Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Arsenal vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        14   38  +35      88.51     6.69    66.16    55.49    85.20    95.22    98.68    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         15   36  +21      86.62     6.07    54.39    36.45    79.94    94.06    98.48    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       13   31  +13      74.59     7.31    27.93     2.61    11.11    34.98    62.72    95.66     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         15   29   +8      71.06     6.89    25.78     0.71     4.18    17.27    41.61    91.33     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +14      77.11     6.67    41.21     4.67    18.81    53.08    78.62    98.44     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       15   26   +5      66.08     6.87    17.62     0.06     0.69     4.72    16.36    74.22     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       15   26   +2      59.21     6.98     3.98     0.00     0.06     0.61     2.96    28.36     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     15   19   -1      48.42     6.85    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.58     1.72R    0.16  
Norwich         15   19   -4      42.85     6.96   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.52    10.90R    1.94  
Stoke           14   18   -9      45.46     6.86   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.85     5.44R    0.70  
Swansea         15   17   -4      41.39     6.71   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27    13.61R    2.49  
Everton         14   16   -3      51.84     7.19     1.16     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.38     6.61     0.74R    0.07  
QPR             15   16  -11      37.91     6.47   -27.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    30.32R    7.53  
Fulham          15   15   -2      45.33     6.71    -4.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.78     4.47R    0.60  
West_Brom       15   15   -9      39.76     6.71   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    21.19R    4.77  
Wolverhampton   15   14  -12      37.47     6.64   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    32.34R    9.14  
Wigan           15   12  -15      31.47     6.10   -37.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.67R   34.89  
Sunderland      14   11   -1      39.99     6.99    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19    19.09R    4.52  
Blackburn       14   10  -11      36.00     6.86   -25.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    40.41R   13.65  
Bolton          15    9  -16      34.35     6.72   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    50.07R   19.55  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Barnsley vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      21   43  +21      85.48     7.53    33.71    39.51    64.27    95.13    72.64P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         21   40  +16      84.45     7.48    31.33    33.23    58.50    93.45    69.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          21   38  +12      79.92     7.39    23.53    13.60    31.70    82.87    46.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    21   38   +8      74.55     7.25    11.59     3.44    10.94    57.09    20.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Hull             21   36   +2      71.15     7.13     3.72     1.20     4.46    37.70    11.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     21   35   +7      73.04     7.47    12.85     2.71     8.60    50.13    17.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         21   32   +1      63.75     7.33    -2.35     0.10     0.57    10.33     2.29P    1.08R    0.04  
Blackpool        21   31   +6      71.67     7.70    15.63     2.05     6.96    44.53    17.27P    0.08R    0.00  
Leicester        21   30   +5      67.33     7.45     9.45     0.47     1.89    23.09     6.87P    0.31R    0.01  
Reading          21   30   +4      68.68     7.32    10.44     0.71     2.58    28.29     9.51P    0.14R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   21   30   +1      60.20     7.00    -4.18     0.03     0.16     3.88     0.81P    2.69R    0.12  
Barnsley         21   30   -1      59.43     7.18    -8.64     0.03     0.12     3.44     0.60P    4.16R    0.25  
Birmingham       19   29   +4      72.40     7.88    13.32     2.75     8.37    47.55    19.90P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby            21   28   -5      57.52     7.18   -12.41     0.01     0.04     1.89     0.33P    7.23R    0.54  
Burnley          21   27   +0      62.36     7.42     1.27     0.09     0.38     8.18     2.06P    1.91R    0.11  
Portsmouth       20   26   +1      60.81     7.44     0.10     0.04     0.28     5.72     1.44P    2.75R    0.16  
Peterborough     21   25   +1      57.59     7.80    -3.06     0.03     0.12     3.09     0.63P    8.18R    0.87  
Watford          21   25   -8      55.52     7.25   -14.22     0.00     0.02     1.18     0.22P   11.93R    1.06  
Millwall         21   23   -1      56.43     7.23    -1.77     0.00     0.03     1.54     0.34P    8.32R    0.69  
Ipswich          20   23  -11      53.12     7.47   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.09P   21.05R    2.80  
Bristol_City     21   20  -12      49.98     7.14   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   33.84R    5.71  
Nott'm_Forest    21   20  -18      51.17     7.20   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   29.02R    4.36  
Doncaster        21   16  -18      40.55     6.85   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.51R   41.32  
Coventry         21   13  -15      40.06     6.93   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.67R   41.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, Brentford vs Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        20   47  +28      95.62     7.46    47.88    62.73    83.17    99.81    88.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       20   42  +12      83.99     7.72    21.45     7.45    24.30    92.20    38.84P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         20   39  +20      83.92     7.69    34.15     7.99    26.07    92.81    44.07P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    20   38  +19      86.43     7.52    38.68    13.47    38.76    96.42    58.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       20   38  +14      84.07     7.81    29.77     8.17    26.06    92.41    46.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       20   32   +3      67.29     7.53     2.57     0.06     0.35    21.68     4.08P    0.44R    0.01  
Carlisle        20   32   -2      67.31     7.69    -2.89     0.04     0.39    21.57     3.65P    0.60R    0.00  
Notts_County    20   31   +6      66.85     7.68     6.16     0.04     0.35    21.40     3.87P    0.69R    0.02  
Stevenage       20   29   +6      62.65     7.56     3.56     0.01     0.08     9.22     1.58P    2.07R    0.08  
Preston         20   27   -4      64.87     8.04    -1.13     0.03     0.26    15.80     3.40P    1.84R    0.07  
Bury            20   27   -5      58.24     7.72   -12.17     0.00     0.02     3.23     0.42P    8.93R    0.46  
Colchester      20   26   -1      63.02     7.73     0.83     0.01     0.08    10.30     1.92P    2.34R    0.07  
