Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 21 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 December 2011, Aston_Villa vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        17   44  +38      88.86     6.03    66.13    47.02    88.59    97.36    99.37    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         17   42  +28      89.45     5.54    61.21    49.70    90.81    98.21    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       15   34  +13      73.07     6.85    24.85     0.80     5.06    25.48    54.47    96.29     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   32  +15      77.07     6.27    39.80     2.10    12.15    54.76    79.93    99.29     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         17   32   +8      71.79     6.42    26.51     0.33     2.86    18.92    47.37    95.62     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       17   30   +7      66.80     6.42    18.75     0.05     0.52     5.13    18.12    84.15     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       17   27   +1      55.78     6.45     0.34     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.84    14.40     0.04R    0.00  
Stoke           17   24  -10      49.14     6.31   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.09     0.98R    0.08  
Norwich         17   21   -4      43.50     6.51   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     7.16R    0.95  
West_Brom       17   21   -7      44.47     6.32   -17.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     5.05R    0.56  
Everton         16   20   -2      51.58     6.76    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     5.58     0.47R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     17   19   -4      45.49     6.37    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74     3.26R    0.33  
Fulham          17   18   -5      44.82     6.34    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.54     4.04R    0.49  
Swansea         17   18   -5      40.84     6.28   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    12.85R    1.99  
Sunderland      17   17   +0      42.38     6.39    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     8.17R    1.17  
QPR             17   16  -14      35.74     6.02   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.78R   10.87  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -13      35.22     6.13   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.38R   12.92  
Wigan           17   14  -15      32.67     5.80   -33.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.14R   23.45  
Bolton          17   12  -17      35.31     6.33   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    42.85R   13.22  
Blackburn       17   10  -14      30.88     6.05   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.84R   33.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 December 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      22   44  +21      85.06     7.28    33.53    38.32    64.32    95.26    72.70P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         22   43  +17      85.30     7.23    30.96    38.85    64.87    95.54    74.60P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41   +9      77.11     7.12    13.95     6.68    18.97    71.65    30.38P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             22   39   +4      73.09     6.90     6.14     2.09     7.16    49.33    16.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   38  +11      77.57     7.22    21.12     8.10    22.28    75.67    37.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   35   +6      70.98     7.21    10.74     1.38     5.09    40.26    12.67P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading          22   33   +5      70.85     7.07    12.25     1.20     4.50    39.68    14.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +2      62.31     6.83    -2.52     0.05     0.27     6.50     1.24P    1.24R    0.05  
Blackpool        22   32   +6      70.16     7.47    13.79     1.23     4.61    37.63    13.84P    0.12R    0.00  
Brighton         22   32   +0      61.81     7.09    -4.10     0.04     0.26     6.33     1.38P    1.89R    0.09  
Leicester        22   30   +4      65.35     7.21     7.52     0.21     1.00    15.83     4.29P    0.53R    0.01  
Burnley          22   30   +1      64.34     7.24     2.86     0.17     0.72    12.32     3.16P    0.93R    0.04  
Barnsley         22   30   -2      58.68     7.01    -8.42     0.01     0.07     2.70     0.48P    4.92R    0.33  
Birmingham       20   29   +3      70.38     7.74    11.35     1.60     5.42    38.04    14.98P    0.15R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   28   +2      58.71     7.59    -2.79     0.03     0.17     4.05     0.83P    6.08R    0.54  
Derby            22   28   -6      56.08     6.95   -13.31     0.01     0.02     1.17     0.20P    9.99R    0.80  
Portsmouth       21   27   +1      60.60     7.14     0.37     0.03     0.19     5.01     1.27P    2.76R    0.12  
Watford          22   26   -8      56.01     7.05   -12.58     0.01     0.04     1.19     0.23P   10.65R    0.93  
Ipswich          21   26  -10      54.78     7.24   -19.19     0.00     0.03     0.84     0.16P   15.54R    1.72  
Millwall         22   23   -3      54.80     6.99    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.17P   12.53R    1.18  
Bristol_City     22   21  -12      49.38     6.88   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   38.08R    6.69  
Nott'm_Forest    22   21  -18      50.99     6.95   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   30.11R    4.67  
Doncaster        22   19  -17      42.85     6.62   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.68R   29.77  
Coventry         22   13  -16      39.17     6.69   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.67R   53.07  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        21   48  +28      94.25     7.32    46.19    58.37    80.06    99.74    86.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   43  +12      83.95     7.58    22.04     8.59    25.43    92.70    39.89P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   41  +16      86.00     7.47    32.17    13.47    36.98    96.08    55.65P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    21   39  +19      85.96     7.36    38.72    14.11    38.20    96.46    58.17P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         21   39  +19      81.57     7.48    31.49     5.24    17.84    89.30    37.40P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   33   +3      66.86     7.29     2.50     0.05     0.25    20.36     3.68P    0.41R    0.00  
Carlisle        21   33   -2      66.15     7.46    -4.14     0.05     0.27    17.52     2.82P    0.77R    0.01  
Stevenage       21   32   +7      64.61     7.39     4.91     0.02     0.14    13.80     2.37P    1.02R    0.02  
Notts_County    21   31   +5      64.94     7.47     4.30     0.02     0.17    15.11     2.59P    0.97R    0.01  
Preston         21   30   -3      67.53     7.84     1.61     0.07     0.50    24.86     5.52P    0.65R    0.02  
Colchester      21   29   +0      64.57     7.43     1.79     0.01     0.12    13.70     2.44P    1.25R    0.04  
Bury            21   28   -5      57.99     7.52   -11.97     0.00     0.00     2.88     0.34P    8.88R    0.47  
Oldham          21   27   -4      59.37     7.36    -7.05     0.00     0.01     3.79     0.58P    5.58R    0.24  
