Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 22 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 22 December 2011, Tottenham vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        17   44  +38      88.87     6.04    66.11    47.55    89.96    97.50    99.45    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   42  +28      89.44     5.59    61.29    49.89    91.99    98.26    99.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       16   35  +13      72.96     6.67    25.30     0.72     4.82    25.96    54.75    96.42     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         17   33  +15      76.35     6.06    39.18     1.43     9.89    51.53    78.49    99.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32   +8      71.77     6.41    26.48     0.38     2.86    20.80    47.68    95.72     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   30   +7      66.81     6.42    18.76     0.03     0.48     5.79    18.84    84.12     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       17   27   +1      55.83     6.53     0.47     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.88    14.37     0.05R    0.00  
Stoke           17   24  -10      49.16     6.29   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.91     0.90R    0.05  
Norwich         17   21   -4      43.49     6.45   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39     6.94R    0.86  
West_Brom       17   21   -7      44.61     6.34   -17.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.50     4.83R    0.52  
Everton         16   20   -2      51.41     6.81    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     5.59     0.54R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     17   19   -4      45.54     6.39    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.83     3.29R    0.35  
Fulham          17   18   -5      44.81     6.31    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.53     3.94R    0.46  
Swansea         17   18   -5      40.81     6.30   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    13.06R    2.09  
Sunderland      17   17   +0      42.46     6.35    -5.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     7.93R    1.07  
QPR             17   16  -14      35.79     6.04   -29.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    40.19R   10.99  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -13      35.21     6.11   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.55R   12.92  
Wigan           17   14  -15      32.72     5.83   -33.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.94R   22.97  
Bolton          17   12  -17      35.18     6.29   -28.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.59R   13.52  
Blackburn       17   10  -14      30.83     6.04   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.25R   34.17  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 December 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      22   44  +21      85.11     7.28    33.67    38.60    64.94    95.30    73.18P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         22   43  +17      85.27     7.23    30.91    38.51    65.12    95.46    74.56P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41   +9      76.97     7.09    13.68     6.42    18.10    71.20    29.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             22   39   +4      72.95     7.00     5.90     2.03     7.06    48.76    15.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   38  +11      77.61     7.20    21.16     8.34    22.31    75.70    37.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   35   +6      71.01     7.25    10.75     1.47     5.20    40.36    12.72P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading          22   33   +5      70.89     7.12    12.30     1.21     4.65    40.14    14.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +2      62.33     6.82    -2.48     0.05     0.27     6.54     1.34P    1.27R    0.04  
Blackpool        22   32   +6      70.38     7.48    14.11     1.39     5.06    38.57    14.25P    0.12R    0.00  
Brighton         22   32   +0      61.82     7.10    -4.10     0.07     0.30     6.58     1.50P    1.96R    0.07  
Leicester        22   30   +4      65.30     7.16     7.48     0.20     0.91    15.64     4.51P    0.61R    0.01  
Burnley          22   30   +1      64.21     7.16     2.65     0.10     0.61    12.12     3.14P    0.96R    0.04  
Barnsley         22   30   -2      58.77     7.04    -8.31     0.00     0.06     2.76     0.49P    4.96R    0.33  
Birmingham       20   29   +3      70.24     7.71    11.18     1.55     5.04    37.55    14.42P    0.14R    0.01  
Peterborough     22   28   +2      58.91     7.47    -2.44     0.03     0.14     3.90     0.86P    5.46R    0.42  
Derby            22   28   -6      56.09     6.95   -13.30     0.00     0.02     1.13     0.17P   10.05R    0.91  
Portsmouth       21   27   +1      60.62     7.17     0.38     0.02     0.17     5.06     1.22P    2.88R    0.17  
Watford          22   26   -8      55.98     7.14   -12.64     0.00     0.03     1.23     0.26P   10.86R    1.04  
Ipswich          21   26  -10      54.88     7.19   -18.98     0.00     0.02     0.94     0.18P   14.69R    1.55  
Millwall         22   23   -3      54.80     7.01    -4.14     0.00     0.01     0.82     0.18P   12.40R    1.16  
Bristol_City     22   21  -12      49.36     6.89   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   38.14R    6.84  
Nott'm_Forest    22   21  -18      50.85     6.97   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   31.16R    4.86  
Doncaster        22   19  -17      42.92     6.67   -30.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.23R   28.94  
Coventry         22   13  -16      39.10     6.67   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.97R   53.63  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        21   48  +28      94.17     7.35    46.07    57.73    79.58    99.74    85.67P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   43  +12      83.84     7.64    21.86     8.46    25.03    92.21    39.55P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   41  +16      86.13     7.56    32.39    14.05    37.52    95.96    56.38P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    21   39  +19      85.95     7.37    38.66    14.09    37.98    96.30    57.73P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         21   39  +19      81.71     7.50    31.69     5.46    18.27    89.54    37.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       21   33   +3      66.91     7.38     2.59     0.04     0.28    20.84     3.87P    0.45R    0.01  
Carlisle        21   33   -2      66.12     7.50    -4.23     0.02     0.27    17.67     2.84P    0.74R    0.01  
Stevenage       21   32   +7      64.44     7.41     4.73     0.01     0.17    13.52     2.25P    1.11R    0.02  
Notts_County    21   31   +5      64.76     7.47     4.01     0.02     0.15    14.65     2.51P    1.04R    0.03  
Preston         21   30   -3      67.50     7.88     1.56     0.10     0.54    24.56     5.54P    0.71R    0.02  
Colchester      21   29   +0      64.85     7.48     2.15     0.02     0.15    14.77     2.71P    1.18R    0.04  
Bury            21   28   -5      57.85     7.40   -12.19     0.00     0.01     2.47     0.32P    8.91R    0.55  
Oldham          21   27   -4      59.30     7.39    -7.13     0.00     0.01     3.97     0.61P    5.81R    0.25  
