Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 2 January 2012 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Aston_Villa vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        19   45  +37      84.85     5.69    60.36    38.97    86.90    96.48    99.16    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         19   45  +32      86.99     5.37    59.53    58.20    93.18    98.52    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       18   39  +15      73.46     6.27    26.02     1.76    10.15    42.69    69.69    97.52     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         20   37  +14      72.65     5.63    32.02     0.85     6.76    38.86    69.36    97.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         20   36   +8      68.37     5.90    20.48     0.15     1.89    14.06    34.93    90.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   34   +9      66.69     6.05    18.62     0.07     1.11     9.04    25.25    85.89     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       19   30   +1      56.40     6.10     1.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     1.39    15.91     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           20   29   -9      49.60     5.66   -15.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.81     0.32R    0.02  
Norwich         20   25   -5      43.68     5.77   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     4.76R    0.42  
Everton         18   24   -1      52.77     6.32     0.83     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.45     7.40     0.14R    0.01  
Swansea         20   23   -3      42.95     5.67    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     5.30R    0.52  
Aston_Villa     20   23   -4      46.13     5.84    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.72     1.93R    0.18  
Fulham          20   23   -4      47.23     5.75    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79     1.15R    0.07  
West_Brom       19   22   -8      43.70     5.94   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     5.50R    0.55  
Sunderland      19   21   +1      44.77     6.00    -2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.52     3.32R    0.31  
Wolverhampton   20   17  -14      35.52     5.67   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.04R   10.26  
QPR             20   17  -16      33.65     5.42   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.04R   17.46  
Wigan           19   15  -20      32.04     5.52   -35.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.22R   28.14  
Blackburn       20   14  -14      33.33     5.67   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.42R   18.35  
Bolton          19   13  -19      32.72     5.82   -31.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.84R   23.72  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Blackpool vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      25   47  +19      80.88     6.58    26.86    24.01    46.69    90.12    57.83P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   47  +17      83.48     6.65    28.35    38.91    62.32    94.86    72.22P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          25   45  +14      80.59     6.52    24.27    21.82    44.14    89.36    56.71P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    25   45   +7      75.70     6.40    10.06     5.77    15.79    67.75    26.61P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          25   39   +7      71.96     6.50    13.06     2.09     6.77    47.45    17.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             25   39   +1      68.35     6.26     2.21     0.45     1.80    23.67     6.18P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool        25   38   +8      72.57     6.76    16.66     3.04     9.29    52.39    21.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     25   38   +3      68.71     6.56     5.97     0.73     2.65    28.13     7.84P    0.11R    0.01  
Derby            25   37   -3      62.80     6.38    -7.48     0.03     0.22     6.41     1.23P    1.07R    0.04  
Burnley          25   36   +4      65.98     6.50     5.57     0.27     1.08    16.34     4.50P    0.28R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   36   +0      61.94     6.20    -3.47     0.01     0.17     4.82     0.92P    1.17R    0.05  
Leicester        25   35   +5      65.15     6.51     6.87     0.16     0.76    13.95     3.90P    0.35R    0.01  
Brighton         25   35   -2      61.17     6.45    -5.58     0.02     0.16     4.42     0.90P    1.89R    0.07  
Birmingham       23   34   +6      71.72     6.99    14.92     2.62     7.75    46.94    19.45P    0.05R    0.00  
Peterborough     25   33   +3      61.23     6.85     1.17     0.06     0.26     5.80     1.22P    2.39R    0.13  
Barnsley         25   33   -3      57.58     6.38    -9.47     0.00     0.02     1.39     0.25P    6.15R    0.37  
Portsmouth       24   31   +2      60.86     6.56     1.85     0.02     0.13     4.62     1.11P    2.13R    0.11  
Watford          25   30   -7      56.07     6.44   -11.40     0.00     0.02     0.78     0.16P    9.76R    0.81  
Ipswich          24   27  -13      52.21     6.62   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P   26.21R    3.98  
Millwall         24   26   -3      54.43     6.53    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.09P   14.09R    1.60  
Bristol_City     24   24  -12      50.87     6.48   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   31.84R    5.56  
Nott'm_Forest    25   24  -18      49.93     6.29   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   37.98R    6.95  
Doncaster        25   22  -21      42.41     6.01   -33.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.48R   42.05  
Coventry         25   19  -14      42.34     6.11   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.93R   38.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Bournemouth vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        24   54  +30      94.60     6.74    45.89    61.16    81.82    99.86    87.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   49  +14      85.18     6.94    23.06     9.14    28.12    95.92    43.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       24   47  +18      86.60     6.90    32.40    13.51    37.45    97.71    55.94P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         24   46  +23      84.25     6.82    35.28     7.97    25.72    95.73    45.11P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    24   44  +20      84.33     6.77    35.54     8.15    26.10    95.90    49.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       24   38  +12      68.08     6.86    12.09     0.03     0.29    25.58     4.43P    0.07R    0.00  
Carlisle        24   38   -1      69.00     6.90    -0.04     0.02     0.28    27.58     4.25P    0.08R    0.00  
Brentford       24   35   +1      65.15     6.75     1.02     0.00     0.06    12.68     2.06P    0.36R    0.00  
Bury            24   34   -4      60.69     6.86    -9.80     0.00     0.00     4.09     0.53P    2.25R    0.05  
Bournemouth     24   33   -1      64.62     6.84     1.04     0.01     0.05    11.57     2.15P    0.45R    0.01  
Notts_County    24   32   +3      62.40     6.88     3.14     0.00     0.02     7.19     1.16P    1.12R    0.02  
Colchester      24   32   -4      62.27     6.89    -4.07     0.00     0.02     6.26     1.09P    1.40R    0.03  
Preston         24   32   -5      64.18     7.11    -2.29     0.01     0.06    10.91     2.09P    0.91R    0.02  
Oldham          24   31   -4      58.67     6.71    -7.90     0.00     0.00     2.24     0.35P    4.00R    0.11  
