Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 28 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2011, Arsenal vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 18 45 +38 87.39 5.83 63.65 36.06 88.67 97.15 99.38 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 18 45 +33 90.27 5.36 64.72 62.11 95.32 99.14 99.87 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 17 38 +15 74.47 6.38 27.01 0.99 7.23 39.18 69.60 97.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 18 34 +15 74.74 5.86 36.94 0.73 6.86 44.47 75.17 98.80 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 18 33 +8 69.90 6.29 23.62 0.11 1.63 15.67 39.40 93.03 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 18 31 +7 65.11 6.28 16.65 0.00 0.28 4.04 14.48 77.05 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 18 30 +3 57.71 6.28 2.94 0.00 0.02 0.32 1.83 23.57 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 18 25 -10 48.70 6.01 -16.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.76 0.88R 0.04 West_Brom 18 22 -7 45.30 6.15 -15.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.60 3.11R 0.31 Everton 17 21 -2 51.15 6.54 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.23 5.31 0.37R 0.03 Norwich 18 21 -6 41.99 6.19 -18.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 9.34R 1.29 Aston_Villa 18 20 -4 45.28 6.16 -8.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.66 2.88R 0.27 Fulham 18 19 -5 45.59 6.16 -6.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.71 2.57R 0.24 Swansea 18 19 -5 40.05 6.04 -14.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 14.00R 2.24 Sunderland 18 18 +0 42.10 6.13 -5.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.23 7.70R 1.01 QPR 18 17 -14 35.61 5.83 -29.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 39.71R 10.30 Wolverhampton 18 16 -13 36.28 6.03 -25.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 34.72R 9.03 Wigan 18 14 -20 31.93 5.70 -36.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.88R 27.65 Bolton 18 12 -19 33.51 6.01 -31.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.26R 19.04 Blackburn 18 11 -14 31.42 5.87 -28.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.57R 28.56Championship (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Southampton 23 47 +23 86.37 7.05 35.12 44.51 70.34 97.01 77.61P 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 23 44 +17 84.90 7.03 30.86 34.25 62.24 95.40 72.21P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 23 44 +10 78.64 6.85 14.77 8.10 22.81 78.79 34.92P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 23 39 +11 77.14 6.96 20.95 6.46 18.38 74.13 33.61P 0.00 0.00 Hull 23 39 +3 71.72 6.72 5.13 1.17 4.32 40.98 11.78P 0.02R 0.00 Reading 23 36 +8 72.67 6.90 15.52 1.65 6.41 49.46 18.56P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 23 35 +8 72.47 7.19 16.84 1.99 7.16 49.09 18.62P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds_United 23 35 +5 69.38 7.02 9.33 0.66 2.77 31.17 8.93P 0.08R 0.00 Burnley 23 33 +4 65.73 6.91 5.48 0.15 0.87 15.40 4.00P 0.30R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 23 33 +0 61.24 6.58 -4.01 0.01 0.11 4.22 0.77P 1.41R 0.04 Brighton 23 32 -3 60.10 6.87 -7.67 0.02 0.10 3.57 0.70P 2.70R 0.15 Leicester 23 31 +4 64.07 6.90 6.15 0.06 0.40 10.90 2.75P 0.66R 0.03 Peterborough 23 31 +3 61.08 7.29 -0.38 0.04 0.25 6.22 1.28P 2.47R 0.14 Derby 23 31 -5 58.09 6.68 -11.67 0.00 0.03 1.72 0.32P 4.69R 0.26 Birmingham 21 30 +3 69.73 7.50 10.93 0.90 3.68 34.33 12.37P 0.11R 0.00 Barnsley 23 30 -4 57.04 6.76 -10.90 0.00 0.03 1.36 0.21P 6.54R 0.49 Portsmouth 22 27 +0 59.29 6.97 -0.62 0.01 0.06 3.17 0.73P 3.39R 0.23 Watford 23 27 -8 55.82 6.83 -12.30 0.00 0.01 0.88 0.17P 9.44R 0.83 Ipswich 22 27 -10 55.06 7.04 -18.01 0.00 0.01 0.85 0.14P 12.54R 1.37 Millwall 23 26 -2 56.54 6.83 -3.00 0.00 0.02 1.26 0.30P 6.96R 0.55 Bristol_City 23 21 -13 47.99 6.67 -19.73 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 43.54R 8.77 Nott'm_Forest 23 21 -19 48.81 6.73 -24.28 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 40.38R 7.64 Doncaster 23 19 -20 41.53 6.39 -33.