Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 5 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 5 December 2011, Fulham vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        14   38  +35      88.56     6.68    66.27    57.69    86.10    95.63    98.79    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   33  +18      86.02     6.26    53.11    34.06    77.62    92.90    98.05    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       13   31  +13      74.56     7.30    27.81     2.62    11.64    35.16    63.61    94.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +14      77.03     6.68    41.05     4.82    19.62    54.13    78.72    98.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         14   26   +7      70.11     7.12    26.00     0.71     3.89    15.35    37.45    86.24     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       14   26   +4      61.61     7.16     7.61     0.02     0.22     1.67     6.37    39.74     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       14   23   +4      65.65     7.10    18.50     0.09     0.90     5.04    16.15    67.88     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           14   18   -9      45.55     6.80   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.77     4.63R    0.60  
Aston_Villa     14   16   -2      46.60     7.13    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.70     3.52R    0.35  
Everton         13   16   -2      52.80     7.43     1.41     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.62     8.29     0.58R    0.05  
Norwich         14   16   -6      40.34     7.09   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23    18.83R    3.41  
QPR             14   16  -10      38.27     6.61   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    27.32R    5.72  
Fulham          14   15   +0      47.47     6.95    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.85     2.35R    0.24  
West_Brom       14   15   -8      42.27     6.99   -19.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30    12.06R    2.05  
Swansea         14   14   -6      38.75     6.88   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    23.85R    4.77  
Wolverhampton   14   14   -9      38.00     6.74   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    28.54R    6.13  
Sunderland      14   11   -1      39.84     6.96    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    18.45R    3.66  
Blackburn       14   10  -11      35.91     6.79   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    39.19R   11.38  
Bolton          14    9  -15      35.78     6.97   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    40.51R   12.21  
Wigan           14    9  -16      28.83     6.29   -40.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.16R   49.42  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 December 2011, Cardiff vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      20   42  +21      86.55     7.74    34.71    37.46    65.09    95.88    73.63P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   40  +19      86.89     7.68    35.94    39.85    66.86    96.27    76.58P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +12      80.49     7.63    23.90    12.01    30.74    84.55    45.81P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      73.22     7.48    10.97     1.98     6.83    50.97    16.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     20   34   +7      73.55     7.72    13.03     2.41     8.16    53.43    17.82P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         20   32   +2      65.13     7.54    -1.40     0.16     0.76    15.07     3.41P    0.73R    0.03  
Blackpool        20   30   +6      71.64     7.94    14.95     1.74     6.02    45.03    16.52P    0.13R    0.01  
Hull             19   30   +0      67.35     7.54     0.98     0.25     1.44    22.44     5.58P    0.38R    0.01  
Leicester        20   29   +5      68.77     7.67    11.14     0.65     2.53    30.41     8.92P    0.24R    0.01  
Burnley          20   27   +1      64.29     7.58     3.14     0.11     0.59    13.40     3.29P    1.07R    0.07  
Reading          20   27   +1      65.84     7.51     5.63     0.23     1.03    17.94     5.44P    0.54R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   19   27   +1      59.20     7.37    -5.25     0.01     0.07     3.65     0.61P    4.51R    0.35  
Barnsley         19   27   +0      59.94     7.62    -6.17     0.03     0.15     5.06     0.85P    4.29R    0.36  
Birmingham       17   26   +4      73.39     8.32    15.13     3.06     9.44    53.26    22.39P    0.10R    0.01  
Derby            20   25   -6      55.93     7.41   -13.32     0.00     0.02     1.39     0.25P   11.30R    1.29  
Peterborough     20   24   +1      57.14     8.00    -4.74     0.02     0.10     3.18     0.65P    9.69R    1.30  
Watford          20   24   -8      55.70     7.51   -14.66     0.00     0.03     1.46     0.30P   12.09R    1.45  
Portsmouth       19   23   +0      58.44     7.54    -2.01     0.03     0.11     3.35     0.82P    5.67R    0.49  
Millwall         20   22   -1      56.83     7.48    -1.78     0.00     0.03     2.15     0.52P    8.16R    0.80  
Bristol_City     20   20  -11      51.28     7.31   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   27.63R    4.83  
Ipswich          19   20  -13      50.19     7.62   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P   34.70R    7.24  
Nott'm_Forest    20   20  -17      53.28     7.44   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.12P   20.28R    3.21  
Doncaster        20   16  -17      40.95     6.89   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.94R   42.89  
Coventry         20   13  -14      41.68     7.14   -24.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.48R   35.61  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Hartlepool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.88     7.67    49.26    65.97    86.68    99.86    90.83P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      81.88     8.05    18.65     4.39    17.73    87.15    33.11P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      89.05     7.70    41.74    19.54    55.09    98.09    70.59P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.10     7.98    31.77     4.99    19.40    88.81    38.87P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.11     8.09    26.20     4.84    18.82    88.31    39.95P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.94     7.91     8.19     0.12     0.88    31.64     6.35P    0.39R    0.01  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.60     7.78     1.44     0.02     0.26    17.67     3.47P    0.99R    0.00  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.99     7.90    -5.04     0.02     0.23    15.44     2.75P    1.50R    0.04  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.60     7.85     2.75     0.00     0.10    10.57     1.74P    2.55R    0.10  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.57     7.96    -7.62     0.01     0.07     6.61     1.05P    5.38R    0.23  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      60.92     7.67    -3.81     0.00     0.02     6.54     1.12P    4.03R    0.15  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.49     7.76    -6.09     0.00     0.04     6.15     1.09P    4.96R    0.19  
Hartlepool      19   26   -2      59.17     7.67    -7.98     0.00     0.02     4.29     0.68P    6.83R    0.32  
