Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 26 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, Bolton vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        18   45  +38      87.24     5.86    63.35    36.03    88.37    96.94    99.28   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         18   45  +33      90.20     5.41    64.60    62.17    95.36    99.20    99.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       16   35  +13      73.10     6.62    25.56     0.73     5.58    31.10    59.77    96.45     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         18   34  +15      74.63     5.88    36.87     0.74     6.93    44.14    73.45    98.58     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32   +8      71.74     6.42    26.38     0.33     3.48    24.07    51.47    95.34     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       18   31   +7      65.12     6.25    16.63     0.01     0.28     4.21    14.10    76.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       18   30   +3      57.69     6.30     2.93     0.00     0.01     0.31     1.80    23.01     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           18   25  -10      48.73     6.04   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.77     0.84R    0.06  
West_Brom       18   22   -7      45.34     6.12   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.57     3.07R    0.25  
Everton         17   21   -2      51.14     6.51    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     5.07     0.37R    0.02  
Norwich         17   21   -4      43.44     6.48   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.48     6.61R    0.79  
Aston_Villa     18   20   -4      45.29     6.20    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.69     2.80R    0.25  
Fulham          18   19   -5      45.60     6.18    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.70     2.49R    0.26  
Sunderland      18   18   +0      42.08     6.12    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     7.72R    1.04  
Swansea         17   18   -5      40.79     6.27   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    12.30R    1.88  
QPR             17   16  -14      35.65     6.03   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    39.73R   10.51  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -13      35.19     6.13   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.89R   12.47  
Wigan           18   14  -20      31.85     5.70   -36.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.98R   27.21  
Bolton          18   12  -19      33.66     6.03   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.07R   17.96  
Blackburn       18   11  -14      31.56     5.91   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.12R   27.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, Barnsley vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      23   47  +23      86.43     6.99    35.27    45.09    71.09    97.14    78.27P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         23   44  +17      84.88     7.04    30.84    33.84    62.05    95.28    72.54P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    23   44  +10      78.60     6.89    14.73     8.30    22.59    78.66    34.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          23   39  +11      77.02     6.93    20.74     6.00    18.07    73.24    32.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             23   39   +3      71.72     6.72     5.07     1.07     4.40    40.89    11.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Reading          23   36   +8      72.61     6.87    15.44     1.62     6.36    49.67    18.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool        23   35   +8      72.54     7.22    16.95     2.06     7.24    49.79    18.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     23   35   +5      69.24     6.99     9.17     0.65     2.64    30.36     8.49P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          23   33   +4      65.77     6.95     5.53     0.17     0.85    15.81     4.08P    0.30R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   23   33   +0      61.28     6.62    -3.98     0.01     0.09     4.43     0.84P    1.34R    0.04  
Brighton         23   32   -3      60.24     6.90    -7.54     0.01     0.08     3.55     0.62P    2.65R    0.15  
Leicester        23   31   +4      64.07     6.93     6.13     0.09     0.44    11.15     2.79P    0.64R    0.03  
Peterborough     23   31   +3      61.00     7.26    -0.56     0.03     0.23     5.97     1.21P    2.57R    0.15  
Derby            23   31   -5      57.96     6.71   -11.86     0.00     0.02     1.58     0.25P    5.20R    0.37  
Birmingham       21   30   +3      69.94     7.48    11.22     1.03     3.67    35.04    12.79P    0.11R    0.00  
Barnsley         23   30   -4      57.14     6.78   -10.78     0.00     0.02     1.46     0.25P    6.51R    0.41  
Portsmouth       22   27   +0      59.13     7.00    -0.83     0.01     0.10     3.03     0.74P    3.52R    0.22  
Watford          23   27   -8      55.79     6.83   -12.31     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.16P    9.47R    0.80  
Ipswich          22   27  -10      55.12     7.05   -17.90     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.14P   12.54R    1.42  
Millwall         23   26   -2      56.52     6.81    -3.00     0.00     0.02     1.18     0.26P    6.93R    0.53  
Bristol_City     23   21  -13      47.87     6.65   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   44.54R    9.25  
Nott'm_Forest    23   21  -19      49.02     6.75   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   39.26R    7.33  
Doncaster        23   19  -20      41.60     6.42   -33.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.36R   38.20  
Coventry         23   16  -15      40.74     6.42   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.92R   41.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        22   51  +29      95.46     7.18    46.68    63.17    83.74    99.89    88.57P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       22   43  +11      81.61     7.40    19.53     3.92    15.26    88.24    30.57P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         22   42  +22      83.88     7.23    35.62     7.62    25.69    94.18    45.26P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    22   42  +20      86.49     7.17    37.73    13.19    38.90    97.01    58.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   41  +16      85.89     7.54    31.95    11.95    35.02    95.84    54.17P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage       22   35  +12      68.43     7.34    12.87     0.07     0.44    28.87     5.35P    0.16R    0.00  
Brentford       22   34   +3      66.53     7.12     2.51     0.02     0.18    18.45     3.25P    0.41R    0.00  
Carlisle        22   34   -2      66.18     7.33    -3.53     0.02     0.19    16.98     2.95P    0.54R    0.01  
Notts_County    21   31   +5      64.87     7.42     4.23     0.02     0.17    14.51     2.54P    0.91R    0.02  
Preston         22   31   -3      66.65     7.64     0.79     0.03     0.31    20.45     4.39P    0.67R    0.01  
Bury            22   31   -3      60.67     7.31    -8.41     0.00     0.02     5.13     0.66P    3.79R    0.14  
Hartlepool      22   29   -3      58.32     7.08    -8.52     0.00     0.00     2.45     0.35P    6.67R    0.25  
Colchester      22   29   -5      61.53     7.36    -5.91     0.00     0.03     6.34     1.04P    3.16R    0.14  
Oldham          22   27   -5      57.44     7.12    -8.80     0.00     0.01     1.96     0.26P    8.39R    0.49  
