Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 18 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 December 2011, Aston_Villa vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        16   41  +35      87.97     6.27    64.35    51.54    87.02    96.36    99.02    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         16   39  +23      87.43     5.90    54.87    43.43    85.55    96.18    99.10   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       15   34  +13      73.17     6.86    25.05     1.32     7.26    28.09    56.45    95.25     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         16   32  +15      76.85     6.31    39.50     3.25    16.10    55.52    79.46    98.79     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         16   29   +7      70.21     6.66    25.58     0.33     2.74    15.05    38.50    90.79     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       16   29   +7      68.03     6.63    20.10     0.13     1.30     8.38    25.11    84.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       16   27   +2      58.08     6.72     2.87     0.00     0.03     0.39     2.06    21.67     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           16   24   -7      49.89     6.42   -14.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     2.37     0.79R    0.04  
Norwich         16   20   -4      43.51     6.75   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40     8.13R    1.13  
Aston_Villa     16   19   -3      46.61     6.66    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.16     2.69R    0.24  
Fulham          16   18   +0      46.78     6.54    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.12     2.31R    0.27  
Swansea         16   18   -4      41.77     6.49   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    10.79R    1.64  
West_Brom       16   18   -8      42.00     6.49   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    10.98R    1.74  
Everton         15   17   -3      50.34     6.96    -0.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.17     3.91     0.93R    0.06  
QPR             16   16  -13      37.20     6.24   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    32.04R    7.62  
Sunderland      16   14   -1      40.69     6.56    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    13.98R    2.50  
Wolverhampton   16   14  -13      35.78     6.38   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.16R   12.12  
Wigan           16   13  -15      32.46     6.01   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.40R   25.09  
Blackburn       16   10  -13      32.70     6.31   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.38R   23.89  
Bolton          16    9  -18      33.07     6.54   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.41R   23.65  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 December 2011, Portsmouth vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      22   44  +21      85.16     7.32    33.74    38.76    64.10    95.10    72.66P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         22   43  +17      85.06     7.22    30.60    37.22    63.40    95.01    73.27P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    22   41   +9      77.01     7.11    13.79     6.36    18.21    70.52    29.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             22   39   +4      73.01     6.93     6.04     2.06     6.88    48.08    15.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Cardiff          22   38  +11      77.61     7.21    21.15     8.23    22.07    74.87    36.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United     22   35   +6      71.03     7.23    10.81     1.44     4.94    39.64    12.39P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading          22   33   +5      70.94     7.08    12.33     1.15     4.53    39.69    14.14P    0.07R    0.00  
Blackpool        22   32   +6      70.29     7.47    13.96     1.28     4.61    37.39    13.62P    0.10R    0.00  
Brighton         22   32   +0      61.87     7.09    -4.03     0.06     0.29     6.28     1.44P    1.78R    0.10  
Leicester        22   30   +4      65.35     7.19     7.53     0.18     0.92    15.22     4.16P    0.61R    0.01  
Burnley          22   30   +1      64.20     7.19     2.68     0.14     0.67    11.61     2.91P    0.92R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +1      60.11     6.94    -4.29     0.02     0.11     3.76     0.68P    2.82R    0.15  
Barnsley         22   30   -2      58.81     7.02    -8.26     0.01     0.09     2.74     0.48P    4.61R    0.28  
Birmingham       19   29   +4      72.37     7.92    13.29     3.03     8.80    47.40    19.88P    0.07R    0.00  
Peterborough     22   28   +2      58.78     7.50    -2.64     0.02     0.12     3.63     0.78P    5.82R    0.48  
Derby            22   28   -6      56.09     6.96   -13.30     0.00     0.02     1.11     0.20P    9.99R    0.86  
Portsmouth       21   27   +1      60.70     7.12     0.52     0.02     0.19     4.91     1.23P    2.64R    0.15  
