Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 December 2011, Aston_Villa vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        14   38  +35      88.51     6.72    66.26    56.88    85.49    95.07    98.64    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         14   33  +18      86.06     6.31    53.31    34.41    77.10    92.26    97.63    99.90     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       13   31  +13      74.50     7.29    27.76     2.66    11.40    33.98    60.89    93.32     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         14   28  +14      77.18     6.69    41.34     5.09    20.05    53.60    77.68    97.60     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         14   26   +7      69.99     7.12    25.80     0.72     3.86    14.75    34.75    83.59     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       14   26   +4      61.59     7.19     7.60     0.01     0.21     1.55     5.93    35.21     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool       13   23   +5      67.73     7.25    20.65     0.22     1.85     8.49    22.90    73.92     0.00R    0.00  
Everton         12   16   -1      55.40     7.66     4.27     0.00     0.04     0.29     1.49    13.33     0.25R    0.01  
Aston_Villa     14   16   -2      46.57     7.12    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.26     3.32R    0.36  
Norwich         14   16   -6      40.16     7.07   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    18.41R    3.55  
QPR             14   16  -10      38.43     6.65   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    25.36R    5.16  
West_Brom       14   15   -8      42.04     6.96   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24    11.80R    1.99  
Stoke           13   15  -10      42.74     6.97   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26    10.17R    1.62  
Swansea         14   14   -6      38.74     6.84   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    22.07R    4.43  
Fulham          13   12   -1      45.25     7.17    -3.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.77     4.88R    0.63  
Sunderland      13   11   +0      41.69     7.22    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29    12.31R    2.05  
Wolverhampton   13   11  -10      36.15     6.96   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    36.99R   10.41  
Blackburn       14   10  -11      35.92     6.83   -25.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.39R   10.56  
Bolton          14    9  -15      35.89     7.02   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    38.32R   11.59  
Wigan           14    9  -16      28.85     6.28   -40.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.71R   47.63  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 December 2011, Blackpool vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      20   42  +21      86.48     7.73    34.60    37.90    65.52    95.76    73.63P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   40  +19      86.88     7.64    35.95    40.70    67.72    96.42    77.23P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    20   35   +7      73.15     7.49    10.86     1.92     7.12    50.81    16.72P    0.03R    0.00  
Cardiff          19   34  +11      78.73     7.80    22.77     8.93    24.17    77.94    39.07P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     20   34   +7      73.54     7.71    12.99     2.44     8.37    53.49    18.07P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         20   32   +2      65.04     7.59    -1.55     0.17     0.82    14.80     3.27P    0.73R    0.05  
Blackpool        20   30   +6      71.56     7.99    14.82     1.82     6.34    44.73    16.63P    0.10R    0.00  
Hull             19   30   +0      67.19     7.50     0.77     0.24     1.40    21.41     5.28P    0.34R    0.01  
Leicester        20   29   +5      68.68     7.66    11.00     0.60     2.63    29.95     9.09P    0.26R    0.01  
Burnley          20   27   +1      64.48     7.63     3.42     0.12     0.68    13.80     3.53P    1.09R    0.08  
Reading          20   27   +1      66.07     7.51     5.98     0.23     1.11    18.72     5.73P    0.61R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   19   27   +1      59.19     7.33    -5.21     0.01     0.12     3.72     0.76P    4.31R    0.35  
Barnsley         19   27   +0      60.16     7.62    -5.90     0.04     0.20     5.26     1.01P    3.99R    0.31  
Birmingham       16   26   +5      74.95     8.55    16.45     4.84    13.50    60.42    27.34P    0.07R    0.01  
Derby            20   25   -6      55.90     7.37   -13.40     0.00     0.02     1.40     0.24P   11.51R    1.32  
Peterborough     20   24   +1      57.08     7.98    -4.79     0.02     0.09     3.14     0.64P    9.75R    1.24  
Watford          20   24   -8      55.94     7.53   -14.31     0.00     0.03     1.59     0.28P   11.44R    1.41  
Portsmouth       19   23   +0      58.42     7.59    -2.06     0.02     0.09     3.44     0.82P    5.77R    0.52  
Millwall         20   22   -1      56.76     7.46    -1.91     0.00     0.04     2.09     0.47P    8.23R    0.86  
Bristol_City     20   20  -11      51.37     7.33   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P   27.24R    4.83  
Ipswich          19   20  -13      50.14     7.59   -24.40     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   35.34R    7.34  
Nott'm_Forest    20   20  -17      53.16     7.41   -20.68     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.09P   20.79R    3.14  
Doncaster        20   16  -17      41.08     7.01   -33.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.13R   42.20  
Coventry         20   13  -14      41.58     7.11   -24.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   77.24R   36.32  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Hartlepool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.88     7.74    49.23    65.62    86.84    99.87    90.94P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      81.86     8.04    18.61     4.37    17.64    87.04    32.96P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      89.15     7.78    41.87    20.13    55.43    98.01    70.80P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.21     7.96    31.94     5.01    19.54    89.01    39.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.03     8.04    26.10     4.66    18.47    88.25    40.08P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.90     7.95     8.07     0.10     0.87    31.66     6.40P    0.37R    0.00  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.66     7.75     1.56     0.03     0.22    17.72     3.36P    0.95R    0.02  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      64.96     7.88    -5.10     0.02     0.25    15.37     2.72P    1.55R    0.06  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.68     7.88     2.86     0.01     0.09    10.72     1.77P    2.64R    0.10  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.41     8.02    -7.86     0.00     0.04     6.59     0.97P    5.80R    0.26  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      60.86     7.68    -3.90     0.00     0.04     6.56     1.12P    4.13R    0.14  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.72     7.80    -5.77     0.00     0.04     6.62     1.12P    4.74R    0.19  
Hartlepool      19   26   -2      59.40     7.70    -7.72     0.00     0.02     4.74     0.71P    6.50R    0.33  
