Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 20 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 December 2011, Blackburn vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        16   41  +35      87.98     6.24    64.31    51.96    87.09    96.47    99.02    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   39  +23      87.34     5.88    54.67    42.90    85.35    96.02    98.99    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       15   34  +13      73.05     6.91    24.90     1.36     7.06    27.80    55.49    94.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   32  +15      76.80     6.26    39.34     3.24    16.00    54.71    79.37    98.91     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +7      70.34     6.68    25.81     0.37     3.06    15.74    39.23    91.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       16   29   +7      68.06     6.63    20.19     0.16     1.40     8.77    25.41    84.33     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       16   27   +2      58.13     6.72     2.99     0.00     0.03     0.44     2.16    21.43     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           16   24   -7      49.92     6.40   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     2.30     0.77R    0.05  
Norwich         17   21   -4      43.37     6.53   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.35     7.44R    0.96  
Aston_Villa     16   19   -3      46.69     6.65    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.14     2.62R    0.25  
Fulham          16   18   +0      46.82     6.48    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     1.05     2.13R    0.19  
Swansea         16   18   -4      41.86     6.50   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    10.42R    1.50  
West_Brom       16   18   -8      42.03     6.48   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    10.66R    1.63  
Everton         15   17   -3      50.27     6.99    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     3.86     0.96R    0.10  
QPR             16   16  -13      37.19     6.27   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    31.86R    7.47  
Wolverhampton   17   15  -13      35.17     6.12   -28.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    43.41R   12.41  
Sunderland      16   14   -1      40.67     6.56    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    13.63R    2.39  
Wigan           16   13  -15      32.31     5.99   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.15R   25.61  
Bolton          17   12  -17      35.18     6.28   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.06R   13.28  
Blackburn       17   10  -14      30.77     6.03   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.88R   34.15  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 December 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      22   44  +21      84.99     7.28    33.46    38.08    64.40    95.26    72.66P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         22   43  +17      85.17     7.23    30.75    38.42    64.57    95.33    74.27P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41   +9      76.97     7.12    13.76     6.58    18.35    71.10    30.05P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             22   39   +4      73.10     6.95     6.14     2.20     7.50    49.41    16.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   38  +11      77.67     7.21    21.22     8.58    22.69    75.51    37.52P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     22   35   +6      71.05     7.20    10.86     1.46     5.15    40.34    12.70P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading          22   33   +5      70.99     7.13    12.46     1.32     4.81    40.74    14.77P    0.04R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +2      62.21     6.76    -2.60     0.05     0.22     6.08     1.18P    1.31R    0.04  
Blackpool        22   32   +6      70.30     7.46    14.05     1.32     4.77    38.00    13.92P    0.12R    0.00  
Brighton         22   32   +0      61.87     7.06    -4.01     0.05     0.26     6.44     1.35P    1.83R    0.07  
Leicester        22   30   +4      65.34     7.22     7.55     0.23     0.98    15.93     4.61P    0.57R    0.02  
Burnley          22   30   +1      64.14     7.11     2.61     0.14     0.58    11.55     2.99P    0.95R    0.05  
Barnsley         22   30   -2      58.71     7.06    -8.41     0.01     0.07     2.84     0.58P    4.97R    0.31  
Birmingham       20   29   +3      70.43     7.61    11.40     1.48     5.19    38.28    14.50P    0.14R    0.01  
Peterborough     22   28   +2      58.76     7.50    -2.74     0.03     0.16     3.71     0.81P    6.00R    0.46  
Derby            22   28   -6      56.10     6.94   -13.30     0.00     0.03     1.10     0.20P    9.87R    0.83  
Portsmouth       21   27   +1      60.73     7.19     0.53     0.03     0.21     5.37     1.29P    2.77R    0.15  
Watford          22   26   -8      55.89     7.05   -12.79     0.00     0.02     1.13     0.25P   10.72R    1.05  
Ipswich          21   26  -10      54.68     7.24   -19.36     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.12P   15.67R    1.78  
Millwall         22   23   -3      54.83     6.98    -4.14     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.17P   12.17R    1.13  
Bristol_City     22   21  -12      49.48     6.97   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   37.66R    7.00  
Nott'm_Forest    22   21  -18      50.99     6.98   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P   30.65R    4.64  
Doncaster        22   19  -17      42.88     6.63   -30.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   76.60R   29.50  
Coventry         22   13  -16      39.17     6.69   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.90R   52.97  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        21   48  +28      94.22     7.33    46.17    58.54    80.27    99.73    86.26P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   43  +12      83.76     7.62    21.75     8.14    24.78    92.32    39.56P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   41  +16      86.07     7.51    32.28    14.01    37.59    96.09    56.41P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    21   39  +19      85.86     7.43    38.48    14.07    38.26    96.20    58.35P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         21   39  +19      81.39     7.50    31.22     5.03    17.41    88.81    36.43P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   33   +3      67.01     7.33     2.69     0.04     0.34    20.89     3.88P    0.46R    0.00  
Carlisle        21   33   -2      66.23     7.44    -4.00     0.03     0.29    18.02     2.91P    0.65R    0.01  
Stevenage       21   32   +7      64.61     7.40     4.94     0.02     0.17    13.85     2.22P    0.97R    0.01  
Notts_County    21   31   +5      64.84     7.43     4.24     0.03     0.18    15.07     2.66P    0.93R    0.01  
Preston         21   30   -3      67.28     7.82     1.22     0.06     0.50    24.01     5.24P    0.69R    0.02  
Colchester      21   29   +0      64.76     7.48     1.98     0.02     0.13    14.46     2.73P    1.21R    0.03  
Bury            21   28   -5      58.05     7.48   -11.91     0.00     0.01     2.79     0.39P    8.49R    0.46  
Oldham          21   27   -4      59.26     7.38    -7.12     0.00     0.02     3.79     0.60P    5.83R    0.31  
