Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 19 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 December 2011, Aston_Villa vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        16   41  +35      87.96     6.23    64.28    51.86    87.00    96.47    99.07    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   39  +23      87.39     5.87    54.83    43.26    85.43    96.20    99.05    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       15   34  +13      73.03     6.88    24.86     1.21     6.88    27.22    55.25    94.79     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   32  +15      76.97     6.23    39.65     3.17    16.36    55.98    79.93    98.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +7      70.33     6.69    25.83     0.37     3.01    15.27    39.17    91.08     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       16   29   +7      68.07     6.64    20.19     0.12     1.29     8.41    25.13    84.27     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       16   27   +2      58.08     6.74     2.92     0.00     0.02     0.41     2.10    21.59     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           16   24   -7      49.92     6.44   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.41     0.75R    0.04  
Norwich         16   20   -4      43.43     6.70   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.46     8.14R    1.14  
Aston_Villa     16   19   -3      46.69     6.60    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     1.15     2.48R    0.25  
Fulham          16   18   +0      46.90     6.52    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     1.13     2.03R    0.21  
Swansea         16   18   -4      41.87     6.50   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    10.56R    1.56  
West_Brom       16   18   -8      42.01     6.47   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20    10.86R    1.70  
Everton         15   17   -3      50.29     6.92    -0.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     3.74     0.88R    0.08  
QPR             16   16  -13      37.14     6.28   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    32.45R    7.75  
Sunderland      16   14   -1      40.58     6.52    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    13.89R    2.55  
Wolverhampton   16   14  -13      35.75     6.37   -27.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.30R   12.03  
Wigan           16   13  -15      32.29     5.99   -34.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.43R   25.80  
Blackburn       16   10  -13      32.79     6.35   -28.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    57.74R   23.48  
Bolton          16    9  -18      33.03     6.50   -30.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    56.46R   23.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 December 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      22   44  +21      85.09     7.24    33.60    38.78    64.58    95.22    73.04P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         22   43  +17      85.17     7.24    30.77    38.26    64.48    95.22    74.23P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41   +9      77.16     7.06    14.04     6.67    18.93    71.94    30.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             22   39   +4      72.99     6.91     6.04     2.01     7.05    48.76    15.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   38  +11      77.66     7.18    21.23     8.27    22.44    75.64    37.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   35   +6      71.04     7.25    10.83     1.41     5.14    40.64    12.90P    0.05R    0.00  
Reading          22   33   +5      70.88     7.09    12.29     1.20     4.58    39.56    14.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   22   33   +2      62.31     6.82    -2.51     0.04     0.25     6.59     1.31P    1.25R    0.04  
Blackpool        22   32   +6      70.38     7.48    14.11     1.30     4.94    38.57    14.17P    0.11R    0.00  
Brighton         22   32   +0      61.80     7.11    -4.13     0.06     0.27     6.41     1.45P    1.90R    0.08  
Leicester        22   30   +4      65.27     7.15     7.42     0.19     0.88    15.35     4.26P    0.58R    0.01  
Burnley          22   30   +1      64.23     7.19     2.68     0.13     0.67    12.00     3.07P    1.00R    0.04  
Barnsley         22   30   -2      58.77     7.07    -8.29     0.01     0.08     2.83     0.54P    4.86R    0.31  
Birmingham       20   29   +3      70.38     7.72    11.36     1.59     5.29    37.93    14.54P    0.17R    0.01  
Peterborough     22   28   +2      58.72     7.54    -2.76     0.04     0.16     3.74     0.76P    6.07R    0.42  
Derby            22   28   -6      56.03     6.89   -13.41     0.00     0.01     1.02     0.17P   10.13R    0.87  
Portsmouth       21   27   +1      60.69     7.21     0.48     0.02     0.18     5.36     1.30P    2.73R    0.15  
Watford          22   26   -8      55.98     7.08   -12.64     0.01     0.03     1.23     0.24P   10.55R    0.96  
Ipswich          21   26  -10      54.65     7.23   -19.35     0.00     0.02     0.88     0.16P   15.60R    1.62  
Millwall         22   23   -3      54.88     7.00    -4.05     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.20P   12.25R    1.17  
Bristol_City     22   21  -12      49.54     6.92   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   36.96R    6.45  
Nott'm_Forest    22   21  -18      50.97     6.98   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   30.66R    4.47  
Doncaster        22   19  -17      42.80     6.63   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.65R   29.20  
Coventry         22   13  -16      38.94     6.66   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.40R   54.21  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        21   48  +28      94.18     7.41    46.12    58.14    79.76    99.71    85.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   43  +12      83.75     7.60    21.65     8.32    24.51    92.25    39.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   41  +16      86.06     7.54    32.27    14.04    37.73    95.82    56.46P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    21   39  +19      85.99     7.37    38.73    14.16    38.65    96.29    58.75P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         21   39  +19      81.51     7.51    31.39     5.11    17.72    88.94    36.58P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   33   +3      66.94     7.31     2.61     0.04     0.30    20.73     3.78P    0.40R    0.01  
Carlisle        21   33   -2      66.30     7.44    -3.91     0.05     0.25    17.99     2.95P    0.67R    0.02  
Stevenage       21   32   +7      64.58     7.42     4.89     0.03     0.14    14.13     2.43P    0.99R    0.02  
Notts_County    21   31   +5      64.97     7.44     4.38     0.02     0.17    14.97     2.62P    0.92R    0.01  
Preston         21   30   -3      67.56     7.87     1.69     0.08     0.54    24.92     5.69P    0.61R    0.01  
Colchester      21   29   +0      64.73     7.50     2.00     0.01     0.15    14.31     2.70P    1.17R    0.04  
Bury            21   28   -5      57.99     7.48   -11.95     0.00     0.02     2.82     0.37P    8.94R    0.50  
Oldham          21   27   -4      59.11     7.37    -7.38     0.00     0.02     3.52     0.54P    5.93R    0.33  
