Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 4 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 December 2011, Everton vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        14   38  +35      88.54     6.65    66.26    57.42    85.45    95.28    98.67    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   33  +18      86.00     6.29    53.08    33.79    76.67    92.28    97.74    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       13   31  +13      74.69     7.34    27.99     2.79    12.01    34.94    61.69    94.17     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +14      77.24     6.68    41.44     5.08    20.25    53.32    77.71    97.94     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         14   26   +7      70.02     7.13    25.80     0.64     3.72    14.52    35.35    85.17     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       14   26   +4      61.52     7.21     7.49     0.02     0.22     1.64     5.91    36.47     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool       13   23   +5      67.50     7.25    20.34     0.26     1.68     7.92    22.22    74.88     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke           14   18   -9      45.38     6.86   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.64     5.09R    0.62  
Aston_Villa     14   16   -2      46.64     7.10    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.47     3.47R    0.30  
Everton         13   16   -2      52.68     7.40     1.21     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.57     7.41     0.59R    0.05  
Norwich         14   16   -6      40.26     7.07   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    18.98R    3.53  
QPR             14   16  -10      38.47     6.65   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    26.12R    5.45  
West_Brom       14   15   -8      42.16     6.93   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29    12.06R    2.09  
Swansea         14   14   -6      38.82     6.89   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    23.21R    4.78  
Wolverhampton   14   14   -9      38.05     6.82   -24.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    28.13R    6.34  
Fulham          13   12   -1      45.35     7.21    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.02     5.26R    0.68  
Sunderland      14   11   -1      39.81     7.03    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    18.40R    3.74  
Blackburn       14   10  -11      36.05     6.79   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    38.34R   10.67  
Bolton          14    9  -15      35.87     7.06   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    40.00R   12.04  
Wigan           14    9  -16      28.76     6.24   -40.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.35R   49.71  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 4 December 2011, Cardiff vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      20   42  +21      86.66     7.79    34.95    38.79    66.01    95.87    74.17P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   40  +19      86.80     7.60    35.79    39.44    66.92    96.43    76.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          20   37  +12      80.29     7.57    23.62    11.49    29.92    83.88    44.96P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      73.22     7.42    11.01     1.84     7.02    51.48    16.68P    0.02R    0.00  
Leeds_United     20   34   +7      73.46     7.74    12.91     2.43     8.24    53.28    17.75P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         20   32   +2      64.92     7.59    -1.72     0.14     0.68    14.67     3.24P    0.89R    0.03  
Blackpool        20   30   +6      71.46     7.93    14.62     1.70     5.85    44.26    15.96P    0.13R    0.00  
Hull             19   30   +0      67.33     7.47     0.93     0.28     1.46    22.04     5.59P    0.37R    0.01  
Leicester        20   29   +5      68.81     7.62    11.18     0.63     2.57    30.72     9.28P    0.24R    0.01  
Burnley          20   27   +1      64.40     7.56     3.26     0.13     0.63    13.65     3.43P    1.00R    0.05  
Reading          20   27   +1      65.99     7.51     5.87     0.25     1.14    18.49     5.72P    0.59R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   19   27   +1      59.19     7.38    -5.21     0.02     0.13     3.81     0.76P    4.46R    0.33  
Barnsley         19   27   +0      60.21     7.58    -5.81     0.03     0.15     5.22     0.94P    3.84R    0.28  
Birmingham       17   26   +4      73.29     8.24    15.01     2.79     8.98    52.86    21.92P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby            20   25   -6      55.84     7.37   -13.46     0.00     0.02     1.38     0.22P   11.36R    1.29  
Peterborough     20   24   +1      57.30     8.03    -4.41     0.02     0.09     3.49     0.71P    9.32R    1.26  
Watford          20   24   -8      55.84     7.54   -14.42     0.00     0.04     1.48     0.28P   11.97R    1.31  
Portsmouth       19   23   +0      58.44     7.60    -1.98     0.01     0.09     3.67     0.89P    5.86R    0.57  
Millwall         20   22   -1      56.87     7.45    -1.76     0.01     0.05     2.18     0.52P    8.06R    0.76  
Bristol_City     20   20  -11      51.26     7.34   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   27.81R    5.02  
Ipswich          19   20  -13      50.22     7.62   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P   34.75R    7.17  
Nott'm_Forest    20   20  -17      53.26     7.42   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.12P   20.46R    3.02  
Doncaster        20   16  -17      41.07     6.95   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.25R   42.05  
Coventry         20   13  -14      41.49     7.11   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.53R   36.82  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Hartlepool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.91     7.67    49.31    66.09    86.88    99.86    90.98P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      82.16     7.99    19.10     4.58    18.27    87.83    34.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      88.99     7.74    41.61    19.45    54.54    97.94    69.81P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.02     7.97    31.65     4.86    19.26    88.73    38.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.21     8.08    26.37     4.77    18.85    88.41    40.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.96     7.92     8.21     0.11     0.86    31.80     6.24P    0.37R    0.01  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.74     7.77     1.64     0.03     0.25    17.89     3.39P    1.06R    0.02  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.86     7.91    -5.21     0.02     0.25    15.19     2.67P    1.73R    0.05  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.73     7.85     2.89     0.01     0.12    10.84     1.94P    2.60R    0.11  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.09     7.94    -8.37     0.01     0.06     5.83     0.83P    5.96R    0.32  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      61.12     7.66    -3.56     0.00     0.03     6.65     1.09P    4.01R    0.17  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.38     7.75    -6.25     0.00     0.05     5.97     0.99P    5.18R    0.25  
Hartlepool      19   26   -2      59.37     7.69    -7.74     0.00     0.03     4.71     0.71P    6.35R    0.28  
