Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 31 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 December 2011, Arsenal vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        18   45  +38      87.27     5.89    63.27    50.90    91.84    97.95    99.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         19   45  +32      87.00     5.39    59.64    47.02    92.37    98.33    99.64    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       18   39  +15      73.42     6.28    25.93     1.31     7.71    41.09    67.33    97.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         19   36   +9      70.29     6.12    22.38     0.28     2.98    21.88    46.74    94.23     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         19   34  +13      71.87     5.75    32.36     0.44     4.28    31.90    61.21    97.28     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       19   34   +9      66.71     6.08    18.65     0.05     0.81     8.50    23.92    85.88     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       19   30   +1      56.52     6.14     1.16     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.35    16.20     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           19   26  -10      47.65     5.82   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.95     1.16R    0.08  
Aston_Villa     19   23   -2      48.38     6.08    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.68     0.95R    0.08  
Norwich         19   22   -6      41.71     6.00   -17.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    10.90R    1.62  
West_Brom       18   22   -7      45.22     6.12   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56     3.75R    0.41  
Everton         17   21   -2      51.06     6.51    -0.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     4.79     0.51R    0.05  
Fulham          19   20   -5      45.16     6.01    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.45     3.18R    0.35  
Swansea         19   20   -5      40.26     5.87   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    14.05R    2.15  
Sunderland      18   18   +0      42.07     6.12    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     8.78R    1.37  
Wolverhampton   19   17  -13      36.07     5.80   -24.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.51R   10.27  
QPR             19   17  -15      35.38     5.72   -28.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.31R   12.83  
Wigan           19   15  -20      32.09     5.52   -35.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.87R   30.74  
Blackburn       19   14  -13      35.16     5.95   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    43.59R   13.65  
Bolton          19   13  -19      32.67     5.80   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.42R   26.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 December 2011, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      24   47  +22      83.46     6.81    31.71    36.50    60.18    94.41    69.29P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    24   45  +10      77.60     6.65    13.76     9.31    22.60    75.87    34.23P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         24   44  +16      82.66     6.82    28.63    31.11    54.86    92.79    66.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          24   42  +12      78.84     6.75    22.04    13.46    30.88    82.20    44.91P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          24   39   +9      73.54     6.64    15.36     3.19     9.78    55.64    22.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             24   39   +2      70.39     6.53     4.16     1.04     3.64    34.04     9.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          24   36   +5      67.31     6.74     6.49     0.43     1.69    21.19     5.95P    0.14R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   24   36   +1      63.57     6.43    -2.08     0.07     0.33     7.94     1.53P    0.63R    0.01  
Blackpool        24   35   +5      70.44     6.99    12.77     1.53     4.88    38.45    13.54P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United     24   35   +2      67.15     6.81     5.07     0.44     1.73    20.74     5.45P    0.23R    0.00  
Derby            24   34   -4      60.46     6.58    -9.54     0.02     0.11     3.49     0.61P    2.48R    0.08  
Birmingham       22   33   +6      72.13     7.26    15.04     2.70     8.28    47.79    20.02P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley         24   33   -1      59.37     6.58    -6.85     0.02     0.09     2.60     0.48P    3.32R    0.15  
Leicester        24   32   +4      63.29     6.73     5.62     0.09     0.41     9.07     2.39P    0.90R    0.03  
Peterborough     24   32   +3      61.37     7.06     0.77     0.05     0.32     6.26     1.36P    2.23R    0.12  
Brighton         24   32   -5      58.30     6.63   -10.32     0.02     0.07     1.88     0.38P    4.88R    0.24  
Watford          24   30   -5      57.44     6.67    -9.34     0.00     0.04     1.41     0.32P    6.41R    0.38  
Portsmouth       23   28   +0      59.34     6.85    -0.02     0.01     0.08     3.07     0.72P    3.62R    0.22  
Ipswich          23   27  -11      54.32     6.86   -17.87     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.11P   15.91R    1.77  
Millwall         24   26   -3      54.51     6.58    -4.90     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.14P   12.54R    1.03  
Bristol_City     24   24  -12      50.93     6.50   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   28.93R    3.89  
Nott'm_Forest    24   21  -20      47.54     6.47   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.74R   10.85  
Coventry         24   19  -13      42.89     6.27   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.99R   28.51  
Doncaster        24   19  -23      40.22     6.16   -36.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.88R   52.70  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 December 2011, Brentford vs MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        23   51  +28      93.11     6.94    44.08    51.16    74.96    99.78    82.31P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       23   47  +19      88.78     7.13    34.51    23.17    50.18    98.47    65.70P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       23   46  +13      83.71     7.11    22.27     7.23    21.57    93.32    37.24P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         23   43  +22      83.13     7.05    35.08     7.13    21.36    93.32    41.27P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    23   43  +20      85.21     6.96    36.27    11.14    30.77    96.33    52.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       23   38  +13      70.01     7.10    13.83     0.11     0.64    35.41     6.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Brentford       23   35   +3      66.50     6.99     3.00     0.01     0.15    17.26     2.95P    0.31R    0.00  
Carlisle        23   35   -2      66.62     7.09    -2.21     0.03     0.14    17.43     2.80P    0.35R    0.00  
Colchester      23   32   -3      63.34     7.09    -3.62     0.01     0.05     8.44     1.37P    1.24R    0.03  
Notts_County    23   31   +3      62.20     7.09     2.32     0.00     0.02     7.03     1.11P    1.64R    0.04  
Preston         23   31   -5      64.72     7.33    -2.12     0.00     0.08    12.74     2.53P    0.99R    0.02  
Bury            23   31   -5      58.74     7.07   -11.24     0.00     0.01     2.44     0.32P    5.27R    0.23  
Bournemouth     23   30   -3      63.06     7.06    -0.83     0.00     0.05     8.04     1.61P    1.34R    0.05  