Hartlepool      21   26   -4      56.12     7.25   -10.45     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.20P   12.00R    0.78  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.83     7.22    -7.36     0.00     0.00     2.26     0.36P    7.70R    0.43  
Bournemouth     21   26   -5      61.23     7.45    -3.63     0.00     0.03     6.36     1.20P    3.47R    0.17  
Leyton_Orient   21   25   -6      57.03     7.40    -9.70     0.00     0.00     2.07     0.33P   10.27R    0.65  
Exeter          21   21  -13      49.48     7.20   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   41.13R    6.57  
Yeovil          21   20   -8      49.45     7.16   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   39.54R    5.80  
Scunthorpe      21   19   -6      53.61     7.75    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.19P   20.45R    2.51  
Walsall         21   18   -7      47.75     7.25   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   48.01R    8.73  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.25     7.33   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   47.63R    8.81  
Wycombe         21   17  -11      44.86     7.30   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   64.66R   17.80  
Chesterfield    21   14  -15      39.63     7.31   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   85.52R   46.83  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         21   46  +18      85.66     7.66    26.31    29.55    65.62    94.12    71.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +15      84.02     7.45    26.69    21.97    58.59    92.10    67.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   42  +14      77.19     7.42    15.22     4.84    22.84    69.23    31.27P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   40  +13      82.31     7.35    24.90    15.47    49.15    88.63    60.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              21   37  +17      83.43     7.38    35.41    21.11    58.20    91.71    70.40P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   36   +3      68.98     7.46     0.53     0.46     3.71    26.68     7.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   35  +11      75.70     7.49    20.83     3.72    18.57    64.33    31.45P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   33   +7      68.22     7.40     8.57     0.37     3.08    24.91     7.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            21   33   +3      71.31     7.55     9.06     0.97     7.13    39.20    14.93P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            21   32   +9      70.50     7.32    15.28     0.78     5.75    36.46    13.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            21   31  +11      67.00     7.51    13.41     0.28     2.46    21.46     6.77P    0.03R    0.01  
Torquay              21   31   +4      68.06     7.48     8.01     0.33     3.06    24.39     8.34P    0.03R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   21   29   +1      64.58     7.39     2.91     0.07     0.95    12.23     3.53P    0.11R    0.02  
Crewe                21   27   -5      63.02     7.50    -2.62     0.05     0.63     8.52     2.32P    0.24R    0.06  
Macclesfield         21   26   +0      56.61     7.25    -5.29     0.00     0.07     1.53     0.32P    1.60R    0.41  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.61     7.33    -6.43     0.01     0.11     2.72     0.75P    0.96R    0.22  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   26   -9      51.65     7.19   -23.69     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P    8.33R    2.93  
Bristol_Rovers       21   23  -11      55.90     7.65   -13.68     0.01     0.05     1.35     0.39P    3.26R    1.06  
Barnet               21   20  -15      45.82     7.10   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.51R   13.99  
Bradford             21   19   -7      47.30     7.11   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   19.33R    8.27  
Hereford             21   18  -17      43.61     7.03   -30.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.76R   21.43  
Northampton          21   17  -18      45.42     7.24   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.83R   14.79  
Plymouth             21   14  -20      45.90     7.56   -23.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   27.65R   13.85  
Dag_&_Red            21   14  -20      43.40     7.40   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.34R   22.96  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 December 2011, York vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            24   53  +25      93.39     6.49    40.55    52.29    99.02    65.73P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     23   50  +19      89.66     6.98    31.70    26.44    94.64    42.25P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          25   47   +4      73.06     6.59    -0.72     0.20    20.81     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
York               25   44  +26      81.08     6.49    38.78     3.35    71.92    21.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +18      87.08     6.29    42.35    15.84    92.97    46.53P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      24   42  +11      77.78     6.94    19.81     1.33    50.12    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   40  +10      74.60     6.81    16.65     0.39    30.74     5.97P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   40   +3      70.77     6.86     3.76     0.05    13.66     1.69P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   37  +13      64.29     6.59    10.70     0.00     2.78     0.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   37   +8      69.17     6.85    10.93     0.07    10.34     1.77P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         25   36   -1      67.70     6.52     3.50     0.01     5.87     1.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             24   35   +1      62.44     6.77    -3.47     0.00     1.43     0.16P    0.09R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     25   34   -2      59.40     6.75    -8.18     0.00     0.54     0.06P    0.45R    0.00  
Tamworth           23   33   -1      60.59     6.82    -7.28     0.01     0.76     0.11P    0.27R    0.00  
Grimsby            24   32   +3      65.64     6.81     8.34     0.01     4.26     0.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   28   -5      52.73     6.46    -9.73     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.21R    0.19  
Lincoln_City       25   26  -10      56.71     6.76    -7.05     0.00     0.11     0.02P    1.50R    0.04  
AFC_Telford        25   24   -9      47.78     6.61   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.95R    1.46  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.85     6.53    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.00P    9.26R    0.88  
Kettering          25   22  -23      44.35     6.22   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.99R    4.58  
Hayes_&_Yeading    24   21  -15      42.97     6.47   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.05R    6.96  
Stockport          25   20  -16      47.53     6.67   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.41R    1.93  
Alfreton_Town      25   18  -29      34.79     5.91   -50.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.90R   51.03  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.67     6.29   -33.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.87R   32.92