Leyton_Orient   24   31   -7      60.04     6.80    -8.92     0.00     0.00     3.16     0.53P    2.88R    0.09  
Tranmere        23   29   -3      58.72     6.89    -5.42     0.00     0.01     2.50     0.39P    4.24R    0.16  
Hartlepool      24   29   -6      55.56     6.70   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.11P    9.81R    0.47  
Scunthorpe      24   23   -7      52.03     6.99    -9.24     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   21.74R    2.22  
Walsall         24   22   -7      48.13     6.61   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   40.87R    5.52  
Exeter          24   22  -17      45.82     6.51   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    58.84R   11.52  
Yeovil          24   21  -11      46.29     6.59   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.18R    9.33  
Wycombe         24   20  -12      44.01     6.67   -21.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    66.61R   17.28  
Rochdale        23   20  -16      47.97     6.87   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   44.69R    7.25  
Chesterfield    24   16  -16      39.16     6.69   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.51R   45.90  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 2 January 2012, Accrington_Stanley vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         24   50  +18      84.03     7.00    23.83    24.04    59.83    92.72    66.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           24   49  +16      81.09     6.78    18.90    12.07    41.71    85.54    49.72P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             23   46  +18      84.67     7.03    28.84    28.44    64.55    93.91    72.71P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              24   43  +19      83.28     6.76    34.07    22.17    59.55    92.64    71.53P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   42  +11      77.97     6.79    19.58     5.58    26.38    74.33    39.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           24   41  +12      76.98     6.83    20.91     4.67    22.81    69.86    35.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        24   40   +2      68.52     6.86    -0.93     0.25     2.61    21.45     5.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           24   38   +9      69.81     6.77    11.63     0.44     3.69    29.34     9.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              24   38   +6      71.36     6.89    10.76     0.86     6.16    37.06    13.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            24   37   +5      71.07     6.87    10.93     0.78     5.70    35.78    13.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   24   36   +6      68.43     6.86     9.45     0.30     2.66    23.11     7.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            24   35  +11      66.30     6.90    12.55     0.17     1.65    15.85     4.91P    0.01R    0.01  
Port_Vale            24   35   +8      68.16     6.80    12.52     0.21     2.46    22.59     7.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         24   30   -3      56.27     6.56    -8.58     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.13P    1.46R    0.40  
Crewe                24   30   -6      61.38     6.90    -4.40     0.01     0.19     4.01     1.16P    0.30R    0.08  
Aldershot            23   27   -5      56.97     6.91    -7.17     0.00     0.03     0.95     0.21P    1.53R    0.42  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   26  -16      47.66     6.54   -30.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.96R   10.06  
Bradford             24   25   -5      51.22     6.63   -10.72     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    7.98R    2.83  
Bristol_Rovers       24   23  -17      49.05     6.86   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   15.95R    7.01  
Barnet               24   23  -17      45.41     6.38   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.85R   16.02  
Hereford             24   22  -16      45.04     6.36   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.30R   17.19  
Dag_&_Red            24   21  -16      48.45     6.82   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.29R    7.91  
Northampton          24   18  -20      43.56     6.69   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.57R   24.93  
Plymouth             24   18  -20      46.49     6.88   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   25.77R   13.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 January 2012, Braintree_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.26     6.12    46.23    56.55    99.77    69.51P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     26   57  +27      92.33     6.29    39.49    26.21    98.47    44.32P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   48  +28      89.86     5.81    52.10    16.08    97.57    51.27P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          27   48   -2      71.65     6.22    -6.31     0.01    14.17     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   46  +26      79.41     6.03    37.41     0.52    63.83    14.79P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   46  +12      78.61     6.45    20.14     0.51    54.68     9.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          26   44   +4      72.71     6.46     5.74     0.02    19.23     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   43  +11      74.49     6.39    17.13     0.10    28.74     4.68P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   39   +8      69.09     6.46    11.95     0.00     8.51     1.20P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       27   38  +12      62.74     6.10    10.10     0.00     1.07     0.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            26   38   +6      69.55     6.44    12.40     0.01    10.21     1.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             26   38   +1      62.67     6.29    -3.55     0.00     1.07     0.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         27   37   -2      65.30     6.07     1.52     0.00     2.11     0.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     27   37   -3      60.07     6.32    -8.67     0.00     0.37     0.04P    0.16R    0.01  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.70     6.31   -14.01     0.00     0.16     0.00P    0.54R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.57     6.23    -7.43     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.33R    0.05  
Lincoln_City       27   26  -13      53.80     6.26   -10.33     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.18R    0.15  
AFC_Telford        27   24  -15      45.34     6.19   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.41R    3.41  
Stockport          27   23  -16      48.02     6.26   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.75R    1.56  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.83     6.51    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.59R    0.88  
Alfreton_Town      27   22  -26      37.70     5.61   -45.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.97R   31.90  
Kettering          27   22  -33      41.97     5.90   -43.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.17R   10.63  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.80     6.03   -33.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.13R   13.55  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.50     6.26   -33.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.74R   37.85