Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 23 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 22 December 2011, Tottenham vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        17   44  +38      88.87     6.09    66.08    47.70    89.95    97.38    99.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   42  +28      89.42     5.60    61.28    49.78    91.93    98.19    99.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       16   35  +13      72.93     6.69    25.20     0.66     4.73    26.23    55.01    96.19     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   33  +15      76.29     6.06    39.04     1.54     9.99    51.68    78.24    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32   +8      71.70     6.44    26.38     0.29     2.89    20.54    47.53    95.46     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   30   +7      66.80     6.44    18.77     0.04     0.50     5.78    18.93    84.26     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       17   27   +1      55.78     6.52     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.93    14.55     0.05R    0.00  
Stoke           17   24  -10      49.07     6.29   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.11     1.01R    0.05  
Norwich         17   21   -4      43.50     6.49   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     7.17R    0.88  
West_Brom       17   21   -7      44.64     6.29   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44     4.85R    0.48  
Everton         16   20   -2      51.57     6.75    -0.14     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.25     5.69     0.44R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     17   19   -4      45.57     6.40    -8.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.78     3.33R    0.29  
Fulham          17   18   -5      44.78     6.31    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.51     4.02R    0.41  
Swansea         17   18   -5      40.90     6.30   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    12.73R    2.01  
Sunderland      17   17   +0      42.53     6.35    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     7.60R    1.07  
QPR             17   16  -14      35.64     6.02   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    41.46R   11.15  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -13      35.25     6.13   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    43.18R   12.76  
Wigan           17   14  -15      32.72     5.86   -33.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.84R   23.37  
Bolton          17   12  -17      35.26     6.30   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    43.25R   13.15  
Blackburn       17   10  -14      30.82     6.07   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.07R   34.37  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 December 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      22   44  +21      84.94     7.31    33.36    38.09    64.02    94.96    72.22P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         22   43  +17      85.20     7.22    30.77    38.70    65.03    95.30    74.41P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41   +9      76.93     7.09    13.64     6.41    18.20    70.86    29.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             22   39   +4      73.11     6.91     6.19     2.11     7.32    49.63    16.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   38  +11      77.59     7.23    21.09     8.44    22.40    75.51    36.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     22   35   +6      71.02     7.27    10.80     1.45     5.27    40.25    12.97P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading          22   33   +5      70.92     7.09    12.34     1.24     4.79    39.96    14.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +2      62.31     6.78    -2.49     0.03     0.25     6.38     1.27P    1.21R    0.03  
Blackpool        22   32   +6      70.45     7.45    14.21     1.44     5.17    39.04    14.43P    0.10R    0.00  
Brighton         22   32   +0      61.77     7.06    -4.19     0.05     0.23     6.34     1.31P    1.80R    0.07  
Leicester        22   30   +4      65.33     7.17     7.53     0.20     0.92    15.79     4.60P    0.58R    0.01  
Burnley          22   30   +1      64.25     7.14     2.73     0.14     0.65    12.14     3.24P    0.92R    0.05  
Barnsley         22   30   -2      58.67     6.98    -8.41     0.01     0.08     2.53     0.46P    4.92R    0.33  
Birmingham       20   29   +3      70.36     7.70    11.31     1.62     5.25    37.93    14.81P    0.14R    0.01  
Peterborough     22   28   +2      58.89     7.50    -2.44     0.02     0.15     3.92     0.82P    5.92R    0.44  
Derby            22   28   -6      56.13     6.97   -13.27     0.01     0.03     1.11     0.18P   10.12R    0.79  
Portsmouth       21   27   +1      60.66     7.19     0.39     0.03     0.18     5.16     1.27P    2.83R    0.18  
Watford          22   26   -8      55.94     7.08   -12.70     0.01     0.03     1.23     0.28P   11.01R    0.93  
Ipswich          21   26  -10      54.74     7.26   -19.24     0.00     0.02     0.91     0.18P   15.57R    1.63  
Millwall         22   23   -3      54.85     6.99    -4.09     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.18P   12.10R    1.22  
Bristol_City     22   21  -12      49.41     6.85   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   37.70R    6.82  
Nott'm_Forest    22   21  -18      51.04     7.05   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   30.71R    4.43  
Doncaster        22   19  -17      42.82     6.65   -31.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.30R   29.68  
Coventry         22   13  -16      39.06     6.69   -25.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.94R   53.38  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        21   48  +28      94.15     7.37    46.01    57.48    79.63    99.73    85.56P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   43  +12      84.07     7.63    22.21     8.92    25.93    92.92    40.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   41  +16      85.92     7.56    32.04    13.79    36.62    95.80    55.55P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    21   39  +19      85.96     7.38    38.68    14.24    38.40    96.28    58.44P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         21   39  +19      81.58     7.48    31.48     5.36    17.69    89.44    36.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   33   +3      66.84     7.35     2.47     0.04     0.31    20.35     3.68P    0.45R    0.01  
Carlisle        21   33   -2      66.13     7.45    -4.18     0.03     0.32    17.64     2.77P    0.70R    0.02  
Stevenage       21   32   +7      64.53     7.44     4.82     0.02     0.15    13.92     2.13P    1.04R    0.02  
Notts_County    21   31   +5      64.87     7.42     4.19     0.02     0.17    14.88     2.64P    0.94R    0.01  
Preston         21   30   -3      67.53     7.83     1.66     0.08     0.55    24.70     5.37P    0.67R    0.02  
Colchester      21   29   +0      64.74     7.47     1.97     0.01     0.14    14.22     2.72P    1.07R    0.04  
Bury            21   28   -5      58.04     7.50   -11.92     0.00     0.01     2.85     0.41P    8.62R    0.45  
Oldham          21   27   -4      59.26     7.36    -7.18     0.00     0.02     3.71     0.60P    5.82R    0.32  
