Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 24 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 22 December 2011, Tottenham vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        17   44  +38      88.95     6.05    66.20    47.43    90.06    97.49    99.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   42  +28      89.46     5.57    61.32    50.19    92.08    98.32    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       16   35  +13      73.11     6.63    25.54     0.64     4.73    26.62    55.84    96.54     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   33  +15      76.32     6.02    39.08     1.41     9.85    51.24    78.18    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32   +8      71.74     6.44    26.42     0.29     2.80    20.45    47.16    95.60     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   30   +7      66.85     6.44    18.82     0.03     0.48     5.74    18.71    84.67     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       17   27   +1      55.74     6.47     0.33     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.77    14.12     0.05R    0.00  
Stoke           17   24  -10      49.11     6.28   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.92     0.98R    0.05  
Norwich         17   21   -4      43.53     6.52   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     7.16R    0.87  
West_Brom       17   21   -7      44.44     6.30   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47     4.98R    0.56  
Everton         16   20   -2      51.51     6.75    -0.21     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.19     5.41     0.45R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     17   19   -4      45.49     6.43    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76     3.46R    0.42  
Fulham          17   18   -5      44.91     6.33    -8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55     3.90R    0.39  
Swansea         17   18   -5      40.78     6.29   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    13.07R    2.03  
Sunderland      17   17   +0      42.32     6.37    -6.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     8.23R    1.23  
QPR             17   16  -14      35.65     6.02   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.34R   11.20  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -13      35.22     6.11   -28.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    43.23R   12.79  
Wigan           17   14  -15      32.78     5.87   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.26R   23.06  
Bolton          17   12  -17      35.29     6.35   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    43.03R   13.20  
Blackburn       17   10  -14      30.85     6.07   -30.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.85R   34.18  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 December 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      22   44  +21      85.14     7.26    33.64    38.54    64.89    95.38    73.28P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         22   43  +17      85.24     7.23    30.85    38.42    64.89    95.46    74.41P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41   +9      76.95     7.09    13.71     6.42    18.19    71.08    30.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             22   39   +4      73.10     6.92     6.18     2.00     7.12    49.58    15.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   38  +11      77.70     7.23    21.28     8.57    22.66    75.99    37.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   35   +6      71.15     7.26    10.98     1.43     5.35    41.51    13.38P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading          22   33   +5      70.98     7.09    12.42     1.23     4.62    40.29    14.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +2      62.35     6.80    -2.43     0.05     0.24     6.50     1.25P    1.26R    0.04  
Blackpool        22   32   +6      70.17     7.46    13.78     1.28     4.66    37.30    13.64P    0.10R    0.00  
Brighton         22   32   +0      61.91     7.08    -3.94     0.04     0.24     6.59     1.40P    1.81R    0.08  
Leicester        22   30   +4      65.14     7.18     7.23     0.21     0.84    15.31     4.23P    0.59R    0.02  
Burnley          22   30   +1      64.31     7.13     2.79     0.12     0.61    12.10     3.06P    0.85R    0.04  
Barnsley         22   30   -2      58.75     7.04    -8.32     0.01     0.07     2.73     0.47P    4.94R    0.31  
Birmingham       20   29   +3      70.16     7.73    11.08     1.55     5.15    36.73    14.28P    0.15R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   28   +2      58.73     7.52    -2.81     0.04     0.17     3.81     0.81P    6.06R    0.44  
Derby            22   28   -6      56.11     6.93   -13.28     0.00     0.02     1.11     0.21P    9.98R    0.82  
Portsmouth       21   27   +1      60.65     7.25     0.45     0.05     0.23     5.38     1.36P    2.88R    0.15  
Watford          22   26   -8      55.90     7.05   -12.78     0.01     0.03     1.19     0.25P   10.65R    0.99  
Ipswich          21   26  -10      54.74     7.25   -19.26     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.17P   15.47R    1.68  
Millwall         22   23   -3      54.84     7.01    -4.06     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.23P   12.15R    1.14  
Bristol_City     22   21  -12      49.52     6.95   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   37.33R    6.84  
Nott'm_Forest    22   21  -18      50.98     6.97   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   30.90R    4.48  
Doncaster        22   19  -17      42.82     6.61   -31.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.91R   29.10  
Coventry         22   13  -16      39.06     6.66   -25.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.88R   53.86  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        21   48  +28      94.23     7.33    46.16    58.53    80.09    99.73    86.00P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   43  +12      83.76     7.59    21.76     8.14    24.62    92.20    39.58P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   41  +16      86.05     7.51    32.26    13.80    37.31    96.00    55.59P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    21   39  +19      85.87     7.37    38.57    13.83    37.80    96.21    57.83P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         21   39  +19      81.69     7.53    31.66     5.50    18.52    89.19    37.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       21   33   +3      66.90     7.36     2.56     0.03     0.26    20.34     3.72P    0.36R    0.01  
Carlisle        21   33   -2      66.18     7.50    -4.11     0.03     0.25    17.75     3.02P    0.72R    0.01  
Stevenage       21   32   +7      64.45     7.44     4.73     0.01     0.17    13.59     2.22P    1.00R    0.02  
Notts_County    21   31   +5      65.00     7.43     4.42     0.01     0.13    15.06     2.56P    0.96R    0.02  
Preston         21   30   -3      67.57     7.89     1.74     0.08     0.59    24.87     5.67P    0.65R    0.02  
Colchester      21   29   +0      64.96     7.50     2.29     0.02     0.16    14.84     2.91P    1.02R    0.03  
Bury            21   28   -5      57.96     7.53   -12.03     0.00     0.01     2.75     0.34P    8.98R    0.55  
Oldham          21   27   -4      59.23     7.35    -7.19     0.00     0.02     3.66     0.61P    5.89R    0.27  
