Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 3 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2012, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        20   48  +40      86.49     5.44    63.57    47.13    91.57    98.21    99.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         19   45  +32      87.05     5.38    59.66    50.69    92.46    98.46    99.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       19   42  +16      74.16     6.04    25.48     1.51     9.19    47.09    75.50    98.31     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   37  +14      72.66     5.60    31.99     0.55     5.25    37.64    70.47    98.10     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36   +8      68.29     5.95    20.37     0.11     1.28    13.40    35.65    90.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       20   34   +6      65.12     5.86    15.38     0.00     0.24     4.89    17.07    80.40     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       19   30   +1      56.42     6.11     1.04     0.00     0.02     0.24     1.39    18.15     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           20   29   -9      49.56     5.67   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.15     0.30R    0.01  
Norwich         20   25   -5      43.77     5.76   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     4.10R    0.33  
Sunderland      20   24   +4      46.84     5.79     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.19     1.05R    0.04  
Everton         18   24   -1      52.73     6.31     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.44     8.22     0.13R    0.00  
Swansea         20   23   -3      42.88     5.74   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     5.09R    0.41  
Aston_Villa     20   23   -4      46.18     5.85    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.75     1.71R    0.09  
Fulham          20   23   -4      47.29     5.77    -4.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.08     1.03R    0.04  
West_Brom       20   22   -9      43.05     5.77   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     5.76R    0.57  
Wolverhampton   20   17  -14      35.59     5.65   -24.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.35R    8.59  
QPR             20   17  -16      33.71     5.42   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.15R   14.94  
Wigan           20   15  -23      30.44     5.28   -39.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.85R   36.98  
Blackburn       20   14  -14      33.23     5.68   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.75R   17.00  
Bolton          19   13  -19      32.76     5.79   -31.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.72R   20.99  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2012, Bristol_City vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      25   47  +19      81.00     6.63    27.04    24.66    47.04    90.19    58.02P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   47  +17      83.46     6.59    28.33    38.96    62.07    94.99    72.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   45  +14      80.55     6.52    24.22    21.15    43.50    89.17    56.25P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   45   +7      75.83     6.41    10.23     5.94    16.12    68.34    27.19P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          25   39   +7      71.93     6.49    13.03     1.90     6.67    47.34    17.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             25   39   +1      68.24     6.25     2.10     0.44     1.77    23.41     6.09P    0.08R    0.00  
Blackpool        25   38   +8      72.64     6.79    16.75     3.09     9.31    53.03    21.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   38   +3      68.70     6.59     5.91     0.73     2.85    28.11     8.10P    0.09R    0.00  
Derby            25   37   -3      62.82     6.39    -7.50     0.06     0.28     6.53     1.25P    1.09R    0.04  
Burnley          25   36   +4      65.89     6.46     5.42     0.23     0.99    15.80     4.18P    0.29R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   36   +0      62.01     6.26    -3.42     0.04     0.18     5.11     1.00P    1.23R    0.05  
Leicester        25   35   +5      65.06     6.56     6.77     0.22     0.91    13.64     3.79P    0.46R    0.02  
Brighton         25   35   -2      61.18     6.45    -5.60     0.03     0.17     4.34     0.92P    1.99R    0.05  
Birmingham       23   34   +6      71.70     6.96    14.92     2.50     7.70    46.99    19.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   33   +3      61.29     6.81     1.24     0.05     0.23     5.88     1.19P    2.33R    0.13  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      57.49     6.36    -9.62     0.00     0.03     1.21     0.19P    6.54R    0.41  
Portsmouth       24   31   +2      60.89     6.56     1.88     0.02     0.15     4.58     1.12P    2.11R    0.11  
Watford          25   30   -7      55.98     6.46   -11.55     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.17P   10.64R    0.92  
Bristol_City     25   27  -11      52.62     6.31   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   22.72R    3.02  
Ipswich          24   27  -13      52.23     6.63   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   26.85R    4.09  
Millwall         25   26   -4      53.00     6.38    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   19.19R    2.46  
Nott'm_Forest    25   24  -18      50.02     6.30   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   38.63R    6.91  
Doncaster        25   22  -21      42.43     6.00   -33.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.82R   42.05  
Coventry         25   19  -14      42.27     6.11   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.86R   39.72  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Bournemouth vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        24   54  +30      94.49     6.75    45.77    60.99    81.62    99.89    87.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   49  +14      85.11     6.95    22.95     9.16    27.79    95.82    42.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       24   47  +18      86.56     6.90    32.30    13.32    37.31    97.59    55.75P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.27     6.84    35.30     8.20    25.81    95.72    45.29P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    24   44  +20      84.41     6.74    35.63     8.25    26.73    95.91    49.84P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   38  +12      68.19     6.88    12.23     0.04     0.27    26.09     4.51P    0.08R    0.00  
Carlisle        24   38   -1      69.03     6.92     0.00     0.04     0.28    27.60     4.35P    0.09R    0.00  
Brentford       24   35   +1      65.00     6.81     0.82     0.00     0.05    12.27     1.85P    0.42R    0.00  
Bury            24   34   -4      60.80     6.88    -9.63     0.00     0.01     4.30     0.57P    2.39R    0.04  
Bournemouth     24   33   -1      64.73     6.84     1.21     0.00     0.05    11.84     2.36P    0.50R    0.01  
Notts_County    24   32   +3      62.40     6.88     3.20     0.01     0.02     7.21     1.18P    1.16R    0.02  
Colchester      24   32   -4      62.33     6.86    -4.01     0.00     0.02     6.26     1.06P    1.42R    0.04  
Preston         24   32   -5      64.00     7.11    -2.59     0.00     0.04    10.53     2.01P    0.85R    0.01  
Oldham          24   31   -4      58.90     6.72    -7.57     0.00     0.00     2.31     0.30P    3.83R    0.10  