Hartlepool      20   26   -3      57.87     7.54    -8.95     0.00     0.01     2.59     0.42P    8.87R    0.51  
Bournemouth     20   26   -3      63.09     7.68    -0.95     0.01     0.07    10.25     2.04P    2.40R    0.07  
Tranmere        20   26   -3      59.47     7.43    -5.89     0.00     0.01     3.90     0.65P    5.58R    0.24  
Oldham          20   26   -4      58.87     7.55    -8.43     0.00     0.02     3.45     0.54P    6.94R    0.40  
Leyton_Orient   20   22   -7      54.74     7.55   -11.71     0.00     0.00     1.13     0.21P   17.30R    1.42  
Exeter          20   20  -13      49.68     7.45   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   41.19R    6.49  
Yeovil          20   19   -8      49.47     7.37   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   40.26R    6.18  
Scunthorpe      20   18   -6      54.19     7.96    -5.64     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.23P   19.92R    2.30  
Walsall         20   17   -7      48.32     7.52   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   45.78R    8.68  
Rochdale        20   17  -16      48.93     7.60   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   44.47R    8.14  
Wycombe         20   16  -11      44.76     7.54   -22.02     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   65.22R   18.68  
Chesterfield    20   13  -15      39.69     7.48   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.18R   46.16  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 December 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Crawley_Town         20   45  +18      86.04     8.00    26.27    29.71    67.16    94.19    73.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             20   42  +16      86.83     7.68    29.99    33.90    72.29    95.99    78.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           20   41  +14      77.91     7.71    15.72     5.70    26.61    72.48    34.79P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   37  +12      81.06     7.66    24.42    11.84    43.45    85.23    55.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   35   +3      69.78     7.71     1.26     0.61     5.17    31.67     9.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              20   34  +14      81.26     7.73    31.51    13.20    46.26    86.30    60.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           20   32   +8      73.64     7.77    17.08     2.20    13.56    53.76    24.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            20   31  +14      68.67     7.78    16.83     0.51     4.76    30.12    10.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Torquay              20   31   +6      70.04     7.72    10.96     0.78     5.99    34.99    13.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           20   30   +5      66.61     7.65     6.57     0.20     2.32    20.21     6.09P    0.05R    0.01  
Rotherham            20   30   +2      70.45     7.80     9.27     0.86     6.71    37.16    14.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale            20   29   +5      67.98     7.68     9.94     0.34     3.47    26.00     9.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield         20   26   +1      57.47     7.44    -5.07     0.01     0.10     2.50     0.62P    1.31R    0.34  
Aldershot            20   26   +0      60.91     7.57    -1.03     0.02     0.36     5.93     1.57P    0.51R    0.12  
Accrington_Stanley   20   26   -1      62.37     7.65     0.04     0.04     0.61     8.75     2.55P    0.32R    0.07  
Crewe                20   26   -5      63.50     7.75    -2.50     0.09     1.00    10.82     3.41P    0.24R    0.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   26   -8      52.32     7.47   -24.16     0.00     0.02     0.55     0.08P    7.34R    2.53  
Bristol_Rovers       20   23   -8      57.78     7.95    -9.71     0.01     0.16     3.17     0.93P    2.00R    0.56  
Barnet               20   19  -15      45.72     7.32   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   29.00R   14.18  
Northampton          20   17  -16      46.92     7.49   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   23.05R   10.54  
Hereford             20   17  -17      43.58     7.20   -30.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.27R   21.06  
Bradford             20   16   -8      44.58     7.23   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.25R   15.32  
Plymouth             20   13  -20      46.54     7.82   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   25.58R   12.52  
Dag_&_Red            20   13  -20      43.42     7.69   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   39.98R   22.68  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.24     6.73    40.29    50.47    98.10    63.94P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.10     7.15    30.86    24.01    91.86    39.57P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.23     6.66    41.05     7.97    80.90    27.83P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      70.98     6.76    -3.44     0.16    13.82     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.30     7.00    19.23     1.18    41.14     8.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.40     6.96     3.60     0.16    15.88     2.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.75     6.53    40.65    14.87    89.41    44.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.27     7.11    17.34     0.90    35.63     7.11P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.46     6.78    13.95     0.04     5.58     0.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.06     7.05    13.79     0.23    16.84     2.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.53     7.00    -3.95     0.00     1.79     0.21P    0.18R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.73     6.94    -5.45     0.00     1.42     0.19P    0.21R    0.00  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.83     6.69     1.19     0.00     3.73     0.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      57.91     7.00    -9.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    1.25R    0.02  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.67     7.00     8.30     0.01     3.45     0.72P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.51     6.63    -9.56     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.37R    0.14  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      49.02     6.82   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.42R    1.07  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.12     6.89   -10.45     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.37R    0.21  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      50.94     6.72    -7.99     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.59R    0.54  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.27     6.52   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.20R    4.16  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.47     6.72   -29.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.90R    6.29  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.21     6.92   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.85R    1.51  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.15     6.04   -52.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.35R   55.59  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      36.98     6.53   -33.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.20R   30.47