Hartlepool      21   26   -4      56.23     7.21   -10.25     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.16P   11.67R    0.76  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.91     7.26    -7.25     0.00     0.00     2.45     0.35P    7.81R    0.41  
Bournemouth     21   26   -5      61.19     7.43    -3.70     0.00     0.03     6.41     1.23P    3.56R    0.14  
Leyton_Orient   21   25   -6      57.10     7.38    -9.57     0.00     0.01     2.18     0.35P    9.71R    0.59  
Exeter          21   21  -13      49.52     7.21   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   41.09R    6.43  
Yeovil          21   20   -8      49.26     7.20   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   40.60R    6.05  
Scunthorpe      21   19   -6      53.49     7.76    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.20P   21.29R    2.60  
Walsall         21   18   -7      47.91     7.24   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   47.66R    8.35  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.42     7.33   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   47.00R    8.61  
Wycombe         21   17  -11      44.84     7.36   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   64.75R   17.94  
Chesterfield    21   14  -15      39.61     7.28   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.64R   47.26  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         21   46  +18      85.58     7.73    26.19    29.30    64.98    93.75    71.17P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +14      84.01     7.41    25.61    21.46    57.86    92.13    67.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   42  +14      77.19     7.40    15.20     4.82    22.64    68.92    30.91P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   40  +14      82.49     7.36    26.15    16.44    50.26    89.20    61.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              21   37  +17      83.50     7.41    35.49    21.19    58.23    91.79    70.60P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   36   +3      69.06     7.50     0.69     0.46     3.72    26.89     7.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   35  +11      75.73     7.48    20.86     3.55    18.79    64.04    31.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   33   +7      68.40     7.42     8.81     0.35     3.34    25.71     8.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   33   +3      71.27     7.63     8.93     0.99     7.04    39.13    14.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            21   32   +9      70.57     7.40    15.47     0.69     5.95    36.93    13.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            21   31  +11      66.96     7.51    13.31     0.27     2.44    21.24     6.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              21   31   +4      67.95     7.51     7.84     0.35     2.98    24.13     8.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   21   29   +1      64.53     7.40     2.85     0.07     0.94    12.06     3.65P    0.11R    0.03  
Crewe                21   27   -5      62.98     7.48    -2.70     0.04     0.62     8.32     2.33P    0.25R    0.05  
Macclesfield         21   26   +0      56.37     7.20    -5.63     0.00     0.05     1.36     0.28P    1.87R    0.51  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.63     7.34    -6.45     0.00     0.11     2.64     0.63P    0.95R    0.26  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   26   -9      51.50     7.24   -23.95     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.05P    8.77R    3.14  
Bristol_Rovers       21   23  -11      55.91     7.66   -13.63     0.00     0.04     1.38     0.37P    3.16R    1.02  
Barnet               21   20  -15      45.71     7.08   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.17R   14.11  
Bradford             21   19   -7      47.39     7.15   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.09R    8.33  
Hereford             21   18  -17      43.62     6.97   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.32R   21.10  
Northampton          21   17  -18      45.61     7.27   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   29.13R   14.38  
Plymouth             21   14  -20      45.68     7.58   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   28.67R   14.55  
Dag_&_Red            21   14  -20      43.59     7.41   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   39.44R   22.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 December 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            24   53  +25      93.41     6.55    40.55    49.79    98.91    63.81P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     24   53  +21      90.94     6.73    33.16    30.97    96.63    46.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          25   47   +4      73.34     6.62    -0.25     0.17    21.54     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44  +26      81.04     6.53    38.79     2.80    71.15    20.57P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +18      87.16     6.29    42.48    14.55    92.97    45.74P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   42  +11      77.76     6.93    19.75     1.21    49.71     9.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   40  +10      74.60     6.83    16.66     0.37    30.26     5.71P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   40   +3      70.67     6.83     3.61     0.06    13.22     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   37  +13      64.30     6.52    10.75     0.00     2.64     0.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   37   +8      69.16     6.83    10.92     0.06    10.18     1.74P    0.00R    0.00  
Darlington         25   36   -1      67.70     6.51     3.51     0.01     5.76     1.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             24   35   +1      62.16     6.71    -3.93     0.00     1.25     0.15P    0.07R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     25   34   -2      59.55     6.82    -7.93     0.00     0.57     0.07P    0.38R    0.00  
Tamworth           23   33   -1      60.43     6.76    -7.51     0.00     0.75     0.04P    0.24R    0.00  
Grimsby            24   32   +3      65.77     6.84     8.52     0.01     4.33     0.79P    0.02R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   28   -5      52.81     6.45    -9.61     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.05R    0.19  
Lincoln_City       25   26  -10      56.69     6.71    -7.09     0.00     0.10     0.01P    1.45R    0.05  
AFC_Telford        25   24   -9      47.72     6.57   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.35R    1.54  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.85     6.56    -8.63     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.64R    0.74  
Kettering          25   22  -23      44.52     6.29   -33.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.68R    4.38  
Hayes_&_Yeading    25   21  -17      41.70     6.26   -32.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.85R    9.04  
Stockport          25   20  -16      47.49     6.73   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00P   17.91R    1.98  
Alfreton_Town      25   18  -29      34.72     5.91   -50.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.38R   51.21  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.83     6.32   -32.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.96R   30.85