Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 28 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2011, Arsenal vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        18   45  +38      87.39     5.83    63.65    36.06    88.67    97.15    99.38    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         18   45  +33      90.27     5.36    64.72    62.11    95.32    99.14    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   38  +15      74.47     6.38    27.01     0.99     7.23    39.18    69.60    97.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   34  +15      74.74     5.86    36.94     0.73     6.86    44.47    75.17    98.80     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   33   +8      69.90     6.29    23.62     0.11     1.63    15.67    39.40    93.03     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31   +7      65.11     6.28    16.65     0.00     0.28     4.04    14.48    77.05     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       18   30   +3      57.71     6.28     2.94     0.00     0.02     0.32     1.83    23.57     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           18   25  -10      48.70     6.01   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.76     0.88R    0.04  
West_Brom       18   22   -7      45.30     6.15   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.60     3.11R    0.31  
Everton         17   21   -2      51.15     6.54    -0.20     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     5.31     0.37R    0.03  
Norwich         18   21   -6      41.99     6.19   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     9.34R    1.29  
Aston_Villa     18   20   -4      45.28     6.16    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.66     2.88R    0.27  
Fulham          18   19   -5      45.59     6.16    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71     2.57R    0.24  
Swansea         18   19   -5      40.05     6.04   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    14.00R    2.24  
Sunderland      18   18   +0      42.10     6.13    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     7.70R    1.01  
QPR             18   17  -14      35.61     5.83   -29.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    39.71R   10.30  
Wolverhampton   18   16  -13      36.28     6.03   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.72R    9.03  
Wigan           18   14  -20      31.93     5.70   -36.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.88R   27.65  
Bolton          18   12  -19      33.51     6.01   -31.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.26R   19.04  
Blackburn       18   11  -14      31.42     5.87   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.57R   28.56  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      23   47  +23      86.37     7.05    35.12    44.51    70.34    97.01    77.61P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         23   44  +17      84.90     7.03    30.86    34.25    62.24    95.40    72.21P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    23   44  +10      78.64     6.85    14.77     8.10    22.81    78.79    34.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39  +11      77.14     6.96    20.95     6.46    18.38    74.13    33.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             23   39   +3      71.72     6.72     5.13     1.17     4.32    40.98    11.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading          23   36   +8      72.67     6.90    15.52     1.65     6.41    49.46    18.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        23   35   +8      72.47     7.19    16.84     1.99     7.16    49.09    18.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United     23   35   +5      69.38     7.02     9.33     0.66     2.77    31.17     8.93P    0.08R    0.00  
Burnley          23   33   +4      65.73     6.91     5.48     0.15     0.87    15.40     4.00P    0.30R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   23   33   +0      61.24     6.58    -4.01     0.01     0.11     4.22     0.77P    1.41R    0.04  
Brighton         23   32   -3      60.10     6.87    -7.67     0.02     0.10     3.57     0.70P    2.70R    0.15  
Leicester        23   31   +4      64.07     6.90     6.15     0.06     0.40    10.90     2.75P    0.66R    0.03  
Peterborough     23   31   +3      61.08     7.29    -0.38     0.04     0.25     6.22     1.28P    2.47R    0.14  
Derby            23   31   -5      58.09     6.68   -11.67     0.00     0.03     1.72     0.32P    4.69R    0.26  
Birmingham       21   30   +3      69.73     7.50    10.93     0.90     3.68    34.33    12.37P    0.11R    0.00  
Barnsley         23   30   -4      57.04     6.76   -10.90     0.00     0.03     1.36     0.21P    6.54R    0.49  
Portsmouth       22   27   +0      59.29     6.97    -0.62     0.01     0.06     3.17     0.73P    3.39R    0.23  
Watford          23   27   -8      55.82     6.83   -12.30     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.17P    9.44R    0.83  
Ipswich          22   27  -10      55.06     7.04   -18.01     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.14P   12.54R    1.37  
Millwall         23   26   -2      56.54     6.83    -3.00     0.00     0.02     1.26     0.30P    6.96R    0.55  
Bristol_City     23   21  -13      47.99     6.67   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   43.54R    8.77  
Nott'm_Forest    23   21  -19      48.81     6.73   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   40.38R    7.64  
Doncaster        23   19  -20      41.53     6.39   -33.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.75R   38.76  
Coventry         23   16  -15      40.76     6.41   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.97R   40.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2011, Sheff_Utd vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        22   51  +29      95.55     7.17    46.81    62.30    83.24    99.85    88.33P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   44  +17      87.29     7.37    32.70    14.46    40.36    97.45    58.66P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   43  +11      81.81     7.42    19.83     3.90    14.93    89.23    30.56P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         22   42  +22      83.76     7.29    35.46     7.02    24.05    94.21    44.17P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    22   42  +20      86.34     7.19    37.52    12.19    36.25    96.99    56.80P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   35  +12      68.29     7.34    12.70     0.06     0.42    28.41     5.08P    0.18R    0.00  
Brentford       22   34   +3      66.37     7.14     2.33     0.01     0.14    18.38     3.19P    0.38R    0.01  
Carlisle        22   34   -2      66.18     7.26    -3.53     0.01     0.21    17.22     2.78P    0.58R    0.00  
Notts_County    22   31   +4      63.88     7.25     3.83     0.00     0.06    11.94     1.98P    1.19R    0.02  
Preston         22   31   -3      66.44     7.59     0.44     0.04     0.24    19.93     4.24P    0.76R    0.01  
Bury            22   31   -3      60.67     7.29    -8.42     0.00     0.02     5.27     0.69P    3.80R    0.15  
Hartlepool      22   29   -3      58.28     7.14    -8.61     0.00     0.00     2.73     0.40P    6.78R    0.32  
Colchester      22   29   -5      61.54     7.31    -5.91     0.00     0.04     6.48     1.07P    3.16R    0.11  