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.75R 38.76 Coventry 23 16 -15 40.76 6.41 -24.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.97R 40.73League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2011, Sheff_Utd vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Charlton 22 51 +29 95.55 7.17 46.81 62.30 83.24 99.85 88.33P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 22 44 +17 87.29 7.37 32.70 14.46 40.36 97.45 58.66P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 22 43 +11 81.81 7.42 19.83 3.90 14.93 89.23 30.56P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 22 42 +22 83.76 7.29 35.46 7.02 24.05 94.21 44.17P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 22 42 +20 86.34 7.19 37.52 12.19 36.25 96.99 56.80P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 22 35 +12 68.29 7.34 12.70 0.06 0.42 28.41 5.08P 0.18R 0.00 Brentford 22 34 +3 66.37 7.14 2.33 0.01 0.14 18.38 3.19P 0.38R 0.01 Carlisle 22 34 -2 66.18 7.26 -3.53 0.01 0.21 17.22 2.78P 0.58R 0.00 Notts_County 22 31 +4 63.88 7.25 3.83 0.00 0.06 11.94 1.98P 1.19R 0.02 Preston 22 31 -3 66.44 7.59 0.44 0.04 0.24 19.93 4.24P 0.76R 0.01 Bury 22 31 -3 60.67 7.29 -8.42 0.00 0.02 5.27 0.69P 3.80R 0.15 Hartlepool 22 29 -3 58.28 7.14 -8.61 0.00 0.00 2.73 0.40P 6.78R 0.32 Colchester 22 29 -5 61.54 7.31 -5.91 0.00 0.04 6.48 1.07P 3.16R 0.11 Oldham 22 27 -5 57.36 7.10 -8.88 0.00 0.00 1.99 0.27P 8.62R 0.49 Bournemouth 22 27 -5 61.05 7.25 -3.37 0.00 0.01 5.68 1.09P 3.33R 0.13 Tranmere 21 26 -4 57.83 7.29 -7.39 0.00 0.01 2.38 0.41P 8.03R 0.48 Leyton_Orient 22 25 -9 55.19 7.19 -13.39 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.13P 14.65R 1.13 Walsall 22 21 -6 50.40 7.11 -11.31 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.03P 33.70R 4.30 Exeter 22 21 -15 47.84 7.01 -24.68 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 50.46R 9.35 Wycombe 22 20 -9 47.06 7.21 -18.51 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 53.01R 10.80 Yeovil 22 20 -9 48.36 7.03 -16.04 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 45.20R 7.38 Scunthorpe 22 19 -8 50.95 7.49 -9.93 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.07P 31.54R 4.77 Rochdale 21 18 -16 48.34 7.36 -22.32 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 47.34R 8.79 Chesterfield 22 14 -16 39.09 7.09 -29.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 87.27R 51.74League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Crawley_Town 22 46 +17 83.59 7.48 24.28 23.89 57.09 90.16 64.24P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 22 43 +14 77.07 7.24 15.66 5.31 23.06 66.42 31.12P 0.00 0.00 Southend 21 42 +15 84.07 7.45 26.87 26.50 60.35 91.26 68.72P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 22 41 +13 81.59 7.15 24.31 15.48 46.78 86.09 58.05P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 22 39 +4 71.04 7.24 2.28 0.97 6.15 33.38 10.65P 0.01R 0.00 Gillingham 22 38 +12 77.82 7.33 22.60 7.20 28.45 71.59 40.47P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 22 37 +16 81.41 7.17 33.36 16.44 48.59 86.40 62.38P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 