Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 6 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 December 2011, Fulham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        14   38  +35      88.52     6.69    66.19    57.45    86.13    95.54    98.81    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   33  +18      86.00     6.27    53.11    34.31    77.53    92.82    97.96    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       13   31  +13      74.49     7.32    27.69     2.66    11.64    35.05    63.23    94.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +14      77.07     6.68    41.17     4.86    19.69    54.36    78.94    98.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         14   26   +7      70.12     7.11    26.04     0.62     4.07    15.65    37.71    86.35     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       14   26   +4      61.71     7.16     7.81     0.02     0.22     1.69     6.47    40.60     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       14   23   +4      65.55     7.06    18.36     0.09     0.72     4.79    16.03    67.37     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke           14   18   -9      45.63     6.84   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.77     4.75R    0.53  
Aston_Villa     14   16   -2      46.55     7.06    -6.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.51     3.44R    0.38  
Everton         13   16   -2      52.78     7.42     1.37     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.70     8.32     0.58R    0.04  
Norwich         14   16   -6      40.15     7.06   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25    19.40R    3.71  
QPR             14   16  -10      38.33     6.61   -28.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    27.43R    5.60  
Fulham          14   15   +0      47.61     6.96    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.79     2.35R    0.20  
West_Brom       14   15   -8      42.02     6.91   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33    12.30R    2.24  
Swansea         14   14   -6      38.75     6.86   -18.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    23.98R    4.67  
Wolverhampton   14   14   -9      38.11     6.80   -24.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    28.08R    6.40  
Sunderland      14   11   -1      39.96     6.99    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    18.15R    3.64  
Blackburn       14   10  -11      36.02     6.79   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    38.55R   10.63  
Bolton          14    9  -15      35.77     6.97   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    40.59R   12.32  
Wigan           14    9  -16      28.83     6.26   -39.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.38R   49.64  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, Barnsley vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      20   42  +21      86.48     7.73    34.64    37.37    64.67    96.01    73.22P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   40  +19      86.97     7.56    36.08    40.22    67.59    96.61    77.19P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +12      80.47     7.59    23.90    11.85    30.59    84.48    45.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      73.18     7.45    10.90     1.94     6.79    50.94    16.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     20   34   +7      73.55     7.69    13.00     2.37     8.04    53.57    17.84P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         20   32   +2      64.87     7.49    -1.75     0.13     0.73    14.12     3.06P    0.80R    0.04  
Blackpool        20   30   +6      71.46     7.93    14.62     1.68     5.96    44.14    16.25P    0.10R    0.01  
Barnsley         20   30   +1      61.85     7.45    -4.80     0.05     0.28     7.20     1.42P    2.37R    0.16  
Hull             19   30   +0      67.24     7.54     0.81     0.30     1.44    21.92     5.58P    0.42R    0.02  
Leicester        20   29   +5      68.75     7.62    11.08     0.52     2.40    30.46     9.00P    0.23R    0.01  
Burnley          20   27   +1      64.41     7.57     3.29     0.10     0.59    13.82     3.48P    1.11R    0.09  
Reading          20   27   +1      65.93     7.56     5.81     0.22     1.05    18.43     5.43P    0.57R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   20   27   +0      57.76     7.13    -6.37     0.01     0.05     2.18     0.39P    6.11R    0.50  
Birmingham       17   26   +4      73.42     8.32    15.20     3.19     9.55    53.43    22.61P    0.10R    0.01  
Derby            20   25   -6      55.87     7.38   -13.44     0.01     0.02     1.39     0.21P   11.67R    1.29  
Peterborough     20   24   +1      57.15     7.95    -4.61     0.01     0.08     3.09     0.56P    9.67R    1.29  
Watford          20   24   -8      55.82     7.51   -14.54     0.00     0.03     1.43     0.26P   11.86R    1.38  
Portsmouth       19   23   +0      58.43     7.58    -2.04     0.02     0.10     3.50     0.83P    5.71R    0.52  
Millwall         20   22   -1      56.89     7.46    -1.71     0.01     0.03     2.17     0.56P    8.11R    0.87  
Bristol_City     20   20  -11      51.30     7.37   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P   27.80R    5.27  
Ipswich          19   20  -13      50.10     7.57   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P   35.39R    7.43  
Nott'm_Forest    20   20  -17      53.42     7.40   -20.34     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.10P   19.98R    2.99  
Doncaster        20   16  -17      41.11     6.97   -33.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.27R   41.79  
Coventry         20   13  -14      41.65     7.16   -24.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.70R   36.31  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Hartlepool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.93     7.71    49.33    66.20    87.01    99.87    91.08P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      81.97     8.00    18.82     4.48    17.99    87.56    33.45P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      89.10     7.73    41.78    19.88    55.37    98.15    70.84P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.01     7.95    31.67     4.70    18.98    88.87    38.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.05     8.07    26.16     4.52    18.59    88.22    40.12P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.91     7.88     8.13     0.07     0.78    31.77     6.03P    0.39R    0.01  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.51     7.71     1.41     0.02     0.20    17.35     3.18P    1.01R    0.01  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.98     7.90    -5.09     0.03     0.25    15.42     2.76P    1.60R    0.05  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.53     7.82     2.69     0.01     0.09    10.44     1.84P    2.68R    0.07  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.32     7.95    -8.02     0.00     0.04     6.30     0.99P    5.68R    0.27  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      60.97     7.70    -3.79     0.00     0.04     6.85     1.17P    4.23R    0.18  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.52     7.78    -6.05     0.00     0.06     6.31     1.09P    5.04R    0.20  
Hartlepool      19   26   -2      59.15     7.70    -8.04     0.00     0.02     4.44     0.58P    6.99R    0.34  
