Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 1 January 2012 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 January 2012, Sunderland vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        19   45  +37      84.75     5.75    60.21    38.66    86.18    95.89    98.85    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         19   45  +32      86.99     5.37    59.59    58.35    92.96    98.28    99.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       18   39  +15      73.45     6.20    26.03     1.71    10.01    41.67    68.10    97.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   36   +9      70.26     6.14    22.30     0.50     4.01    22.55    46.66    93.91     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   34  +13      71.91     5.77    32.49     0.71     5.81    32.89    61.65    97.23     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   34   +9      66.60     6.03    18.47     0.08     1.01     8.41    23.52    85.19     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       19   30   +1      56.40     6.07     1.01     0.00     0.02     0.24     1.21    15.38     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke           19   26  -10      47.56     5.84   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.92     1.36R    0.09  
Everton         18   24   -1      52.67     6.30     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.36     6.82     0.19R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     19   23   -2      48.61     6.06    -3.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     1.73     0.88R    0.06  
Norwich         19   22   -6      41.82     6.00   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    10.94R    1.50  
West_Brom       19   22   -8      43.67     5.93   -16.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     5.82R    0.69  
Sunderland      19   21   +1      44.89     6.01    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.46     3.55R    0.35  
Fulham          19   20   -5      45.09     5.93    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     3.30R    0.32  
Swansea         19   20   -5      40.24     5.84   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    14.54R    2.20  
Wolverhampton   19   17  -13      36.07     5.80   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    39.17R   10.55  
QPR             19   17  -15      35.36     5.71   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.51R   12.79  
Wigan           19   15  -20      32.02     5.51   -35.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.90R   31.72  
Blackburn       19   14  -13      35.13     5.91   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.91R   13.49  
Bolton          19   13  -19      32.70     5.80   -31.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.90R   26.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 December 2011, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      24   47  +22      83.52     6.79    31.80    37.04    60.79    94.56    69.64P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    24   45  +10      77.43     6.66    13.56     8.79    22.07    75.07    33.72P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         24   44  +16      82.72     6.78    28.65    31.38    55.44    92.91    66.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   42  +12      78.68     6.75    21.82    13.12    30.38    81.71    44.50P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          24   39   +9      73.45     6.65    15.21     3.13     9.67    55.15    21.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             24   39   +2      70.50     6.50     4.29     1.03     3.65    34.81    10.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          24   36   +5      67.21     6.70     6.30     0.40     1.62    20.88     5.67P    0.17R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   24   36   +1      63.60     6.43    -1.95     0.06     0.34     8.08     1.51P    0.54R    0.02  
Blackpool        24   35   +5      70.54     7.02    12.94     1.63     5.18    39.16    14.13P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     24   35   +2      67.23     6.80     5.16     0.44     1.73    21.38     5.84P    0.23R    0.01  
Derby            24   34   -4      60.44     6.56    -9.58     0.01     0.11     3.50     0.58P    2.46R    0.09  
Birmingham       22   33   +6      71.95     7.25    14.77     2.77     8.05    47.06    19.52P    0.06R    0.00  
Barnsley         24   33   -1      59.48     6.60    -6.70     0.03     0.10     2.71     0.50P    3.23R    0.18  
Leicester        24   32   +4      63.20     6.72     5.46     0.09     0.41     8.73     2.31P    0.89R    0.05  
Peterborough     24   32   +3      61.68     7.07     1.28     0.05     0.27     6.79     1.46P    2.06R    0.11  
Brighton         24   32   -5      58.40     6.64   -10.20     0.00     0.05     1.87     0.34P    4.74R    0.27  
Watford          24   30   -5      57.48     6.67    -9.26     0.01     0.03     1.45     0.31P    6.32R    0.42  
Portsmouth       23   28   +0      59.32     6.76    -0.10     0.01     0.08     3.02     0.77P    3.45R    0.20  
Ipswich          23   27  -11      54.32     6.87   -17.90     0.00     0.02     0.59     0.12P   16.14R    1.70  
Millwall         24   26   -3      54.56     6.56    -4.82     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.13P   12.22R    1.17  
Bristol_City     24   24  -12      50.78     6.53   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   29.90R    4.18  
Nott'm_Forest    24   21  -20      47.51     6.52   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    51.87R   11.12  
Coventry         24   19  -13      42.82     6.26   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.10R   28.73  
Doncaster        24   19  -23      40.32     6.17   -36.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.56R   51.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 December 2011, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        23   51  +28      93.19     6.90    44.22    51.53    75.54    99.76    82.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       23   47  +19      88.78     7.09    34.54    22.79    50.13    98.58    65.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   46  +13      83.72     7.16    22.34     7.40    21.63    93.35    37.57P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         23   43  +22      82.95     7.06    34.82     6.81    20.48    93.13    40.27P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    23   43  +20      85.28     6.99    36.39    11.34    31.09    96.21    53.15P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       23   38  +13      70.14     7.08    13.99     0.09     0.63    35.78     6.70P    0.05R    0.00  
Brentford       23   35   +3      66.58     7.00     3.07     0.02     0.15    17.41     3.06P    0.27R    0.00  
Carlisle        23   35   -2      66.57     7.10    -2.28     0.01     0.16    16.94     2.76P    0.35R    0.01  
Colchester      23   32   -3      63.38     7.07    -3.55     0.00     0.05     8.68     1.47P    1.22R    0.03  
Notts_County    23   31   +3      62.13     7.03     2.18     0.00     0.02     6.95     1.17P    1.56R    0.02  
Preston         23   31   -5      64.68     7.34    -2.14     0.01     0.09    12.51     2.44P    1.00R    0.03  
Bury            23   31   -5      58.89     7.11   -11.03     0.00     0.00     2.78     0.38P    5.18R    0.23  
Bournemouth     23   30   -3      63.00     7.08    -0.92     0.00     0.02     8.06     1.50P    1.28R    0.02  
Oldham          23   30   -4      59.42     6.94    -7.34     0.00     0.00     2.91     0.47P    4.07R    0.12  
