Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 7 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 December 2011, Fulham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        14   38  +35      88.44     6.68    66.04    57.23    85.63    95.28    98.67    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   33  +18      85.96     6.29    53.16    34.14    76.91    92.56    97.92    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       13   31  +13      74.71     7.25    28.04     2.85    12.06    35.60    63.72    94.82     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +14      77.09     6.70    41.17     5.00    20.17    54.06    78.46    97.96     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         14   26   +7      70.26     7.17    26.22     0.66     4.12    15.78    38.06    86.76     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       14   26   +4      61.68     7.23     7.76     0.03     0.26     1.73     6.51    40.07     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       14   23   +4      65.64     7.09    18.46     0.09     0.83     4.87    15.85    67.61     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           14   18   -9      45.46     6.83   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.73     5.05R    0.60  
Aston_Villa     14   16   -2      46.54     7.11    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.62     3.54R    0.35  
Everton         13   16   -2      52.69     7.40     1.24     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.63     7.98     0.58R    0.04  
Norwich         14   16   -6      40.10     7.01   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    19.46R    3.79  
QPR             14   16  -10      38.33     6.60   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    27.07R    5.63  
Fulham          14   15   +0      47.43     6.92    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.57     2.41R    0.23  
West_Brom       14   15   -8      42.04     6.97   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36    12.64R    2.34  
Swansea         14   14   -6      38.86     6.87   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    23.25R    4.82  
Wolverhampton   14   14   -9      38.04     6.78   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    28.56R    6.33  
Sunderland      14   11   -1      39.99     7.00    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    17.78R    3.69  
Blackburn       14   10  -11      35.93     6.83   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    39.35R   11.22  
Bolton          14    9  -15      35.84     7.00   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    40.34R   12.28  
Wigan           14    9  -16      28.92     6.30   -39.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.96R   48.68  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 7 December 2011, Hull vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      20   42  +21      86.57     7.73    34.77    38.03    65.86    95.92    74.01P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   40  +19      86.94     7.65    36.04    40.22    67.70    96.41    77.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +12      80.47     7.62    23.88    11.99    30.79    84.27    45.85P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      73.04     7.49    10.75     1.93     6.89    50.46    16.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     20   34   +7      73.42     7.69    12.86     2.39     8.20    53.20    17.80P    0.04R    0.00  
Hull             20   33   +1      69.32     7.37     2.41     0.59     2.39    30.10     8.00P    0.14R    0.00  
Brighton         20   32   +2      64.84     7.52    -1.83     0.16     0.72    14.07     3.00P    0.76R    0.04  
Blackpool        20   30   +6      71.46     7.97    14.66     1.84     6.11    44.11    16.51P    0.13R    0.00  
Barnsley         20   30   +1      61.87     7.45    -4.80     0.06     0.30     7.34     1.37P    2.20R    0.16  
Leicester        20   29   +5      68.67     7.61    11.00     0.55     2.43    29.90     8.89P    0.23R    0.01  
Burnley          20   27   +1      64.40     7.55     3.25     0.12     0.69    13.73     3.51P    1.00R    0.04  
Reading          20   27   +1      66.20     7.54     6.17     0.22     1.23    19.48     6.15P    0.53R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   +0      57.77     7.18    -6.36     0.00     0.05     2.34     0.40P    6.17R    0.50  
Birmingham       18   26   +3      71.72     8.12    13.74     1.86     6.35    45.35    18.00P    0.16R    0.01  
Derby            20   25   -6      55.88     7.38   -13.42     0.00     0.03     1.44     0.27P   11.47R    1.30  
Peterborough     20   24   +1      57.13     7.99    -4.67     0.00     0.10     3.16     0.67P    9.77R    1.25  
Watford          20   24   -8      55.94     7.51   -14.31     0.00     0.03     1.70     0.34P   11.55R    1.39  
Portsmouth       19   23   +0      58.51     7.58    -1.94     0.02     0.11     3.61     0.84P    5.62R    0.54  
Millwall         20   22   -1      56.76     7.47    -1.91     0.00     0.03     2.21     0.54P    8.33R    0.92  
Bristol_City     20   20  -11      51.39     7.31   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P   27.38R    4.93  
Ipswich          19   20  -13      50.07     7.62   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P   35.90R    7.45  
Nott'm_Forest    20   20  -17      53.35     7.44   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.13P   20.35R    3.07  
Doncaster        20   16  -17      41.07     6.94   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.34R   42.38  
Coventry         20   13  -14      41.66     7.11   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.91R   35.98  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Hartlepool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.98     7.73    49.45    66.31    87.26    99.85    91.21P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      81.88     8.07    18.61     4.45    17.69    87.24    33.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      89.09     7.71    41.75    19.61    55.31    98.15    70.50P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      81.95     7.96    31.57     4.65    18.82    88.77    38.59P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.07     8.02    26.15     4.75    18.79    88.22    40.35P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.83     7.90     8.03     0.09     0.79    31.24     5.94P    0.40R    0.00  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.68     7.67     1.63     0.03     0.27    17.38     3.33P    0.91R    0.02  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.91     7.86    -5.16     0.02     0.21    15.29     2.67P    1.58R    0.05  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.86     7.87     3.13     0.01     0.14    11.33     2.02P    2.53R    0.06  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.45     8.00    -7.76     0.00     0.06     6.61     1.00P    5.71R    0.26  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      61.04     7.69    -3.66     0.00     0.04     6.72     1.19P    3.94R    0.18  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.48     7.70    -6.14     0.00     0.05     6.12     0.99P    4.86R    0.20  
