Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 16 December 2011 at 22:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 December 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        15   38  +34      87.11     6.51    65.13    49.71    82.25    94.35    98.42    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   36  +21      86.54     6.11    54.32    41.27    79.83    94.50    98.48    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +15      78.62     6.39    42.10     6.74    25.66    65.18    85.63    99.19     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       14   31  +12      72.30     7.09    25.35     1.39     6.60    22.82    51.52    92.80     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29   +8      71.12     6.85    25.97     0.79     4.72    17.61    44.77    91.22     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   26   +5      66.07     6.83    17.60     0.09     0.85     4.76    17.10    74.29     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       15   26   +2      59.41     6.94     4.31     0.01     0.08     0.72     3.52    29.45     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           15   21   -8      47.99     6.59   -16.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.65     2.26R    0.23  
Aston_Villa     15   19   -1      48.34     6.89    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     2.59     1.86R    0.17  
Norwich         15   19   -4      43.03     6.93   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.53    10.66R    1.70  
Swansea         15   17   -4      41.40     6.73   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30    13.90R    2.40  
Everton         14   16   -3      51.82     7.22     1.17     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.38     6.70     0.77R    0.09  
QPR             15   16  -11      37.89     6.43   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    30.57R    7.39  
Fulham          15   15   -2      45.35     6.69    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.88     4.55R    0.64  
West_Brom       15   15   -9      39.76     6.70   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    21.16R    4.74  
Sunderland      15   14   +0      41.28     6.79    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22    13.76R    2.58  
Wolverhampton   15   14  -12      37.33     6.62   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    33.44R    9.32  
Wigan           15   12  -15      31.62     6.14   -36.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.24R   33.85  
Blackburn       15   10  -12      34.86     6.65   -26.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    46.87R   16.88  
Bolton          15    9  -16      34.28     6.69   -29.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    50.94R   20.02  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      21   43  +21      85.47     7.54    33.69    39.30    63.97    94.95    72.15P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         21   40  +16      84.44     7.48    31.32    33.13    58.63    93.41    69.81P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +12      79.85     7.38    23.43    13.53    31.79    82.38    45.89P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      74.50     7.29    11.55     3.55    10.89    56.84    21.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             21   36   +2      71.19     7.15     3.77     1.19     4.41    37.72    11.11P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +7      73.01     7.47    12.80     2.78     8.43    49.95    17.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +1      63.90     7.42    -2.22     0.15     0.58    11.11     2.44P    1.02R    0.04  
Blackpool        21   31   +6      71.64     7.77    15.58     2.10     6.97    44.65    17.10P    0.09R    0.00  
Leicester        21   30   +5      67.47     7.40     9.64     0.47     1.97    23.07     6.88P    0.27R    0.01  
Reading          21   30   +4      68.91     7.36    10.76     0.77     2.92    29.42    10.13P    0.16R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +1      60.15     6.94    -4.30     0.02     0.13     3.68     0.72P    2.55R    0.12  
Barnsley         21   30   -1      59.31     7.23    -8.82     0.03     0.16     3.39     0.64P    4.20R    0.24  
Birmingham       19   29   +4      72.42     7.95    13.38     2.84     8.41    47.35    19.66P    0.08R    0.00  
Derby            21   28   -5      57.32     7.16   -12.72     0.01     0.05     1.76     0.33P    7.51R    0.51  
Burnley          21   27   +0      62.31     7.37     1.25     0.06     0.33     8.03     2.00P    1.87R    0.09  
Portsmouth       20   26   +1      60.86     7.41     0.16     0.06     0.21     5.61     1.41P    2.75R    0.15  
Peterborough     21   25   +1      57.61     7.75    -3.02     0.02     0.11     2.97     0.61P    8.17R    0.80  
Watford          21   25   -8      55.41     7.27   -14.40     0.00     0.03     1.17     0.22P   12.09R    1.20  
Millwall         21   23   -1      56.52     7.20    -1.65     0.00     0.02     1.61     0.40P    8.11R    0.63  
Ipswich          20   23  -11      53.00     7.45   -20.59     0.00     0.02     0.57     0.11P   21.42R    2.70  
Bristol_City     21   20  -12      50.15     7.20   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   33.05R    5.63  
Nott'm_Forest    21   20  -18      51.16     7.23   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   29.31R    4.53  
Doncaster        21   16  -18      40.59     6.82   -33.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.51R   40.81  
Coventry         21   13  -15      40.04     6.90   -25.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.77R   42.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        20   47  +28      95.69     7.55    47.97    63.00    83.11    99.79    88.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   42  +12      84.03     7.78    21.50     7.59    25.01    92.02    39.86P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         20   39  +20      84.01     7.72    34.28     8.02    26.30    92.91    44.61P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    20   38  +19      86.41     7.54    38.62    13.38    38.54    96.36    58.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   38  +14      83.92     7.79    29.51     7.80    25.23    92.33    46.06P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   32   +3      67.27     7.54     2.53     0.05     0.39    21.80     4.11P    0.46R    0.00  
Carlisle        20   32   -2      67.26     7.64    -2.92     0.05     0.42    21.43     3.68P    0.62R    0.02  
Notts_County    20   31   +6      66.90     7.67     6.20     0.07     0.42    21.66     3.93P    0.60R    0.01  
Stevenage       20   29   +6      62.65     7.67     3.51     0.01     0.09     9.68     1.61P    2.27R    0.06  
Preston         20   27   -4      64.94     8.03    -0.94     0.02     0.23    15.80     3.51P    1.82R    0.08  
Bury            20   27   -5      58.36     7.74   -11.99     0.00     0.02     3.32     0.44P    8.84R    0.49  
Colchester      20   26   -1      63.05     7.69     0.84     0.01     0.10    10.18     1.97P    2.34R    0.10  
Hartlepool      20   26   -3      57.78     7.50    -9.12     0.00     0.01     2.68     0.37P    9.10R    0.50  
Bournemouth     20   26   -3      62.96     7.68    -1.08     0.00     0.09    10.01     1.93P    2.39R    0.08  
