Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 12 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 December 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        15   38  +34      87.10     6.48    65.10    48.99    82.12    94.48    98.48    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   36  +21      86.58     6.12    54.30    41.62    79.69    94.26    98.49    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         15   31  +15      78.67     6.46    42.23     7.11    26.09    65.29    85.74    99.14     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       14   31  +12      72.23     7.11    25.29     1.19     6.32    22.68    50.98    92.74     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29   +8      71.09     6.95    25.84     0.94     4.82    17.59    44.54    91.18     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   26   +5      66.11     6.85    17.69     0.13     0.87     4.96    17.82    74.46     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       15   26   +2      59.31     6.95     4.12     0.01     0.08     0.68     3.35    29.38     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke           15   21   -8      47.94     6.63   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.68     2.32R    0.25  
Aston_Villa     15   19   -1      48.44     6.88    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     2.67     1.88R    0.19  
Norwich         15   19   -4      43.00     6.94   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.56    10.71R    1.79  
Swansea         15   17   -4      41.32     6.69   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    14.18R    2.44  
Everton         14   16   -3      51.72     7.26     0.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.42     6.73     0.85R    0.09  
QPR             15   16  -11      37.83     6.46   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    31.17R    8.01  
Fulham          15   15   -2      45.32     6.73    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.77     4.85R    0.64  
West_Brom       15   15   -9      39.58     6.68   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    22.04R    5.12  
Sunderland      15   14   +0      41.43     6.71    -7.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    13.11R    2.43  
Wolverhampton   15   14  -12      37.58     6.63   -25.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    32.28R    8.89  
Wigan           15   12  -15      31.56     6.14   -37.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.39R   34.01  
Blackburn       15   10  -12      34.98     6.64   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    46.13R   16.30  
Bolton          15    9  -16      34.28     6.74   -29.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    51.06R   19.84  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      21   43  +21      85.58     7.52    33.79    39.75    64.40    94.98    72.57P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         21   40  +16      84.45     7.44    31.26    32.45    57.94    93.67    69.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +12      79.94     7.40    23.58    13.57    31.96    82.73    45.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      74.68     7.26    11.75     3.73    11.04    58.05    21.68P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             20   36   +3      73.03     7.35     5.40     2.35     7.51    48.19    15.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +7      73.02     7.50    12.80     2.65     8.33    50.04    17.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +1      63.81     7.35    -2.29     0.12     0.58    10.54     2.38P    1.06R    0.05  
Leicester        21   30   +5      67.24     7.36     9.35     0.43     1.68    22.32     6.55P    0.33R    0.01  
Reading          21   30   +4      68.73     7.34    10.54     0.65     2.77    28.77     9.88P    0.16R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +1      60.05     7.01    -4.43     0.02     0.09     3.72     0.68P    2.90R    0.12  
Barnsley         21   30   -1      59.39     7.21    -8.68     0.03     0.11     3.43     0.64P    4.03R    0.25  
Birmingham       19   29   +4      72.32     8.00    13.27     2.79     8.25    47.03    19.74P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackpool        20   28   +5      69.51     7.98    13.82     1.31     4.52    34.33    12.73P    0.28R    0.01  
Derby            21   28   -5      57.43     7.25   -12.54     0.01     0.04     1.93     0.32P    7.54R    0.53  
Burnley          21   27   +0      62.24     7.36     1.12     0.06     0.36     7.83     2.06P    1.85R    0.09  
Portsmouth       20   26   +1      60.85     7.38     0.13     0.04     0.22     5.64     1.36P    2.65R    0.17  
Peterborough     21   25   +1      57.57     7.80    -3.15     0.03     0.11     3.01     0.63P    8.21R    0.84  
Watford          21   25   -8      55.50     7.30   -14.27     0.01     0.03     1.18     0.23P   11.90R    1.14  
Millwall         21   23   -1      56.57     7.23    -1.59     0.01     0.03     1.63     0.42P    8.12R    0.70  
Ipswich          20   23  -11      53.28     7.49   -20.17     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.15P   20.46R    2.62  
Bristol_City     21   20  -12      50.05     7.15   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   33.63R    5.77  
Nott'm_Forest    21   20  -18      51.14     7.18   -22.61     0.00     0.01     0.16     0.03P   29.14R    4.31  
Doncaster        21   16  -18      40.55     6.81   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.78R   41.62  
Coventry         21   13  -15      40.09     6.85   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   83.83R   41.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        20   47  +28      95.67     7.51    47.93    62.90    83.24    99.77    88.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   42  +12      84.04     7.66    21.52     7.52    24.48    92.50    39.45P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         20   39  +20      83.84     7.77    34.04     8.11    25.61    92.55    44.04P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    20   38  +19      86.44     7.53    38.63    13.38    39.10    96.44    58.97P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   38  +14      83.98     7.77    29.59     7.88    25.92    92.39    46.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   32   +3      67.28     7.59     2.57     0.06     0.37    21.91     3.97P    0.47R    0.02  
Carlisle        20   32   -2      67.32     7.69    -2.91     0.06     0.44    21.44     3.72P    0.55R    0.02  
Notts_County    20   31   +6      66.84     7.63     6.14     0.03     0.34    21.44     3.71P    0.61R    0.01  
Stevenage       20   29   +6      62.71     7.58     3.59     0.01     0.07     9.53     1.58P    2.22R    0.09  
Preston         20   27   -4      64.82     8.05    -1.17     0.03     0.25    15.52     3.43P    1.78R    0.07  
Bury            20   27   -5      58.30     7.73   -12.13     0.00     0.01     3.30     0.43P    8.80R    0.57  
Colchester      20   26   -1      63.09     7.74     0.88     0.01     0.07    10.41     1.89P    2.46R    0.10  
Hartlepool      20   26   -3      57.88     7.50    -8.96     0.00     0.01     2.66     0.38P    8.98R    0.47  