Preston         19   26   -4      66.03     8.39     0.13     0.08     0.55    21.04     4.87P    1.56R    0.05  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.70     7.91    -3.28     0.00     0.04     6.68     1.23P    5.21R    0.26  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.56     7.87    -3.43     0.00     0.06     6.58     1.38P    5.05R    0.26  
Exeter          19   20  -10      51.96     7.78   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.09P   30.13R    3.96  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.43     7.79   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.13P   27.18R    3.38  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      55.88     8.25    -4.18     0.00     0.01     2.64     0.58P   15.23R    1.59  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.27     7.76   -19.19     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P   37.86R    5.77  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.92     7.67   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   48.07R    9.41  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.35     7.70   -17.91     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   51.51R   10.57  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.97     7.83   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   71.97R   26.64  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.14     7.80   -29.49     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    79.60R   37.07  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.56     7.83    35.03    45.25    81.37    97.99    86.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.80     8.21    22.28    17.41    54.44    90.09    62.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.80     7.86    10.46     2.48    15.03    58.35    22.52P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.27     7.78    26.75    15.50    53.35    90.53    64.42P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.88     8.06     5.26     1.20     8.69    43.31    15.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.22     7.91    32.42    13.65    49.83    88.52    64.36P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.54     8.04    17.91     2.45    15.62    58.86    27.58P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.26     7.99    17.16     0.63     5.34    34.22    12.12P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.59     7.85     5.91     0.17     2.33    21.57     6.39P    0.09R    0.03  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.27     8.04    11.33     0.51     5.13    33.23    12.62P    0.04R    0.01  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.92     8.04     8.34     0.44     4.53    31.37    11.19P    0.07R    0.02  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.38     7.90     8.94     0.17     2.27    21.21     7.05P    0.12R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.10     7.76   -21.52     0.00     0.06     1.10     0.19P    6.19R    2.05  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.43     7.67    -5.86     0.00     0.13     2.82     0.60P    2.01R    0.56  
Crewe                19   25   -5      63.93     8.03    -2.49     0.10     1.17    12.88     3.93P    0.37R    0.08  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.58     7.84    -3.15     0.01     0.21     3.94     1.04P    1.58R    0.50  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.42     7.82    -2.51     0.02     0.33     6.10     1.66P    0.96R    0.27  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.77     8.12   -10.42     0.00     0.20     3.51     0.94P    2.61R    0.87  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.78     7.51   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   27.14R   13.18  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.82     7.42   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   36.56R   19.12  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.08     7.73   -26.35     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   25.65R   12.32  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.74     7.48   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   34.30R   17.92  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      45.02     7.95   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   35.45R   19.39  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.93     8.08   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   26.84R   13.65  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 December 2011, Barrow vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            22   47  +22      91.23     6.88    39.26    43.32    97.00    58.81P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      87.96     7.17    30.61    23.52    91.31    39.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          23   44   +4      71.95     6.94    -2.13     0.35    17.11     1.89P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   43  +27      84.23     6.83    42.01    10.88    83.55    30.56P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      22   39  +12      77.04     7.19    19.76     1.61    45.11     9.56P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   38  +16      86.70     6.71    41.53    19.15    91.02    46.93P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          22   37   +3      69.32     7.23     1.81     0.10    10.46     1.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          22   36  +10      71.30     7.30    13.58     0.31    17.92     3.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      22   36   +7      73.75     7.30    14.55     0.67    27.53     5.49P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       23   34  +13      64.76     6.92    11.87     0.01     3.58     0.55P    0.04R    0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.43     6.92    -4.13     0.00     1.55     0.16P    0.15R    0.00  
Tamworth           21   33   +3      63.27     7.23    -3.20     0.02     2.64     0.35P    0.08R    0.00  
Darlington         23   32   -3      66.67     6.91     1.82     0.02     4.95     0.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     23   31   +0      61.14     7.28    -2.83     0.00     1.33     0.12P    0.48R    0.01  
Grimsby            22   28   +2      65.38     7.30     8.92     0.03     4.75     0.92P    0.10R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   27   -4      53.81     6.89    -9.77     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.18R    0.13  
AFC_Telford        23   23   -8      48.56     7.02   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.66R    0.85  
Newport_County     23   22   -5      53.28     6.98    -5.49     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.49R    0.20  
Lincoln_City       23   22  -12      53.88     7.08   -11.33     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.72R    0.13  
Kettering          23   20  -23      45.35     6.73   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.62R    2.88  
Stockport          23   19  -15      51.08     7.26   -14.50     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.91R    0.66  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   17  -18      40.32     6.79   -35.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.01R   10.15  
Alfreton_Town      23   14  -30      31.41     6.21   -55.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.92R   66.92  
Bath_City          23   13  -20      38.22     6.75   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.60R   18.07