Tranmere        20   26   -3      59.18     7.43    -6.30     0.00     0.01     3.56     0.57P    6.05R    0.30  
Oldham          20   26   -4      58.70     7.56    -8.69     0.00     0.02     3.43     0.51P    7.38R    0.39  
Leyton_Orient   20   22   -7      54.67     7.55   -11.83     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.16P   17.47R    1.64  
Exeter          20   20  -13      49.95     7.52   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   39.89R    6.48  
Yeovil          20   19   -8      49.46     7.36   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   40.49R    6.12  
Scunthorpe      20   18   -6      54.20     7.97    -5.65     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.21P   20.02R    2.36  
Walsall         20   17   -7      48.39     7.45   -13.60     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   45.46R    8.33  
Rochdale        20   17  -16      48.91     7.55   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   45.12R    8.25  
Wycombe         20   16  -11      44.81     7.54   -21.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    65.09R   18.69  
Chesterfield    20   13  -15      39.82     7.53   -30.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.60R   46.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 16 December 2011, Barnet vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         20   45  +18      86.00     8.06    26.25    34.09    68.81    94.19    74.11P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             21   42  +14      83.78     7.44    25.36    22.44    59.88    92.21    68.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           21   42  +14      77.32     7.43    15.40     5.55    25.58    71.07    33.94P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   37  +13      81.46     7.62    25.99    15.38    48.23    86.67    59.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   35   +3      70.02     7.74     1.59     0.84     6.01    33.20    10.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon              20   34  +14      81.37     7.65    31.64    15.55    49.24    86.94    62.99P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           20   32   +8      73.68     7.65    17.12     2.53    14.31    54.60    25.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            20   31  +14      68.60     7.75    16.76     0.67     5.13    30.28    10.82P    0.03R    0.00  
Torquay              20   31   +6      70.13     7.73    11.12     0.97     6.91    35.78    14.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   30   +5      66.44     7.63     6.38     0.26     2.47    19.71     6.26P    0.05R    0.02  
Rotherham            20   30   +2      70.49     7.79     9.32     1.03     7.31    37.47    14.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            20   29   +5      68.05     7.64    10.06     0.47     3.68    26.67     9.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield         20   26   +1      57.26     7.36    -5.33     0.00     0.10     2.18     0.50P    1.56R    0.41  
Aldershot            20   26   +0      60.78     7.61    -1.25     0.03     0.40     6.01     1.62P    0.62R    0.17  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -1      62.35     7.61     0.03     0.08     0.65     8.47     2.46P    0.35R    0.09  
Crewe                20   26   -5      63.32     7.78    -2.79     0.10     1.07    10.58     3.19P    0.36R    0.09  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   26   -8      52.36     7.49   -23.96     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.09P    7.98R    2.89  
Bristol_Rovers       20   23   -8      57.81     7.93    -9.69     0.00     0.20     3.17     0.88P    2.22R    0.65  
Barnet               21   20  -15      45.67     7.13   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.54R   14.78  
Bradford             21   19   -7      47.38     7.17   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   20.35R    8.69  
Northampton          20   17  -16      46.88     7.47   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   25.03R   11.60  
Hereford             20   17  -17      43.53     7.17   -30.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   41.89R   22.99  
Plymouth             20   13  -20      46.59     7.78   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   26.30R   13.00  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -20      43.38     7.66   -28.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   42.64R   24.60  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.32     6.66    40.40    50.83    98.22    64.24P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.19     7.12    31.04    23.91    91.98    39.76P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.14     6.68    40.83     7.82    80.55    27.52P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      70.92     6.74    -3.50     0.15    13.66     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.23     6.95    19.10     1.12    40.85     8.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.40     7.02     3.65     0.21    16.12     2.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.77     6.51    40.68    14.77    89.52    43.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.31     7.07    17.38     0.89    35.82     7.30P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.31     6.76    13.70     0.03     5.30     0.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.15     7.04    13.90     0.24    16.98     3.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.63     6.94    -3.81     0.00     1.75     0.23P    0.17R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.65     6.99    -5.58     0.01     1.35     0.18P    0.22R    0.00  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.86     6.75     1.25     0.01     3.96     0.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      58.00     7.07    -8.82     0.00     0.42     0.06P    1.17R    0.02  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.65     7.00     8.37     0.01     3.39     0.65P    0.07R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.57     6.66    -9.48     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.14R    0.14  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      49.03     6.81   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.10R    1.02  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.18     6.92   -10.37     0.00     0.07     0.02P    4.27R    0.18  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      51.13     6.75    -7.74     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.10R    0.54  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.19     6.54   -33.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.74R    4.15  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.30     6.66   -30.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.94R    6.30  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.13     6.91   -16.37     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.13R    1.53  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.08     6.08   -52.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.44R   56.20  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      37.04     6.53   -33.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.47R   29.91