Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 2 December 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 November 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_City        13   35  +31      87.81     6.84    63.93    57.56    86.28    95.41    98.50    99.91     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd         13   30  +17      85.16     6.51    53.62    34.83    78.16    92.73    97.54    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       12   28  +10      73.30     7.58    25.50     2.61    11.72    34.53    58.73    90.32     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       13   26   +7      63.31     7.44    11.26     0.12     0.85     4.36    12.61    47.49     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea         13   25  +11      75.15     6.94    37.35     3.94    16.93    47.81    71.78    95.17     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       13   23   +5      67.51     7.28    20.31     0.33     2.49    10.98    27.11    72.84     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         13   23   +3      68.26     7.45    21.40     0.61     3.50    13.66    31.44    75.98     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     13   16   -1      47.28     7.38    -6.83     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     2.01     3.22R    0.37  
Everton         12   16   -1      55.37     7.67     4.23     0.00     0.07     0.50     2.05    13.83     0.31R    0.03  
Norwich         13   16   -2      40.92     7.29   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32    16.94R    3.57  
QPR             13   15  -10      38.78     6.86   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    25.49R    5.68  
Stoke           13   15  -10      42.65     6.94   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29    10.77R    1.82  
Swansea         13   14   -4      40.43     7.08   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21    17.34R    3.50  
West_Brom       13   14   -8      42.38     7.20   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37    12.50R    2.45  
Fulham          13   12   -1      45.25     7.18    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.89     5.20R    0.78  
Sunderland      13   11   +0      41.62     7.24    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34    13.38R    2.71  
Wolverhampton   13   11  -10      36.22     6.96   -26.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    37.80R   11.39  
Bolton          13    9  -12      36.96     7.23   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    34.13R   10.35  
Wigan           13    9  -12      30.43     6.54   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.60R   37.59  
Blackburn       13    7  -13      33.78     6.98   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    51.32R   19.75  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 2 December 2011, Crystal_Palace vs Derby; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Southampton      19   42  +22      89.32     7.91    38.07    42.36    74.73    98.11    80.90P    0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         19   40  +20      89.74     7.81    39.35    45.17    76.51    98.32    83.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          19   34  +11      78.79     7.78    22.82     5.64    19.63    79.83    36.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    19   32   +6      71.46     7.67     9.74     0.80     3.81    44.58    12.58P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United     19   31   +5      71.62     7.97    10.50     0.91     4.33    46.02    12.88P    0.13R    0.00  
Leicester        19   29   +6      70.36     7.86    12.47     0.68     3.28    40.21    11.83P    0.16R    0.00  
Brighton         19   29   +1      63.24     7.79    -2.92     0.07     0.41    12.05     2.43P    1.93R    0.08  
Blackpool        19   27   +5      69.88     8.20    13.70     0.74     3.49    39.14    13.18P    0.33R    0.02  
Reading          19   27   +2      67.61     7.78     7.20     0.27     1.49    27.35     8.12P    0.39R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   19   27   +1      59.11     7.37    -5.40     0.01     0.06     4.08     0.66P    4.68R    0.29  
Hull             18   27   -1      65.36     7.70    -0.56     0.10     0.66    17.45     3.97P    0.88R    0.04  
Birmingham       16   26   +5      74.98     8.53    16.54     3.17    10.98    62.32    26.79P    0.07R    0.00  
Derby            20   25   -6      55.75     7.43   -13.62     0.00     0.02     1.51     0.26P   12.22R    1.14  
Peterborough     19   24   +2      59.40     8.26    -2.01     0.02     0.16     6.59     1.27P    6.34R    0.65  
Burnley          19   24   +0      61.27     7.74    -0.22     0.03     0.23     8.13     1.87P    3.13R    0.21  
Barnsley         18   24   -1      57.58     7.76    -8.27     0.00     0.06     3.30     0.53P    8.30R    0.70  
Millwall         19   22   +1      58.52     7.66     0.57     0.00     0.06     4.30     1.02P    5.89R    0.46  