Bournemouth     20   26   -3      62.97     7.68    -1.11     0.00     0.08     9.96     2.00P    2.48R    0.09  
Tranmere        20   26   -3      59.40     7.46    -5.99     0.00     0.01     3.76     0.62P    5.89R    0.26  
Oldham          20   26   -4      58.73     7.53    -8.66     0.00     0.01     3.34     0.48P    7.11R    0.39  
Leyton_Orient   20   22   -7      54.80     7.54   -11.57     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.19P   17.19R    1.56  
Exeter          20   20  -13      49.83     7.45   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   40.77R    6.49  
Yeovil          20   19   -8      49.46     7.45   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   40.38R    6.20  
Scunthorpe      20   18   -6      54.23     8.05    -5.55     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.28P   19.75R    2.45  
Walsall         20   17   -7      48.35     7.45   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   45.42R    8.48  
Rochdale        20   17  -16      48.91     7.53   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   44.95R    7.86  
Wycombe         20   16  -11      44.69     7.51   -22.08     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   65.66R   18.63  
Chesterfield    20   13  -15      39.81     7.51   -30.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.54R   46.25  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         20   45  +18      86.00     8.02    26.21    30.02    67.37    93.85    73.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             20   42  +16      86.75     7.64    29.85    34.04    72.29    95.85    78.85P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   41  +14      77.90     7.61    15.76     5.47    26.72    72.58    35.17P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   37  +12      81.03     7.63    24.35    11.73    43.34    85.06    55.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   35   +3      69.81     7.74     1.24     0.56     5.08    31.92     9.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              20   34  +14      81.27     7.71    31.54    13.13    46.54    86.06    60.76P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           20   32   +8      73.66     7.75    17.11     2.23    13.50    53.96    24.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            20   31  +14      68.58     7.70    16.75     0.50     4.54    29.72    10.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              20   31   +6      70.16     7.69    11.15     0.77     6.02    35.62    13.62P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   30   +5      66.70     7.62     6.71     0.24     2.31    20.35     6.21P    0.07R    0.02  
Rotherham            20   30   +2      70.56     7.82     9.45     0.86     6.91    37.37    14.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            20   29   +5      68.09     7.63    10.07     0.32     3.30    26.52     9.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield         20   26   +1      57.44     7.44    -5.14     0.00     0.10     2.49     0.56P    1.48R    0.37  
Aldershot            20   26   +0      60.82     7.52    -1.19     0.02     0.40     5.68     1.54P    0.55R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -1      62.32     7.64    -0.07     0.04     0.56     8.39     2.31P    0.34R    0.08  
Crewe                20   26   -5      63.38     7.79    -2.72     0.06     0.86    10.72     3.16P    0.36R    0.08  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   26   -8      52.21     7.43   -24.36     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.07P    7.64R    2.70  
Bristol_Rovers       20   23   -8      57.82     7.93    -9.73     0.01     0.16     3.14     0.86P    1.94R    0.62  
Barnet               20   19  -15      45.76     7.31   -30.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   28.64R   13.98  
Northampton          20   17  -16      47.10     7.50   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   22.23R   10.08  
Hereford             20   17  -17      43.57     7.19   -30.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   39.68R   21.23  
Bradford             20   16   -8      44.40     7.30   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.55R   16.27  
Plymouth             20   13  -20      46.51     7.79   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   25.15R   12.39  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -20      43.57     7.71   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.28R   22.07  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.36     6.71    40.46    51.23    98.12    64.68P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.03     7.19    30.71    23.73    91.50    39.15P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.22     6.69    40.97     7.88    80.57    27.96P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      71.02     6.82    -3.37     0.17    14.12     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.33     6.99    19.27     1.15    41.47     8.63P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.49     6.98     3.75     0.21    16.37     2.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.66     6.51    40.53    14.37    89.25    43.06P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.22     7.12    17.24     0.98    35.31     7.33P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.31     6.74    13.67     0.03     5.38     0.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.07     7.07    13.82     0.24    17.04     3.04P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.60     6.91    -3.81     0.00     1.80     0.17P    0.17R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.65     6.93    -5.57     0.00     1.42     0.19P    0.21R    0.00  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.76     6.71     1.11     0.00     3.78     0.78P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      57.94     6.97    -8.90     0.00     0.37     0.06P    1.16R    0.04  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.66     7.02     8.37     0.01     3.38     0.58P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.74     6.68    -9.19     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.16R    0.16  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      48.98     6.79   -15.51     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.20R    1.03  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.12     6.94   -10.46     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.55R    0.23  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      51.11     6.74    -7.76     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.10R    0.53  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.15     6.47   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.92R    4.04  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.37     6.66   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.16R    6.38  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.17     6.93   -16.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.40R    1.50  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.15     6.09   -52.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.19R   55.72  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      37.01     6.55   -33.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.66R   30.37