Watford          22   26   -8      55.95     7.06   -12.70     0.00     0.02     1.14     0.22P   10.48R    1.01  
Ipswich          21   26  -10      54.70     7.27   -19.34     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.15P   15.62R    1.60  
Millwall         22   23   -3      54.84     7.01    -4.10     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.21P   12.31R    1.19  
Bristol_City     22   21  -12      49.38     6.87   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   37.33R    6.79  
Nott'm_Forest    22   21  -18      50.92     6.98   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   30.57R    4.72  
Doncaster        22   19  -17      42.82     6.64   -31.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.23R   29.29  
Coventry         22   13  -16      39.06     6.65   -25.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.99R   53.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Bournemouth vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        21   48  +28      94.21     7.33    46.13    58.30    80.10    99.75    86.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       21   43  +12      83.85     7.56    21.84     8.37    25.00    92.65    39.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       21   41  +16      86.10     7.52    32.35    13.87    37.52    96.10    56.05P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    21   39  +19      85.98     7.35    38.71    14.23    38.30    96.48    58.38P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         21   39  +19      81.48     7.47    31.34     4.99    17.32    88.95    36.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   33   +3      66.89     7.36     2.57     0.03     0.31    20.54     3.66P    0.41R    0.00  
Carlisle        21   33   -2      66.18     7.46    -4.13     0.03     0.22    17.60     2.89P    0.69R    0.02  
Stevenage       21   32   +7      64.67     7.51     4.99     0.02     0.19    14.40     2.43P    1.02R    0.02  
Notts_County    21   31   +5      64.79     7.49     4.12     0.03     0.21    14.80     2.55P    1.04R    0.02  
Preston         21   30   -3      67.58     7.80     1.73     0.09     0.59    24.69     5.47P    0.57R    0.01  
Colchester      21   29   +0      64.76     7.52     2.00     0.02     0.17    14.40     2.75P    1.20R    0.02  
Bury            21   28   -5      57.96     7.46   -12.06     0.00     0.01     2.71     0.39P    8.82R    0.45  
Oldham          21   27   -4      59.29     7.32    -7.16     0.00     0.01     3.55     0.61P    5.60R    0.29  
Hartlepool      21   26   -4      56.18     7.24   -10.39     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.19P   12.10R    0.77  
Tranmere        21   26   -4      57.88     7.24    -7.30     0.01     0.01     2.27     0.39P    7.91R    0.37  
Bournemouth     21   26   -5      61.18     7.42    -3.68     0.01     0.02     6.26     1.17P    3.50R    0.14  
Leyton_Orient   21   25   -6      56.97     7.38    -9.79     0.00     0.01     2.03     0.33P   10.22R    0.61  
Exeter          21   21  -13      49.62     7.20   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   40.26R    6.13  
Yeovil          21   20   -8      49.26     7.19   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   40.69R    6.16  
Scunthorpe      21   19   -6      53.55     7.71    -5.98     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.20P   20.60R    2.46  
Walsall         21   18   -7      47.88     7.25   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   47.31R    8.45  
Rochdale        21   18  -16      48.32     7.30   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   47.34R    8.53  
Wycombe         21   17  -11      44.86     7.37   -21.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   64.70R   18.15  
Chesterfield    21   14  -15      39.52     7.25   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.02R   47.38  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         21   46  +18      85.61     7.77    26.23    29.49    65.19    93.71    71.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +15      84.13     7.42    26.89    22.11    59.13    92.32    68.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   42  +14      77.29     7.40    15.34     5.04    23.00    69.63    31.53P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           21   40  +13      82.20     7.35    24.71    15.16    48.22    88.51    60.04P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon              21   37  +17      83.50     7.32    35.52    21.15    58.19    91.93    70.85P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   36   +3      69.03     7.47     0.64     0.45     3.79    26.72     7.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Gillingham           21   35  +11      75.90     7.47    21.09     3.83    19.39    64.78    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   33   +7      68.37     7.40     8.77     0.36     3.09    25.51     7.82P    0.01R    0.01  