Preston         19   26   -4      66.06     8.39     0.12     0.06     0.46    21.06     4.99P    1.60R    0.08  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.53     7.96    -3.44     0.00     0.04     6.73     1.24P    5.24R    0.31  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.20     7.86    -3.96     0.00     0.04     6.08     1.19P    5.48R    0.28  
Exeter          19   20  -10      52.04     7.73   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.09P   29.75R    3.74  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.30     7.74   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.13P   27.72R    3.20  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.09     8.21    -3.83     0.00     0.02     2.54     0.56P   14.69R    1.44  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.53     7.73   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.07P   36.46R    5.33  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.95     7.64   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   48.14R    8.98  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.41     7.62   -17.83     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   51.04R   10.29  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.82     7.81   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   72.99R   27.14  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.10     7.83   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    79.63R   37.98  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.61     7.80    35.08    45.60    81.62    98.07    86.36P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.75     8.33    22.10    17.48    54.05    89.56    61.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.94     7.87    10.67     2.52    15.55    58.88    23.23P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.20     7.81    26.65    14.94    53.03    90.38    64.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.83     8.02     5.22     1.18     8.51    43.14    14.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.30     7.94    32.50    13.79    49.92    88.56    64.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.46     8.00    17.83     2.30    15.17    58.58    27.19P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.40     7.96    17.37     0.64     5.66    34.64    12.42P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.60     7.94     5.90     0.21     2.56    21.73     6.70P    0.08R    0.01  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.32     7.95    11.41     0.60     5.08    33.09    12.55P    0.05R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.91     8.04     8.34     0.47     4.63    31.33    11.44P    0.05R    0.01  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.32     7.90     8.86     0.16     2.21    20.86     6.98P    0.12R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.32     7.77   -21.12     0.00     0.05     1.20     0.23P    5.65R    1.90  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.63     7.70    -5.55     0.01     0.13     3.17     0.76P    1.77R    0.48  
Crewe                19   25   -5      64.00     8.07    -2.35     0.07     1.14    13.29     3.99P    0.36R    0.10  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.51     7.74    -3.22     0.01     0.19     3.75     1.02P    1.53R    0.47  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.24     7.79    -2.74     0.02     0.32     5.71     1.56P    0.94R    0.25  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.74     8.20   -10.45     0.00     0.17     3.65     1.01P    2.76R    0.88  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.61     7.55   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   28.24R   13.85  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.64     7.32   -30.17     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.68R   19.19  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.09     7.76   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   25.25R   12.21  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.76     7.50   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   34.09R   17.44  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.88     7.91   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   35.77R   19.57  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.94     8.08   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   26.64R   13.60  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 December 2011, Barrow vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            22   47  +22      91.19     6.89    39.22    42.70    96.90    57.96P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.07     7.21    30.76    24.30    91.40    39.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          23   44   +4      72.01     6.95    -2.04     0.30    17.40     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   43  +27      84.26     6.85    42.07    10.86    83.78    30.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      22   39  +12      76.99     7.20    19.71     1.57    45.07     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   38  +16      86.75     6.69    41.72    19.20    91.08    46.92P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          22   37   +3      69.10     7.21     1.49     0.09     9.85     1.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          22   36  +10      71.35     7.30    13.59     0.31    18.14     3.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      22   36   +7      73.75     7.31    14.48     0.58    27.32     5.42P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       23   34  +13      64.84     6.95    11.97     0.02     3.80     0.58P    0.04R    0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.28     6.96    -4.31     0.00     1.60     0.19P    0.23R    0.00  
Tamworth           21   33   +3      63.16     7.16    -3.37     0.01     2.38     0.26P    0.12R    0.00  
Darlington         23   32   -3      66.72     6.94     1.93     0.02     5.05     1.01P    0.04R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     23   31   +0      61.18     7.31    -2.84     0.01     1.40     0.17P    0.45R    0.00  
Grimsby            22   28   +2      65.46     7.25     9.01     0.03     4.59     0.87P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   27   -4      53.75     6.87    -9.87     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.22R    0.12  
AFC_Telford        23   23   -8      48.49     7.00   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.11R    0.90  
Newport_County     23   22   -5      53.46     6.97    -5.22     0.00     0.05     0.00P    4.05R    0.17  
Lincoln_City       23   22  -12      53.85     7.16   -11.38     0.00     0.09     0.02P    4.68R    0.16  
Kettering          23   20  -23      45.32     6.71   -33.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.77R    3.02  
Stockport          23   19  -15      51.16     7.19   -14.42     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.18R    0.67  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   17  -18      40.29     6.83   -36.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.46R   10.29  
Alfreton_Town      23   14  -30      31.39     6.23   -55.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.68R   66.79  
Bath_City          23   13  -20      38.25     6.76   -30.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.90R   17.87