Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 4 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 January 2012, Everton vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        20   48  +40      86.43     5.49    63.42    60.29    91.88    98.11    99.66    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         20   45  +29      84.25     5.25    54.11    35.90    85.62    96.29    99.23    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   42  +16      74.33     6.06    25.76     2.60    12.80    48.21    75.38    97.80     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   37  +14      72.59     5.58    31.92     0.98     7.21    37.64    69.36    97.29     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36   +8      68.35     5.93    20.51     0.21     2.01    13.73    35.15    88.63     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34   +6      65.25     5.84    15.54     0.02     0.44     5.22    17.28    76.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       20   33   +4      59.69     5.94     6.74     0.00     0.03     0.79     3.70    32.19     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           20   29   -9      49.59     5.64   -15.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.82     0.35R    0.01  
Norwich         20   25   -5      43.50     5.76   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     5.42R    0.41  
Sunderland      20   24   +4      46.85     5.81     0.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.03     1.26R    0.06  
Everton         19   24   -2      50.26     6.13    -1.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     3.19     0.43R    0.01  
Swansea         20   23   -3      42.96     5.71    -9.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     5.63R    0.47  
Aston_Villa     20   23   -4      46.18     5.88    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.73     1.99R    0.14  
Fulham          20   23   -4      47.28     5.77    -4.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.79     1.18R    0.09  
West_Brom       20   22   -9      43.03     5.77   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     6.56R    0.58  
Wolverhampton   20   17  -14      35.55     5.61   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.80R    9.73  
QPR             20   17  -16      33.64     5.43   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.84R   17.46  
Bolton          20   16  -18      35.23     5.65   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.46R   11.58  
Wigan           20   15  -23      30.36     5.30   -39.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.14R   41.05  
Blackburn       20   14  -14      33.29     5.67   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.95R   18.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2012, Bristol_City vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      25   47  +19      81.07     6.64    27.10    24.73    47.38    90.48    58.57P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   47  +17      83.48     6.55    28.39    38.75    62.30    95.15    72.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   45  +14      80.51     6.53    24.16    21.13    43.28    89.19    55.96P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   45   +7      75.67     6.42    10.05     5.87    15.68    67.58    26.41P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          25   39   +7      71.98     6.54    13.09     2.08     6.86    47.64    17.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             25   39   +1      68.35     6.31     2.22     0.52     1.94    24.09     6.50P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackpool        25   38   +8      72.69     6.77    16.84     3.27     9.64    52.98    21.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   38   +3      68.60     6.58     5.79     0.72     2.64    27.46     7.65P    0.10R    0.00  
Derby            25   37   -3      62.74     6.36    -7.59     0.04     0.22     6.13     1.10P    1.18R    0.06  
Burnley          25   36   +4      66.04     6.51     5.63     0.28     1.11    16.43     4.42P    0.30R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   36   +0      62.06     6.24    -3.34     0.02     0.17     5.28     0.99P    1.08R    0.03  
Leicester        25   35   +5      65.22     6.55     6.98     0.22     0.92    14.26     4.11P    0.39R    0.01  
Brighton         25   35   -2      61.25     6.46    -5.49     0.02     0.12     4.42     0.88P    1.91R    0.06  
Birmingham       23   34   +6      71.55     6.95    14.72     2.27     7.28    45.81    18.94P    0.04R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   33   +3      61.17     6.86     1.07     0.05     0.24     5.71     1.27P    2.59R    0.15  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      57.51     6.31    -9.60     0.00     0.03     1.22     0.21P    6.19R    0.45  
Portsmouth       24   31   +2      60.86     6.59     1.80     0.03     0.16     4.76     1.10P    2.22R    0.13  
Watford          25   30   -7      56.14     6.47   -11.29     0.01     0.02     0.82     0.18P   10.08R    0.87  
Bristol_City     25   27  -11      52.57     6.29   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   22.74R    2.92  
Ipswich          24   27  -13      52.17     6.61   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   26.87R    4.21  
Millwall         25   26   -4      52.98     6.36    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P   19.42R    2.45  
Nott'm_Forest    25   24  -18      49.81     6.29   -22.21     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   39.61R    7.43  
Doncaster        25   22  -21      42.46     6.03   -33.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.64R   42.30  
Coventry         25   19  -14      42.34     6.08   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.50R   38.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Bournemouth vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        24   54  +30      94.63     6.73    45.93    61.32    81.98    99.89    87.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   49  +14      85.21     6.94    23.15     9.32    28.20    95.98    43.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       24   47  +18      86.44     6.94    32.08    12.86    36.73    97.28    55.13P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.28     6.84    35.32     8.24    26.02    95.63    45.22P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    24   44  +20      84.33     6.80    35.54     8.16    26.25    95.71    49.59P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   38  +12      68.29     6.85    12.35     0.03     0.29    26.27     4.63P    0.09R    0.00  
Carlisle        24   38   -1      69.10     6.92     0.12     0.04     0.30    27.87     4.51P    0.10R    0.00  
Brentford       24   35   +1      65.17     6.81     1.06     0.01     0.06    12.67     2.08P    0.39R    0.01  
Bury            24   34   -4      60.69     6.86    -9.77     0.00     0.01     4.13     0.53P    2.25R    0.04  
Bournemouth     24   33   -1      64.72     6.87     1.18     0.01     0.06    11.84     2.21P    0.48R    0.01  
Notts_County    24   32   +3      62.44     6.87     3.23     0.00     0.01     7.11     1.19P    1.11R    0.02  
Colchester      24   32   -4      62.39     6.88    -3.82     0.00     0.02     6.70     1.08P    1.33R    0.03  
Preston         24   32   -5      64.04     7.08    -2.58     0.01     0.05    10.42     2.07P    0.84R    0.01  
Oldham          24   31   -4      58.62     6.71    -7.97     0.00     0.00     2.17     0.30P    4.06R    0.09  
