Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 29 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2011, Arsenal vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        18   45  +38      87.24     5.90    63.35    35.62    88.01    96.94    99.32   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         18   45  +33      90.27     5.40    64.68    62.43    95.32    99.18    99.86   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   38  +15      74.52     6.43    27.09     1.03     7.55    39.41    70.14    98.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   34  +15      74.84     5.88    37.19     0.76     7.22    45.03    75.69    98.82     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   33   +8      69.82     6.28    23.50     0.14     1.59    15.18    38.93    92.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31   +7      65.04     6.19    16.49     0.01     0.30     3.96    14.02    77.53     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       18   30   +3      57.68     6.28     2.93     0.00     0.01     0.28     1.83    23.24     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           18   25  -10      48.64     6.04   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.78     0.82R    0.05  
West_Brom       18   22   -7      45.22     6.13   -15.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.58     3.16R    0.33  
Everton         17   21   -2      51.10     6.50    -0.28     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     5.24     0.39R    0.03  
Norwich         18   21   -6      42.06     6.20   -18.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     9.35R    1.21  
Aston_Villa     18   20   -4      45.22     6.19    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.70     3.07R    0.32  
Fulham          18   19   -5      45.65     6.15    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.75     2.54R    0.24  
Swansea         18   19   -5      40.11     6.04   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    13.67R    2.13  
Sunderland      18   18   +0      42.12     6.13    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     7.90R    1.06  
QPR             18   17  -14      35.73     5.80   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    39.01R    9.97  
Wolverhampton   18   16  -13      36.26     6.05   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    35.04R    9.18  
Wigan           18   14  -20      32.03     5.70   -36.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.58R   27.22  
Bolton          18   12  -19      33.50     6.04   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.74R   19.21  
Blackburn       18   11  -14      31.44     5.92   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.72R   29.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      23   47  +23      86.49     7.04    35.33    45.46    71.25    97.15    78.20P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         23   44  +17      84.80     7.02    30.72    33.42    61.65    95.27    72.08P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    23   44  +10      78.53     6.85    14.70     8.01    22.17    78.67    34.42P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39  +11      77.05     6.94    20.76     6.12    18.47    73.75    33.66P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             23   39   +3      71.78     6.67     5.20     1.14     4.40    41.24    11.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          23   36   +8      72.76     6.91    15.66     1.88     6.72    50.73    19.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        23   35   +8      72.44     7.17    16.81     1.98     7.02    48.94    18.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     23   35   +5      69.10     7.04     8.92     0.62     2.62    29.78     8.34P    0.08R    0.00  
Burnley          23   33   +4      65.79     6.98     5.56     0.18     0.86    16.07     4.07P    0.36R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   23   33   +0      61.40     6.59    -3.81     0.01     0.12     4.54     0.89P    1.28R    0.05  
Brighton         23   32   -3      60.12     6.86    -7.66     0.01     0.08     3.50     0.65P    2.61R    0.11  
Leicester        23   31   +4      63.91     6.97     5.94     0.08     0.47    10.89     2.87P    0.63R    0.04  
Peterborough     23   31   +3      61.12     7.30    -0.38     0.04     0.24     6.30     1.31P    2.36R    0.15  
Derby            23   31   -5      58.19     6.78   -11.51     0.00     0.04     1.82     0.32P    4.91R    0.32  
Birmingham       21   30   +3      69.84     7.47    11.09     1.04     3.77    34.20    12.53P    0.11R    0.00  
Barnsley         23   30   -4      57.01     6.76   -10.96     0.00     0.02     1.22     0.23P    6.79R    0.51  
Portsmouth       22   27   +0      59.13     6.94    -0.83     0.01     0.05     2.99     0.71P    3.41R    0.22  
Watford          23   27   -8      55.80     6.81   -12.26     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.15P    9.43R    0.88  
Ipswich          22   27  -10      55.19     7.08   -17.83     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.12P   12.25R    1.39  
Millwall         23   26   -2      56.53     6.81    -3.01     0.00     0.02     1.12     0.27P    6.99R    0.62  
Bristol_City     23   21  -13      47.87     6.62   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   44.53R    9.02  
Nott'm_Forest    23   21  -19      48.96     6.71   -24.08     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   39.63R    7.33  
Doncaster        23   19  -20      41.56     6.39   -33.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.78R   38.52  
Coventry         23   16  -15      40.78     6.42   -24.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.82R   40.80  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2011, Sheff_Utd vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        22   51  +29      95.34     7.18    46.51    60.97    82.27    99.89    87.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   44  +17      87.38     7.34    32.79    15.09    40.94    97.60    59.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   43  +11      81.63     7.41    19.55     3.74    14.25    88.28    29.84P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         22   42  +22      83.87     7.31    35.58     7.31    24.29    93.98    44.28P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    22   42  +20      86.51     7.17    37.76    12.77    37.13    97.17    57.74P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   35  +12      68.46     7.31    12.95     0.06     0.41    29.09     5.25P    0.18R    0.00  
Brentford       22   34   +3      66.46     7.17     2.43     0.02     0.17    18.66     3.32P    0.43R    0.00  
Carlisle        22   34   -2      66.15     7.27    -3.63     0.01     0.19    17.17     2.65P    0.63R    0.01  
Notts_County    22   31   +4      63.73     7.29     3.63     0.00     0.06    11.41     1.87P    1.21R    0.03  
Preston         22   31   -3      66.78     7.59     1.01     0.03     0.24    21.23     4.48P    0.67R    0.01  
Bury            22   31   -3      60.71     7.27    -8.27     0.00     0.02     5.11     0.74P    3.89R    0.15  
Hartlepool      22   29   -3      58.28     7.03    -8.58     0.00     0.01     2.45     0.30P    6.45R    0.29  
Colchester      22   29   -5      61.57     7.33    -5.90     0.00     0.02     6.38     1.07P    3.13R    0.11  
