Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 5 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2012, Everton vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        20   48  +40      86.49     5.43    63.53    61.19    92.22    98.24    99.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +29      84.10     5.26    53.79    35.01    85.10    96.14    99.20    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   42  +16      74.28     6.04    25.70     2.54    12.67    47.92    75.32    97.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   37  +14      72.70     5.60    32.13     1.03     7.56    38.14    70.13    97.48     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36   +8      68.29     5.91    20.39     0.21     1.95    13.41    34.65    88.58     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34   +6      65.22     5.84    15.52     0.02     0.45     5.29    17.18    76.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       20   33   +4      59.64     5.97     6.63     0.00     0.04     0.84     3.67    32.14     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           20   29   -9      49.67     5.65   -15.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.85     0.36R    0.01  
Norwich         20   25   -5      43.64     5.82   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     5.16R    0.40  
Sunderland      20   24   +4      46.72     5.81     0.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.92     1.20R    0.06  
Everton         19   24   -2      50.31     6.11    -1.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     3.20     0.36R    0.01  
Swansea         20   23   -3      42.85     5.66   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     5.92R    0.52  
Aston_Villa     20   23   -4      46.19     5.88    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.69     1.98R    0.11  
Fulham          20   23   -4      47.37     5.74    -4.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.82     1.07R    0.08  
West_Brom       20   22   -9      42.97     5.75   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     6.60R    0.64  
Wolverhampton   20   17  -14      35.49     5.64   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.23R   10.21  
QPR             20   17  -16      33.64     5.43   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.53R   17.08  
Bolton          20   16  -18      35.30     5.63   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.31R   11.37  
Wigan           20   15  -23      30.35     5.28   -39.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.20R   41.31  
Blackburn       20   14  -14      33.31     5.66   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.06R   18.19  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2012, Bristol_City vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      25   47  +19      80.87     6.69    26.84    23.98    46.47    89.51    57.32P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   47  +17      83.60     6.55    28.56    39.44    62.99    95.12    73.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   45  +14      80.61     6.52    24.32    21.35    43.77    89.29    56.43P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   45   +7      75.76     6.40    10.15     5.84    15.88    68.08    26.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading          25   39   +7      72.08     6.51    13.25     2.07     6.69    48.11    18.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Hull             25   39   +1      68.33     6.25     2.21     0.41     1.82    24.01     6.33P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackpool        25   38   +8      72.58     6.76    16.70     3.12     9.24    52.40    20.85P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   38   +3      68.68     6.53     5.89     0.67     2.52    27.50     7.59P    0.07R    0.01  
Derby            25   37   -3      62.78     6.36    -7.53     0.04     0.25     6.31     1.14P    1.06R    0.05  
Burnley          25   36   +4      65.92     6.55     5.48     0.29     1.08    16.27     4.34P    0.35R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   36   +0      61.89     6.20    -3.57     0.03     0.16     4.56     0.91P    1.21R    0.04  
Leicester        25   35   +5      65.18     6.54     6.94     0.21     0.87    14.21     3.97P    0.42R    0.02  
Brighton         25   35   -2      61.26     6.50    -5.43     0.03     0.16     4.62     0.98P    1.99R    0.08  
Birmingham       23   34   +6      71.72     6.98    15.00     2.42     7.64    47.09    19.56P    0.05R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   33   +3      61.07     6.87     0.88     0.07     0.25     5.66     1.11P    2.73R    0.17  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      57.51     6.33    -9.60     0.01     0.03     1.29     0.22P    6.41R    0.39  
Portsmouth       24   31   +2      60.83     6.54     1.76     0.02     0.18     4.63     1.11P    2.03R    0.08  
Watford          25   30   -7      55.97     6.44   -11.58     0.00     0.01     0.71     0.15P   10.13R    0.90  
Bristol_City     25   27  -11      52.58     6.36   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   23.14R    3.12  
Ipswich          24   27  -13      52.20     6.63   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   27.10R    4.23  
Millwall         25   26   -4      52.89     6.36    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   19.74R    2.51  
Nott'm_Forest    25   24  -18      50.02     6.28   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   38.57R    7.03  
Doncaster        25   22  -21      42.53     6.04   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.38R   41.94  
Coventry         25   19  -14      42.31     6.09   -21.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.51R   39.44  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Bournemouth vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        24   54  +30      94.58     6.73    45.89    61.19    81.91    99.87    87.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   49  +14      85.10     6.97    22.98     9.02    27.53    95.79    42.39P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       24   47  +18      86.49     6.88    32.18    13.03    36.76    97.58    55.42P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.38     6.85    35.49     8.49    26.78    95.73    46.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    24   44  +20      84.33     6.76    35.58     8.18    26.24    95.81    49.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   38  +12      68.25     6.85    12.27     0.03     0.28    26.16     4.44P    0.08R    0.00  
Carlisle        24   38   -1      69.03     6.90     0.00     0.04     0.27    27.44     4.16P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       24   35   +1      65.13     6.77     1.00     0.00     0.05    12.60     1.99P    0.35R    0.00  
Bury            24   34   -4      60.71     6.89    -9.77     0.00     0.01     4.16     0.61P    2.41R    0.06  
Bournemouth     24   33   -1      64.70     6.85     1.20     0.01     0.06    11.81     2.33P    0.49R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   32   +3      62.53     6.89     3.39     0.00     0.02     7.47     1.19P    1.10R    0.01  
Colchester      24   32   -4      62.30     6.91    -4.06     0.00     0.02     6.48     1.06P    1.51R    0.03  
Preston         24   32   -5      64.01     7.09    -2.57     0.01     0.07    10.38     1.94P    0.89R    0.03  
Oldham          24   31   -4      58.83     6.69    -7.63     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.34P    3.83R    0.12  