Leyton_Orient   24   31   -7      59.73     6.76    -9.37     0.00     0.01     2.81     0.46P    3.09R    0.09  
Tranmere        23   29   -3      58.82     6.87    -5.31     0.00     0.00     2.41     0.37P    4.12R    0.15  
Hartlepool      24   29   -6      55.51     6.69   -11.64     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.10P    9.94R    0.47  
Scunthorpe      24   23   -7      51.95     6.98    -9.38     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   22.17R    2.14  
Walsall         24   22   -7      48.24     6.63   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.53R    5.44  
Exeter          24   22  -17      45.86     6.54   -26.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.62R   11.39  
Yeovil          24   21  -11      46.28     6.59   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.45R    9.35  
Wycombe         24   20  -12      44.15     6.70   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.74R   16.67  
Rochdale        23   20  -16      48.00     6.90   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.43R    7.18  
Chesterfield    24   16  -16      38.93     6.68   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.25R   46.90  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         24   50  +18      84.05     6.98    23.88    23.82    59.75    92.82    66.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   49  +16      81.04     6.76    18.79    11.71    41.26    85.71    49.48P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             23   46  +18      84.77     7.01    28.94    28.77    65.12    94.18    73.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              24   43  +19      83.43     6.77    34.32    22.66    60.26    92.87    72.36P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   42  +11      77.90     6.76    19.47     5.55    26.06    73.90    39.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           24   41  +12      76.97     6.83    20.87     4.69    22.79    69.91    35.71P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        24   40   +2      68.50     6.85    -0.93     0.28     2.50    21.60     5.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   38   +9      69.66     6.76    11.45     0.38     3.59    28.63     9.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              24   38   +6      71.23     6.87    10.58     0.76     5.91    36.46    13.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            24   37   +5      71.00     6.91    10.79     0.74     5.95    35.78    13.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   36   +6      68.43     6.81     9.46     0.30     2.61    23.04     7.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            24   35  +11      66.41     6.86    12.73     0.11     1.53    16.58     4.90P    0.02R    0.01  
Port_Vale            24   35   +8      68.20     6.77    12.57     0.22     2.45    22.64     7.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield         24   30   -3      56.27     6.57    -8.60     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.12P    1.49R    0.40  
Crewe                24   30   -6      61.35     6.84    -4.48     0.01     0.18     4.01     1.10P    0.27R    0.07  
Aldershot            23   27   -5      56.87     6.89    -7.28     0.00     0.02     1.00     0.21P    1.54R    0.46  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   26  -16      47.42     6.47   -30.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   22.85R   10.46  
Bradford             24   25   -5      51.22     6.65   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    7.94R    2.94  
Bristol_Rovers       24   23  -17      49.07     6.85   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   15.90R    6.95  
Barnet               24   23  -17      45.59     6.47   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   31.28R   15.87  
Hereford             24   22  -16      45.20     6.43   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.71R   16.64  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -16      48.54     6.84   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   17.26R    7.85  
Northampton          24   18  -20      43.48     6.65   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.99R   25.21  
Plymouth             24   18  -20      46.55     6.96   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   25.71R   13.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2012, Bath_City vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.30     6.07    46.27    56.50    99.80    69.42P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     26   57  +27      92.30     6.30    39.45    25.93    98.57    43.96P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   48  +28      90.03     5.81    52.39    16.44    97.78    51.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          27   48   -2      71.58     6.18    -6.40     0.01    13.79     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   46  +26      79.50     6.01    37.56     0.48    64.83    15.29P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   46  +12      78.64     6.46    20.14     0.53    55.74     9.21P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          26   44   +4      72.81     6.44     5.89     0.02    19.78     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   43  +11      74.37     6.42    16.96     0.09    28.48     4.70P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   39   +8      69.10     6.42    11.98     0.00     8.24     1.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       27   38  +12      62.72     6.09    10.07     0.00     1.15     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            26   38   +6      69.54     6.41    12.41     0.00    10.16     1.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             26   38   +1      62.60     6.28    -3.64     0.00     1.07     0.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     27   37   -3      60.20     6.30    -8.51     0.00     0.41     0.03P    0.09R    0.00  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.67     6.27   -14.08     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.50R    0.03  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.53     6.18    -7.51     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.51R    0.11  
Darlington         27   27   -2      55.24     6.09     1.46     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.06R    0.06  
Lincoln_City       27   26  -13      53.72     6.31   -10.44     0.00     0.02     0.01P    2.48R    0.20  
AFC_Telford        27   24  -15      45.33     6.17   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.78R    4.23  
Stockport          27   23  -16      47.96     6.24   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.09R    1.88  
Newport_County     26   22   -8      48.14     6.32   -10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.62R    1.48  
Alfreton_Town      27   22  -26      37.73     5.65   -45.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.91R   35.24  
Kettering          27   22  -33      42.04     5.90   -43.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.72R   12.25  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.76     6.05   -33.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.18R   15.99  
Bath_City          26   17  -22      38.44     6.07   -32.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.01R   28.53  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10