Bournemouth     22   27   -5      60.99     7.21    -3.47     0.00     0.02     5.53     1.07P    3.24R    0.12  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.76     7.30    -7.50     0.00     0.01     2.36     0.36P    8.15R    0.47  
Leyton_Orient   22   25   -9      55.18     7.24   -13.43     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.18P   15.11R    1.15  
Walsall         22   21   -6      50.34     7.13   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   34.03R    4.52  
Exeter          22   21  -15      47.75     7.02   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   50.96R    9.47  
Wycombe         22   20   -9      46.95     7.20   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   53.57R   11.01  
Yeovil          22   20   -9      48.48     7.03   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   44.57R    7.06  
Scunthorpe      22   19   -8      50.94     7.43    -9.94     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P   31.24R    4.67  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.35     7.37   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   47.16R    9.02  
Chesterfield    22   14  -16      39.07     7.14   -29.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.28R   51.45  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         22   46  +17      83.75     7.45    24.53    24.60    58.09    90.38    65.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           22   43  +14      76.86     7.25    15.33     5.28    22.29    65.34    30.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +14      83.70     7.45    25.19    24.53    58.11    90.48    66.82P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           22   41  +14      81.98     7.17    25.83    17.15    49.66    87.45    60.78P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   39   +4      71.04     7.30     2.32     1.05     6.33    33.12    11.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Gillingham           22   38  +12      77.83     7.22    22.63     6.95    28.27    72.30    40.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              22   37  +16      81.31     7.19    33.21    16.13    47.93    86.12    61.93P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   36   +9      70.37     7.21    11.36     0.77     5.50    31.85    11.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            22   35  +10      71.96     7.21    16.16     1.49     8.60    41.16    16.88P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              22   34   +5      70.09     7.29     9.70     0.78     5.23    30.61    11.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            22   34   +3      70.67     7.35     8.60     0.93     6.39    33.42    12.96P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   22   32   +2      66.91     7.21     5.04     0.19     1.88    17.10     5.42P    0.03R    0.01  
Morecambe            22   31  +10      65.03     7.29    11.48     0.14     1.33    12.82     3.85P    0.03R    0.01  
Macclesfield         22   27   +0      56.18     6.92    -5.19     0.00     0.04     0.88     0.21P    1.57R    0.47  
Crewe                22   27   -8      60.70     7.35    -7.19     0.02     0.22     3.95     1.05P    0.52R    0.14  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.61     7.29    -6.46     0.00     0.10     2.23     0.52P    1.07R    0.30  
AFC_Wimbledon        22   26  -11      49.79     6.93   -26.44     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   12.39R    4.81  
Bristol_Rovers       22   23  -12      53.80     7.42   -15.78     0.00     0.03     0.52     0.14P    5.04R    1.79  
Bradford             22   22   -4      50.06     7.02   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   10.11R    3.69  
Barnet               22   20  -18      43.88     6.83   -33.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.31R   20.61  
Hereford             22   18  -18      42.33     6.74   -31.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   46.95R   26.78  
Dag_&_Red            22   17  -17      45.75     7.21   -23.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.75R   13.55  
Northampton          22   17  -19      44.01     6.98   -29.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.05R   19.58  
Plymouth             22   17  -19      48.17     7.39   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   18.17R    8.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 26 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            25   56  +27      94.89     6.28    42.42    58.05    99.36    70.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     25   54  +21      89.72     6.50    31.89    21.19    95.26    37.89P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          26   48   +4      73.73     6.42     1.00     0.11    20.76     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
York               26   45  +26      80.54     6.24    38.59     1.68    66.80    18.28P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   45  +23      88.49     6.04    47.24    17.26    95.14    49.57P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   45  +12      79.07     6.69    20.25     1.26    54.45    10.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      25   43  +12      76.11     6.56    18.51     0.37    35.85     6.56P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          25   41   +3      70.46     6.67     3.85     0.03    10.82     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          25   38   +8      68.98     6.66    11.20     0.04     8.22     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             25   38   +2      63.91     6.52    -2.61     0.00     1.73     0.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Forest_Green       26   37  +12      63.10     6.35    10.06     0.00     1.25     0.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         26   37   -1      67.33     6.30     3.53     0.00     4.07     0.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby            25   35   +4      67.67     6.64     9.97     0.01     5.85     1.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     26   34   -4      58.00     6.52   -10.22     0.00     0.19     0.01P    0.49R    0.02  
Tamworth           24   33   -4      57.94     6.54   -12.47     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.46R    0.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   31   -3      54.58     6.25    -7.37     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.52R    0.09  
Lincoln_City       26   26  -11      54.99     6.51    -8.58     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.82R    0.10  
AFC_Telford        26   24  -11      46.48     6.33   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.24R    2.43  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.69     6.55    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.60R    0.93  
Kettering          26   22  -28      43.36     6.07   -38.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.48R    7.35  
Hayes_&_Yeading    26   21  -19      40.53     6.05   -33.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.13R   14.85  
Alfreton_Town      26   21  -26      37.34     5.82   -46.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.12R   34.94  
Stockport          26   20  -17      46.29     6.45   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.28R    3.23  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.84     6.33   -33.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.84R   36.07