Leyton_Orient   24   31   -7      59.81     6.81    -9.26     0.00     0.01     3.06     0.52P    3.12R    0.10  
Tranmere        23   29   -3      58.75     6.91    -5.38     0.00     0.00     2.49     0.39P    4.30R    0.17  
Hartlepool      24   29   -6      55.55     6.70   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.11P    9.83R    0.52  
Scunthorpe      24   23   -7      52.06     6.94    -9.20     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P   21.67R    2.07  
Walsall         24   22   -7      48.10     6.63   -13.13     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   41.37R    5.61  
Exeter          24   22  -17      46.01     6.60   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    57.24R   11.31  
Yeovil          24   21  -11      46.24     6.60   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.42R    9.53  
Wycombe         24   20  -12      44.07     6.62   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   66.28R   17.07  
Rochdale        23   20  -16      47.79     6.90   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   45.61R    7.63  
Chesterfield    24   16  -16      39.14     6.69   -27.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.43R   45.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         24   50  +18      84.10     7.04    24.01    25.16    60.82    92.92    67.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   49  +16      81.05     6.80    18.82    12.30    42.08    85.82    50.29P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             23   46  +17      84.37     6.99    27.33    26.68    63.33    93.59    71.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              24   43  +19      83.35     6.77    34.23    22.71    60.29    92.98    72.21P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   42  +12      78.31     6.78    21.02     6.45    28.93    76.51    42.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        24   40   +2      68.48     6.83    -0.99     0.29     2.59    21.60     5.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           23   38  +11      75.77     7.04    20.51     3.79    19.21    64.14    31.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   38   +9      69.72     6.76    11.45     0.42     3.84    29.04     9.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              24   38   +6      71.26     6.86    10.60     0.84     6.12    37.22    14.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            24   37   +5      70.94     6.95    10.68     0.66     5.75    35.62    13.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   36   +6      68.46     6.81     9.46     0.27     2.63    23.54     7.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            24   35  +11      66.41     6.91    12.74     0.15     1.61    16.84     4.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            24   35   +8      68.24     6.80    12.63     0.28     2.49    23.39     7.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield         24   30   -3      56.21     6.57    -8.65     0.00     0.02     0.64     0.12P    1.44R    0.41  
Crewe                24   30   -6      61.48     6.85    -4.22     0.01     0.20     4.22     1.18P    0.26R    0.07  
Aldershot            22   27   -4      57.97     7.10    -6.75     0.01     0.07     1.72     0.39P    1.31R    0.39  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   26  -16      47.52     6.50   -30.64     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   22.32R   10.25  
Bradford             24   25   -5      51.04     6.60   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    8.15R    2.92  
Bristol_Rovers       24   23  -17      49.24     6.82   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   15.28R    6.72  
Barnet               24   23  -17      45.68     6.45   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.01R   15.39  
Hereford             24   22  -16      45.08     6.40   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.16R   17.13  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -16      48.40     6.84   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.69R    8.06  
Northampton          24   18  -20      43.45     6.65   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.83R   25.27  
Plymouth             24   18  -20      46.43     6.95   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   26.52R   13.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 January 2012, Bath_City vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.35     6.14    46.34    56.85    99.80    69.92P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     26   57  +27      92.33     6.25    39.49    25.94    98.63    44.09P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   48  +28      89.95     5.83    52.22    16.02    97.67    51.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          27   48   -2      71.63     6.19    -6.36     0.01    14.09     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   46  +26      79.44     6.11    37.48     0.50    64.14    14.96P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   46  +12      78.74     6.48    20.35     0.55    56.10     9.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          26   44   +4      72.73     6.46     5.76     0.03    19.62     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   43  +11      74.43     6.38    17.03     0.08    28.86     4.70P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   39   +8      68.98     6.40    11.80     0.02     8.17     1.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       27   38  +12      62.74     6.09    10.10     0.00     0.99     0.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            26   38   +6      69.60     6.37    12.45     0.01    10.13     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             26   38   +1      62.78     6.33    -3.37     0.00     1.17     0.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     27   37   -3      60.14     6.31    -8.56     0.00     0.40     0.04P    0.11R    0.01  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.64     6.31   -14.12     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.50R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.75     6.20    -7.19     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.42R    0.08  
Darlington         27   27   -2      55.31     6.10     1.57     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.94R    0.06  
Lincoln_City       27   26  -13      53.72     6.29   -10.48     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.51R    0.23  
AFC_Telford        27   24  -15      45.31     6.20   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.62R    4.16  
Stockport          27   23  -16      47.89     6.27   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.54R    1.84  
Newport_County     26   22   -8      48.08     6.32   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.70R    1.61  
Alfreton_Town      27   22  -26      37.63     5.59   -45.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.40R   35.89  
Kettering          27   22  -33      41.96     5.91   -43.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.79R   12.50  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.71     5.99   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.42R   15.77  
Bath_City          26   17  -22      38.51     6.10   -32.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.02R   27.83  

Adjustments:
Darlington         -10