22 36 +9 70.19 7.19 11.11 0.71 5.22 30.77 10.70P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 22 35 +10 72.10 7.20 16.35 1.44 8.67 41.62 17.25P 0.01R 0.00 Torquay 22 34 +5 70.26 7.30 9.91 0.78 5.53 31.51 12.02P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 22 34 +3 70.79 7.27 8.76 0.87 6.23 33.65 12.88P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 22 32 +2 66.85 7.18 4.87 0.22 1.98 16.60 5.49P 0.02R 0.00 Morecambe 22 31 +10 65.06 7.34 11.57 0.15 1.45 12.93 4.01P 0.07R 0.01 Macclesfield 22 27 +0 56.20 6.99 -5.20 0.00 0.04 0.93 0.20P 1.69R 0.52 Crewe 22 27 -8 60.58 7.31 -7.32 0.02 0.27 3.79 1.10P 0.56R 0.14 Aldershot 21 26 -4 58.69 7.31 -6.35 0.01 0.11 2.21 0.55P 0.98R 0.25 AFC_Wimbledon 22 26 -11 49.72 6.94 -26.68 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 12.87R 4.92 Bristol_Rovers 22 23 -12 53.70 7.36 -15.96 0.00 0.02 0.46 0.11P 4.95R 1.70 Bradford 22 22 -4 50.05 7.02 -11.05 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 9.99R 3.65 Barnet 22 20 -18 43.88 6.80 -33.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.97R 20.46 Hereford 22 18 -18 42.41 6.70 -30.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.54R 26.57 Dag_&_Red 22 17 -17 45.68 7.20 -23.90 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 27.82R 13.67 Northampton 22 17 -19 43.84 7.02 -29.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.15R 20.42 Plymouth 22 17 -19 48.29 7.39 -21.69 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.02P 17.38R 7.67Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 25 56 +27 94.99 6.26 42.62 58.64 99.40 70.46P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 25 54 +21 89.67 6.49 31.81 20.58 95.12 37.61P 0.00 0.00 Southport 26 48 +4 73.73 6.42 0.99 0.13 20.79 1.94P 0.00 0.00 York 26 45 +26 80.55 6.23 38.60 1.62 66.80 17.99P 0.00 0.00 Luton 25 45 +23 88.52 6.05 47.25 17.20 95.15 49.90P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 25 45 +12 79.08 6.67 20.24 1.32 54.45 10.51P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 25 43 +12 76.18 6.57 18.54 0.42 36.32 6.75P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 25 41 +3 70.53 6.63 3.93 0.03 10.79 1.29P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 25 38 +8 68.98 6.64 11.19 0.02 7.88 1.35P 0.00 0.00 Barrow 25 38 +2 64.06 6.49 -2.35 0.00 1.72 0.15P 0.02R 0.00 Forest_Green 26 37 +12 63.09 6.32 10.08 0.00 1.21 0.15P 0.02R 0.00 Darlington 26 37 -1 67.35 6.32 3.51 0.00 4.04 0.77P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 25 35 +4 67.72 6.62 10.02 0.02 5.89 1.07P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 26 34 -4 57.87 6.51 -10.45 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.55R 0.01 Tamworth 24 33 -4 57.85 6.49 -12.57 0.00 0.20 0.02P 0.44R 0.02 Ebbsfleet_United 27 31 -3 54.60 6.24 -7.37 0.00 0.02 0.00P 1.39R 0.07 Lincoln_City 26 26 -11 54.98 6.47 -8.61 0.00 0.03 0.00P 1.78R 0.11 AFC_Telford 26 24 -11 46.54 6.34 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.06R 2.37 Newport_County 25 22 -7 49.77 6.48 -8.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.01R 0.85 Kettering 26 22 -28 43.15 6.10 -38.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.68R 7.78 Hayes_&_Yeading 26 21 -19 40.62 6.05 -33.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.05R 14.31 Alfreton_Town 26 21 -26 37.44 5.81 -45.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.45R 34.09 Stockport 26 20 -17 46.12 6.48 -19.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.11R 3.38 Bath_City 25 14 -23 36.66 6.30 -33.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.41R 37.01