Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 8 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 December 2011, Fulham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        14   38  +35      88.44     6.69    66.04    56.70    85.56    95.39    98.74    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   33  +18      86.02     6.26    53.21    34.69    77.19    92.80    98.03    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       13   31  +13      74.65     7.26    28.00     2.78    12.23    35.65    63.52    94.78     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +14      77.08     6.71    41.15     5.03    19.91    54.26    79.02    97.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         14   26   +7      70.16     7.11    26.11     0.69     4.01    15.45    37.73    86.33     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       14   26   +4      61.71     7.17     7.78     0.02     0.22     1.67     6.51    40.12     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       14   23   +4      65.61     6.98    18.44     0.09     0.87     4.68    15.69    67.70     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           14   18   -9      45.60     6.81   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.75     4.73R    0.65  
Aston_Villa     14   16   -2      46.60     7.08    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.51     3.40R    0.34  
Everton         13   16   -2      52.80     7.40     1.41     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.62     8.23     0.56R    0.04  
Norwich         14   16   -6      40.11     7.05   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20    19.74R    3.74  
QPR             14   16  -10      38.38     6.65   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    26.91R    5.71  
Fulham          14   15   +0      47.54     6.94    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.67     2.48R    0.26  
West_Brom       14   15   -8      42.17     6.97   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34    12.24R    2.30  
Swansea         14   14   -6      38.74     6.87   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    23.66R    4.86  
Wolverhampton   14   14   -9      38.04     6.78   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    28.06R    6.32  
Sunderland      14   11   -1      39.81     6.99    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    18.44R    3.75  
Blackburn       14   10  -11      35.73     6.87   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    40.12R   11.78  
Bolton          14    9  -15      35.90     6.97   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    40.00R   11.65  
Wigan           14    9  -16      28.93     6.29   -39.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.66R   48.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 December 2011, Hull vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      20   42  +21      86.50     7.70    34.65    37.65    65.43    95.98    73.83P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   40  +19      87.03     7.62    36.14    41.11    68.35    96.50    77.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +12      80.39     7.58    23.78    11.77    30.37    84.22    45.66P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      73.13     7.50    10.88     1.86     7.01    50.98    16.67P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     20   34   +7      73.55     7.74    13.01     2.39     8.49    53.88    18.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Hull             20   33   +1      69.40     7.35     2.48     0.56     2.45    30.09     8.02P    0.13R    0.01  
Brighton         20   32   +2      65.03     7.51    -1.53     0.14     0.78    14.61     3.32P    0.75R    0.03  
Blackpool        20   30   +6      71.51     7.95    14.73     1.71     6.22    44.69    16.67P    0.10R    0.00  
Barnsley         20   30   +1      61.90     7.40    -4.74     0.05     0.25     7.59     1.42P    2.24R    0.15  
Leicester        20   29   +5      68.63     7.63    10.94     0.60     2.46    29.98     8.99P    0.28R    0.02  
Burnley          20   27   +1      64.33     7.58     3.16     0.15     0.69    13.49     3.40P    1.08R    0.09  
Reading          20   27   +1      66.00     7.54     5.87     0.25     1.18    18.67     5.70P    0.53R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   +0      57.92     7.15    -6.14     0.01     0.04     2.40     0.40P    5.90R    0.46  
Birmingham       18   26   +3      71.45     8.13    13.40     1.74     5.99    43.95    17.34P    0.16R    0.01  
Derby            20   25   -6      55.98     7.42   -13.28     0.00     0.02     1.48     0.25P   11.24R    1.24  
Peterborough     20   24   +1      57.05     7.97    -4.82     0.01     0.08     3.09     0.62P    9.82R    1.35  
Watford          20   24   -8      55.79     7.48   -14.55     0.00     0.03     1.57     0.32P   11.83R    1.41  
Portsmouth       19   23   +0      58.47     7.59    -1.97     0.01     0.11     3.60     0.84P    5.87R    0.54  
Millwall         20   22   -1      56.74     7.44    -1.91     0.00     0.04     2.06     0.50P    8.44R    0.83  
Bristol_City     20   20  -11      51.39     7.32   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   27.30R    4.85  
Ipswich          19   20  -13      50.10     7.56   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   35.55R    7.68  
Nott'm_Forest    20   20  -17      53.30     7.47   -20.52     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.11P   20.87R    3.09  
Doncaster        20   16  -17      41.12     6.94   -33.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   81.15R   42.52  
Coventry         20   13  -14      41.73     7.13   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    76.70R   35.67  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Hartlepool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.90     7.70    49.33    66.24    87.06    99.83    91.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      81.91     8.06    18.69     4.61    18.05    87.03    33.29P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      88.95     7.81    41.52    19.37    54.48    97.88    69.85P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.23     7.99    31.96     4.88    19.87    89.25    39.68P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      81.98     8.09    26.02     4.67    18.35    87.94    39.32P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      69.11     7.90     8.39     0.10     0.88    32.64     6.47P    0.34R    0.00  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.64     7.74     1.52     0.02     0.30    17.68     3.62P    1.00R    0.02  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.91     7.92    -5.16     0.02     0.22    15.07     2.67P    1.71R    0.06  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.69     7.86     2.88     0.01     0.08    10.84     1.89P    2.60R    0.07  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.28     8.05    -8.05     0.00     0.06     6.57     1.03P    5.89R    0.29  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      61.02     7.70    -3.63     0.00     0.04     6.80     1.22P    4.11R    0.18  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.47     7.77    -6.16     0.00     0.05     6.22     1.00P    4.91R    0.22  
