Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 14 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 December 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        15   38  +34      87.03     6.48    64.98    49.29    81.64    94.27    98.29    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   36  +21      86.46     6.09    54.14    41.16    79.35    94.19    98.49    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +15      78.70     6.43    42.25     7.05    26.25    65.31    85.77    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       14   31  +12      72.31     7.10    25.41     1.46     6.88    22.76    51.13    92.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29   +8      71.15     6.93    25.95     0.96     4.96    17.82    44.60    91.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   26   +5      66.17     6.88    17.77     0.08     0.86     4.98    17.78    74.64     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle       15   26   +2      59.37     6.93     4.24     0.01     0.06     0.63     3.41    29.56     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           15   21   -8      48.03     6.63   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.55     2.19R    0.21  
Aston_Villa     15   19   -1      48.38     6.89    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.58     1.89R    0.18  
Norwich         15   19   -4      43.02     6.95   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.51    10.67R    1.77  
Swansea         15   17   -4      41.47     6.76   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    13.68R    2.37  
Everton         14   16   -3      51.65     7.21     0.96     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.33     6.41     0.88R    0.06  
QPR             15   16  -11      37.96     6.40   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    29.75R    7.08  
Fulham          15   15   -2      45.25     6.76    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.84     5.01R    0.69  
West_Brom       15   15   -9      39.80     6.68   -22.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    20.97R    4.53  
Sunderland      15   14   +0      41.53     6.76    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26    12.98R    2.33  
Wolverhampton   15   14  -12      37.48     6.67   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    32.73R    8.75  
Wigan           15   12  -15      31.31     6.10   -37.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    70.98R   35.37  
Blackburn       15   10  -12      34.84     6.61   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.00R   16.57  
Bolton          15    9  -16      34.18     6.72   -29.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    51.24R   20.08  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      21   43  +21      85.54     7.52    33.79    40.08    64.48    95.08    72.71P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         21   40  +16      84.32     7.51    31.08    32.57    57.85    93.06    68.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +12      79.82     7.43    23.46    13.47    31.78    82.05    45.58P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      74.56     7.25    11.62     3.46    10.85    57.27    21.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             21   36   +2      71.30     7.13     3.90     1.22     4.48    38.35    11.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +7      73.11     7.48    12.91     2.76     8.71    50.67    17.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +1      63.79     7.35    -2.39     0.13     0.56    10.47     2.29P    1.05R    0.04  
Blackpool        21   31   +6      71.83     7.69    15.86     2.17     7.07    45.38    17.60P    0.07R    0.00  
Leicester        21   30   +5      67.49     7.43     9.66     0.52     1.94    23.48     7.06P    0.30R    0.01  
Reading          21   30   +4      68.78     7.37    10.60     0.72     2.83    28.82     9.74P    0.15R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +1      60.09     7.04    -4.37     0.03     0.11     3.78     0.71P    2.82R    0.13  
Barnsley         21   30   -1      59.36     7.22    -8.75     0.04     0.12     3.33     0.60P    4.25R    0.25  
Birmingham       19   29   +4      72.30     7.91    13.20     2.71     8.42    46.80    19.47P    0.08R    0.00  
Derby            21   28   -5      57.43     7.19   -12.53     0.01     0.06     1.89     0.35P    7.47R    0.58  
Burnley          21   27   +0      62.13     7.38     0.95     0.05     0.33     7.64     1.95P    1.91R    0.12  
Portsmouth       20   26   +1      60.80     7.39     0.03     0.04     0.24     5.38     1.33P    2.71R    0.13  
Peterborough     21   25   +1      57.65     7.74    -2.94     0.02     0.10     3.02     0.61P    8.06R    0.86  
Watford          21   25   -8      55.60     7.26   -14.08     0.00     0.03     1.15     0.24P   11.32R    1.05  
Millwall         21   23   -1      56.45     7.22    -1.70     0.00     0.03     1.45     0.37P    8.32R    0.64  
Ipswich          20   23  -11      52.98     7.46   -20.62     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.10P   21.32R    2.75  
Bristol_City     21   20  -12      50.03     7.16   -18.43     0.00     0.01     0.12     0.04P   33.47R    5.60  
Nott'm_Forest    21   20  -18      51.32     7.23   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   28.59R    4.15  
Doncaster        21   16  -18      40.44     6.79   -33.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.36R   41.95  
Coventry         21   13  -15      40.07     6.90   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   83.70R   41.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        20   47  +28      95.66     7.48    47.99    62.57    83.04    99.84    88.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   42  +12      84.13     7.79    21.66     7.99    25.18    92.23    39.98P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         20   39  +20      84.04     7.72    34.34     8.26    26.27    92.94    44.68P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    20   38  +19      86.44     7.57    38.71    13.32    38.82    96.27    58.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   38  +14      83.90     7.78    29.48     7.68    25.00    92.07    45.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       20   32   +3      67.15     7.58     2.35     0.05     0.36    21.73     3.90P    0.51R    0.01  
Carlisle        20   32   -2      67.29     7.70    -2.93     0.06     0.44    21.55     3.58P    0.59R    0.01  
Notts_County    20   31   +6      67.03     7.68     6.42     0.04     0.38    22.18     4.08P    0.58R    0.00  
Stevenage       20   29   +6      62.57     7.59     3.43     0.00     0.07     9.17     1.50P    2.27R    0.08  
Preston         20   27   -4      64.84     8.05    -1.12     0.03     0.25    15.49     3.47P    1.73R    0.06  
Bury            20   27   -5      58.13     7.66   -12.38     0.00     0.01     3.14     0.41P    9.19R    0.50  
Colchester      20   26   -1      63.04     7.80     0.81     0.00     0.06    10.65     1.99P    2.42R    0.10  
Hartlepool      20   26   -3      57.76     7.50    -9.08     0.00     0.01     2.55     0.43P    9.06R    0.62  