Preston         19   26   -4      65.82     8.32    -0.24     0.06     0.45    20.35     4.83P    1.63R    0.07  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.57     7.92    -3.39     0.01     0.06     6.69     1.28P    5.27R    0.26  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.51     7.88    -3.45     0.01     0.06     6.62     1.43P    5.13R    0.26  
Exeter          19   20  -10      52.13     7.73   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.11P   29.57R    3.64  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.36     7.79   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.13P   27.64R    3.53  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.18     8.26    -3.72     0.00     0.02     2.79     0.61P   14.48R    1.56  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.57     7.76   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   36.19R    5.50  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.90     7.65   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   48.42R    9.43  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.32     7.61   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   51.76R   10.44  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.82     7.79   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   73.16R   27.52  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.31     7.81   -29.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.14R   36.67  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.65     7.86    35.22    45.79    81.48    98.05    86.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.73     8.28    22.16    17.35    54.11    89.56    61.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.95     7.83    10.70     2.51    15.38    59.13    23.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.16     7.85    26.62    14.98    52.72    90.04    64.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.97     8.03     5.40     1.12     9.00    43.90    15.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.28     7.96    32.52    13.91    49.91    88.54    64.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.45     7.97    17.76     2.28    15.20    58.70    27.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.40     8.06    17.34     0.64     5.91    34.97    12.62P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.63     7.89     5.96     0.21     2.44    21.64     6.41P    0.11R    0.02  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.19     8.02    11.21     0.50     5.04    33.18    12.57P    0.07R    0.02  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.91     8.06     8.34     0.40     4.70    31.34    11.48P    0.05R    0.00  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.21     7.86     8.67     0.17     2.09    20.43     6.70P    0.15R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.13     7.81   -21.43     0.00     0.04     1.24     0.21P    5.96R    1.99  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.58     7.66    -5.62     0.00     0.17     2.96     0.65P    1.79R    0.52  
Crewe                19   25   -5      63.84     8.10    -2.60     0.09     1.14    12.97     3.89P    0.44R    0.09  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.52     7.77    -3.23     0.00     0.19     3.75     1.03P    1.59R    0.43  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.28     7.81    -2.68     0.01     0.30     5.67     1.48P    1.03R    0.32  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.59     8.25   -10.69     0.01     0.20     3.54     1.00P    2.91R    0.93  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.81     7.56   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   27.40R   13.29  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.77     7.34   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   36.41R   19.41  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.21     7.74   -26.12     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   25.11R   11.97  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.81     7.54   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.36R   17.78  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.93     7.83   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   35.91R   19.51  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.98     8.06   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   26.69R   13.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 6 December 2011, AFC_Telford vs York; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            23   50  +24      92.30     6.65    40.39    50.85    98.16    64.33P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.03     7.16    30.81    23.70    91.55    39.24P    0.00     0.00  
York               24   44  +27      83.19     6.68    40.91     7.91    80.49    27.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          24   44   +2      71.11     6.80    -3.21     0.17    14.37     1.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      23   40  +12      76.42     7.01    19.38     1.22    41.53     8.71P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          23   40   +4      71.37     6.99     3.56     0.20    15.82     2.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39  +16      85.75     6.46    40.62    14.79    89.84    43.67P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      23   39  +10      75.22     7.12    17.30     0.92    35.27     7.27P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   37  +15      66.29     6.75    13.71     0.02     5.29     0.81P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   37  +10      71.11     7.07    13.91     0.19    16.94     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.56     6.90    -3.89     0.01     1.65     0.17P    0.17R    0.00  
Tamworth           22   33   +1      61.62     6.99    -5.67     0.00     1.40     0.17P    0.19R    0.01  
Darlington         24   33   -3      65.79     6.71     1.11     0.01     3.74     0.73P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     24   31   -3      57.93     7.00    -8.91     0.00     0.37     0.05P    1.28R    0.03  
Grimsby            23   29   +2      64.75     7.01     8.53     0.01     3.48     0.73P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   28   -4      53.59     6.66    -9.42     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.28R    0.17  
AFC_Telford        24   24   -8      48.98     6.76   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.10R    1.08  
Lincoln_City       24   23  -12      54.19     6.94   -10.36     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.37R    0.18  
Newport_County     24   22   -6      51.09     6.75    -7.80     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.16R    0.57  
Kettering          24   21  -23      45.10     6.50   -33.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.44R    4.29  
Hayes_&_Yeading    23   20  -15      43.42     6.71   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.04R    6.34  
Stockport          24   19  -16      49.07     6.92   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.33R    1.63  
Alfreton_Town      24   17  -29      34.16     6.08   -52.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.24R   55.65  
Bath_City          24   13  -23      37.09     6.51   -33.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.28R   30.04