Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 9 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2012, Everton vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        20   48  +40      86.45     5.45    63.52    60.15    92.22    98.25    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +29      84.25     5.26    54.07    36.23    85.72    96.35    99.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   42  +16      74.24     6.00    25.62     2.40    12.34    47.59    74.99    97.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   37  +14      72.59     5.60    31.88     0.97     7.22    37.82    69.55    97.47     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36   +8      68.30     5.97    20.41     0.22     2.02    13.90    35.38    88.55     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34   +6      65.16     5.89    15.41     0.03     0.45     5.27    17.29    75.47     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       20   33   +4      59.64     5.96     6.68     0.00     0.04     0.78     3.66    32.43     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           20   29   -9      49.69     5.66   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.87     0.33R    0.00  
Norwich         20   25   -5      43.76     5.80   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     5.00R    0.39  
Sunderland      20   24   +4      46.74     5.80     0.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.88     1.35R    0.08  
Everton         19   24   -2      50.32     6.12    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     3.35     0.37R    0.02  
Swansea         20   23   -3      42.92     5.73    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     5.61R    0.52  
Aston_Villa     20   23   -4      46.10     5.88    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.66     2.01R    0.12  
Fulham          20   23   -4      47.26     5.77    -4.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.85     1.21R    0.04  
West_Brom       20   22   -9      43.02     5.73   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     6.40R    0.59  
Wolverhampton   20   17  -14      35.48     5.69   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.54R   10.41  
QPR             20   17  -16      33.64     5.40   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.65R   16.70  
Bolton          20   16  -18      35.27     5.68   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.45R   11.75  
Wigan           20   15  -23      30.38     5.26   -39.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.85R   41.00  
Blackburn       20   14  -14      33.31     5.66   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.23R   18.38  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2012, Bristol_City vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      25   47  +19      80.98     6.63    26.94    24.81    47.62    90.12    58.41P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   47  +17      83.37     6.63    28.20    38.41    61.83    94.76    71.85P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   45  +14      80.41     6.51    24.00    21.15    42.98    89.02    55.73P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   45   +7      75.79     6.42    10.22     6.07    16.30    68.13    27.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          25   39   +7      72.01     6.50    13.12     2.01     6.77    47.85    17.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             25   39   +1      68.33     6.28     2.18     0.49     1.94    23.86     6.36P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackpool        25   38   +8      72.56     6.74    16.62     3.20     9.32    52.35    20.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   38   +3      68.64     6.56     5.86     0.74     2.70    27.47     7.78P    0.08R    0.00  
Derby            25   37   -3      62.91     6.37    -7.33     0.06     0.30     6.52     1.27P    1.08R    0.04  
Burnley          25   36   +4      65.92     6.49     5.48     0.24     1.09    16.09     4.29P    0.32R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   36   +0      62.08     6.22    -3.29     0.04     0.17     4.96     0.90P    1.10R    0.02  
Leicester        25   35   +5      65.13     6.56     6.87     0.21     0.86    14.29     4.00P    0.44R    0.02  
Brighton         25   35   -2      61.21     6.46    -5.50     0.02     0.14     4.50     0.91P    2.00R    0.07  
Birmingham       23   34   +6      71.72     6.93    14.95     2.47     7.55    46.93    19.54P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   33   +3      61.27     6.80     1.28     0.05     0.25     5.79     1.22P    2.44R    0.15  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      57.40     6.39    -9.79     0.00     0.03     1.25     0.20P    6.60R    0.43  
Portsmouth       24   31   +2      60.95     6.51     1.89     0.03     0.14     4.66     1.18P    2.14R    0.10  
Watford          25   30   -7      56.06     6.44   -11.46     0.00     0.02     0.84     0.18P   10.23R    0.82  
Bristol_City     25   27  -11      52.56     6.33   -15.55     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   22.88R    3.06  
Ipswich          24   27  -13      52.22     6.67   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   26.83R    4.22  
Millwall         25   26   -4      52.95     6.37    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   19.57R    2.44  
Nott'm_Forest    25   24  -18      49.95     6.23   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   38.75R    6.94  
Doncaster        25   22  -21      42.47     6.02   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.58R   42.43  
Coventry         25   19  -14      42.29     6.05   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.85R   39.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 January 2012, Carlisle vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        24   54  +30      94.53     6.74    45.82    58.58    79.53    99.89    85.71P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   49  +14      85.13     6.94    23.01     8.76    25.50    95.62    40.45P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    25   47  +26      86.54     6.53    42.53    12.72    36.10    97.92    58.21P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       24   47  +18      86.50     6.89    32.25    12.18    34.44    97.42    53.74P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.34     6.81    35.38     7.65    23.58    95.49    43.27P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle        25   41   +2      71.17     6.71     3.81     0.07     0.49    37.32     5.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Stevenage       24   38  +12      68.20     6.83    12.23     0.04     0.22    24.31     4.23P    0.07R    0.00  
Brentford       25   36   +1      64.91     6.57     1.17     0.00     0.02    10.50     1.66P    0.26R    0.00  
Bournemouth     25   34   -1      64.09     6.66     0.82     0.00     0.02     8.78     1.69P    0.43R    0.00  
Bury            24   34   -4      60.76     6.89    -9.73     0.00     0.00     3.88     0.51P    1.99R    0.03  
Notts_County    24   32   +3      62.59     6.89     3.45     0.00     0.03     6.80     1.14P    0.92R    0.01  
Colchester      24   32   -4      62.37     6.86    -3.90     0.00     0.01     5.92     0.92P    1.28R    0.02  
Hartlepool      25   32   -4      57.64     6.45    -8.94     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.12P    4.33R    0.07  
Preston         24   32   -5      63.96     7.12    -2.69     0.00     0.04     9.59     1.69P    0.78R    0.01  
