Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2011, Arsenal vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        18   45  +38      87.28     5.86    63.42    35.83    88.33    97.05    99.40    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         18   45  +33      90.29     5.39    64.75    62.21    95.43    99.22    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       17   38  +15      74.43     6.39    26.97     1.05     7.33    39.24    69.48    97.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   34  +15      74.74     5.87    37.03     0.80     6.92    44.72    75.59    98.70     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         18   33   +8      69.86     6.27    23.56     0.09     1.73    15.34    39.40    92.87     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31   +7      65.08     6.23    16.57     0.01     0.25     4.08    14.26    77.54     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       18   30   +3      57.70     6.23     2.98     0.00     0.01     0.33     1.70    23.38     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           18   25  -10      48.59     6.06   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.67     0.89R    0.06  
West_Brom       18   22   -7      45.18     6.13   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58     3.36R    0.34  
Everton         17   21   -2      51.10     6.52    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22     5.33     0.40R    0.02  
Norwich         18   21   -6      42.04     6.25   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     9.54R    1.26  
Aston_Villa     18   20   -4      45.15     6.18    -8.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.62     3.06R    0.29  
Fulham          18   19   -5      45.72     6.18    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.76     2.70R    0.27  
Swansea         18   19   -5      39.98     6.01   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    14.24R    2.21  
Sunderland      18   18   +0      42.13     6.18    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     7.91R    1.10  
QPR             18   17  -14      35.81     5.85   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    38.59R   10.11  
Wolverhampton   18   16  -13      36.27     6.03   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.97R    9.18  
Wigan           18   14  -20      32.01     5.71   -36.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.60R   27.59  
Bolton          18   12  -19      33.50     6.03   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.89R   19.46  
Blackburn       18   11  -14      31.58     5.91   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.85R   28.10  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      23   47  +23      86.31     7.03    35.05    44.43    70.33    97.06    77.69P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         23   44  +17      84.93     6.99    30.92    34.16    62.43    95.51    72.75P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    23   44  +10      78.55     6.91    14.67     8.28    22.59    78.26    34.64P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39  +11      77.01     7.00    20.73     6.30    18.48    73.12    33.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             23   39   +3      71.80     6.67     5.22     1.11     4.21    41.72    11.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          23   36   +8      72.75     6.87    15.65     1.84     6.55    50.46    18.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackpool        23   35   +8      72.51     7.19    16.88     2.00     7.15    49.57    18.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     23   35   +5      69.24     7.05     9.18     0.61     2.64    30.71     8.57P    0.08R    0.00  
Burnley          23   33   +4      65.80     6.92     5.61     0.14     0.84    15.94     4.01P    0.29R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   23   33   +0      61.14     6.54    -4.14     0.01     0.09     4.00     0.67P    1.44R    0.07  
Brighton         23   32   -3      60.14     6.81    -7.55     0.01     0.09     3.36     0.64P    2.66R    0.14  
Leicester        23   31   +4      64.03     6.90     6.13     0.07     0.37    10.88     2.70P    0.68R    0.03  
Peterborough     23   31   +3      61.03     7.30    -0.50     0.05     0.26     6.07     1.23P    2.60R    0.14  
Derby            23   31   -5      58.08     6.71   -11.70     0.00     0.02     1.75     0.26P    5.04R    0.36  
Birmingham       21   30   +3      69.82     7.45    11.08     0.96     3.83    34.48    12.70P    0.12R    0.00  
Barnsley         23   30   -4      57.05     6.78   -10.93     0.00     0.03     1.38     0.25P    6.71R    0.43  
Portsmouth       22   27   +0      59.07     6.96    -0.91     0.01     0.05     2.97     0.66P    3.60R    0.25  
Watford          23   27   -8      55.76     6.85   -12.38     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.15P    9.74R    0.98  
Ipswich          22   27  -10      55.08     7.05   -17.93     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.13P   12.59R    1.40  
Millwall         23   26   -2      56.55     6.78    -3.02     0.00     0.01     1.13     0.23P    6.89R    0.59  
Bristol_City     23   21  -13      47.92     6.62   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.40R    9.18  
Nott'm_Forest    23   21  -19      48.98     6.68   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   39.52R    7.35  
Doncaster        23   19  -20      41.61     6.41   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.34R   38.87  
Coventry         23   16  -15      40.97     6.45   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.26R   40.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 December 2011, Sheff_Utd vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        22   51  +29      95.38     7.17    46.55    61.52    82.57    99.85    87.88P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       22   44  +17      87.26     7.32    32.58    14.47    40.22    97.41    58.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   43  +11      81.74     7.40    19.73     3.94    14.77    88.81    30.53P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         22   42  +22      83.73     7.29    35.38     6.85    23.42    93.80    43.41P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    22   42  +20      86.58     7.15    37.84    13.07    37.80    97.34    58.31P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   35  +12      68.46     7.33    12.93     0.07     0.46    29.24     5.30P    0.16R    0.00  
Brentford       22   34   +3      66.28     7.13     2.20     0.01     0.13    17.98     3.14P    0.45R    0.01  
Carlisle        22   34   -2      66.08     7.30    -3.69     0.02     0.19    16.91     2.63P    0.63R    0.02  
Notts_County    22   31   +4      63.86     7.26     3.78     0.00     0.09    11.70     1.84P    1.25R    0.05  
Preston         22   31   -3      66.67     7.66     0.85     0.04     0.28    20.82     4.42P    0.74R    0.03  
Bury            22   31   -3      60.72     7.34    -8.26     0.00     0.01     5.21     0.70P    3.88R    0.12  
Hartlepool      22   29   -3      58.29     7.04    -8.54     0.00     0.01     2.46     0.35P    6.59R    0.32  
Colchester      22   29   -5      61.61     7.32    -5.84     0.00     0.03     6.63     1.05P    2.95R    0.13  
Oldham          22   27   -5      57.41     7.13    -8.86     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.30P    8.23R    0.46  