Hartlepool      21   26   -4      56.29     7.27   -10.23     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.23P   11.57R    0.74  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.84     7.26    -7.36     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.37P    8.05R    0.39  
Bournemouth     21   26   -5      61.26     7.45    -3.58     0.01     0.02     6.40     1.19P    3.48R    0.16  
Leyton_Orient   21   25   -6      57.00     7.40    -9.72     0.00     0.01     2.08     0.35P   10.22R    0.66  
Exeter          21   21  -13      49.44     7.21   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   41.48R    6.28  
Yeovil          21   20   -8      49.39     7.26   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   39.93R    5.80  
Scunthorpe      21   19   -6      53.62     7.71    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.18P   20.52R    2.49  
Walsall         21   18   -7      47.87     7.30   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   47.61R    8.76  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.29     7.28   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   47.45R    8.49  
Wycombe         21   17  -11      45.03     7.35   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   63.59R   16.95  
Chesterfield    21   14  -15      39.43     7.29   -30.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    86.16R   48.36  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         21   46  +18      85.73     7.71    26.42    30.31    65.82    94.10    71.94P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +14      83.69     7.39    25.18    20.20    56.22    91.65    65.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   42  +14      77.21     7.51    15.24     5.09    23.14    68.84    31.31P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   40  +14      82.51     7.37    26.17    16.35    50.41    89.24    62.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              21   37  +17      83.45     7.37    35.41    20.83    57.88    91.77    70.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   36   +3      68.98     7.50     0.56     0.49     3.72    26.78     7.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   35  +11      75.74     7.52    20.83     3.82    18.91    63.84    31.48P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   33   +7      68.37     7.40     8.72     0.39     3.18    25.45     7.96P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   33   +3      71.35     7.62     9.06     1.05     7.29    39.26    15.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            21   32   +9      70.59     7.40    15.48     0.77     6.01    37.06    13.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            21   31  +11      66.72     7.52    12.98     0.22     2.33    20.52     6.32P    0.04R    0.01  
Torquay              21   31   +4      68.06     7.51     8.01     0.33     3.26    24.59     8.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   21   29   +1      64.69     7.43     3.07     0.09     1.05    12.83     3.73P    0.08R    0.01  
Crewe                21   27   -5      62.99     7.46    -2.64     0.05     0.59     8.23     2.30P    0.25R    0.06  
Macclesfield         21   26   +0      56.27     7.20    -5.72     0.00     0.06     1.34     0.26P    1.81R    0.49  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.67     7.28    -6.41     0.01     0.11     2.62     0.62P    0.96R    0.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   26   -9      51.51     7.23   -23.95     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    8.92R    3.30  
Bristol_Rovers       21   23  -11      55.84     7.64   -13.75     0.00     0.03     1.44     0.36P    3.26R    1.09  
Barnet               21   20  -15      45.74     7.10   -29.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.14R   14.44  
Bradford             21   19   -7      47.47     7.13   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   18.69R    8.12  
Hereford             21   18  -17      43.70     6.96   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   39.21R   20.90  
Northampton          21   17  -18      45.68     7.22   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   28.78R   14.09  
Plymouth             21   14  -20      45.69     7.53   -24.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   28.79R   14.45  
Dag_&_Red            21   14  -20      43.52     7.41   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.01R   22.77  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 December 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            24   53  +25      93.36     6.51    40.48    49.01    98.95    63.24P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     24   53  +21      91.12     6.72    33.41    31.56    96.89    47.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          25   47   +4      73.10     6.57    -0.66     0.18    20.61     1.94P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44  +26      81.06     6.49    38.79     2.80    71.73    20.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +18      87.23     6.27    42.56    14.80    93.25    46.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   42  +11      77.71     6.91    19.67     1.20    49.61     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   40  +10      74.60     6.81    16.68     0.31    30.38     5.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   40   +3      70.75     6.87     3.74     0.06    13.59     1.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       25   37  +13      64.25     6.54    10.67     0.00     2.62     0.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   37   +8      69.04     6.82    10.71     0.06     9.70     1.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         25   36   -1      67.87     6.49     3.71     0.01     5.97     1.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             24   35   +1      62.23     6.70    -3.81     0.00     1.27     0.11P    0.07R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     25   34   -2      59.37     6.77    -8.25     0.00     0.54     0.08P    0.41R    0.01  
Tamworth           23   33   -1      60.48     6.79    -7.40     0.00     0.79     0.07P    0.24R    0.00  
Grimsby            24   32   +3      65.53     6.82     8.13     0.01     3.94     0.72P    0.02R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   28   -5      52.81     6.45    -9.58     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.05R    0.22  
Lincoln_City       25   26  -10      56.81     6.75    -6.93     0.00     0.14     0.04P    1.31R    0.07  
AFC_Telford        25   24   -9      47.78     6.52   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.09R    1.35  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.71     6.54    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.18R    0.79  
Kettering          25   22  -23      44.43     6.24   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.23R    4.30  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   21  -17      41.85     6.22   -31.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.21R    8.68  
Stockport          25   20  -16      47.64     6.68   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.11R    1.94  
Alfreton_Town      25   18  -29      34.80     5.93   -50.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.34R   50.68  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.72     6.32   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.68R   31.95