Watford          19   21   -9      53.68     7.70   -16.44     0.00     0.02     1.09     0.21P   19.32R    2.42  
Portsmouth       18   20   -1      56.99     7.75    -2.77     0.01     0.06     2.87     0.67P    8.79R    0.87  
Bristol_City     19   20  -10      52.98     7.60   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.13P   21.61R    2.84  
Ipswich          18   20  -12      52.08     7.85   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.10P   27.17R    4.03  
Nott'm_Forest    19   20  -16      54.62     7.64   -19.61     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.21P   16.74R    1.88  
Coventry         19   13  -13      42.60     7.31   -23.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    72.69R   26.67  
Doncaster        19   13  -18      38.32     7.09   -36.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.14R   57.69  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 November 2011, Hartlepool vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Charlton        19   46  +28      96.98     7.66    49.46    66.32    86.92    99.88    91.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       19   39  +10      81.97     8.05    18.81     4.31    17.72    87.36    33.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Huddersfield    19   38  +20      89.06     7.75    41.69    19.56    54.83    98.08    70.25P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         19   36  +18      82.11     7.94    31.79     4.76    19.13    89.08    38.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       19   35  +11      82.28     8.07    26.46     4.87    19.35    88.62    40.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    19   31   +7      68.86     7.89     8.03     0.09     0.83    31.30     6.13P    0.36R    0.00  
Brentford       19   29   +2      65.77     7.73     1.74     0.02     0.23    18.10     3.45P    0.97R    0.02  
Carlisle        19   29   -3      65.05     7.86    -4.98     0.02     0.24    15.51     2.75P    1.47R    0.05  
Stevenage       19   28   +6      62.77     7.90     2.97     0.01     0.09    11.13     1.84P    2.46R    0.10  
Bury            19   27   -2      60.24     7.96    -8.09     0.00     0.05     6.02     0.94P    5.87R    0.31  
Tranmere        19   26   -1      61.05     7.65    -3.63     0.00     0.04     6.74     1.21P    4.20R    0.15  
Oldham          19   26   -2      60.35     7.75    -6.35     0.00     0.05     6.04     0.98P    5.03R    0.25  
Hartlepool      19   26   -2      59.34     7.68    -7.76     0.00     0.01     4.51     0.69P    6.44R    0.28  
Preston         19   26   -4      65.87     8.37    -0.10     0.03     0.42    20.45     4.66P    1.61R    0.07  
Colchester      19   23   -4      60.61     7.91    -3.38     0.00     0.05     6.71     1.30P    5.10R    0.26  
Bournemouth     19   23   -4      60.20     7.80    -3.89     0.00     0.04     5.87     1.32P    5.34R    0.26  
Exeter          19   20  -10      51.96     7.79   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.09P   29.93R    4.00  
Leyton_Orient   19   19  -10      52.30     7.79   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.11P   28.09R    3.34  
Scunthorpe      19   18   -5      56.00     8.23    -4.00     0.00     0.00     2.63     0.53P   14.77R    1.55  
Rochdale        19   17  -13      50.49     7.75   -18.92     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.05P   36.31R    5.75  
Walsall         19   16   -7      47.99     7.63   -14.92     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   47.53R    9.28  
Yeovil          19   16   -9      47.41     7.65   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   51.28R   10.18  
Wycombe         19   13  -12      42.81     7.74   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   73.14R   27.05  
Chesterfield    19   13  -14      41.11     7.70   -29.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    80.09R   37.10  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 November 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Southend             19   42  +19      89.57     7.77    35.00    45.26    81.63    98.09    86.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town         19   42  +15      83.72     8.28    22.17    17.44    53.97    89.74    61.44P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           19   38  +11      74.96     7.86    10.64     2.54    15.48    59.18    23.33P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   37  +13      83.17     7.86    26.55    15.24    52.77    90.34    64.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        19   35   +6      71.80     8.04     5.16     1.17     8.26    43.05    14.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Swindon              19   33  +14      82.44     7.93    32.78    14.20    51.02    88.91    65.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           19   31   +8      74.43     8.06    17.71     2.23    15.39    58.30    27.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            19   30  +14      69.19     7.96    16.98     0.53     5.33    34.20    12.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           19   29   +5      66.76     7.83     6.13     0.18     2.45    21.81     6.44P    0.08R    0.01  