Tranmere        22   29   -2      59.83     7.08    -4.77     0.00     0.01     3.57     0.56P    3.59R    0.15  
Hartlepool      23   29   -5      57.09     6.93   -10.32     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.20P    7.84R    0.36  
Leyton_Orient   23   28   -8      57.57     6.95   -11.13     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.24P    7.04R    0.31  
Walsall         23   22   -6      49.94     6.89   -11.44     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   32.50R    4.00  
Exeter          23   21  -17      46.28     6.73   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.42R   11.68  
Scunthorpe      23   20   -8      50.01     7.15   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   32.73R    4.47  
Wycombe         23   20  -10      45.46     6.92   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   59.78R   13.34  
Yeovil          23   20  -11      46.79     6.83   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   51.72R    9.86  
Rochdale        22   19  -16      48.02     7.10   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   45.98R    8.20  
Chesterfield    23   15  -16      39.25     6.95   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.41R   47.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         23   49  +18      84.33     7.19    23.79    24.58    61.97    92.97    68.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           23   46  +15      78.74     6.97    16.77     6.87    30.04    77.14    38.58P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             22   45  +18      86.04     7.21    30.42    35.20    71.81    95.65    78.62P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           23   41  +11      79.32     7.02    21.05     8.12    34.46    80.16    47.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              23   40  +17      82.55     6.97    33.59    18.77    55.54    91.06    68.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        23   40   +4      71.00     7.07     2.79     0.72     5.93    34.67    10.81P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           23   38  +11      75.74     7.03    20.54     3.48    18.77    64.57    31.39P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           23   37   +9      70.35     6.94    11.88     0.50     5.06    33.35    11.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            23   35   +9      70.28     6.97    14.66     0.62     5.25    34.02    12.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              23   35   +5      69.44     7.09     9.32     0.47     4.11    29.28    10.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            23   34   +2      69.29     7.13     7.57     0.47     3.94    28.18     9.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   33   +2      66.18     6.99     4.45     0.10     1.38    15.36     4.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            23   32  +10      64.28     7.06    10.94     0.07     0.99    11.16     3.37P    0.07R    0.01  
Macclesfield         23   30   +1      58.27     6.76    -3.60     0.01     0.05     1.81     0.40P    0.61R    0.11  
Crewe                23   30   -5      63.39     7.13    -2.47     0.03     0.61     8.22     2.44P    0.12R    0.02  
Aldershot            22   27   -4      58.04     7.05    -6.66     0.00     0.08     1.88     0.44P    0.89R    0.25  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   26  -14      47.95     6.66   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   18.50R    7.61  
Bradford             23   25   -2      52.64     6.84    -7.62     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.04P    4.67R    1.51  
Bristol_Rovers       23   23  -15      51.14     7.15   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    9.30R    3.51  
Dag_&_Red            23   20  -16      47.88     6.94   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   17.90R    7.67  
Barnet               23   20  -19      43.38     6.63   -32.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.32R   21.85  
Hereford             23   19  -18      42.45     6.58   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.27R   25.88  
Plymouth             23   18  -19      48.08     7.15   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.89R    7.82  
Northampton          23   17  -20      42.98     6.81   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.43R   23.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 January 2012, Braintree_Town vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            26   59  +31      96.37     6.11    46.37    56.94    99.78    69.93P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     26   57  +27      92.31     6.29    39.54    25.90    98.52    43.73P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   48  +28      89.93     5.83    52.16    15.99    97.63    51.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          27   48   -2      71.58     6.14    -6.46     0.01    13.46     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
York               27   46  +26      79.47     6.06    37.53     0.53    63.97    15.10P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   46  +12      78.64     6.46    20.17     0.51    55.06     9.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          26   44   +4      72.80     6.48     5.88     0.02    19.70     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   43  +11      74.46     6.39    17.09     0.08    28.86     4.61P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   39   +8      69.11     6.41    11.97     0.01     8.40     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       27   38  +12      62.61     6.06     9.88     0.00     0.96     0.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Grimsby            26   38   +6      69.56     6.40    12.46     0.01     9.89     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             26   38   +1      62.67     6.33    -3.55     0.00     1.11     0.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         27   37   -2      65.37     6.07     1.63     0.00     2.10     0.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     27   37   -3      60.28     6.32    -8.32     0.00     0.45     0.03P    0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth           25   34   -4      56.67     6.27   -14.09     0.00     0.09     0.00P    0.50R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.64     6.27    -7.38     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.39R    0.07  
Lincoln_City       27   26  -13      53.73     6.26   -10.46     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.37R    0.16  
AFC_Telford        27   24  -15      45.19     6.14   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.07R    3.60  
Stockport          27   23  -16      47.77     6.24   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.04R    1.67  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.84     6.54    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.68R    0.89  
Alfreton_Town      27   22  -26      37.75     5.59   -45.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.88R   31.13  
Kettering          27   22  -33      42.03     5.89   -43.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.26R   10.58  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.79     6.01   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.98R   13.41  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.44     6.28   -33.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.70R   38.47