Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 15 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 December 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        15   38  +34      87.10     6.49    65.08    49.91    81.85    94.44    98.43    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   36  +21      86.49     6.09    54.14    40.66    79.49    94.16    98.44    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +15      78.80     6.42    42.46     7.09    26.23    65.92    86.29    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       14   31  +12      72.21     7.12    25.23     1.35     6.70    22.48    50.81    92.72     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29   +8      71.12     6.91    25.95     0.87     4.75    17.40    44.48    91.46     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   26   +5      66.07     6.85    17.59     0.12     0.89     4.90    17.51    74.30     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       15   26   +2      59.36     6.97     4.24     0.00     0.07     0.66     3.49    29.37     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           15   21   -8      47.99     6.64   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.66     2.15R    0.21  
Aston_Villa     15   19   -1      48.38     6.86    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     2.60     1.91R    0.17  
Norwich         15   19   -4      43.10     6.94   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.56    10.51R    1.63  
Swansea         15   17   -4      41.42     6.66   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    13.76R    2.36  
Everton         14   16   -3      51.74     7.19     1.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.38     6.63     0.83R    0.07  
QPR             15   16  -11      37.92     6.47   -27.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    30.48R    7.52  
Fulham          15   15   -2      45.28     6.76    -4.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.80     4.74R    0.68  
West_Brom       15   15   -9      39.75     6.71   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    21.31R    4.69  
Sunderland      15   14   +0      41.32     6.74    -7.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23    13.36R    2.52  
Wolverhampton   15   14  -12      37.49     6.69   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    32.90R    8.99  
Wigan           15   12  -15      31.47     6.11   -37.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.24R   34.71  
Blackburn       15   10  -12      34.79     6.59   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    47.34R   16.85  
Bolton          15    9  -16      34.33     6.76   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.45R   19.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      21   43  +21      85.49     7.53    33.69    39.77    64.29    94.94    72.35P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         21   40  +16      84.37     7.50    31.17    32.71    57.91    93.17    69.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +12      79.87     7.44    23.44    13.59    31.91    82.49    45.94P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      74.74     7.28    11.89     3.65    11.20    58.16    21.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             21   36   +2      71.12     7.21     3.70     1.19     4.46    37.72    11.18P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +7      73.04     7.51    12.83     2.78     8.56    50.27    17.64P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +1      63.65     7.36    -2.50     0.12     0.58    10.32     2.40P    1.06R    0.03  
Blackpool        21   31   +6      71.63     7.73    15.62     2.10     6.94    44.31    16.79P    0.10R    0.00  
Leicester        21   30   +5      67.46     7.41     9.62     0.44     2.04    23.20     6.89P    0.34R    0.01  
Reading          21   30   +4      68.90     7.34    10.77     0.74     2.83    29.20    10.08P    0.16R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +1      60.18     6.99    -4.20     0.03     0.14     3.88     0.75P    2.60R    0.11  
Barnsley         21   30   -1      59.46     7.26    -8.63     0.03     0.15     3.64     0.73P    4.07R    0.23  
Birmingham       19   29   +4      72.30     7.94    13.20     2.69     8.20    46.73    19.41P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby            21   28   -5      57.45     7.18   -12.48     0.01     0.05     1.83     0.28P    7.33R    0.44  
Burnley          21   27   +0      62.25     7.36     1.13     0.08     0.36     7.77     2.03P    1.94R    0.10  
Portsmouth       20   26   +1      60.82     7.42     0.10     0.04     0.24     5.61     1.36P    2.66R    0.12  
Peterborough     21   25   +1      57.62     7.80    -3.03     0.02     0.09     3.09     0.63P    8.23R    0.91  
Watford          21   25   -8      55.46     7.28   -14.29     0.01     0.02     1.08     0.23P   11.88R    1.17  
Millwall         21   23   -1      56.60     7.26    -1.55     0.00     0.02     1.63     0.39P    8.21R    0.69  
Ipswich          20   23  -11      52.99     7.51   -20.62     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.09P   21.49R    2.83  
Bristol_City     21   20  -12      50.17     7.09   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   32.79R    5.36  
Nott'm_Forest    21   20  -18      51.19     7.22   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   29.12R    4.30  
Doncaster        21   16  -18      40.52     6.85   -33.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   83.59R   40.76  
Coventry         21   13  -15      39.88     6.92   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   84.29R   42.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        18   41  +24      92.18     8.03    43.54    45.91    72.06    98.97    80.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      82.26     8.01    19.34     7.52    21.39    86.53    35.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    18   36  +19      89.31     7.93    42.19    30.19    58.98    97.60    72.50P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         18   35  +18      83.44     8.16    33.38    10.63    28.01    90.04    45.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       18   32  +10      80.12     8.32    24.71     5.11    15.87    80.52    35.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       18   29   +3      66.87     7.96     2.26     0.10     0.60    20.16     4.33P    0.89R    0.02  
Carlisle        18   29   -1      67.59     8.12    -1.06     0.14     0.68    22.93     4.42P    0.92R    0.03  
Notts_County    18   28   +4      65.04     8.02     1.82     0.05     0.32    15.36     2.81P    1.57R    0.06  
Stevenage       18   27   +6      64.39     8.16     4.81     0.05     0.33    13.91     2.74P    2.04R    0.09  
Oldham          18   26   +0      62.50     7.99    -3.02     0.03     0.16     8.98     1.59P    3.25R    0.13  
Bournemouth     19   26   +0      65.16     7.88     3.05     0.04     0.32    15.05     3.47P    1.52R    0.04  
Preston         18   26   -2      67.72     8.56     2.73     0.20     1.07    25.45     6.68P    1.15R    0.05  
Bury            18   26   -3      59.77     8.13   -10.85     0.01     0.05     5.06     0.70P    7.56R    0.47  