Rotherham            21   33   +3      71.28     7.53     8.99     1.01     7.01    38.79    14.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale            21   32   +9      70.43     7.42    15.25     0.75     5.70    36.20    13.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            21   31  +11      66.99     7.52    13.34     0.25     2.57    21.53     6.64P    0.04R    0.01  
Torquay              21   31   +4      67.89     7.47     7.78     0.32     2.91    23.89     8.29P    0.04R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   21   29   +1      64.63     7.37     2.96     0.06     1.04    12.29     3.65P    0.11R    0.03  
Crewe                21   27   -5      62.99     7.49    -2.71     0.02     0.56     8.52     2.41P    0.25R    0.04  
Macclesfield         21   26   +0      56.41     7.19    -5.60     0.00     0.05     1.40     0.29P    1.71R    0.47  
Aldershot            21   26   -4      58.59     7.29    -6.49     0.01     0.10     2.48     0.57P    0.92R    0.25  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   26   -9      51.43     7.17   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.02P    8.80R    3.02  
Bristol_Rovers       21   23  -11      55.87     7.65   -13.67     0.00     0.04     1.40     0.35P    3.27R    1.04  
Barnet               21   20  -15      45.78     7.09   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.75R   14.30  
Bradford             21   19   -7      47.50     7.12   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.76R    8.12  
Hereford             21   18  -17      43.69     6.94   -30.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.26R   20.83  
Northampton          21   17  -18      45.53     7.22   -27.94     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.62R   14.58  
Plymouth             21   14  -20      45.89     7.60   -23.90     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   27.62R   14.02  
Dag_&_Red            21   14  -20      43.34     7.41   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.83R   23.28  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 December 2011, Braintree_Town vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            24   53  +25      93.47     6.54    40.64    51.72    99.02    65.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     23   50  +19      89.58     6.93    31.59    25.24    94.95    41.17P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          25   47   +4      73.23     6.64    -0.40     0.21    22.10     2.23P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.18     6.70    40.90     6.21    81.31    26.19P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +18      87.14     6.28    42.42    15.35    93.47    46.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      24   40  +10      74.56     6.83    16.57     0.35    31.69     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          24   40   +3      70.67     6.86     3.59     0.08    13.72     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.33     7.10    17.44     0.74    36.85     7.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   37  +13      64.26     6.50    10.69     0.01     2.67     0.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   37   +8      69.20     6.84    10.98     0.05    10.79     1.74P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         25   36   -1      67.74     6.47     3.51     0.01     6.03     1.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             24   35   +1      62.38     6.77    -3.52     0.00     1.52     0.17P    0.10R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     25   34   -2      59.34     6.72    -8.23     0.00     0.51     0.04P    0.47R    0.01  
Tamworth           23   33   -1      60.45     6.80    -7.45     0.00     0.82     0.10P    0.25R    0.01  
Grimsby            24   32   +3      65.77     6.82     8.49     0.01     4.40     0.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   28   -5      52.74     6.49    -9.72     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.39R    0.19  
Lincoln_City       25   26  -10      56.52     6.74    -7.33     0.00     0.13     0.03P    1.61R    0.06  
AFC_Telford        25   24   -9      47.96     6.54   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.48R    1.39  
Newport_County     25   22   -7      49.79     6.47    -8.66     0.00     0.00     0.00P    9.14R    0.71  
Kettering          25   22  -23      44.34     6.26   -33.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.43R    4.53  
Hayes_&_Yeading    24   21  -15      42.97     6.48   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.56R    7.04  
Stockport          25   20  -16      47.63     6.72   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.25R    2.04  
Alfreton_Town      25   18  -29      34.66     5.91   -50.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.28R   52.50  
Bath_City          25   14  -23      36.84     6.34   -32.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.01R   31.52