Hartlepool      21   26   -4      56.11     7.28   -10.51     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.23P   12.14R    0.80  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.78     7.27    -7.44     0.00     0.01     2.32     0.34P    7.96R    0.44  
Bournemouth     21   26   -5      61.27     7.48    -3.62     0.01     0.03     6.52     1.24P    3.40R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient   21   25   -6      57.02     7.38    -9.73     0.00     0.02     2.05     0.39P   10.21R    0.59  
Exeter          21   21  -13      49.49     7.20   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   41.56R    6.22  
Yeovil          21   20   -8      49.46     7.14   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   39.41R    5.64  
Scunthorpe      21   19   -6      53.36     7.69    -6.31     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.17P   21.14R    2.53  
Walsall         21   18   -7      47.93     7.28   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   47.12R    8.20  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.27     7.28   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   47.60R    8.68  
Wycombe         21   17  -11      45.00     7.40   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   63.84R   17.49  
Chesterfield    21   14  -15      39.42     7.33   -30.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.03R   48.31  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         21   46  +18      85.64     7.71    26.23    29.44    65.50    93.85    71.78P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +14      83.79     7.42    25.37    20.67    57.08    91.68    66.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   42  +14      77.28     7.45    15.33     5.11    23.26    69.33    31.73P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   40  +14      82.56     7.39    26.22    16.70    50.50    89.46    62.21P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              21   37  +17      83.44     7.39    35.41    21.09    57.83    91.66    70.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   36   +3      68.99     7.51     0.55     0.48     3.80    26.85     7.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   35  +11      75.64     7.50    20.72     3.69    18.68    63.71    31.19P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   33   +7      68.22     7.41     8.51     0.34     2.99    24.81     7.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   33   +3      71.28     7.53     8.91     1.01     7.12    39.03    14.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            21   32   +9      70.52     7.41    15.35     0.70     5.78    36.61    13.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            21   31  +11      66.98     7.49    13.38     0.28     2.51    21.44     6.71P    0.03R    0.01  
Torquay              21   31   +4      67.95     7.52     7.86     0.36     3.12    24.11     8.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   21   29   +1      64.61     7.42     2.98     0.08     1.00    12.44     3.59P    0.10R    0.03  
Crewe                21   27   -5      63.07     7.54    -2.57     0.04     0.62     8.95     2.57P    0.27R    0.06  
Macclesfield         21   26   +0      56.43     7.22    -5.51     0.00     0.04     1.45     0.32P    1.74R    0.49  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.72     7.33    -6.31     0.01     0.11     2.81     0.69P    0.95R    0.23  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   26   -9      51.65     7.18   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    8.52R    2.99  
Bristol_Rovers       21   23  -11      55.78     7.65   -13.79     0.00     0.04     1.36     0.34P    3.28R    1.13  
Barnet               21   20  -15      45.77     7.05   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   28.80R   14.09  
Bradford             21   19   -7      47.38     7.15   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   19.19R    8.34  
Hereford             21   18  -17      43.62     6.96   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   39.67R   21.18  
Northampton          21   17  -18      45.55     7.24   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.34R   14.78  
Plymouth             21   14  -20      45.83     7.58   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   27.95R   14.03  
Dag_&_Red            21   14  -20      43.49     7.37   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.10R   22.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 December 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            24   53  +25      93.39     6.53    40.55    49.15    98.84    63.17P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     24   53  +21      91.03     6.72    33.29    31.48    96.59    47.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          25   47   +4      73.23     6.61    -0.43     0.17    20.93     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44  +26      81.01     6.50    38.70     2.67    71.16    20.51P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +18      87.19     6.28    42.53    14.88    92.98    45.69P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   42  +11      77.81     6.90    19.78     1.21    49.77     9.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   40  +10      74.75     6.81    16.87     0.32    31.12     5.83P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   40   +3      70.78     6.86     3.77     0.07    13.50     1.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       25   37  +13      64.25     6.54    10.69     0.00     2.56     0.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   37   +8      68.99     6.85    10.66     0.04     9.65     1.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         25   36   -1      67.85     6.48     3.72     0.00     5.77     1.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             24   35   +1      62.34     6.76    -3.59     0.00     1.31     0.15P    0.08R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     25   34   -2      59.26     6.74    -8.45     0.00     0.48     0.05P    0.41R    0.01  
Tamworth           23   33   -1      60.43     6.81    -7.48     0.00     0.85     0.10P    0.22R    0.00  
Grimsby            24   32   +3      65.78     6.86     8.54     0.00     4.33     0.70P    0.04R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   28   -5      52.90     6.49    -9.46     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.84R    0.19  
Lincoln_City       25   26  -10      56.73     6.71    -7.05     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.32R    0.04  
AFC_Telford        25   24   -9      47.69     6.58   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.29R    1.42  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.73     6.51    -8.78     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.92R    0.70  
Kettering          25   22  -23      44.41     6.27   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.74R    4.39  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   21  -17      41.76     6.27   -31.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.43R    8.91  
Stockport          25   20  -16      47.58     6.75   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.69R    1.94  
Alfreton_Town      25   18  -29      34.68     5.89   -50.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.64R   51.01  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.73     6.31   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.37R   31.38