Hartlepool      21   26   -4      56.16     7.28   -10.41     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.21P   11.96R    0.81  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.68     7.23    -7.57     0.00     0.01     2.35     0.35P    8.27R    0.41  
Bournemouth     21   26   -5      61.31     7.43    -3.50     0.00     0.03     6.41     1.34P    3.35R    0.15  
Leyton_Orient   21   25   -6      56.93     7.37    -9.84     0.00     0.00     1.98     0.32P   10.30R    0.64  
Exeter          21   21  -13      49.65     7.23   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   40.39R    6.24  
Yeovil          21   20   -8      49.28     7.18   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   40.51R    6.02  
Scunthorpe      21   19   -6      53.55     7.70    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.18P   20.81R    2.46  
Walsall         21   18   -7      47.88     7.30   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.00P   47.52R    8.40  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.33     7.38   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   47.17R    8.61  
Wycombe         21   17  -11      44.99     7.35   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   63.82R   17.13  
Chesterfield    21   14  -15      39.38     7.29   -30.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.39R   48.31  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         21   46  +18      85.60     7.65    26.23    29.21    65.13    94.09    71.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +15      84.13     7.41    26.95    22.38    58.74    92.38    68.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   42  +14      77.22     7.42    15.25     4.84    22.74    69.29    31.26P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   40  +13      82.37     7.38    24.99    15.75    49.20    88.86    60.82P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              21   37  +17      83.43     7.38    35.34    20.67    57.73    91.82    70.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   36   +3      69.14     7.50     0.81     0.49     3.90    27.22     7.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   35  +11      75.68     7.51    20.76     3.85    18.83    63.60    31.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   33   +7      68.27     7.41     8.60     0.35     3.11    24.81     7.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   33   +3      71.40     7.61     9.12     1.01     7.47    39.63    15.19P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            21   32   +9      70.47     7.35    15.22     0.66     5.54    36.18    13.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            21   31  +11      66.92     7.52    13.22     0.25     2.52    21.08     6.52P    0.04R    0.01  
Torquay              21   31   +4      68.03     7.54     8.01     0.37     3.27    24.44     8.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   21   29   +1      64.65     7.42     3.00     0.11     1.02    12.45     3.71P    0.09R    0.02  
Crewe                21   27   -5      63.04     7.48    -2.65     0.04     0.60     8.50     2.50P    0.23R    0.07  
Macclesfield         21   26   +0      56.28     7.21    -5.70     0.00     0.03     1.32     0.30P    1.89R    0.54  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.65     7.29    -6.42     0.01     0.11     2.53     0.62P    0.96R    0.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   26   -9      51.62     7.18   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    8.50R    2.99  
Bristol_Rovers       21   23  -11      55.80     7.67   -13.77     0.00     0.07     1.40     0.38P    3.24R    1.05  
Barnet               21   20  -15      45.62     7.02   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.75R   14.39  
Bradford             21   19   -7      47.52     7.15   -15.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   18.54R    7.92  
Hereford             21   18  -17      43.67     6.95   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.09R   21.13  
Northampton          21   17  -18      45.53     7.21   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    29.36R   14.65  
Plymouth             21   14  -20      45.76     7.60   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   28.17R   14.28  
Dag_&_Red            21   14  -20      43.44     7.40   -27.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.08R   22.68  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 December 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            24   53  +25      93.51     6.52    40.73    49.69    98.94    63.62P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     24   53  +21      91.05     6.72    33.34    31.60    96.75    46.95P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          25   47   +4      73.15     6.59    -0.54     0.17    20.83     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44  +26      81.20     6.50    38.99     2.84    72.19    20.76P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +18      87.09     6.26    42.35    14.15    93.01    45.36P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   42  +11      77.83     6.92    19.86     1.11    49.93     9.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   40  +10      74.60     6.76    16.61     0.31    30.13     5.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   40   +3      70.71     6.83     3.64     0.06    13.21     1.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       25   37  +13      64.32     6.50    10.78     0.00     2.52     0.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   37   +8      69.02     6.85    10.71     0.06     9.72     1.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Darlington         25   36   -1      67.81     6.49     3.62     0.00     5.75     1.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             24   35   +1      62.15     6.74    -3.91     0.00     1.23     0.12P    0.08R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     25   34   -2      59.30     6.73    -8.36     0.00     0.50     0.05P    0.42R    0.00  
Tamworth           23   33   -1      60.48     6.81    -7.43     0.01     0.78     0.08P    0.22R    0.00  
Grimsby            24   32   +3      65.74     6.87     8.45     0.00     4.38     0.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   28   -5      52.79     6.43    -9.63     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.89R    0.18  
Lincoln_City       25   26  -10      56.70     6.74    -7.08     0.00     0.12     0.02P    1.40R    0.05  
AFC_Telford        25   24   -9      47.68     6.61   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.57R    1.43  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.72     6.54    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.18R    0.78  
Kettering          25   22  -23      44.41     6.23   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.07R    4.39  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   21  -17      41.86     6.27   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.02R    8.77  
Stockport          25   20  -16      47.69     6.68   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.15R    1.77  
Alfreton_Town      25   18  -29      34.70     5.91   -50.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.49R   51.25  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.80     6.28   -32.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.44R   31.38