Hartlepool      19   26   -2      59.27     7.73    -7.89     0.00     0.02     4.52     0.70P    6.79R    0.37  
Preston         19   26   -4      65.73     8.35    -0.42     0.06     0.45    19.86     4.65P    1.65R    0.05  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.53     7.95    -3.46     0.00     0.04     6.60     1.20P    5.39R    0.30  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.43     7.86    -3.55     0.00     0.03     6.49     1.35P    5.11R    0.29  
Exeter          19   20  -10      51.87     7.74   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.09P   30.40R    4.00  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.32     7.76   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.10P   27.71R    3.47  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.28     8.26    -3.59     0.00     0.02     2.92     0.60P   13.98R    1.48  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.46     7.85   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P   36.87R    6.00  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.78     7.65   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   48.73R    9.79  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.26     7.63   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   52.22R   10.96  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      43.03     7.78   -23.06     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   72.05R   26.64  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.48     7.82   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   78.55R   35.82  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.69     7.80    35.25    46.17    82.03    98.05    86.74P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.81     8.30    22.24    17.60    54.69    89.67    61.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.86     7.83    10.50     2.31    15.03    58.43    22.94P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.08     7.81    26.47    14.78    52.48    90.09    63.41P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.96     8.01     5.41     1.11     8.81    43.68    15.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.22     7.92    32.41    13.67    49.74    88.39    63.89P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.45     7.96    17.76     2.27    15.29    58.62    27.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.36     7.96    17.29     0.58     5.46    34.76    12.25P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.71     7.91     6.10     0.21     2.52    22.05     6.77P    0.10R    0.02  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.22     7.96    11.24     0.49     4.92    32.86    12.18P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.93     8.06     8.40     0.51     4.65    31.40    11.67P    0.07R    0.02  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.24     7.82     8.71     0.15     2.11    20.72     6.74P    0.12R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.12     7.79   -21.48     0.00     0.05     1.12     0.24P    6.05R    2.05  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.47     7.63    -5.82     0.00     0.12     2.85     0.63P    1.80R    0.50  
Crewe                19   25   -5      64.01     8.06    -2.32     0.10     1.34    13.32     4.16P    0.36R    0.08  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.60     7.79    -3.13     0.02     0.21     3.85     1.03P    1.54R    0.44  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.41     7.87    -2.53     0.02     0.34     6.23     1.75P    0.94R    0.24  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.73     8.15   -10.44     0.00     0.20     3.53     1.00P    2.72R    0.88  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.67     7.50   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   27.81R   13.54  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.89     7.46   -29.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   35.73R   18.81  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.29     7.75   -25.98     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   24.58R   11.65  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.79     7.48   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   34.02R   17.60  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.79     7.92   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   36.38R   20.01  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.71     8.08   -23.84     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P   27.69R   14.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.34     6.68    40.39    50.94    98.17    64.30P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.01     7.13    30.75    23.48    91.52    38.93P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.26     6.63    41.01     8.06    80.98    27.93P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      71.04     6.82    -3.30     0.15    14.28     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.29     6.99    19.21     1.18    40.83     8.43P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.50     7.04     3.74     0.21    16.59     2.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.81     6.50    40.83    14.85    89.73    44.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.22     7.09    17.25     0.83    35.14     7.10P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.34     6.74    13.76     0.04     5.26     0.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.10     7.02    13.87     0.23    16.66     3.09P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.56     6.93    -3.90     0.01     1.66     0.17P    0.15R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.58     7.02    -5.70     0.00     1.48     0.15P    0.22R    0.01  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.86     6.73     1.21     0.01     3.83     0.74P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      58.01     7.06    -8.81     0.00     0.42     0.04P    1.25R    0.03  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.64     7.01     8.30     0.00     3.36     0.66P    0.05R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.70     6.63    -9.23     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.11R    0.18  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      49.00     6.80   -15.42     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.15R    1.02  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.23     6.91   -10.26     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.29R    0.20  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      51.10     6.73    -7.79     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.25R    0.59  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.20     6.53   -32.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.69R    4.09  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.41     6.66   -30.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.65R    5.94  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.06     6.93   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.40R    1.50  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.07     6.10   -52.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.29R   55.33  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      36.80     6.51   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.44R   31.12