Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 13 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 December 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        15   38  +34      87.07     6.47    65.02    49.12    81.79    94.28    98.41    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   36  +21      86.60     6.07    54.38    41.72    80.18    94.54    98.57    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +15      78.66     6.45    42.23     6.80    25.74    65.24    85.72    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       14   31  +12      72.29     7.08    25.35     1.38     6.59    22.78    51.44    92.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29   +8      71.10     6.92    25.87     0.88     4.85    17.81    44.58    91.36     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   26   +5      65.93     6.86    17.42     0.09     0.76     4.58    17.20    73.82     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       15   26   +2      59.38     6.97     4.22     0.01     0.08     0.68     3.51    29.80     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke           15   21   -8      47.98     6.63   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.71     2.29R    0.24  
Aston_Villa     15   19   -1      48.41     6.83    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.59     1.82R    0.17  
Norwich         15   19   -4      43.22     6.94   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.59    10.07R    1.62  
Swansea         15   17   -4      41.33     6.70   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24    14.25R    2.60  
Everton         14   16   -3      51.67     7.21     0.90     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.37     6.59     0.82R    0.06  
QPR             15   16  -11      37.97     6.50   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    30.26R    7.49  
Fulham          15   15   -2      45.34     6.70    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.90     4.58R    0.60  
West_Brom       15   15   -9      39.64     6.70   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    21.72R    4.95  
Sunderland      15   14   +0      41.33     6.72    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24    13.44R    2.52  
Wolverhampton   15   14  -12      37.51     6.65   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    32.82R    8.84  
Wigan           15   12  -15      31.46     6.15   -37.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.31R   34.80  
Blackburn       15   10  -12      34.82     6.60   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.53R   16.80  
Bolton          15    9  -16      34.39     6.69   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    50.06R   19.31  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      21   43  +21      85.67     7.50    33.94    40.06    64.95    95.33    73.03P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         21   40  +16      84.63     7.48    31.60    33.47    59.46    93.67    70.23P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +12      79.84     7.42    23.43    13.08    31.36    82.57    45.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      74.59     7.29    11.67     3.56    10.92    57.69    21.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             21   36   +2      71.15     7.10     3.73     1.18     4.24    37.74    10.95P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +7      73.08     7.50    12.85     2.65     8.41    50.56    17.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +1      63.88     7.34    -2.17     0.13     0.55    10.70     2.42P    1.04R    0.03  
Blackpool        21   31   +6      71.67     7.71    15.62     2.01     6.56    44.64    17.10P    0.09R    0.00  
Leicester        21   30   +5      67.34     7.41     9.45     0.42     1.82    22.72     6.81P    0.34R    0.01  
Reading          21   30   +4      68.81     7.28    10.69     0.60     2.60    28.96     9.81P    0.15R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +1      60.15     7.00    -4.31     0.02     0.11     3.87     0.77P    2.78R    0.16  
Barnsley         21   30   -1      59.20     7.19    -8.98     0.03     0.12     3.15     0.59P    4.30R    0.27  
Birmingham       19   29   +4      72.34     7.96    13.25     2.64     8.18    46.92    19.46P    0.08R    0.00  
Derby            21   28   -5      57.45     7.16   -12.56     0.02     0.05     1.87     0.30P    7.04R    0.53  
Burnley          21   27   +0      62.16     7.34     1.02     0.07     0.32     7.62     1.85P    1.83R    0.10  
Portsmouth       20   26   +1      60.80     7.36     0.08     0.04     0.21     5.50     1.34P    2.75R    0.15  
Peterborough     21   25   +1      57.56     7.79    -3.13     0.02     0.11     2.98     0.63P    8.35R    0.84  
Watford          21   25   -8      55.49     7.22   -14.27     0.00     0.02     1.09     0.20P   11.80R    1.10  
Millwall         21   23   -1      56.54     7.20    -1.65     0.01     0.02     1.55     0.40P    7.87R    0.69  
Ipswich          20   23  -11      53.01     7.43   -20.56     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.11P   21.08R    2.61  
Bristol_City     21   20  -12      50.08     7.15   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   33.44R    5.73  
Nott'm_Forest    21   20  -18      51.16     7.19   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P   29.44R    4.32  
Doncaster        21   16  -18      40.50     6.80   -33.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.90R   41.58  
Coventry         21   13  -15      40.09     6.86   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.68R   41.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        20   47  +28      95.68     7.53    47.94    62.75    83.17    99.82    88.04P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   42  +12      84.11     7.80    21.64     7.85    25.07    92.03    40.01P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         20   39  +20      84.10     7.71    34.42     8.19    26.67    92.93    44.79P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    20   38  +19      86.39     7.53    38.64    13.25    38.70    96.22    58.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   38  +14      83.78     7.85    29.31     7.71    24.61    91.86    45.40P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   32   +3      67.32     7.57     2.57     0.04     0.39    21.85     3.89P    0.46R    0.01  
Carlisle        20   32   -2      67.38     7.70    -2.81     0.04     0.42    21.93     3.65P    0.59R    0.01  
Notts_County    20   31   +6      67.06     7.68     6.45     0.09     0.40    21.96     3.98P    0.52R    0.01  
Stevenage       20   29   +6      62.66     7.60     3.53     0.02     0.09     9.22     1.44P    2.21R    0.07  
Preston         20   27   -4      64.89     8.10    -1.06     0.04     0.28    15.88     3.61P    1.81R    0.07  
Bury            20   27   -5      58.31     7.71   -12.05     0.00     0.01     3.27     0.45P    8.87R    0.55  
Colchester      20   26   -1      63.03     7.73     0.82     0.01     0.08    10.36     1.98P    2.43R    0.09  
Hartlepool      20   26   -3      57.83     7.50    -8.99     0.00     0.01     2.55     0.34P    8.76R    0.52  