Oldham          24   31   -4      58.81     6.72    -7.66     0.00     0.00     2.07     0.27P    3.54R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient   25   31  -10      57.96     6.57   -13.03     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.17P    4.75R    0.08  
Tranmere        24   30   -3      58.48     6.68    -5.34     0.00     0.00     1.75     0.29P    3.77R    0.11  
Exeter          25   25  -15      48.06     6.34   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   42.75R    3.76  
Scunthorpe      24   23   -7      51.98     6.97    -9.31     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   20.93R    1.45  
Walsall         25   23   -7      48.12     6.46   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   39.12R    3.86  
Yeovil          24   21  -11      46.35     6.59   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.17R    7.09  
Wycombe         25   20  -18      42.05     6.42   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.88R   21.40  
Rochdale        24   20  -18      46.09     6.61   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.85R    8.21  
Chesterfield    25   16  -18      37.04     6.42   -31.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.15R   53.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 January 2012, Aldershot vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         24   50  +18      84.16     7.07    24.07    22.49    59.24    92.58    66.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             24   49  +20      86.35     6.81    30.91    34.46    72.19    96.51    79.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   49  +16      80.98     6.78    18.73    10.30    39.21    85.04    47.68P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              24   43  +19      83.39     6.77    34.23    20.61    58.30    92.69    70.84P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   42  +12      78.18     6.79    20.87     5.41    26.04    75.14    40.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           24   41  +12      76.96     6.86    20.85     4.14    21.36    69.61    34.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   41  +12      72.22     6.52    15.74     0.70     6.36    41.93    14.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   40   +0      66.58     6.60    -3.80     0.11     1.07    13.20     3.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   25   39   +8      70.44     6.56    12.02     0.38     3.91    31.27    10.35P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              24   38   +6      71.28     6.83    10.61     0.63     5.30    36.31    13.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            24   37   +5      71.04     6.90    10.79     0.65     5.21    35.30    12.55P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            25   35  +10      64.12     6.65    10.37     0.02     0.56     9.02     2.41P    0.03R    0.01  
Port_Vale            25   35   +5      66.56     6.59     9.16     0.09     1.00    14.81     4.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                25   33   -5      62.87     6.64    -3.62     0.01     0.23     5.41     1.43P    0.12R    0.04  
Macclesfield         24   30   -3      56.47     6.58    -8.31     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.12P    1.48R    0.45  
Aldershot            24   27   -8      54.68     6.66   -11.53     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    3.09R    1.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   26  -16      47.50     6.48   -30.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    23.27R   10.81  
Bradford             24   25   -5      51.24     6.65   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.38R    3.22  
Bristol_Rovers       24   23  -17      49.18     6.86   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   16.14R    7.37  
Barnet               24   23  -17      45.49     6.44   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.90R   17.19  
Hereford             24   22  -16      45.11     6.42   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.21R   18.16  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -16      48.49     6.83   -20.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.93R    8.24  
Northampton          25   21  -19      45.94     6.49   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.36R   15.14  
Plymouth             25   18  -21      45.17     6.68   -23.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.06R   18.32  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 January 2012, AFC_Telford vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.35     6.02    46.43    55.45    99.69    68.73P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     26   57  +27      92.26     6.27    39.48    24.87    97.84    42.51P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   51  +30      90.76     5.64    53.03    18.18    97.86    52.06P    0.00     0.00  
York               28   49  +28      81.24     5.82    39.80     0.78    69.62    16.85P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   49  +14      79.53     6.28    20.82     0.58    54.41     8.75P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          28   48   -5      70.17     5.97    -9.56     0.00     6.48     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          27   47   +6      74.39     6.20     7.86     0.03    21.21     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   46  +14      75.96     6.17    19.91     0.10    31.47     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   42   +9      70.65     6.19    12.91     0.01     8.99     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            27   41   +9      70.88     6.20    14.94     0.01    10.25     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             27   41   +4      65.15     6.12     0.75     0.00     1.63     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   38  +11      61.24     5.85     8.93     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     28   38   -3      59.83     6.04    -8.35     0.00     0.17     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.49     6.31   -14.41     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.44R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.78     6.26    -7.11     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.05R    0.04  
Darlington         28   27   -5      53.37     5.89    -2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.54R    0.10  
AFC_Telford        28   27  -13      47.19     5.97   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.87R    1.39  
Lincoln_City       28   26  -15      52.22     6.05   -12.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.90R    0.21  
Stockport          28   23  -18      46.61     6.01   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.14R    2.02  
Newport_County     27   22  -10      47.42     6.14   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.13R    1.42  
Alfreton_Town      28   22  -29      36.44     5.36   -48.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.79R   40.11  
Kettering          28   22  -35      40.53     5.68   -45.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.07R   14.43  
Hayes_&_Yeading    27   21  -21      40.19     5.81   -33.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.18R   14.46  
Bath_City          27   18  -22      38.11     5.87   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.84R   25.81  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10