Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 11 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 December 2011, Stoke vs Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        14   38  +35      88.39     6.68    66.05    55.68    86.25    95.91    98.85    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   36  +21      86.67     6.05    54.48    37.33    81.97    95.22    98.82    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       14   31  +12      72.32     7.11    25.42     1.29     6.63    25.08    52.50    92.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29   +8      71.04     6.91    25.83     0.75     4.42    19.06    45.70    91.27     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +14      77.23     6.66    41.50     4.84    19.76    58.20    80.99    98.52     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   26   +5      66.16     6.88    17.78     0.10     0.90     5.67    18.79    74.72     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       15   26   +2      59.36     6.91     4.17     0.01     0.06     0.79     3.73    29.60     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           15   21   -8      47.90     6.61   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.49     2.26R    0.25  
Aston_Villa     15   19   -1      48.35     6.90    -5.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.70     1.88R    0.19  
Norwich         15   19   -4      43.12     6.97   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55    10.41R    1.81  
Swansea         15   17   -4      41.57     6.73   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    13.30R    2.24  
Everton         14   16   -3      51.84     7.19     1.15     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.39     6.76     0.74R    0.06  
QPR             15   16  -11      37.85     6.46   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    30.67R    7.72  
Fulham          15   15   -2      45.19     6.77    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.88     4.87R    0.64  
West_Brom       15   15   -9      39.65     6.71   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    21.65R    4.87  
Sunderland      15   14   +0      41.27     6.80    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23    13.68R    2.62  
Wolverhampton   15   14  -12      37.42     6.69   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    32.99R    9.10  
Wigan           15   12  -15      31.49     6.14   -37.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.71R   34.38  
Blackburn       15   10  -12      34.79     6.56   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.26R   16.70  
Bolton          15    9  -16      34.36     6.69   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    50.57R   19.40  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      21   43  +21      85.52     7.48    33.72    39.08    63.82    95.18    72.31P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         21   40  +16      84.50     7.46    31.36    33.31    58.60    93.51    69.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +12      80.08     7.44    23.79    13.98    32.92    82.99    47.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      74.67     7.28    11.75     3.65    10.89    57.95    21.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Hull             21   36   +2      71.15     7.11     3.71     1.17     4.28    37.54    10.87P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +7      72.98     7.51    12.76     2.67     8.28    49.83    17.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +1      63.74     7.32    -2.39     0.14     0.59    10.23     2.32P    1.04R    0.03  
Blackpool        21   31   +6      71.69     7.72    15.65     1.86     6.67    44.63    16.99P    0.08R    0.00  
Leicester        21   30   +5      67.51     7.43     9.74     0.50     1.99    23.65     7.22P    0.26R    0.01  
Reading          21   30   +4      68.86     7.29    10.69     0.64     2.56    29.20     9.77P    0.13R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +1      60.14     6.98    -4.30     0.01     0.11     3.78     0.69P    2.59R    0.13  
Barnsley         21   30   -1      59.37     7.17    -8.76     0.02     0.11     3.29     0.53P    4.03R    0.25  
Birmingham       19   29   +4      72.36     7.97    13.29     2.82     8.41    46.88    19.68P    0.08R    0.00  
Derby            21   28   -5      57.45     7.19   -12.49     0.01     0.05     1.85     0.33P    7.34R    0.57  
Burnley          21   27   +0      62.14     7.32     0.97     0.07     0.34     7.42     1.89P    1.91R    0.08  
Portsmouth       20   26   +1      60.81     7.36     0.11     0.04     0.20     5.52     1.36P    2.60R    0.16  
Peterborough     21   25   +1      57.65     7.81    -2.97     0.02     0.12     3.17     0.64P    8.16R    0.86  
Watford          21   25   -8      55.35     7.33   -14.52     0.00     0.02     1.10     0.19P   12.41R    1.21  
Millwall         21   23   -1      56.38     7.22    -1.83     0.00     0.03     1.41     0.32P    8.55R    0.73  
Ipswich          20   23  -11      52.96     7.47   -20.69     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.11P   21.44R    2.77  
Bristol_City     21   20  -12      50.04     7.15   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   33.60R    5.61  
Nott'm_Forest    21   20  -18      51.22     7.20   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   28.60R    4.32  
Doncaster        21   16  -18      40.61     6.84   -32.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.33R   40.52  
Coventry         21   13  -15      39.98     6.88   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.76R   42.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        20   47  +28      95.66     7.62    47.91    62.43    82.67    99.78    87.74P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   42  +12      84.08     7.78    21.60     7.76    25.09    92.13    39.55P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         20   39  +20      83.99     7.73    34.22     8.33    26.30    92.80    44.83P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    20   38  +19      86.45     7.58    38.68    13.40    39.08    96.29    59.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   38  +14      83.90     7.80    29.50     7.85    25.29    92.25    46.07P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   32   +3      67.30     7.50     2.60     0.04     0.34    22.09     4.08P    0.41R    0.00  
Carlisle        20   32   -2      67.14     7.67    -3.10     0.06     0.35    21.21     3.52P    0.65R    0.02  
Notts_County    20   31   +6      66.84     7.64     6.12     0.07     0.39    21.52     3.84P    0.58R    0.01  
Stevenage       20   29   +6      62.62     7.60     3.51     0.01     0.07     9.53     1.51P    2.36R    0.07  
Preston         20   27   -4      64.85     8.09    -1.08     0.03     0.22    15.91     3.37P    1.87R    0.06  
Bury            20   27   -5      58.29     7.67   -12.18     0.00     0.01     3.24     0.49P    8.76R    0.51  
Colchester      20   26   -1      62.92     7.72     0.67     0.01     0.08    10.12     1.92P    2.53R    0.10  
Hartlepool      20   26   -3      57.96     7.52    -8.84     0.00     0.01     2.79     0.42P    8.77R    0.48  