Leyton_Orient   24   31   -7      59.75     6.79    -9.28     0.00     0.00     2.83     0.41P    3.15R    0.09  
Tranmere        23   29   -3      58.68     6.91    -5.52     0.00     0.00     2.46     0.38P    4.33R    0.16  
Hartlepool      24   29   -6      55.47     6.71   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.12P   10.20R    0.51  
Scunthorpe      24   23   -7      51.93     7.03    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   22.27R    2.32  
Walsall         24   22   -7      48.17     6.66   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   41.10R    5.61  
Exeter          24   22  -17      45.85     6.59   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.46R   11.36  
Yeovil          24   21  -11      46.40     6.60   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   52.61R    9.09  
Wycombe         24   20  -12      44.14     6.74   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.58R   17.10  
Rochdale        23   20  -16      47.91     6.86   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   44.89R    7.19  
Chesterfield    24   16  -16      39.07     6.69   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.69R   46.30  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         24   50  +18      84.25     7.04    24.22    24.94    61.19    92.89    68.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   49  +16      80.93     6.76    18.62    11.52    40.51    85.14    48.74P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             23   46  +18      84.64     7.03    28.80    27.93    64.42    93.91    72.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              24   43  +19      83.39     6.75    34.21    22.41    59.99    92.83    71.92P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   42  +11      78.06     6.77    19.68     5.74    26.75    74.78    40.56P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           24   41  +12      77.00     6.87    20.95     4.74    22.95    70.27    35.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        24   40   +2      68.42     6.83    -1.08     0.32     2.46    20.98     5.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   38   +9      69.82     6.77    11.64     0.43     3.78    29.09     9.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              24   38   +6      71.20     6.82    10.50     0.68     5.50    36.01    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   37   +5      71.04     6.91    10.84     0.68     5.62    35.84    13.26P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   36   +6      68.45     6.78     9.47     0.26     2.51    23.09     7.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            24   35  +11      66.43     6.83    12.75     0.16     1.54    16.30     4.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            24   35   +8      68.32     6.75    12.78     0.19     2.55    23.06     7.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         24   30   -3      56.28     6.55    -8.59     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.10P    1.51R    0.38  
Crewe                24   30   -6      61.37     6.86    -4.39     0.01     0.18     4.01     1.05P    0.29R    0.06  
Aldershot            23   27   -5      56.91     6.92    -7.22     0.00     0.03     0.99     0.25P    1.52R    0.44  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   26  -16      47.52     6.49   -30.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    22.05R   10.08  
Bradford             24   25   -5      51.12     6.62   -10.82     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    7.83R    2.98  
Bristol_Rovers       24   23  -17      49.10     6.82   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.68R    6.79  
Barnet               24   23  -17      45.44     6.41   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.03R   16.01  
Hereford             24   22  -16      45.18     6.41   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.43R   16.55  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -16      48.56     6.86   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.19R    7.84  
Northampton          24   18  -20      43.43     6.62   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.90R   25.39  
Plymouth             24   18  -20      46.32     6.88   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.54R   13.48  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 5 January 2012, Cambridge_Utd vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.28     6.09    46.25    56.60    99.75    69.40P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     26   57  +27      92.22     6.30    39.35    25.51    98.41    43.48P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   48  +28      90.10     5.82    52.57    16.70    97.69    51.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          28   48   -5      70.27     5.98    -9.37     0.00     8.82     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   46  +26      79.49     6.10    37.59     0.52    63.47    14.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   46  +14      76.08     6.20    20.06     0.14    37.55     6.23P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   46  +12      78.65     6.43    20.19     0.50    54.84     9.19P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          26   44   +4      72.74     6.46     5.76     0.03    18.91     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   39   +8      69.08     6.44    11.95     0.00     8.35     1.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       27   38  +12      62.67     6.03    10.00     0.00     0.95     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            26   38   +6      69.48     6.37    12.31     0.00     9.52     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             26   38   +1      62.64     6.32    -3.57     0.00     1.15     0.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     27   37   -3      60.25     6.29    -8.37     0.00     0.38     0.03P    0.11R    0.00  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.72     6.30   -14.03     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.54R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.67     6.17    -7.32     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.30R    0.06  
Darlington         27   27   -2      55.31     6.13     1.57     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.09R    0.04  
Lincoln_City       27   26  -13      53.59     6.28   -10.62     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.62R    0.20  
AFC_Telford        27   24  -15      45.23     6.18   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.25R    4.16  
Stockport          27   23  -16      47.97     6.27   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.39R    1.91  
Newport_County     26   22   -8      48.05     6.27   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.57R    1.55  
Alfreton_Town      27   22  -26      37.61     5.63   -45.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.02R   36.39  
Kettering          27   22  -33      42.11     5.93   -42.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.16R   12.11  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.81     6.00   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.92R   15.59  
Bath_City          26   17  -22      38.56     6.12   -32.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.00R   27.98  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10