Hartlepool      21   26   -4      56.17     7.25   -10.42     0.00     0.00     1.54     0.23P   11.83R    0.79  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.79     7.24    -7.41     0.00     0.00     2.27     0.32P    8.17R    0.44  
Bournemouth     21   26   -5      61.18     7.44    -3.71     0.00     0.03     6.30     1.23P    3.41R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient   21   25   -6      57.02     7.40    -9.67     0.00     0.01     2.07     0.39P   10.25R    0.57  
Exeter          21   21  -13      49.66     7.18   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   40.29R    6.09  
Yeovil          21   20   -8      49.26     7.18   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   40.73R    6.09  
Scunthorpe      21   19   -6      53.59     7.67    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.18P   20.50R    2.36  
Walsall         21   18   -7      47.82     7.22   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   47.68R    8.48  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.33     7.32   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   47.41R    8.86  
Wycombe         21   17  -11      44.89     7.38   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   64.17R   17.88  
Chesterfield    21   14  -15      39.55     7.25   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    86.24R   47.39  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         21   46  +18      85.48     7.73    26.05    29.11    64.79    93.67    71.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +14      83.60     7.46    25.09    20.18    55.58    91.16    65.28P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   42  +14      77.26     7.45    15.31     5.24    23.06    69.37    31.27P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   40  +14      82.62     7.38    26.35    17.11    51.42    89.47    62.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              21   37  +17      83.42     7.38    35.40    21.21    57.66    91.77    70.31P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   36   +3      69.05     7.47     0.72     0.45     3.80    26.70     7.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   35  +11      75.82     7.47    20.98     3.87    19.43    64.74    32.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   33   +7      68.42     7.42     8.80     0.37     3.26    25.59     8.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   33   +3      71.25     7.62     8.90     0.99     7.32    39.03    14.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            21   32   +9      70.56     7.40    15.40     0.73     6.01    36.66    13.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            21   31  +11      67.00     7.53    13.37     0.27     2.67    21.43     6.85P    0.04R    0.01  
Torquay              21   31   +4      68.05     7.46     8.05     0.33     3.19    24.23     8.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   21   29   +1      64.52     7.39     2.82     0.08     0.97    11.88     3.43P    0.11R    0.01  
Crewe                21   27   -5      63.06     7.48    -2.59     0.05     0.67     8.49     2.46P    0.25R    0.05  
Macclesfield         21   26   +0      56.38     7.17    -5.56     0.00     0.02     1.31     0.27P    1.66R    0.43  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.69     7.36    -6.39     0.00     0.10     2.69     0.68P    0.98R    0.30  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   26   -9      51.58     7.22   -23.82     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P    8.45R    3.04  
Bristol_Rovers       21   23  -11      55.86     7.66   -13.67     0.00     0.03     1.39     0.36P    3.22R    1.03  
Barnet               21   20  -15      45.83     7.13   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   28.45R   13.86  
Bradford             21   19   -7      47.40     7.14   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   19.10R    8.42  
Hereford             21   18  -17      43.58     6.94   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.67R   21.22  
Northampton          21   17  -18      45.53     7.22   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   29.39R   14.53  
Plymouth             21   14  -20      45.79     7.55   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   28.09R   14.13  
Dag_&_Red            21   14  -20      43.39     7.40   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   40.53R   22.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 December 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            24   53  +25      93.39     6.54    40.54    48.61    98.79    63.11P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     24   53  +21      91.16     6.69    33.54    32.03    96.90    47.74P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          25   47   +4      73.24     6.60    -0.41     0.18    21.38     2.11P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44  +26      81.01     6.52    38.71     2.81    71.16    20.42P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +18      87.19     6.28    42.49    14.66    93.14    45.60P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   42  +11      77.75     6.91    19.76     1.23    49.50     9.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   40  +10      74.52     6.78    16.57     0.36    30.14     5.50P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   40   +3      70.61     6.87     3.47     0.06    13.25     1.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       25   37  +13      64.35     6.57    10.82     0.01     2.79     0.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   37   +8      69.11     6.85    10.89     0.05    10.13     1.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         25   36   -1      67.76     6.53     3.53     0.00     5.76     1.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             24   35   +1      62.25     6.73    -3.74     0.00     1.43     0.15P    0.09R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     25   34   -2      59.38     6.76    -8.23     0.00     0.50     0.05P    0.44R    0.01  
Tamworth           23   33   -1      60.48     6.82    -7.45     0.00     0.84     0.08P    0.22R    0.01  
Grimsby            24   32   +3      65.74     6.82     8.50     0.00     4.16     0.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   28   -5      52.72     6.43    -9.78     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.00R    0.22  
Lincoln_City       25   26  -10      56.63     6.75    -7.18     0.00     0.11     0.03P    1.44R    0.06  
AFC_Telford        25   24   -9      47.70     6.51   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.20R    1.36  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.81     6.54    -8.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.08R    0.75  
Kettering          25   22  -23      44.46     6.26   -33.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.88R    4.53  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   21  -17      41.84     6.24   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.33R    8.86  
Stockport          25   20  -16      47.60     6.67   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.41R    1.95  
Alfreton_Town      25   18  -29      34.75     5.91   -50.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.62R   51.03  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.83     6.33   -32.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.23R   31.23