Preston         19   26   -4      65.79     8.36    -0.31     0.04     0.37    20.31     4.52P    1.60R    0.06  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.60     7.92    -3.40     0.01     0.06     6.77     1.30P    5.17R    0.24  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.20     7.83    -3.86     0.01     0.06     6.00     1.26P    5.58R    0.31  
Exeter          19   20  -10      52.13     7.73   -17.89     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P   29.23R    3.77  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.35     7.74   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.11P   27.53R    3.24  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.12     8.31    -3.79     0.00     0.01     2.89     0.62P   14.68R    1.51  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.50     7.77   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P   36.48R    5.69  
Walsall         19   16   -7      48.02     7.66   -14.86     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   47.26R    9.15  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.21     7.59   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   52.42R   10.72  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.79     7.72   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   73.39R   26.91  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.13     7.76   -29.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.97R   37.31  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.62     7.80    35.11    45.64    81.75    98.03    86.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.82     8.25    22.31    17.59    54.57    89.91    62.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.85     7.88    10.55     2.50    14.98    58.85    22.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.26     7.76    26.74    15.09    53.26    90.59    64.36P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.59     8.00     4.81     1.03     8.00    41.87    14.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.44     7.85    32.76    13.91    50.81    89.07    65.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.36     7.97    17.62     2.20    14.88    58.19    26.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.49     7.93    17.49     0.59     5.71    35.10    12.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.64     7.87     5.95     0.19     2.37    21.71     6.36P    0.09R    0.01  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.26     7.97    11.28     0.56     5.04    33.13    12.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      69.06     7.99     8.59     0.45     4.51    31.87    11.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.25     7.87     8.74     0.15     2.11    20.62     6.68P    0.12R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.22     7.82   -21.33     0.00     0.04     1.20     0.22P    5.95R    2.00  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.47     7.64    -5.76     0.00     0.10     2.85     0.60P    1.92R    0.53  
Crewe                19   25   -5      63.97     8.08    -2.33     0.09     1.19    13.18     4.00P    0.37R    0.08  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.58     7.74    -3.08     0.01     0.19     3.78     0.98P    1.56R    0.39  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.36     7.84    -2.58     0.01     0.32     6.08     1.71P    1.00R    0.28  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.69     8.16   -10.50     0.01     0.19     3.57     1.02P    2.58R    0.83  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.66     7.53   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   27.71R   13.53  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.69     7.32   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   36.62R   19.15  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.14     7.72   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P   25.19R   12.06  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.84     7.53   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.65R   17.36  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.78     7.94   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   36.51R   20.10  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.97     8.08   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   26.63R   13.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 December 2011, Barrow vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            22   47  +22      91.17     6.95    39.15    42.83    96.86    57.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      87.95     7.19    30.62    23.75    91.05    39.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          23   44   +4      71.96     6.95    -2.11     0.29    17.42     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
York               23   43  +27      84.15     6.91    41.87    11.09    83.26    30.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      22   39  +12      77.00     7.23    19.73     1.71    45.23    10.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   38  +16      86.69     6.73    41.62    19.16    91.02    47.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          22   37   +3      69.26     7.20     1.73     0.11    10.33     1.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          22   36  +10      71.31     7.30    13.55     0.31    17.96     3.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      22   36   +7      73.71     7.25    14.46     0.64    27.33     5.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       23   34  +13      64.79     6.95    11.83     0.02     3.71     0.59P    0.03R    0.00  
Barrow             23   34   +1      62.32     6.94    -4.28     0.00     1.61     0.19P    0.14R    0.00  
Tamworth           21   33   +3      63.28     7.17    -3.16     0.03     2.59     0.37P    0.09R    0.00  
Darlington         23   32   -3      66.75     6.94     1.98     0.03     5.16     1.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     23   31   +0      61.35     7.35    -2.52     0.01     1.57     0.23P    0.44R    0.01  
Grimsby            22   28   +2      65.47     7.23     9.00     0.02     4.72     0.90P    0.06R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   27   -4      53.78     6.87    -9.82     0.00     0.05     0.00P    3.99R    0.14  
AFC_Telford        23   23   -8      48.62     6.99   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00P   15.60R    0.88  
Newport_County     23   22   -5      53.35     6.98    -5.40     0.00     0.06     0.00P    4.28R    0.21  
Lincoln_City       23   22  -12      53.98     7.07   -11.18     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.31R    0.15  
Kettering          23   20  -23      45.24     6.70   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.14R    2.91  
Stockport          23   19  -15      51.05     7.14   -14.64     0.00     0.02     0.00     9.29R    0.55  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   17  -18      40.30     6.80   -36.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.23R   10.08  
Alfreton_Town      23   14  -30      31.44     6.23   -55.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.87R   66.85  
Bath_City          23   13  -20      38.11     6.69   -30.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.50R   18.22