Oldham          23   30   -4      59.35     6.96    -7.46     0.00     0.00     2.79     0.38P    4.08R    0.15  
Tranmere        22   29   -2      59.85     7.09    -4.79     0.00     0.01     3.62     0.55P    3.77R    0.14  
Hartlepool      23   29   -5      57.26     6.89   -10.05     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.24P    7.13R    0.33  
Leyton_Orient   23   28   -8      57.57     6.97   -11.15     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.26P    7.22R    0.33  
Walsall         23   22   -6      49.77     6.86   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   33.57R    4.16  
Exeter          23   21  -17      46.29     6.78   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   57.15R   11.96  
Scunthorpe      23   20   -8      50.00     7.26   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   32.81R    4.67  
Wycombe         23   20  -10      45.66     6.91   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   58.46R   13.11  
Yeovil          23   20  -11      46.64     6.78   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.62R   10.09  
Rochdale        22   19  -16      48.04     7.10   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   45.93R    8.04  
Chesterfield    23   15  -16      39.32     6.90   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.07R   46.65  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         23   49  +18      84.34     7.21    23.83    24.66    62.09    93.07    68.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           23   46  +15      78.76     6.98    16.79     6.87    30.11    77.27    38.79P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             22   45  +18      86.04     7.24    30.40    35.18    71.60    95.69    78.37P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           23   41  +11      79.34     6.99    21.09     8.20    34.39    80.33    47.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              23   40  +17      82.60     6.97    33.70    18.82    55.68    91.00    68.48P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        23   40   +4      70.93     7.04     2.67     0.65     5.73    34.47    10.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           23   38  +11      75.67     7.09    20.46     3.44    18.92    63.97    31.22P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           23   37   +9      70.33     6.96    11.83     0.58     5.05    33.43    11.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            23   35   +9      70.34     6.95    14.74     0.59     5.31    34.35    12.86P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              23   35   +5      69.54     7.06     9.46     0.40     4.14    29.75    10.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            23   34   +2      69.21     7.13     7.51     0.41     3.90    28.02    10.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   23   33   +2      66.16     6.92     4.46     0.11     1.39    15.17     4.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            23   32  +10      64.22     7.10    10.84     0.07     0.98    11.23     3.30P    0.05R    0.01  
Macclesfield         23   30   +1      58.31     6.82    -3.50     0.00     0.06     1.83     0.44P    0.58R    0.14  
Crewe                23   30   -5      63.34     7.13    -2.47     0.03     0.58     8.03     2.29P    0.13R    0.02  
Aldershot            22   27   -4      57.90     7.05    -6.90     0.00     0.06     1.83     0.46P    0.98R    0.23  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   26  -14      48.07     6.65   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   17.85R    7.23  
Bradford             23   25   -2      52.61     6.82    -7.71     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P    4.68R    1.51  
Bristol_Rovers       23   23  -15      51.23     7.14   -20.91     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.06P    8.99R    3.46  
Dag_&_Red            23   20  -16      47.93     7.04   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.79R    7.76  
Barnet               23   20  -19      43.42     6.60   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.14R   21.79  
Hereford             23   19  -18      42.30     6.58   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.49R   26.83  
Plymouth             23   18  -19      48.04     7.14   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   17.65R    7.66  
Northampton          23   17  -20      43.01     6.81   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.64R   23.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            25   56  +27      94.88     6.25    42.46    57.99    99.48    70.13P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   54  +21      89.71     6.54    31.84    21.46    95.24    38.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          26   48   +4      73.76     6.41     1.03     0.14    21.04     1.94P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   45  +26      80.42     6.29    38.41     1.64    66.35    18.06P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   45  +23      88.45     6.05    47.21    17.08    95.03    49.14P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   45  +12      79.11     6.65    20.26     1.27    55.16    10.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   43  +12      76.08     6.56    18.42     0.38    35.82     6.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          25   41   +3      70.44     6.61     3.78     0.02    10.59     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          25   38   +8      68.96     6.61    11.18     0.02     7.89     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             25   38   +2      63.93     6.47    -2.57     0.00     1.67     0.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green       26   37  +12      63.14     6.31    10.14     0.00     1.29     0.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         26   37   -1      67.41     6.28     3.58     0.00     4.11     0.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            25   35   +4      67.77     6.61    10.10     0.01     5.91     1.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     26   34   -4      58.01     6.49   -10.23     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.44R    0.00  
Tamworth           24   33   -4      57.94     6.56   -12.49     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.49R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.57     6.24    -7.41     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.48R    0.07  
Lincoln_City       26   26  -11      55.01     6.44    -8.52     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.79R    0.11  
AFC_Telford        26   24  -11      46.53     6.35   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.04R    2.51  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.74     6.49    -8.80     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.20R    0.92  
Kettering          26   22  -28      43.27     6.09   -38.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.02R    7.42  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.68     6.01   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.33R   13.95  
Alfreton_Town      26   21  -26      37.52     5.82   -45.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.17R   33.86  
Stockport          26   20  -17      46.11     6.46   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.94R    3.33  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.63     6.28   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.06R   37.82