Torquay              19   28   +5      69.24     7.92    11.25     0.45     4.91    33.19    12.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Rotherham            19   27   +1      68.85     8.07     8.23     0.42     4.56    31.34    11.45P    0.05R    0.02  
Port_Vale            19   26   +4      66.16     7.80     8.59     0.16     2.06    20.34     6.66P    0.10R    0.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   26   -6      54.30     7.74   -21.18     0.00     0.04     1.20     0.21P    5.73R    1.89  
Macclesfield         19   25   +1      57.46     7.67    -5.72     0.00     0.14     2.86     0.63P    2.01R    0.61  
Crewe                19   25   -5      64.08     8.10    -2.24     0.11     1.31    13.77     4.15P    0.39R    0.08  
Aldershot            19   23   -1      58.55     7.72    -3.13     0.01     0.17     3.75     0.95P    1.59R    0.48  
Accrington_Stanley   19   23   -3      60.39     7.77    -2.56     0.03     0.34     6.01     1.64P    0.89R    0.25  
Bristol_Rovers       19   22   -8      57.77     8.05   -10.34     0.01     0.17     3.49     0.93P    2.47R    0.79  
Barnet               19   19  -14      46.65     7.48   -30.07     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   27.79R   13.51  
Hereford             19   17  -16      44.89     7.37   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   35.93R   18.67  
Northampton          19   16  -16      47.03     7.74   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   25.94R   12.45  
Bradford             19   15   -8      44.78     7.51   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   34.30R   17.78  
Dag_&_Red            19   13  -19      44.96     7.89   -27.30     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   35.58R   19.55  
Plymouth             19   12  -20      46.91     8.06   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   27.09R   13.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 November 2011, Wrexham vs Darlington; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            22   47  +22      90.94     6.88    38.73    43.42    97.07    58.62P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     22   47  +18      88.08     7.18    30.83    26.05    92.10    41.42P    0.00     0.00  
Southport          22   41   +3      70.92     7.13    -2.13     0.28    15.66     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
York               22   40  +20      81.73     7.10    33.48     6.68    74.10    23.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      22   39  +12      76.86     7.22    19.44     1.84    46.31    10.31P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              22   38  +16      86.63     6.70    41.33    20.44    91.74    49.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          22   37   +3      69.16     7.23     1.61     0.12    11.22     1.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Kidderminster      22   36   +7      73.92     7.30    14.80     0.73    30.45     6.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       22   33  +13      64.86     7.23    11.47     0.02     4.71     0.72P    0.07R    0.00  
Mansfield          21   33   +7      69.72     7.54    10.65     0.30    14.81     2.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           21   33   +3      63.44     7.19    -2.85     0.01     2.81     0.36P    0.11R    0.00  
Barrow             22   33   +1      62.96     7.22    -3.94     0.02     2.53     0.28P    0.19R    0.00  
Braintree_Town     22   31   +3      62.95     7.54     0.91     0.01     3.01     0.41P    0.26R    0.00  
Darlington         22   31   -3      67.47     7.19     2.43     0.05     7.77     1.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Grimsby            22   28   +2      65.46     7.27     8.99     0.02     5.33     1.11P    0.08R    0.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   23   26   -4      53.86     7.13   -10.22     0.00     0.09     0.01P    4.60R    0.15  
AFC_Telford        22   23   -6      50.29     7.26   -14.19     0.00     0.03     0.01P   11.64R    0.63  
Lincoln_City       22   22  -11      55.45     7.33   -10.08     0.00     0.19     0.03P    3.50R    0.10  
Kettering          22   20  -16      47.33     6.96   -25.16     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.74R    1.50  
Newport_County     22   19   -6      51.78     7.20    -6.34     0.00     0.05     0.00P    7.35R    0.46  
Stockport          23   19  -15      51.04     7.21   -14.51     0.00     0.02     0.00P    9.88R    0.62  
Hayes_&_Yeading    22   17  -18      40.23     6.83   -36.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.49R   10.11  
Alfreton_Town      22   14  -29      32.02     6.38   -55.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.98R   59.32  
Bath_City          22   10  -22      35.97     6.89   -33.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.06R   27.10