Hartlepool      18   24   -3      58.08     7.86    -9.87     0.00     0.01     3.08     0.53P    9.76R    0.63  
Colchester      18   22   -3      61.34     8.20    -1.83     0.02     0.09     7.56     1.60P    5.01R    0.28  
Leyton_Orient   18   22   -5      58.63     8.06    -8.07     0.01     0.04     3.76     0.67P    9.20R    0.71  
Tranmere        18   20   -5      55.64     7.95    -8.88     0.00     0.01     1.69     0.34P   15.98R    1.49  
Exeter          18   19  -11      51.36     7.97   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.10P   34.34R    5.12  
Scunthorpe      18   16   -6      55.15     8.48    -5.42     0.00     0.01     2.11     0.45P   18.60R    2.56  
Yeovil          18   16   -8      48.88     7.80   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   44.82R    8.13  
Rochdale        18   16  -14      49.95     7.93   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   40.61R    7.06  
Wycombe         18   14  -11      44.50     7.98   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   66.67R   20.97  
Walsall         18   13   -8      46.45     7.93   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   56.16R   13.79  
Chesterfield    18   12  -14      41.11     7.98   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.97R   38.38  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         20   45  +18      86.16     7.94    26.54    30.61    67.93    94.37    73.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             20   42  +15      86.50     7.68    28.39    31.81    70.51    95.54    77.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   41  +14      77.89     7.66    15.75     5.80    26.65    72.77    35.14P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   37  +13      81.38     7.65    25.87    12.57    45.21    86.11    57.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   35   +3      69.85     7.74     1.32     0.60     5.01    32.21     9.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              20   34  +14      81.47     7.64    31.76    13.63    47.18    86.91    61.59P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           20   32   +8      73.66     7.76    17.10     2.30    13.29    54.09    24.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            20   31  +14      68.70     7.70    16.90     0.47     4.50    30.21    10.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              20   31   +6      69.99     7.74    10.92     0.72     5.95    34.93    13.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   30   +5      66.71     7.61     6.74     0.21     2.25    20.40     6.13P    0.05R    0.01  
Rotherham            20   30   +2      70.27     7.78     9.01     0.80     6.17    35.89    13.48P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            20   29   +5      67.93     7.62     9.84     0.31     3.18    25.83     8.63P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield         20   26   +1      57.33     7.37    -5.26     0.00     0.07     2.24     0.47P    1.40R    0.34  
Aldershot            20   26   +0      60.83     7.58    -1.15     0.03     0.37     5.77     1.52P    0.51R    0.14  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -1      62.32     7.63     0.02     0.05     0.62     8.50     2.46P    0.33R    0.08  
Crewe                20   26   -5      63.34     7.80    -2.78     0.09     0.94    10.63     3.15P    0.27R    0.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   26   -8      52.22     7.37   -24.34     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.06P    7.44R    2.54  
Bristol_Rovers       20   23   -8      57.76     7.87    -9.74     0.01     0.15     2.93     0.85P    1.96R    0.60  
Barnet               20   19  -15      45.85     7.25   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   28.19R   13.75  
Northampton          20   17  -16      46.91     7.42   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   23.31R   10.64  
Hereford             20   17  -17      43.60     7.15   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.63R   20.98  
Bradford             20   16   -8      44.58     7.27   -18.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.48R   15.72  
Plymouth             20   13  -20      46.49     7.79   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.53R   12.54  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -20      43.52     7.63   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    39.82R   22.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.26     6.69    40.31    50.52    98.14    63.79P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.03     7.16    30.75    23.65    91.59    39.16P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.18     6.69    40.89     7.97    80.52    27.63P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      71.02     6.79    -3.34     0.18    14.18     1.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.27     7.01    19.15     1.22    40.96     8.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.43     6.99     3.67     0.16    16.11     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.81     6.53    40.76    15.08    89.53    44.31P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.22     7.13    17.28     0.93    35.27     7.24P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.52     6.79    14.05     0.04     5.83     0.95P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.07     7.06    13.79     0.21    16.96     3.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.60     6.92    -3.82     0.01     1.73     0.15P    0.18R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.71     7.04    -5.51     0.01     1.47     0.19P    0.21R    0.00  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.72     6.67     1.03     0.01     3.69     0.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      57.85     7.05    -9.07     0.00     0.37     0.03P    1.35R    0.02  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.59     7.02     8.21     0.01     3.49     0.69P    0.09R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.58     6.64    -9.41     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.26R    0.17  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      49.03     6.80   -15.42     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.12R    1.04  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.36     6.92   -10.12     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.05R    0.18  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      51.06     6.77    -7.83     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.38R    0.56  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.20     6.53   -32.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.83R    4.09  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.37     6.69   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.46R    6.23  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.19     6.94   -16.30     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.03R    1.54  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.09     6.12   -52.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.29R   56.11  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      37.01     6.50   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.72R   30.06