 -8 54.68 6.63 -11.57 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.06P 3.10R 0.93 Bristol_Rovers 25 26 -16 51.13 6.69 -22.38 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 9.37R 3.52 AFC_Wimbledon 24 26 -16 47.37 6.48 -30.96 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 23.58R 10.87 Bradford 24 25 -5 51.32 6.66 -10.55 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 7.99R 3.09 Barnet 24 23 -17 45.58 6.48 -29.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 31.92R 16.43 Hereford 25 22 -17 43.47 6.16 -28.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.48R 24.83 Dag_&_Red 24 21 -16 48.51 6.84 -20.24 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 17.50R 8.09 Northampton 25 21 -19 45.97 6.46 -25.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.61R 14.22 Plymouth 25 18 -21 45.21 6.73 -23.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.85R 17.63Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 January 2012, Cambridge_Utd vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 27 60 +30 93.50 6.08 41.98 28.94 98.91 46.85P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 26 59 +31 96.35 6.09 46.43 51.30 99.71 65.65P 0.00 0.00 Luton 28 54 +31 91.47 5.42 52.41 18.87 98.59 53.22P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 28 50 +7 76.30 6.03 9.33 0.07 31.65 3.15P 0.00 0.00 York 28 49 +28 81.19 5.80 39.77 0.59 70.13 16.15P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 49 +13 77.91 6.02 19.46 0.20 44.69 6.91P 0.00 0.00 Southport 28 48 -5 70.25 6.02 -9.44 0.00 7.21 0.44P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 46 +13 74.14 5.96 18.21 0.02 21.47 3.46P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 28 44 +10 72.92 5.95 16.57 0.01 16.69 2.71P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 27 42 +9 70.68 6.19 12.95 0.01 9.40 1.33P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 28 41 +1 64.00 5.92 -1.81 0.00 1.00 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 28 38 +11 61.34 5.86 9.10 0.00 0.32 0.05P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 38 -3 59.79 6.02 -8.46 0.00 0.16 0.01P 0.07R 0.00 Tamworth 25 34 -4 56.50 6.27 -14.40 0.00 0.08 0.00P 0.41R 0.01 Ebbsfleet_United 27 31 -3 54.68 6.18 -7.29 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.99R 0.04 Darlington 28 27 -5 53.27 5.90 -2.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.59R 0.11 AFC_Telford 28 27 -13 47.24 5.95 -19.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.25R 1.23 Lincoln_City 28 26 -15 52.27 6.05 -12.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.79R 0.25 Stockport 29 23 -19 46.04 5.88 -19.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.79R 2.42 Newport_County 27 22 -10 47.42 6.15 -11.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.23R 1.48 Alfreton_Town 28 22 -29 36.47 5.34 -48.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.60R 39.76 Kettering 28 22 -35 40.53 5.65 -45.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.71R 14.41 Hayes_&_Yeading 27 21 -21 40.15 5.84 -33.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.05R 14.85 Bath_City 27 18 -22 38.13 5.86 -32.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.52R 25.44 Adjustments: Darlington -10