Hartlepool      19   26   -2      59.27     7.74    -7.87     0.00     0.04     4.63     0.78P    6.62R    0.31  
Preston         19   26   -4      65.92     8.34    -0.04     0.05     0.42    20.68     4.72P    1.48R    0.06  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.54     7.91    -3.46     0.00     0.05     6.64     1.30P    5.10R    0.30  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.35     7.90    -3.68     0.00     0.05     6.43     1.29P    5.38R    0.27  
Exeter          19   20  -10      51.92     7.76   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.11P   30.32R    4.05  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.51     7.74   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.14P   26.90R    3.19  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.04     8.27    -3.90     0.00     0.01     2.72     0.61P   14.77R    1.62  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.62     7.77   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P   36.29R    5.35  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.83     7.69   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   48.74R    9.46  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.32     7.61   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   51.75R   10.41  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.82     7.71   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   73.33R   27.08  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.21     7.80   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.39R   37.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.67     7.84    35.23    45.85    82.03    98.07    86.68P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.78     8.23    22.24    17.52    54.22    89.77    61.70P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      75.04     7.89    10.87     2.67    15.59    59.60    23.59P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.19     7.81    26.60    15.17    53.16    90.49    64.31P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.70     8.04     4.96     1.11     8.35    42.46    14.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.28     7.93    32.59    13.57    50.21    88.38    64.36P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.37     7.95    17.63     2.15    14.84    58.53    26.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.29     7.98    17.15     0.52     5.41    34.34    12.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.70     7.91     6.04     0.21     2.56    22.00     6.80P    0.09R    0.02  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.30     7.91    11.42     0.44     4.96    33.39    12.35P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.80     8.05     8.17     0.46     4.38    30.73    11.12P    0.05R    0.01  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.27     7.90     8.75     0.17     2.26    20.81     6.87P    0.12R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.31     7.78   -21.26     0.00     0.04     1.24     0.21P    5.70R    1.94  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.46     7.64    -5.82     0.01     0.12     2.94     0.65P    1.97R    0.54  
Crewe                19   25   -5      64.07     8.03    -2.25     0.10     1.23    13.24     4.00P    0.35R    0.11  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.53     7.78    -3.24     0.01     0.17     3.95     0.98P    1.60R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.28     7.84    -2.70     0.01     0.29     5.89     1.64P    0.94R    0.25  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.74     8.16   -10.43     0.02     0.19     3.72     0.99P    2.61R    0.87  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.70     7.51   -29.97     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   27.72R   13.43  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.82     7.39   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.43R   19.02  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.10     7.78   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   25.76R   12.50  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.81     7.48   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   33.89R   17.41  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.92     7.98   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   35.96R   19.80  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.94     8.06   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   26.73R   13.59  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.23     6.69    40.22    50.84    98.12    64.45P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      87.87     7.14    30.52    23.20    91.39    38.71P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.30     6.68    41.09     8.34    81.22    28.23P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      70.98     6.78    -3.40     0.16    14.15     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.29     6.95    19.23     1.11    40.93     8.49P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.45     7.04     3.68     0.19    16.57     2.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.72     6.51    40.61    14.94    89.52    43.70P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.20     7.15    17.26     0.92    35.17     7.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.47     6.72    13.99     0.04     5.50     0.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.06     7.07    13.80     0.23    16.70     3.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.55     6.95    -3.92     0.01     1.74     0.23P    0.21R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.77     6.95    -5.45     0.00     1.43     0.18P    0.17R    0.00  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.86     6.70     1.23     0.01     3.73     0.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      57.94     6.93    -8.91     0.00     0.41     0.05P    1.11R    0.02  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.60     7.02     8.22     0.01     3.29     0.59P    0.07R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.67     6.66    -9.24     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.13R    0.17  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      49.08     6.82   -15.35     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.74R    1.07  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.11     6.95   -10.48     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.56R    0.23  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      51.15     6.75    -7.73     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.01R    0.61  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.17     6.56   -32.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.05R    4.18  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.47     6.75   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.93R    6.25  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.07     6.96   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.65R    1.55  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.18     6.13   -52.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.01R   55.09  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      36.88     6.53   -33.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.30R   30.81