Oldham          22   27   -5      57.36     7.10    -8.88     0.00     0.00     1.99     0.27P    8.62R    0.49  
Bournemouth     22   27   -5      61.05     7.25    -3.37     0.00     0.01     5.68     1.09P    3.33R    0.13  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.83     7.29    -7.39     0.00     0.01     2.38     0.41P    8.03R    0.48  
Leyton_Orient   22   25   -9      55.19     7.19   -13.39     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.13P   14.65R    1.13  
Walsall         22   21   -6      50.40     7.11   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   33.70R    4.30  
Exeter          22   21  -15      47.84     7.01   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.46R    9.35  
Wycombe         22   20   -9      47.06     7.21   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   53.01R   10.80  
Yeovil          22   20   -9      48.36     7.03   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   45.20R    7.38  
Scunthorpe      22   19   -8      50.95     7.49    -9.93     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P   31.54R    4.77  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.34     7.36   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   47.34R    8.79  
Chesterfield    22   14  -16      39.09     7.09   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   87.27R   51.74  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         22   46  +17      83.59     7.48    24.28    23.89    57.09    90.16    64.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   43  +14      77.07     7.24    15.66     5.31    23.06    66.42    31.12P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +15      84.07     7.45    26.87    26.50    60.35    91.26    68.72P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   41  +13      81.59     7.15    24.31    15.48    46.78    86.09    58.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   39   +4      71.04     7.24     2.28     0.97     6.15    33.38    10.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   38  +12      77.82     7.33    22.60     7.20    28.45    71.59    40.47P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              22   37  +16      81.41     7.17    33.36    16.44    48.59    86.40    62.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   36   +9      70.19     7.19    11.11     0.71     5.22    30.77    10.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            22   35  +10      72.10     7.20    16.35     1.44     8.67    41.62    17.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              22   34   +5      70.26     7.30     9.91     0.78     5.53    31.51    12.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            22   34   +3      70.79     7.27     8.76     0.87     6.23    33.65    12.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   32   +2      66.85     7.18     4.87     0.22     1.98    16.60     5.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            22   31  +10      65.06     7.34    11.57     0.15     1.45    12.93     4.01P    0.07R    0.01  
Macclesfield         22   27   +0      56.20     6.99    -5.20     0.00     0.04     0.93     0.20P    1.69R    0.52  
Crewe                22   27   -8      60.58     7.31    -7.32     0.02     0.27     3.79     1.10P    0.56R    0.14  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.69     7.31    -6.35     0.01     0.11     2.21     0.55P    0.98R    0.25  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   26  -11      49.72     6.94   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   12.87R    4.92  
Bristol_Rovers       22   23  -12      53.70     7.36   -15.96     0.00     0.02     0.46     0.11P    4.95R    1.70  
Bradford             22   22   -4      50.05     7.02   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    9.99R    3.65  
Barnet               22   20  -18      43.88     6.80   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.97R   20.46  
Hereford             22   18  -18      42.41     6.70   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.54R   26.57  
Dag_&_Red            22   17  -17      45.68     7.20   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.82R   13.67  
Northampton          22   17  -19      43.84     7.02   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.15R   20.42  
Plymouth             22   17  -19      48.29     7.39   -21.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   17.38R    7.67  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            25   56  +27      94.99     6.26    42.62    58.64    99.40    70.46P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   54  +21      89.67     6.49    31.81    20.58    95.12    37.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          26   48   +4      73.73     6.42     0.99     0.13    20.79     1.94P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   45  +26      80.55     6.23    38.60     1.62    66.80    17.99P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   45  +23      88.52     6.05    47.25    17.20    95.15    49.90P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   45  +12      79.08     6.67    20.24     1.32    54.45    10.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   43  +12      76.18     6.57    18.54     0.42    36.32     6.75P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          25   41   +3      70.53     6.63     3.93     0.03    10.79     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          25   38   +8      68.98     6.64    11.19     0.02     7.88     1.35P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             25   38   +2      64.06     6.49    -2.35     0.00     1.72     0.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Forest_Green       26   37  +12      63.09     6.32    10.08     0.00     1.21     0.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington         26   37   -1      67.35     6.32     3.51     0.00     4.04     0.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby            25   35   +4      67.72     6.62    10.02     0.02     5.89     1.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     26   34   -4      57.87     6.51   -10.45     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.55R    0.01  
Tamworth           24   33   -4      57.85     6.49   -12.57     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.44R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.60     6.24    -7.37     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.39R    0.07  
Lincoln_City       26   26  -11      54.98     6.47    -8.61     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.78R    0.11  
AFC_Telford        26   24  -11      46.54     6.34   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.06R    2.37  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.77     6.48    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.01R    0.85  
Kettering          26   22  -28      43.15     6.10   -38.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.68R    7.78  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.62     6.05   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.05R   14.31  
Alfreton_Town      26   21  -26      37.44     5.81   -45.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.45R   34.09  
Stockport          26   20  -17      46.12     6.48   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.11R    3.38  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.66     6.30   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.41R   37.01