Bournemouth     22   27   -5      61.01     7.25    -3.45     0.00     0.02     5.54     1.07P    3.34R    0.15  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.84     7.29    -7.37     0.00     0.00     2.36     0.38P    7.94R    0.44  
Leyton_Orient   22   25   -9      55.21     7.20   -13.41     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.19P   14.91R    1.18  
Walsall         22   21   -6      50.26     7.07   -11.59     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   34.29R    4.44  
Exeter          22   21  -15      47.78     7.02   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   50.94R    9.62  
Wycombe         22   20   -9      47.04     7.14   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   53.10R   10.64  
Yeovil          22   20   -9      48.42     7.06   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   44.96R    7.46  
Scunthorpe      22   19   -8      50.88     7.48   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.08P   31.64R    4.88  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.30     7.38   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   47.20R    9.15  
Chesterfield    22   14  -16      39.21     7.17   -29.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.79R   50.89  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         22   46  +17      83.66     7.45    24.39    24.22    57.38    90.13    64.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   43  +14      76.90     7.19    15.46     5.16    22.23    65.49    30.30P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +15      84.03     7.39    26.79    25.91    60.22    91.27    68.69P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   41  +13      81.74     7.18    24.54    16.08    47.53    86.43    58.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   39   +4      71.11     7.33     2.40     1.05     6.43    33.52    11.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   38  +12      77.93     7.26    22.78     7.04    28.53    72.43    40.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              22   37  +16      81.43     7.18    33.38    16.52    48.44    86.80    62.57P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   36   +9      70.24     7.22    11.16     0.74     5.46    31.05    10.98P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            22   35  +10      71.93     7.19    16.09     1.20     8.27    40.83    16.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay              22   34   +5      70.29     7.28     9.99     0.75     5.38    31.39    12.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            22   34   +3      70.97     7.32     9.02     0.95     6.47    34.18    13.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   32   +2      66.84     7.19     4.93     0.22     1.94    16.47     5.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            22   31  +10      64.93     7.30    11.35     0.13     1.34    12.48     3.83P    0.06R    0.02  
Macclesfield         22   27   +0      56.09     6.98    -5.38     0.00     0.03     0.87     0.19P    1.76R    0.43  
Crewe                22   27   -8      60.56     7.31    -7.38     0.01     0.20     3.58     0.90P    0.56R    0.13  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.63     7.34    -6.38     0.00     0.12     2.32     0.55P    0.98R    0.25  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   26  -11      49.80     6.95   -26.53     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   12.29R    4.66  
Bristol_Rovers       22   23  -12      53.80     7.43   -15.78     0.00     0.03     0.51     0.14P    4.88R    1.76  
Bradford             22   22   -4      50.03     6.96   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   10.07R    3.84  
Barnet               22   20  -18      43.95     6.80   -33.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   38.24R   20.06  
Hereford             22   18  -18      42.30     6.71   -31.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.48R   27.10  
Dag_&_Red            22   17  -17      45.60     7.19   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    27.96R   13.72  
Northampton          22   17  -19      43.86     6.97   -29.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.72R   20.07  
Plymouth             22   17  -19      48.16     7.37   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   17.95R    7.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            25   56  +27      94.88     6.25    42.48    57.75    99.38    69.89P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   54  +21      89.74     6.56    31.97    21.52    95.12    38.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          26   48   +4      73.84     6.43     1.20     0.12    21.25     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   45  +26      80.53     6.27    38.55     1.60    66.61    17.93P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   45  +23      88.51     6.05    47.30    17.34    95.22    49.61P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   45  +12      79.12     6.66    20.32     1.23    54.72    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   43  +12      76.15     6.56    18.57     0.37    36.08     6.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          25   41   +3      70.47     6.62     3.81     0.03    10.58     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          25   38   +8      68.94     6.61    11.14     0.04     7.82     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             25   38   +2      64.03     6.46    -2.45     0.00     1.69     0.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       26   37  +12      63.03     6.29    10.00     0.00     1.23     0.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Darlington         26   37   -1      67.37     6.28     3.55     0.00     3.91     0.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            25   35   +4      67.68     6.63     9.98     0.01     5.97     1.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     26   34   -4      57.97     6.54   -10.30     0.00     0.19     0.01P    0.54R    0.02  
Tamworth           24   33   -4      57.89     6.53   -12.59     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.44R    0.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.51     6.22    -7.50     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.50R    0.08  
Lincoln_City       26   26  -11      55.02     6.46    -8.53     0.00     0.03     0.00     1.67R    0.11  
AFC_Telford        26   24  -11      46.56     6.35   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.81R    2.31  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.66     6.52    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.47R    0.90  
Kettering          26   22  -28      43.28     6.13   -38.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.97R    7.53  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.55     6.00   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.90R   14.74  
Alfreton_Town      26   21  -26      37.45     5.82   -45.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.49R   34.49  
Stockport          26   20  -17      46.09     6.42   -19.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.03R    3.30  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.75     6.28   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.14R   36.51