Bournemouth     20   26   -3      63.10     7.63    -0.93     0.00     0.09    10.14     2.04P    2.16R    0.09  
Tranmere        20   26   -3      59.25     7.44    -6.21     0.00     0.01     3.53     0.56P    6.21R    0.30  
Oldham          20   26   -4      58.81     7.53    -8.60     0.00     0.02     3.39     0.57P    6.96R    0.37  
Leyton_Orient   20   22   -7      54.79     7.55   -11.64     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.20P   17.41R    1.44  
Exeter          20   20  -13      49.78     7.48   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   41.12R    6.71  
Yeovil          20   19   -8      49.52     7.40   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   40.04R    6.23  
Scunthorpe      20   18   -6      54.30     8.00    -5.51     0.00     0.00     1.33     0.28P   19.46R    2.23  
Walsall         20   17   -7      48.33     7.46   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   45.59R    8.58  
Rochdale        20   17  -16      48.94     7.55   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   44.65R    7.97  
Wycombe         20   16  -11      44.76     7.52   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   65.28R   18.66  
Chesterfield    20   13  -15      39.78     7.54   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    84.75R   46.03  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         20   45  +18      86.00     7.96    26.25    29.97    67.06    94.17    73.03P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             20   42  +15      86.51     7.58    28.41    32.04    71.01    95.68    77.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   41  +14      77.80     7.68    15.62     5.72    26.30    72.10    34.47P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   37  +13      81.51     7.58    26.10    13.14    45.80    86.80    58.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   35   +3      69.87     7.74     1.37     0.66     5.17    32.24     9.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              20   34  +14      81.30     7.75    31.53    13.38    46.40    86.22    60.84P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           20   32   +8      73.78     7.75    17.28     2.26    13.68    54.61    24.97P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            20   31  +14      68.61     7.75    16.74     0.57     4.59    30.18    10.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              20   31   +6      70.07     7.67    11.03     0.73     5.81    35.20    13.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   30   +5      66.61     7.63     6.60     0.22     2.35    20.00     6.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Rotherham            20   30   +2      70.39     7.80     9.21     0.82     6.38    36.33    13.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            20   29   +5      68.05     7.61    10.05     0.37     3.31    25.88     8.86P    0.03R    0.01  
Macclesfield         20   26   +1      57.36     7.36    -5.24     0.00     0.09     2.19     0.45P    1.40R    0.36  
Aldershot            20   26   +0      60.74     7.51    -1.27     0.03     0.36     5.61     1.48P    0.48R    0.09  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -1      62.35     7.66     0.03     0.03     0.60     8.58     2.46P    0.33R    0.08  
Crewe                20   26   -5      63.38     7.75    -2.68     0.06     0.90    10.56     3.14P    0.29R    0.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   26   -8      52.25     7.43   -24.26     0.00     0.02     0.43     0.05P    7.60R    2.69  
Bristol_Rovers       20   23   -8      57.84     7.88    -9.63     0.00     0.16     3.06     0.83P    1.88R    0.57  
Barnet               20   19  -15      45.80     7.29   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   28.54R   13.89  
Northampton          20   17  -16      47.06     7.50   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   22.37R   10.09  
Hereford             20   17  -17      43.59     7.20   -30.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.26R   21.02  
Bradford             20   16   -8      44.41     7.26   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.50R   16.03  
Plymouth             20   13  -20      46.59     7.88   -23.39     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.09R   12.48  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -20      43.44     7.65   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.12R   22.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.27     6.69    40.32    50.71    98.20    64.42P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      87.98     7.14    30.74    23.21    91.47    39.13P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.24     6.71    40.99     8.21    80.76    27.92P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      71.02     6.79    -3.31     0.14    14.27     1.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.34     6.94    19.27     1.13    41.01     8.33P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.36     6.98     3.56     0.20    15.92     2.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.89     6.48    40.94    15.19    90.05    44.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.24     7.07    17.25     0.93    35.36     7.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.35     6.77    13.78     0.03     5.45     0.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.11     6.99    13.90     0.22    16.68     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.67     6.96    -3.71     0.00     1.76     0.22P    0.18R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.68     6.99    -5.56     0.00     1.44     0.16P    0.25R    0.01  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.70     6.72     1.02     0.01     3.62     0.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      58.08     7.02    -8.72     0.00     0.42     0.05P    1.21R    0.02  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.65     7.03     8.32     0.02     3.47     0.64P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.62     6.62    -9.37     0.00     0.04     0.00P    4.26R    0.15  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      49.07     6.81   -15.37     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.88R    1.03  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.08     6.91   -10.50     0.00     0.04     0.00P    4.37R    0.18  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      51.05     6.72    -7.86     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.24R    0.54  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.10     6.53   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.19R    4.19  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.41     6.69   -30.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.77R    6.39  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.11     6.97   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.46R    1.55  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.02     6.07   -52.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.41R   56.54  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      37.03     6.48   -33.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.65R   29.40