Bournemouth     20   26   -3      63.08     7.64    -0.94     0.01     0.09     9.95     2.02P    2.21R    0.09  
Tranmere        20   26   -3      59.40     7.49    -6.02     0.00     0.01     3.87     0.60P    5.94R    0.27  
Oldham          20   26   -4      58.63     7.52    -8.79     0.00     0.01     3.36     0.48P    7.24R    0.38  
Leyton_Orient   20   22   -7      54.59     7.52   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.16P   17.81R    1.53  
Exeter          20   20  -13      49.77     7.49   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   40.63R    6.56  
Yeovil          20   19   -8      49.40     7.40   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   40.65R    6.31  
Scunthorpe      20   18   -6      54.30     8.02    -5.51     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.24P   19.27R    2.29  
Walsall         20   17   -7      48.32     7.48   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   45.46R    8.59  
Rochdale        20   17  -16      48.89     7.59   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   44.64R    8.26  
Wycombe         20   16  -11      44.73     7.50   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    65.50R   18.17  
Chesterfield    20   13  -15      39.70     7.52   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   85.01R   46.23  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         20   45  +18      86.00     8.00    26.22    30.47    67.33    93.92    73.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             20   42  +15      86.48     7.65    28.40    31.73    71.06    95.56    77.61P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   41  +14      78.00     7.64    15.91     5.93    26.96    73.13    35.35P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   37  +13      81.33     7.61    25.84    12.67    45.04    86.14    57.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   35   +3      69.94     7.73     1.48     0.60     5.16    32.65     9.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              20   34  +14      81.37     7.68    31.64    13.55    46.41    86.60    61.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           20   32   +8      73.58     7.73    16.99     2.15    13.02    53.40    23.95P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            20   31  +14      68.52     7.77    16.65     0.56     4.51    29.35    10.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              20   31   +6      70.14     7.71    11.13     0.75     6.04    35.42    13.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   30   +5      66.75     7.67     6.77     0.23     2.47    20.38     6.29P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            20   30   +2      70.41     7.81     9.18     0.84     6.45    36.60    13.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            20   29   +5      67.92     7.69     9.86     0.36     3.40    25.64     8.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield         20   26   +1      57.48     7.44    -5.03     0.01     0.13     2.42     0.55P    1.36R    0.35  
Aldershot            20   26   +0      60.88     7.55    -1.03     0.03     0.35     5.89     1.60P    0.51R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -1      62.29     7.59    -0.07     0.04     0.54     8.33     2.27P    0.37R    0.08  
Crewe                20   26   -5      63.45     7.82    -2.60     0.07     0.94    10.67     3.26P    0.33R    0.07  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   26   -8      52.33     7.52   -24.13     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.10P    7.30R    2.57  
Bristol_Rovers       20   23   -8      57.92     7.92    -9.51     0.01     0.18     3.15     0.84P    1.77R    0.55  
Barnet               20   19  -15      45.77     7.34   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   28.88R   13.73  
Northampton          20   17  -16      46.80     7.43   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   23.13R   10.67  
Hereford             20   17  -17      43.61     7.20   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   39.15R   20.99  
Bradford             20   16   -8      44.41     7.27   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   32.00R   16.01  
Plymouth             20   13  -20      46.40     7.78   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.50R   12.59  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -20      43.50     7.69   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   39.56R   22.27  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.25     6.69    40.33    50.67    98.16    64.06P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      87.95     7.18    30.65    23.62    91.42    38.82P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.22     6.70    41.00     8.18    80.87    28.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      70.96     6.74    -3.43     0.12    13.67     1.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.20     6.96    19.05     1.12    40.32     8.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.36     6.99     3.54     0.20    15.98     2.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.80     6.47    40.72    14.89    89.92    43.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.26     7.06    17.33     0.89    35.48     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.35     6.75    13.75     0.02     5.58     0.83P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.20     7.09    14.01     0.26    17.33     3.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.64     6.94    -3.79     0.00     1.84     0.22P    0.18R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.79     7.00    -5.33     0.00     1.53     0.18P    0.21R    0.01  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.92     6.71     1.32     0.01     3.86     0.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      58.04     6.94    -8.72     0.00     0.40     0.05P    1.18R    0.03  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.81     6.97     8.60     0.01     3.52     0.68P    0.06R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.58     6.65    -9.43     0.00     0.04     0.00P    4.16R    0.19  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      49.04     6.77   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.89R    1.03  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.20     6.95   -10.35     0.00     0.06     0.02P    4.26R    0.22  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      51.00     6.75    -7.95     0.00     0.02     0.01P    8.32R    0.50  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.18     6.49   -33.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.44R    3.98  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.25     6.65   -30.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.83R    6.47  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.11     7.00   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.51R    1.65  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.11     6.10   -52.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.12R   55.69  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      36.97     6.54   -33.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.79R   30.24