Bournemouth     20   26   -3      63.13     7.66    -0.88     0.01     0.08    10.22     2.06P    2.22R    0.08  
Tranmere        20   26   -3      59.22     7.44    -6.25     0.00     0.01     3.66     0.54P    6.22R    0.31  
Oldham          20   26   -4      58.67     7.53    -8.76     0.00     0.01     3.42     0.52P    7.41R    0.41  
Leyton_Orient   20   22   -7      54.76     7.57   -11.67     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.17P   17.30R    1.57  
Exeter          20   20  -13      49.88     7.43   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P   40.43R    6.22  
Yeovil          20   19   -8      49.67     7.41   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   39.69R    5.76  
Scunthorpe      20   18   -6      54.24     7.96    -5.58     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.23P   19.88R    2.40  
Walsall         20   17   -7      48.36     7.50   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   45.63R    8.54  
Rochdale        20   17  -16      48.97     7.55   -22.06     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   44.75R    7.90  
Wycombe         20   16  -11      44.75     7.48   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   65.70R   18.47  
Chesterfield    20   13  -15      39.71     7.59   -30.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.84R   47.07  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         20   45  +18      86.23     8.02    26.58    31.21    67.99    94.22    73.76P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             20   42  +15      86.32     7.64    28.16    31.20    69.83    95.35    76.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   41  +14      77.89     7.66    15.74     5.78    26.24    72.60    34.90P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   37  +13      81.46     7.60    26.02    12.79    45.61    86.60    57.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   35   +3      70.07     7.76     1.65     0.68     5.49    32.77    10.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              20   34  +14      81.46     7.68    31.81    13.61    47.26    86.55    61.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           20   32   +8      73.61     7.69    17.05     1.98    13.17    53.89    23.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            20   31  +14      68.66     7.71    16.84     0.55     4.57    29.71    10.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              20   31   +6      70.18     7.69    11.15     0.74     5.83    35.88    13.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   30   +5      66.57     7.62     6.50     0.20     2.23    19.81     6.05P    0.07R    0.01  
Rotherham            20   30   +2      70.28     7.81     8.99     0.76     6.36    35.61    13.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Port_Vale            20   29   +5      68.05     7.65    10.07     0.35     3.38    26.11     8.95P    0.02R    0.01  
Macclesfield         20   26   +1      57.45     7.43    -5.08     0.00     0.09     2.48     0.52P    1.38R    0.33  
Aldershot            20   26   +0      60.79     7.55    -1.22     0.01     0.32     5.73     1.48P    0.48R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -1      62.33     7.61    -0.01     0.04     0.57     8.43     2.45P    0.28R    0.05  
Crewe                20   26   -5      63.40     7.78    -2.63     0.09     0.88    10.56     3.19P    0.29R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   26   -8      52.40     7.46   -24.00     0.00     0.03     0.54     0.13P    7.35R    2.49  
Bristol_Rovers       20   23   -8      57.63     7.93    -9.97     0.00     0.15     2.98     0.83P    2.00R    0.62  
Barnet               20   19  -15      45.83     7.31   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   28.22R   13.62  
Northampton          20   17  -16      46.89     7.48   -25.89     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   22.99R   10.51  
Hereford             20   17  -17      43.53     7.13   -30.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.12R   20.74  
Bradford             20   16   -8      44.48     7.26   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.81R   15.81  
Plymouth             20   13  -20      46.46     7.74   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.18R   12.28  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -20      43.30     7.68   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.74R   23.36  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.23     6.74    40.24    51.06    98.01    64.28P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      87.98     7.13    30.68    23.41    91.49    38.82P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.15     6.65    40.86     7.98    80.45    27.97P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      70.97     6.84    -3.41     0.15    14.35     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.38     6.98    19.32     1.19    41.26     8.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.33     6.94     3.51     0.19    15.64     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.67     6.49    40.50    14.77    89.34    43.33P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.30     7.11    17.37     0.97    35.36     7.50P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.40     6.74    13.87     0.02     5.41     0.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.20     7.11    14.04     0.23    17.57     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.62     7.00    -3.81     0.00     1.86     0.21P    0.17R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.73     7.03    -5.48     0.01     1.50     0.21P    0.22R    0.00  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.90     6.70     1.24     0.01     3.87     0.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      57.87     7.01    -9.02     0.00     0.38     0.05P    1.29R    0.03  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.75     6.98     8.48     0.01     3.42     0.59P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.53     6.69    -9.52     0.00     0.03     0.01P    4.51R    0.17  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      48.99     6.78   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.23R    1.08  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.15     6.91   -10.42     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.37R    0.23  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      51.06     6.75    -7.82     0.00     0.02     0.01P    8.23R    0.55  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.24     6.49   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.55R    3.82  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.35     6.70   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.38R    6.43  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.26     6.93   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.93R    1.45  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.10     6.07   -52.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.28R   56.01  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      36.98     6.50   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.73R   30.23