Oldham          22   27   -5      57.38     7.14    -8.91     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.27P    8.60R    0.46  
Bournemouth     22   27   -5      60.87     7.23    -3.66     0.00     0.01     5.38     1.03P    3.36R    0.14  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.80     7.29    -7.40     0.00     0.00     2.45     0.39P    8.09R    0.49  
Leyton_Orient   22   25   -9      55.12     7.15   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.16P   15.02R    1.16  
Walsall         22   21   -6      50.25     7.11   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   34.31R    4.75  
Exeter          22   21  -15      47.78     6.96   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   51.16R    9.39  
Wycombe         22   20   -9      47.01     7.19   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   53.38R   10.97  
Yeovil          22   20   -9      48.47     7.04   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   44.33R    7.37  
Scunthorpe      22   19   -8      50.95     7.49    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   31.26R    4.95  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.34     7.30   -22.34     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   47.08R    8.87  
Chesterfield    22   14  -16      39.18     7.13   -29.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   86.81R   50.83  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         22   46  +17      83.81     7.46    24.59    24.56    58.07    90.42    64.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   43  +14      76.93     7.16    15.48     5.01    22.27    66.26    30.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +15      84.10     7.42    26.84    26.06    60.49    91.26    68.89P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   41  +13      81.76     7.20    24.54    16.08    47.93    86.54    59.11P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   39   +4      71.08     7.26     2.31     0.90     6.11    33.50    10.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   38  +12      77.83     7.23    22.59     6.89    27.72    72.08    40.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              22   37  +16      81.43     7.19    33.42    16.27    48.38    86.47    62.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   36   +9      70.34     7.12    11.32     0.73     5.36    31.38    10.98P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            22   35  +10      72.03     7.19    16.21     1.44     8.57    41.36    16.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              22   34   +5      70.06     7.28     9.59     0.71     5.11    30.33    11.49P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   34   +3      70.71     7.34     8.65     0.96     6.20    33.31    12.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   32   +2      66.83     7.20     4.89     0.22     1.95    16.65     5.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            22   31  +10      65.06     7.27    11.57     0.14     1.41    12.77     3.93P    0.06R    0.01  
Macclesfield         22   27   +0      56.13     6.96    -5.30     0.00     0.03     0.87     0.16P    1.71R    0.46  
Crewe                22   27   -8      60.75     7.26    -7.04     0.02     0.26     3.90     1.08P    0.44R    0.09  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.65     7.25    -6.40     0.01     0.12     2.17     0.55P    0.94R    0.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   26  -11      49.77     6.93   -26.44     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.02P   12.48R    4.76  
Bristol_Rovers       22   23  -12      53.58     7.43   -16.13     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.13P    5.19R    1.72  
Bradford             22   22   -4      50.11     6.98   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    9.81R    3.69  
Barnet               22   20  -18      43.93     6.84   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   38.49R   20.48  
Hereford             22   18  -18      42.39     6.69   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.67R   26.47  
Dag_&_Red            22   17  -17      45.58     7.15   -24.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   28.07R   13.79  
Northampton          22   17  -19      43.94     7.01   -29.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   37.60R   19.83  
Plymouth             22   17  -19      48.07     7.39   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.50R    8.44  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            25   56  +27      94.90     6.26    42.50    58.60    99.38    70.36P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   54  +21      89.58     6.49    31.70    20.87    94.96    37.92P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          26   48   +4      73.86     6.43     1.20     0.13    21.15     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   45  +26      80.46     6.24    38.44     1.60    66.37    17.81P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   45  +23      88.55     6.04    47.37    17.14    95.14    49.78P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   45  +12      79.12     6.65    20.30     1.20    54.44    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   43  +12      76.24     6.60    18.66     0.40    36.58     6.89P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          25   41   +3      70.46     6.67     3.83     0.03    10.63     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          25   38   +8      68.97     6.65    11.20     0.01     7.86     1.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             25   38   +2      63.98     6.52    -2.53     0.00     1.72     0.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       26   37  +12      63.10     6.34    10.09     0.00     1.26     0.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         26   37   -1      67.33     6.33     3.49     0.00     4.09     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            25   35   +4      67.80     6.62    10.17     0.01     5.97     1.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     26   34   -4      57.90     6.50   -10.40     0.00     0.18     0.01P    0.46R    0.01  
Tamworth           24   33   -4      57.92     6.55   -12.48     0.00     0.23     0.02P    0.42R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.48     6.24    -7.59     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.57R    0.07  
Lincoln_City       26   26  -11      55.02     6.45    -8.51     0.00     0.02     0.01P    1.74R    0.12  
AFC_Telford        26   24  -11      46.51     6.36   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.11R    2.47  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.74     6.50    -8.81     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.01R    0.85  
Kettering          26   22  -28      43.19     6.05   -38.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.51R    7.60  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.51     6.01   -33.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.12R   14.87  
Alfreton_Town      26   21  -26      37.47     5.85   -45.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.35R   34.25  
Stockport          26   20  -17      46.20     6.48   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.72R    3.37  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.75     6.30   -33.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.95R   36.37